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Hall of Merit— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best
Wednesday, January 18, 2006
Stan Musial
Eligible in 1969.
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1. John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: January 18, 2006 at 08:34 PM (#1827171)I always thought that was goofy. Still when I was a kid there was Teddy and Stan the Man as the grand old men of baseball and Mantle and Mays as the young lions. They were it.
I personally have Musial on my 1B list, because I split out the OF positions and Musial moved among all 3 (all 4, including 1B) pretty freely, which is another point to his credit. And I have him as the #1 career 1B ahead of you-know-who. Add in peak/prime and he drops to #2, but still the real deal. He is Speaker to Teddy's Cobb, or Gehrig to Teddy's Babe, or Mantle to Teddy's Mays, or in a sense he is Mays to Teddy's Mantle (i.e. less raw career value but better at his peak).
Henry Aaron's career overlaps those of Williams and Musial by 7 and 10 years, respectively. He debuted just three years after Mays and Mantle, and that's not really a full three years for either Willie or Mickey. sunnyday2 is, of course, reporting the general perception quite accurately. It's just interesting to note how so much of Aaron's career slid by drawing as little notice as it did. (At the end, as 714 drew into sight, things were different. But that's not the time either of us is talking about.)
Quiz most are likely to get incorrect: which position did Musial play most in his MLB career? Answer: 1B (if you count RF, CF and LF as different positions)
Well, as great as Aaron was in the late 50s, he was indeed clearly below Mays and Mantle.
The Frank Robinson comment is interesting. Today he's underrated for being in Aaron's shadow, but at the time, he did have multiple MVP's and a triple crown. I wasn't alive in the 50s & 60s. Is it true that Robinson was generally rated higher at the time and it wasn't until Aaron got his late-career kick and made the move on the Babe that he passed Frank?
>Is it true that Robinson was generally rated higher at the time and it wasn't until Aaron got his late-career kick and made the move on the Babe that he passed Frank?
That is true as I remember it, except that Henry had an MVP in 1958 so I would say Aaron was rated more highly for a while, and then Robby, and then Henry again.
Yes, maybe. It's not easy to rank-order Aaron, Mays, and Robinson for that particular year. Just think: if we do the picking for a post-season NL All-Star team, the guy with the 150 RBI doesn't even crack the starting lineup.
Of course, they actually gave the MVP to .... Maury Wills.
Running through bbref's list and trying to work out where Musial ranked for NL counting stats as of his 1963 retirement. I could have gotten a couple of these wrong, (this is very quick and dirty) but it's close:
Category....Rank....Others
Hits: 1st, with 3630 (Anson 3418, Wagner 3415)
Total Bases: 1st, with 6134 (Ott 5041, Wagner 4862)
Doubles: 1st, with 725 (Wagner 640, Waner 605)
Triples: about 10th, with 177 (Wagner 252, followed by Beckley, Clarke, Brouthers, ... everyone ahead of him was pre-1920.)
Home runs: 2nd, with 475 (Ott 511, Mathews 438, Banks 343 - Mathews and Banks were active and moving on the list; I didn't check Mays and Aaron but probably should have)
Runs: 2nd with 1949 (Anson 1996, Ott 1859)
RBI: 2nd with 1951 (Anson 2076, Ott 1860)
Walks: 2nd, with 1599 (Ott 1708, no one else over 1400)
Extra base hits: 1st, with 1377 (Ott 1071, Hornsby 1011)
But then if anyone were publishing these in 1963, Anson (and all of the rest of 19th century baseball) would not have been recognized, so he would have been considered the NL leader in runs and RBI.
Aaron would eventually pass Musial in nearly all of these counting stats, but wouldn't have been close in 1963.
I have him the #1 career 1B and the #2 1B overall. This is unfair? How much higher do you have him as a whatever?
And besides, simply rating somebody as an OF misses the obvious differences between playing L, C and R. The fact that Musial was able to do something that Williams and many other "corner OF" never did--play CF--also works to his credit. L, C and R are different positions just as 1B is a different position. He played more games at 1B than any other position.
I think that what dizzy is saying is that as a 1B and only as a 1B, Musial wasn't taht great, a la Banks.
I also think that putting him at 1B is a little odd but then I lump RF and LF together (for the most part) since they are pretty interchangable.
Let the gnashing of teeth begin...
I don't know about that, Mark. Going over the numbers, I think Musial had more value at first than in LF. I don't think it's by that much, but enough for me to designate him as a first baseman.
As for lumping all OF games as if they were all the same, I hate that. They might be closer in their responsibilities than the IF positions, but they are not interchangeable, IMO.
Having said that, I still think of Musial as an outfielder. For some players, left and right field are not interchangeable, but for many others they are - they go back and forth depending on the needs of the team, without any great change in defensive performance. Certainly when Musial played, they were thought of as interchangeable. That's why all star teams had places for outfielders, rather than left, center and right fielders - because most people, including the teams themselves, thought of them as interchangeable.
I stand by my earlier statement that when Musial played, he was thought of as an outfielder who sometimes played first based, rather than the other way around. The fact that he actually did play 1890 games in the outfield and only 1016 at first (most of which after he was 35 years old) provides additional evidence.
As a kid, from about age 7 to 12, I was taken to Forbes Field for one game a year and ineviably it was when the cards were in town.
My dad wasn't a fan like most folks; he would consult me for who was really hitting/pitching well at any particular point in time but he sure did enjoy taking his young son to the ballpark to watch Stan the Man.
Musial was a local hero of sorts as he came from Donora, PA, a suburb of Pittsburgh, on the Monongahela river.
The definition of "Inner-Circle", Stan was amazingly consistent year in and year out. He was the most dangerous hitter in the NL from the 40's to early 50's and top-ten throughout his career.
He actually began playing 1B early in his career, at age 25, and not at the end as some have previously mentioned,
In fact he finished his career as a 42 year old OF, not at 1B.
Bill White and Joe Cunningham prety much alternated as I recall; Musial would play wherever they needed him. Their strongest lineups had Stan in LF and either White or Cunningham at 1B.
My dad always claimed he'd rather have Musial than Ted Williams playing for his team. He felt Stan was a better all-around player who was a strong fielder and strong hitter. Ted felt playing defense was a necessary evil as he don't get to hit unless he plaed in the field(Ted would have been the dream DH).
I would rank Gehrig as #1 all-time at 1B; had he not had his disease he undoubtedly would have put up similar career counting stats to Musial.
I have Stan as #1 in LF; the "cheater" Bonds gets grudging admiration for his career long hitting abilities and early career fielding exploits in both CF and LF but comes in 3rd behind Stan and Teddy ballgame in my book.
Anyhow, Musial shifting positions every year is very interesting. A list of Pos/Yr and who the Cards had LF/RF/CF/1B each year would be quite fun to look at.
Anyhow, Musial shifting positions every year is very interesting. A list of Pos/Yr and who the Cards had LF/RF/CF/1B each year would be quite fun to look at.
Add to that the fact that BI and GI is league (competition) specific.
Cardinals, primaries at each of the positions in question:
1941: 1B Mize, LF (open) CF Moore, RF Slaughter (Musial "cup of coffee")
1942: 1B Hopp/Sanders, LF Musial, CF Moore, RF Slaughter
1943: 1B Sanders, LF Litwhiler et al, CF Walker, RF Musial
1944: 1B Sanders, LF Litwhiler, CF Hopp, RF Musial
1945: 1B Sanders, LF Schoendienst (!), CF Adams, RF Hopp/Bergamo
1946: 1B Musial, LF Dusak et al, CF Walker/Moore, RF Slaughter
1947: 1B Musial, LF Slaughter, CF Moore, RF Northey/Dusak
1948: 1B Jones, LF Slaughter/Musial, CF Moore/Dusak/Musial, RF Musial/Northey
1949: 1B Jones/Nelson, LF Slaughter, CF Diering/Musial, RF Musial/Northey
1950: 1B Nelson/Musial, LF Musial et al, CF Dieiring et al, RF Slaughter
1951: 1B Jones/Musial, LF Musial/Rice, CF Lowrey et al, RF Slaughter
1952: 1B Sisler, LF Rice/Lowrey, CF Musial, RF Slaughter
1953: 1B Bilko, LF Musial, CF Repulski, RF Slaughter
1954: 1B Cunningham/Alston, LF Repulski, CF Moon, RF Musial
1955: 1B Musial/Moon, LF Repulski, CF Virdon/Moon, RF (open)
1956: 1B Musial/Moon, LF Repulski, CF Del Greco, RF Moon/Musial
1957: 1B Musial/Cunningham, LF Moon/Ennis, CF Boyer (!), RF Ennis/Moon/Cunningham
1958: 1B Musial, LF Ennis et al, CF Flood, RF Green/Moon/Cunningham
1959: 1B Musial/White, LF White/Cimoli/Oliver, CF Flood/Cimoli, RF Cunningham/Cimoli
1960: 1B White, LF Musial/Nieman et al, CF Flood, RF Cunningham
1961: 1B White, LF Musial, CF Flood, RF Cunningham/James
1962: 1B White, LF Musial/Smith, CF Flood, RF James
1963: 1B White, LF Musial/James, CF Flood, RF Altman
There's an awful lot of instability here, some of it without obvious rhyme or reason. I get the sense that Eddie Dyer like to surprise himself with how he filled out the lineup card each day, and most of the succeeding managers caught various variations of the same bug. Only Eddie Stanky, starting in his second year (1953) seemed to really prefer a fixed lineup. Most of the cases above are more complicated than I've shown, and Musial often played positions other than those listed above.
I think besides skill, in terms of VALUE, Musial could also be ranked ahead. Williams provided little value to his teams in '43, '44, '45, '52, & '53, while Musial was "valueless" only in '45.
I think besides skill, in terms of VALUE, Musial could also be ranked ahead. Williams provided little value to his teams in '43, '44, '45, '52, & '53, while Musial was "valueless" only in '45.
But of course, they did that in part becuase they could. It's still a part of Musial's skill set. It is a little surprising that the franchise player ("the Man") would be moved around so freely; it seems more common for recognized superstars to be firmly planted at one one position, with the rest of the team working around that fact.
Maybe that's why we had a bit of a glut of CF'ers by the 1950's vs. other positions, especially RF? Maybe that's why really, really good athletes like Musial & Aaron could pass as CF'ers for a few seasons. Maybe in a different era or a different ballpark Duke Snider is a RFer instead of a CFer.
It's just a theory....
I actually think that some of the old ballparks, like Sportsmans Park where Musial played all his home games and Forbes Field where the Pirates played until 1970 had huge centerfields. FF was 457' to deep left-center for all the years I can remember; Sportmans was 422'.
When I read about old ballparks it seems they actually brought the fences in a bit around about the time the lively ball entered baseball in 1920.
Some of the old parks built and played in during the late aughts and teens were absolutely huge and triples were the HR of the day as the ball rolled forever and fences were so far away nobody could hit the ball over them on the fly.
That said I imagine it was actually harder to play CF in the aughts and teens as the geometric area was at it's largest and most likely the field was in poorer condition back then as agronomy hadn't improved to the point where quality turf grasses were prevalent.
My guess is that Stan was good enough to have played wherever it benefitted his manager; his skill set added a degree of flexability in creating an optimal lineup for the field on which any given game was being played.
It would probably be illuminative to get Stan's fielding positioning on a home and away basis over the years to see if this was in fact an aspect that his managers employed in creating their optimal lineups.
......... AB ...hits .AVG .HR ..OPS
home 5401 1815 .336 252 1.011
.road 5571 1815 .326 223 0.945
I'm curious if anyone knows: did Stan's managers tend to play him at different OF positions depending upon the ballpark in which they were playing or were decisions made based upon the opposing pitcher that caused the Cards manager to bat certain player(s), thus requiring the movement of Stan from LF to CF or RF?
A casual analysis of his fielding prowess from bbref shows him to be an above league average fielder in the OF and at 1B.
Does anyone have access to statements about his fielding ability; was he considered an A or A+ fielder?
Likewise, based upon his seasonal batting statistics he could have easily been chosen MVP in 50, 51, 52 and 57.....talk about a player dominating his league for a long stretch!
RBI: 2nd with 1951 (Anson 2076, Ott 1860)
he was actulay first in those stats you forgot to take out Cap's NA career
That would drop Anson to 1719 R, 1879 RBI, and 2995 hits.
Make that change, and in 1963, Musial was the all-time NL career leader in ...
hits, by 215 (6%),
doubles, by 85 (12%),
extra base hits, by 306 (22%).
total bases, by 1093 (18%),
runs, by 90 (5%),
RBI, by 72 (4%),
while being second in HR by 36 (5%) and in walks by 109 (6%).
LF, CF, RF are all similar - they bear no resemblance to 1B.
You could make a case for doing this with SS/2B/3B also, but it's rare that you have someone splitting time at all of those and then playing 1B for a significant portion of his career.
But it's a personal thing, can't fault sunny for how he does it, but I don't see how anyone could consider Musial a 1B - he basically played 2 1/2 seasons there before the age of 34.
I mean to say, if the guy played more in the OF, then I put him at the OF position where he played the most.
I guess you could answer that on the Berra thread . . .
An interesting note about his 1948: my modified version of the eXtrapolated Runs estimator likes it a full 9 runs less than BP's UEQR estimator. Why? Because UEQR, which has Total Bases in its formula, weights the double (.84 in 1948) and the triple (1.16 in 1948) more than XR does (.72 and 1.04), and Stan the Man had 46 doubles and 18 triples. At the team level, they both produce the same forecast for the 1948 Cardinals, so it's hard to say which is more accurate in this case; they just divvy up the credit among the team's players differently (my estimator likes Schoendienst and Marion a bit more than UEQR does).
Year SFrac BWAA BRWAA FWAA Replc WARP
1941 0.07 0.6 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.8
1942 0.83 4.4 0.0 1.4 -0.7 6.5
1943 1.07 7.0 0.1 1.9 -0.8 9.9
1944 1.01 6.0 0.1 1.3 -0.8 8.2
1945 1.04 6.0 0.0 0.8 -0.8 7.7
1946 1.08 8.5 0.0 0.2 -0.8 9.6
1947 1.03 3.3 -0.1 0.5 -0.9 4.7
1948 1.07 8.6 0.1 0.0 -1.0 9.7
1949 1.10 7.3 0.0 0.8 -1.1 9.1
1950 0.98 5.8 -0.1 0.0 -0.9 6.7
1951 1.03 8.1 0.0 0.9 -1.0 9.9
1952 1.05 6.6 0.0 -0.2 -1.3 7.8
1953 1.07 6.7 0.0 -0.2 -1.0 7.5
1954 1.08 6.4 -0.2 0.2 -0.9 7.3
1955 1.01 5.4 -0.1 0.5 -0.7 6.6
1956 1.05 4.5 0.0 0.6 -0.6 5.7
1957 0.88 5.9 -0.1 0.0 -0.4 6.3
1958 0.85 3.6 -0.1 0.6 -0.3 4.4
1959 0.62 0.7 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.7
1960 0.58 1.4 0.0 0.0 -0.3 1.8
1961 0.66 1.4 0.0 0.7 -0.4 2.6
1962 0.74 2.8 0.0 0.3 -0.5 3.6
1963 0.57 0.8 0.1 -0.4 -0.4 0.9
TOTL 20.47 111.8 -0.3 10.0 -16.1 137.7
AVRG 1.00 5.5 0.0 0.5 -0.8 6.7
3-year peak: 29.5
7-year prime: 64.2
Career: 137.7
Salary: $453,095,752 (8th among post-1893 MLB position players, behind Speaker and just a hair ahead of Hornsby.)
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