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Hall of Merit— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best
Sunday, October 15, 2006
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1. John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: October 15, 2006 at 07:13 PM (#2212565)He's about my 27th ranked catcher. NOT!
Nah, that's past my time, so it doesn't count. Besides, that would mean that Tommy Lasorda would have to go in as the Dugout Wizard. :-D
Too bad he was paired with unremembered Ron Tompkins - within a year later, I had bent the Bench card in half since Tompkins wasn't worth remembering.
Ouch.
It likely will surprise many that Bench only played 79 pct of his games at C, along with 9 pct 3B (!), 7 pct 1B, and 5 pct OF.
And yes, as I recall he was as bad a 3B as you might expect. Do the numbers also show that?
13-time All-Star.
Top 5 in Slugging Pct 5 times.
I guess the more entertaining exercise would be, if he had played all his games at other positions, where else would he have been HOMertorious? (without a general catching bonus, obviously, and without the specific bonus of being such a great catcher).
Is there a danger that people will mistakenly submit 1988 ballots in a week with these new guys on them? I wonder if there's enough clarity to who's eligible when..
...and it's not even close, IMO.
Berra played in an era where the stolen base was far less important, though, so I don't know how much of an advantage you can honestly credit to Bench here.
No doubt.
-- MWE
I agree you can't fault Berra (if there is a fault there) because of the era issue, but the fact is that a catcher with a large amount of CS is a very nice thing. It generates a lot of free outs for his team and makes me wonder why the other team even bothers to elect this type of strategy. Now, if they other team elects to stop trying and plays station-to-station against the Reds, then I agree its not much of a bonus. But if they keep trying and Bench keeps racking up free outs for his team, then that's a nice thing that he should get credit for.
favorite Johnny Bench stat:
in the post-season from 1970-1976, 42 games total, he stole 6 bases and was never caught. If his 7 teammates had been as good, that would be 48 SBs, or more than one per game.
he allowed TWO steals in the 42 games. That is a pace whereby opponents would total 7 stolen bases for a 154-game season. Consdering that they played teams like Philly, Oakland, Pittburgh, NYY, all who ran pretty well, that just astounds me.
Just a guess, but I think that Reds opponents would have more hits not fewer. If the opposing baserunners did not steal due to Bench's arm, then they would remain at first base, where they would be held on by the first baseman. As documented by Tango et al. in The Book, holding the runner on has a very positive effect on the batting averages of lefty hitters. In this way, preventing the steal may actually be counterproductive not only because lefties will get more hits but because of this example. Let's say there's no outs and a runner at first who chooses not to test Bench. Now a normally fieldable grounder through the enlarged right-side hole will be extremely likely to yield first and third with no outs, whereas the successful steal would end up with a runner at third but one out.
This is also a good reason not to hit and run with a lefty hitter and a runner on first, IMO, or to bunt with a lefty groundball/singles hitter and a runner at first. Of course, there's lots of people who say the hit and run should never be used period....
Interesting question, here are 11 catchers that played about the same time as Bench, I threw in Tenace, the others are the catchers that caught the most games during Bench's career - obviously some start or end a little later but I think its fair to say these are his peers.
Stats are career numbers from Retrosheet, as straight as I could get them without losing my mind.
___G ___INN SB CS PkO AVG Sb% Att/Gm
1743 14489.0 610 471 62 .990 .53 .710 Bench
1114 9502.1 504 314 15 .986 .61 .789 Sanguillen
1348 10941.0 579 350 32 .991 .60 .791 Grote
1277 11108.1 533 427 38 .982 .53 .809 Munson
2225 18459.1 1108 731 76 .986 .58 .934 Boone
2226 18511.2 1302 664 20 .988 .66 .966 Fisk
1927 15900.1 1012 708 62 .993 .57 1.009 Sundberg
1506 12608.0 902 553 25 .982 .61 1.056 Porter
1769 15092.1 1188 611 32 .987 .65 1.092 Simmons
892 6678.0 515 290 14 .986 .63 1.104 Tenace
2056 17369.0 1498 810 51 .991 .64 1.222 Carter
1743 14489.0 610 471 62 .990 .53 .710 Bench
___G ___INN SB CS PkO AVG Sb% Att/Gm
Bench had less attempts per game than the others, and narrowly edges Munson in caught stealing %. I don't know if Catcher PkOffs are usually included in CS%, but when Bench picks off 62 and Simmons picks off half that, there is value there and Bench should be credited for it.
And his nemesis, pretty boy Fisk, at the bottom of the heap!
Probably not ;-)
Also,
Wouldn't stopping all stealing be a negative since most every team ends up in the red when it comes to stolen base runs?
Randy Hundley was the first major-league catcher to use that technique -- which he may well have borrowed from someone else, but which Bench definitely borrowed from him.
I think the answer on the Bench poor rating in Total Baseball is in fact that they counted catcher putouts highly, and the Reds didn't strike out that many people. You would think that a result like that--not just Bench as average but as one of the worst defenders in history--would make you rethink your system before going to press, wouldn't you?
My recollection--colored by my childhood in the Reds-viewing area of central Ky--was that Bench did in fact have a powerful arm. He was often described at the time as an athletic freak--hands big enough to hold 8 baseballs at a time, etc. And he had a very quick release, partly because he could spring up so well.
Watching Bench play third base was a sad experience. In an ideal world, Bench would have been moved to first as he aged, and he probably would have been an okay first baseman and punched up his career numbers, but the Reds didn't need a first baseman and didn't know what to do with him, so they basically just hoped he'd go away, which he eventually did.
I, too, had always thought Berra was better because he has those gaudy stat lines and the extra MVP. So I was shocked a few years ago to see that Bench has a higher career OPS+. 126 to 125, in similar PAs (a couple hundred more for Bench.) It's a close call. I'm not sure Berra ever had a season like 1972. But Berra put up a few more useful seasons over all. I suppose it comes down to one's view of Berra's stats in the context of the 1950s.
How common is it for the two best players in ML history at a position to both have anchored serious dynasties? My sense is that wouldn't be true at other positions--first base, short stop, third base, right field, left field. Arguably center field depending on whom you take. I wonder if there's something to this; if there's something about stability at catcher. Cochrane, who isn't too far down the list, anchored a dynasty at one team before being shipped to another WS team. But probably it's partly coincidence.
The pct of SB attempts thrown out (or, rather, the successful SB rate) is one number I happen to have handy (#14 above)
1. Bench and Munson 53%
3. Sundberg 57%
4. Boone 58%
5. Grote 60%
6. Sanguillen 61%
7. Tenace 63%
8. Carter 64%
9. Simmons 65%
10. Fisk 66%
I'm sure those little 1-2% differences don't mean much, but Bench and Munson 10% better than Tenace, Carter, Simmons and even Fisk, that probably is a significant difference. Sure, it measures only one part of a catcher's game--and I mean throwing, generally, not just CS. Then, as for calling a game, I'm willing to consider team ERA and, well, just whether the team won or not as evidence of quality there. I mean, there might be some great catchers in those phases of the game who didn't necessarily win, but I would guess not too many really lousy catchers were winners.
Damn, I've battled WS for several 'years' now as well.
I love Berra, and he holds up to scrutiny, and Bench is so good that he breathes that rarefied air as well.
There's no loser in a Berra-Bench-Gibson faceoff. Greatness cubed, and no losing picks....
When I was looking at catchers from the 1950s and 60s I noticed a very strong correlation between team performance and the quality of the catchers. The great catchers (Berra, Campanella, E Howard) anchored dynasties, and the second-tier catchers (Del Crandall, Sherm Lollar, John Roseboro, Tom Haller) also played for very good teams. Because catchers aren't substitutable with other positions, perhaps teams that are trying to build a dynasty always try to make sure they have a good one.
1. Because runners didn't try to run on him, his assist totals are relatively low.
2. Fielding Runs for catchers includes 1/10 of the adjusted Pitching Runs allowed. During Bench's years as the catcher, the Reds rarely had good pitching staffs.
-- MWE
His batting is still above average for a catcher, so I expect that after his contract with Detroit runs out this year, he will have some more years behind the plate.
If he can keep it up for a few more years, then the combination of quality and quantity would have to rate him #1 among defensive catchers for me.
I'm not doubting your assessment; I just always thought the "oringinal" killer Bs - Berra and Bench were MLBs finest.
From all I've read over the past few years Josh was probably the best overall, just never got to show his wares in MLB.
You would think that, but this is the same publication which had Bill Buckner 1985 as the second greatest firstbase defensive performance of all time, and 1986 (yes, that 1986) just outside of the top 10.*
*As of 1989, my most recent TB.
My infatuation with Linear Weights ended with Bench's defensive ranking circa 1985.
I'm not doubting your assessment; I just always thought the "oringinal" killer Bs - Berra and Bench were MLBs finest.
To clarify, that was not my assessment. I was looking only at who might be considered the No. 1 Defensive Catcher of all time.
With that limitation, I-Rod's very high level of play; the length of time over which he has maintained it so far; and the likelihood that he can continue that for another 1 to 3 years; make a combination of quality and quantity that could well justify rating him the #1 Defensive Catcher of all time.
Once you add in Offense, though, Bench and Berra mop the floor with him.
What's remarkable about those numbers is that Fisk, at least when he played at the same time as Munson, had a stronger arm, but Munson just got rid of the ball so much quicker than anyone else- his throws could have been 10mph slower than Fisk's and they still would have gotten there at teh same time- plus Munson was accurate.
That's a huge flaw, the Big Red Machine strove for mediocrity in their pitching staffs
most of the posters agreed , but there were a surprising number (surprising to ME, anyway) of posters who said that, no, we shouldn't question the ratings, we should question our "subjective" rating of Bench as an outstanding defensive catcher; it's people like that who give sabremetrics a bad name
I believe the "error" has been tracked to low number of putouts, and, as Emeigh pointed out, bad piching staffs
I could be wrong, but hasn't TB's assessment of Bench been ratcheted upwards in later editions?
I'm not talkin about this specific case, necessarily,
but I WAS, and that's the point
believe me, my eyes have been opened over the years about my "subjective " opinions being horseshit (e.g. that Bobby Richardson was a good hitter), BUT (and this was the point) if my rating system for catchers lists Bench as not only below average, but ONE OF THE WORST IN HISTORY, then I gotta look askance the system
Palmer himself comes close to saying (in the editon of TB that I have)that his catcher ratings are next to useless
Not really relevant to a discussion on Johnny Bench, but here goes- I had on of those things. The base was set in concrete, so it was never moved we just let it stay outside in the back year. Eventually the bar that held the ball broke, so i just left the base- a hollow metal pole set in concrete, sit out in the backyard- for years...
well, years later, I'm home from college during the summer, my mother tells me to get rid of the damn thing, so I went to the backyard, I grab the pole and begin dragging it away...
Did I mention the pole was hollow? The hollow space wasn't that wide, but out popped a yellow jacket, and another and another and another...
I let go of the damn thing (I had moved it all of about 5 feet) and well ran like hell (I wouldn't run like that until more than 20 years later 9/01...)
Well no one could go in the backyard for the rest of the day (boy were they pissed...). I finally got rid of it during X-mas break,
I assume you mean the wasp-like thing. But I have to tell you, that didn't occur to me at first, and I couldn't figure out why a bunch of yellow rain slickers would freak you out. It was quite a mental image.
What really gets me is that it didn't occur to me to turn around and run, until the mass of people between me and the WTC were all turned around and running in my direction.
In "The Hidden Game of Baseball," Palmer had doubts about thee catcher ratings even then.
Remember that when we talk about ratings, we're always talking about performance models. We don't measure everything perfectly, and that's especially true when talking about defense. So when the results from the model don't square with perception, the first thing we need to do is make sure that the model is measuring what we think it is. The second thing we need to do is ask if there's something missing from the model that might make the model misrepresent the perceived value of the player. If we can be reasonably sure that the model is measuring what we think it is and not misrepresenting any aspect of the player, then we start questioning the validity of the perception. (Models do need to be recalibrated on occasion.)
-- MWE
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