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Hall of Merit— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best
Sunday, September 03, 2006
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It sounds a little funny now, but I wasn't laughing back then.
No extra credit for dying. Clemente didn't need any extra credit.
He died on my 8th birthday. It didn't ruin my birthday because I didn't start following baseball until I was 9, but very eerie to find that out in retrospect.
Well...karlmagnus has been doing it with Ed Cicotte for decades now (I know he didn't die, but...). However, it's highly frowned upon.
Besides, Munson was starting to slow down by the time of his untimely death. Can one estimate fairly accurately the rest of his career, especially factoring in the demanding position he manned?
Yankee connections are allowable in moderation (Torre) but there ARE limits!
Up front, I'll say I have no idea yet how I will rank these guys on my next ballot. You can make a decent case for any of the seven to be at the top of the C rankings, based on a wide variety of reasons to be sure.
A mere 200 PA minimum, and all seasons of adj OPS+, any position acceptable. Seasons under 400 PA denoted with *
BiFreehan 145 44 37 27 22 22 06 05/99* 98* 95 84 83 75
ThuMunson 141 28 26 26 21 14 05 03 00/95
ElsHoward 153 41 30 27 19* 15 13/97 93* 82* 81* 80* 77 42*
ELombardi 161* 53 47* 40 39 38 30 30* 29* 23* 20 06 01*/97 93
Bresnahan 162 45* 40 40 38 34* 32 29 24* 13 04*/89* 70*
WalSchang 139 38* 38* 37* 34 34* 32 23* 22* 21 21* 11 08 05* 01*/84*
(Quincy Trouppe, use your own methods)
Now only seasons with 75 pct of games at C, minimum 400 PA:
BiFreehan 145 44 27 22 22 06 05/95 84 83 75
ThuMunson 141 28 26 26 21 14 05 03 00/95
ElsHoward 153 41 27 13/97 77
ELombardi 153 40 39 38 30 20 06/97 93
Bresnahan 138 32 29
WalSchang 111 08
(Quincy Trouppe, use your own methods)
I clearly remember Munson struggling to play the OF, and was surprised to see he only played 27 games out there. All of his seasons qualify for the 2nd chart, he was over 500 PA every year except his shortened last one, and he amazingly averaged around 650 PA in 1975-78 (DHing 10-20 games or so per year). Adjusting for the fact that Freehan likely would have had a similar usage pattern, it's probably about fair to consider both equally durable. Freehan seems to win the first offensive 'race,' but without the 1B-C 1974 season, it's even closer.
Making the minimum 400 PA instead of 200 does nothing to the Munson-Freehan race except take a 99 away from Freehan for his 345 PA in 1963 and losing a 98 for his 255 PA in the 1976 swan song (it has profound implications for earlier catchers, as we'll see).
Freehan has five seasons over 120 OPS+ as a 'true catcher,' which is excellent (so does Munson). Plus Freehan has that 137 OPS+ as a 1B-C. He has five more seasons from 95 to 106 OPS+, which given his position AND his quality defense is a major plus each time. Even the 83 and 84 are acceptable given the context, and are an edge over Munson if one ignores the tragic end of the latter.
E Howard is as vexing as ever: Many of his better seasons are his most durable ones, and he almost compares with Freehan, for example, as an offensive player based on their MLB results. But Howard has more 'split' seasons than the others.
Four of Lombardi's 'qualifying seasons' of over 400 PA were fewer than 425 PA. Raise the minimum to 450 PA, and he's only got 153-30-20 for the 2nd chart. Even granting a schedule-length edge to the modern guys and noting the DH, Lombardi doesn't seem to have been as durable a catcher (or to be more fair, he wasn't used as often as a C, topping out at 123-120-116 in most games caught in a season). So his apparent edge in the 2nd chart is being too kind, even before we get to - ahem - defense.
Bresnahan has nine seasons over 120, but only three of those both as a primary C and with 400 PA. Still, he can battle Freehan as a peak-catcher candidate, with Freehan supplementing it with extra C seasons and Bresnahan with some heavy hitting in the OF.
Schang rings up 300+ PA 14 times, but in only six of those did he clear 400 PA (including a 413 and a 421). Shades of John McGraw and Frank Chance. Adjust for schedule length, and Schang is nearly even with Freehan in PA, with a better OPS+ (even though he lost a couple of points with a dreadful pair of part-time final seasons).
And everything else OCF says is right on. Just like Sisler's eyes. But if you do give Munson (or Joss) and death credit, then Sisler should get a continuation of his career pattern from the first half of his career. (Ditto Ross Youngs and you can think of others.)
Someone else may remember it more exactly, and it's probably documented - were the Yankees already thinking of phasing him out as C?
I know once he died, they were stuck with Jerry Narron and Brad Gulden, which was just pathetic.
P.S. The Yankee Stadium attendance listed for the game following the death was 51,151 -as in Munson's "uniform No. 15".
I was almost 18 years old, yet at the time I actually believed that to be the 'real' attendance.
Looking back, it was a nice touch.
I don't have Munson as having any official MVP-type seasons, though that's not unusual for catchers. I do bonus them a little, and with that bonus, he gets one season that might qualify as an MVP-type season (1970). Nor does he have any three-year chunks where he's the league's leading player or in the conversation.
He's a very good package of value and positional dominance. But he's definitely borderline given the lack of career value and the lack of MVP-type seasons.
Now, most of us are going to judge Munson solely by what he accomplished in the time he had. That's all I'm suggesting we do. But look at Dr. Chaleeko's post #13. Munson dominated AL catchers of the 1970s the same way that Bill Freehan dominated AL catchers of the 1960s. And he was the only dominant catcher in the AL between Freehan and Rodriguez. Now, there are some flaws with that argument. When Freehan was dominating AL catchers during the '60s, he was coming pretty close to dominating MLB catchers as only one of his top contemporaries was in the other league (Torre). And many would say that Freehan was better than Torre. When Munson was dominating AL catchers during the '70s, he wasn't dominating MLB catchers as the other league had at least one superior catcher (Bench) and sometimes two (Carter). So Freehan's dominance may stand out more than Munson's. Also, the gap between Munson and Rodriguez can be explained by the AL having more than one quality catcher. Neither Simmons nor Parrish could dominate the league for that length of time because they were playing at the same time as the other. And I'm sure Fisk had some good years during that same decade. So I see some flaws in Dr. Chaleeko's pro-Munson argument.
However, I'm left with this impression: Munson's prime is every bit as good as Freehan's, or as Elston Howard's. If they're HoMers, then so is Munson. He's not a slam dunk candidate. He's not Johnny Bench or Yogi Berra or Ivan Rodriguez. And he probably won't make my ballot this cycle (Freehan and Howard are just off as well). But he is worthy of consideration. And he shouldn't be dismissed too easily because of "a short career."
I have Thurm with a higher prime and career value then both Howard and Freehan and as good a prime as Torre (with the exception of Torre's, when Torre wasn't even catching anymore) .
Yes, there probably were between 51,000 and 52,000 people at that game. They had a pre-game tribute to Munson, and iirc they played the national anthem with no Yankee standing behind the plate in the catcher's traditional spot (another nice touch).
But the odds of there having been exactly 51,151 of course are about 1,000 to 1.
I wouldn't be shocked if there were really, oh, 51,297 or something, and somebody said, 'Hey, let's maneuver a tiny bit.'
The NJ Devils' sellout crowd is 19,040, an old jab at the half-century Stanley Cup title drought that the archrival NY Rangers experienced (1940 til 1994).
Offensive career value: Freehan > Munson
Offensive big year bonuses: Freehan > Munson
Defensive value: Freehan > Munson
He's reasonably worthy, and Munson versus Lombardi is worth a little study, but Freehan is clearly (IMO) the better candidate.
I wrote that. I didn't think it was a secret that it was because he died. I don't penalize him for a short career. He gets the same 0 win shares that everybody else gets who didn't play in those seasons. Not a -2 or a -10 or anything like that. Just 0.
As a peak voter, of course, I don't care. It doesn't matter. I keep tellin' you guys, once you're a peak voter, you'll never go back.
But of course Freehan is a better candidate.
Munson was in serious decline at the time of his death. And while nobody can prove clearly that his bat wouldn't have recovered by moving to an alternative position, anyone who saw him hobble around the field in late '78 and all of '79 would be hard-pressed to believe that Munson had any big offensive seasons left in the tank. He was routinely hitting the ball to right-center and right at the end.
For the younger crowd Munson at age 32 was Jason Kendall minus the walks and mobility behind home plate but with a few more doubles.
Munson provides an interesting discussion when you consider his performance in MVP voting. Munson impressed the folks with the ballots. While nowadays Joe Mauer struggles to get his hometown writers to realize his greatness many a voter back in the day was wowed by Ole Thurman. Go figure.
Batting average still has its allure, but it was much stronger back in the Seventies pre-sabermetrics. I can remember having debates with people who thought Munson was better than Bench based on their different BAs. No offense to Munson, but he wasn't Bench any way you slice it.
I'm not really pro-Munson, I'm more surprised how good he is. But this can go too far. Munson's prime is NOT every bit as good as Howard's and Freehans. Howard and Freehan were legit MVP candidates in at least one season each, probably more. Munson was never a legit MVP candidate. That's why he's a few slots down from them in my rankings.
Munson was a fine player, but he doesn't have anything close to Freehan's 1967-68 on his resume. Their AS-level primes end up being of comparable length. Freehan's extra seasons are when he was not that great of an offensive player (and are weighing down his career rate stats). Without the DH-era bonus, Freehan inches a bit more ahead.
BF-35-30-25-25-24-20-20-16-16-14-14-13-10-08-01
TM-26-26-25-24-23-20-19-18-18-12-02
My sister's 3rd birthday, I still remember finding out like it was yesterday, and I was 6 going on 7 at the time.
From the Constitution:
Uh . . . what am I missing? I didn't realize Karl was giving early death credit - that is clearly unconstitutional. That was certainly the intent if it isn't clear. I mean, we weren't spelling out every single thing, the document would have been gihugic. How does being dead contribute in any way to a player's 'on-field accomplishments'?
And I don't think this applies, at least it wasn't intended to apply to victims of early death:
We weren't going for including dead players as excluded. We were going for Negro Leaguers, military service and labor disputes. There's a major difference.
We actually commented about this a few months back, but nothing was done about it at the time.
Uh . . . what am I missing? I didn't realize Karl was giving early death credit - that is clearly unconstitutional.
We actually commented about this a few months back, but nothing was done about it at the time.
Yup, it's in the 1973 Ballot Discussion thread.
Joe Dimino, you should have been aware of it as you were involved in the discussion at that time.
Boy, Joe is having problems with memory loss in his mid-thirties already. :-D
Once Carlton Fisk came up in 1972, he earned 162 Win Shares for the rest of the decade, as opposed to Munson's 160.
My only on-ballot death credit is Joss, which I've been doing for about 40 "years" -- I see no reason why death shouldn't be adjusted for just as military service and labor disputes are. I also see no Constiutional justification for giving credit to players in the military (Moore) and in various minor leagues or Mexican leagues which can't be adequately benchmarked against the majors (The NgL is a special case I agree and was provided for in the Constiution, but the others weren't.)
Munson doesn't make it, with any reasonable death credit, and I don't think there are any other relevant cases (Chapman doesn't either, and has been around a long time.)
Career and peak, you're absolutely right, karlmagnus, but the question was who was the best in the AL of the Seventies? I'd go with Munson, but Fisk's two best seasons are better than Thurman's.
Make that three. WS likes 1972, 1977 & 1978 much better than anything of Munsons. All 30+ WS seasons while Munson peaks at 26. Munson owns seasons 4 through 10 though. Fisk's 1974-75 are also incredible by rate, but both seasons were shortened by injuries.
Thanks, John. I said in the '70s (when they were head-to-head). I don't actually care whether Fisk got more total WS (by 2). I could be waay wrong, of course, but the Yankees won a lot more than the Sox with what sure didn't look to be as good of talent, and I believe Munson's leadership and attitude was part of the deal. i.e. the stuff that doesn't show up in the box.
A decade after Munson's death, sure, Fisk was obviously "better" (i.e. had accumulated more career value). But when they went head-to-head, Munson got the best of it.
Define winning. By pennant or by game. The Sox won more games in the 70s than the Yanks. And their advantage is greater if you only look at when both Fisk and Munson were playing.
Gedman v. Hassey/Wynegar/Skinner didn't quite have the same edge to it when I was in grammar school.
It's both true and false.
Fisk was 6 months younger than Munson.
If we also end Fisk's career after 1979,
then we get the following snapshots.
Win Shares: Munson 206 - Fisk 164
Games: Munson 1423 - Fisk 947
WS/162G: Munson 23.5 - Fisk 28.1
FWS: Munson 62.3 - Fisk 45.2
FWS/162G: Munson 7.1 - Fisk 7.7
Munson's edge lay in his ability to stay on the field, to avoid the injuries that plagued the younger Fisk. That edge also might have shortened his career, if the plane crash hadn't ended it prematurely.
WARP comes to the same conclusion, though it rates Fisk and Munson as even defensively (107) through 1979. While Munson hit for the higher average, Fisk was the better hitter, due to his extra walks and his slugging.
My two overarching memories about him:
1. The day he died, my brother and I were walking home from my playground job when a car screeched to a stop. It was Scooby, a intense but fair Yankee fanatic. He was crying! My brother and exchanged WTF? looks and walked up to the car. He finally choked out "Thurman Munson died". We said jeez Sccob we're sorry and just figured he was out of his mind. When we got home we found out. That next game in the Stadium even had me crying. (and I never knew that about the attendance. Thanks again BTF.)
2. Whenever he came up with the winning run on, we turned the game off. We were then spared the Holy Cows or Messer's smugness. Because the SOB always got the run in.
I agree about Fisk/Munson (won't be voting for Munson, not sure yet about Fisk, but I think Fisk was at least better), but of course you had to overstep with the jealousy thing. I suppose you were just countering an overstep the other way from Benji. I don't really think either of 'em was particularly scared of the other.
I agree about Fisk/Munson (won't be voting for Munson, not sure yet about Fisk, but I think Fisk was at least better), but of course you had to overstep with the jealousy thing. I suppose you were just countering an overstep the other way from Benji. I don't really think either of 'em was particularly scared of the other.
I have no doubts that Fisk hit better than Munson -- especially by rate -- but the raw totals exaggerate that. Fenway was a hitters paradise for much of the mid-70s and Yankee Stadium was a mild pitchers park. There is a whopping 10 points of park factor between the two in several of those years.
Sounds plausible, but the fact that Gammons wrote it doesn't make it true. Gammons may just be engaging in some amateur psychology here. Gammons ain't exactly objective about the Yankees and Red Sox of the late 70s.
?!?
No. I didn't say that. Perhaps quoted the wrong sentence of yours to make my point on run context that you thought I was talking about something particular.
Fisk scored more runs than Munson because:
1. Fisk was a better hitter
2. Relative to Yankee Stadium, Fenway inflates scoring by a full 10% most years (even adjusting for road games). Higher OBP & SLG for Fisk and a higher OBP & SLG for the batters batting after Fisk which leads to more run scoring for Fisk.
Unfortunately, Munson's best seasons match up with Fisk's off-years and injuries. But, we can look at 1977 which is a solid season for Munson. By your raw stats above, Fisk looks dominant, leading by 56 points of OBP and 59 points of SLG. But, the contexts of the two parks are quite different. Fenway was (.280/.346/.426) while the Stadium was (.265/.329/.403). That's quite a spread for two parks in the same season. After adjusting, Fisk still has a comfortable lead in OPS+ (139-121) but its not anywhere near as extreme it was by looking at the raw numbers that you posted.
Fisks career OPS+ after 1979 stood at 128 while Munson's was 116. So, I have no doubts that Fisk was the better hitter by rate. FWIW, Munson got an early start and was less injury-prone so he led 5900 PA to 3800 PA at that point in their careers.
I did. I was referring more to the "chiseled/dumpy" stuff. In my view, Fisk was the superior player, and I could see Munson's being jealous of him. Looks being a factor--hard to tell. In The Bronx Zoo (not a bad book, BTW) Lyle/Golenbock paint funny, somewhat sad, but human portraits of Munson and Billy Martin. In colloquial terms, it was sort of like, "Yeah, they are both SOBs but there are some other things going on with them too."
Then, did Fisk score more runs because Fenway was a better running park? This surely was a joke, right? But maybe not. Easy answer: More runs scored in Fenway = more runs scored by Red Sox = more runs scored by Fisk. That's what a park effect does. It has nothing to do with baserunning ability.
Then the equally joketastic statement that the foregoing implies that Fisk was NOT a better baserunner, whereas Red Sox fans say he was. Again, this is irrelevant to the park effects discussion. I mean, maybe Fisk came around from first more often as a percentage than Munson did because of cheap doubles off the monster, not becuase he was like Carl Lewis or anything.
PS. I thought I had made the original comparison of Munson to Fisk and I didn't use the word dominate, I don't think. Just that at the time of his death, Munson had a better record than Fisk. All the caveats that have been raised are valid (OK, some of them).
But the original point was that baseball fans today, young 'uns, don't have a clue how highly regarded Munson was. Much more highly regarded than Freehan, e.g.
Well, yeah. Gammons didn't have ESP, as robinred notes. And while the Deadball stuff illustrates that Munson felt he had a rivalry with Fisk (heck, hated the guy), it doesn't have much to say about WHY. He could have been jealous, he could have just thought the guy was a prick, he could have just been a prick himself who hated any other catcher who threatened him as tops in the league (which isn't the same thing as jealousy, IMO, anyway).
But whatever. I agree Fisk was better, despite my rosy childhood memories. Munson wasn't my favorite player when I was a kid anyway--that was Nettles, destroyer of down-the-line doubles and Bill Lee's arm. Nettles also doesn't seem to be the most charming of fellows, now that I see him with adult eyes. Then again, neither do a lot of these guys, on both sides--including Fisk.
Well, yes and no. Gammons is an HoF writer, but he is also a hard-core Red Sox fan who covered those teams in his 30s. So, yeah, he was there, but he was seeing it through his own eyes, which were not exactly objective. I would suggest that you could also say, in writing Gammons's bio in 2012:
"The chiseled, handsome Fisk, a taciturn but well-spoken New Englander and World Series hero, represented an ideal to the young Gammons, while the surly, earthy and homely Munson represented Yankee "vulgaris" at its nadir--and apex. The fact that these two men played the same position, and were the the top two catchers in the American League during Gammons' formative years as a writer, forged an indelible connection between the two men in Gammons' mind, with Munson's supposed resentment of Fisk often dominating Gammons' characterizations of the Yankee catcher."
And yeah--whatever. It's not really a big deal, but I think no one really likes to have motives ascribed to them that may be slanted. Of course, Gammons's goal is to write interesting material, and he did do that here.
So did Sparky Lyle. I don't remember anything in "The Bronx Zoo" like "Thurm really has a hard-on about Fisk. I think it's because Fisk is a handsome bastard and Thurm looks like a wrinkled shirt." Given the style of the book, that is exactly the kind of crap Golenbock would like. But, who knows? Maybe something like that was in there and Lyle asked them to take it out. He did include a lot of stuff about Munson, though.
that was Nettles, destroyer of down-the-line doubles and Bill Lee's arm. Nettles also doesn't seem to be the most charming of fellows, now that I see him with adult eyes.
Cincy and Padre fan living in SD. 10 years ago, when we had field-level seats at the old stadium, I went to a Cardinal-Padre game with a woman I know who is a big Yankee fan. Sitting two rows in front of us, doing some scouting: Graig Nettles. She gets all excited--and, since she was wearing a Yankee cap, I said "Go ask him to sign it." She was scared to go--heard he was "mean." So, I take the cap and go ask him: "Excuse me, Mr.Nettles, but my friend is a huge Yankee fan. Would you mind signing this for her?"
He just grunted--didn't say anything like "what's her name?" or whatever--but he did take the cap and signed the bill. She hasn't worn it since--keeps it on the mantle with her favorite photo of her kid.
Fisk: .347
Munson: .307
Removing that 10% still gives Fisk a significantly greater advantage of making his on base appearances count for something.
35% of Fisk's non HR hits were doubles or triples, compared to 21% for Munson, so that will account for much of the differences. Plus, Fisk had a hidden advantage of 18 more times on base in many fewer ABs due to HBP which you didn't account for. That would probably shave another point or two off.
Now, how much of the XBH advantage is due to park factors and natural hitting ability, and how much is due to footspeed is anybody's guess. But your numbers fall far short of telling the whole story.
I do care about what Henry Chadwick, the only sportswriter in the HOF, said about baseball from the 1860's to his death, but what does that have to do with Fisk and Munson?
;-)
But the original point was that baseball fans today, young 'uns, don't have a clue how highly regarded Munson was. Much more highly regarded than Freehan, e.g.
That's not even debatable, Marc. Tugboat was talked about as a probable HOF pick by the mid-Seventies, while only Harvey said the same thing about Bill. ;-) Not that I agree with this, mind you, since I would take Freehan over Munson myself.
Well, that is more convincing than Gammons, cosidering the source. I would be a little surprised, though, that a guy as successful as Munson would be jealous of looks. Of course, it would make more sense if that were tied into the idea that Fisk gor more recognition.
The guy could really hit the cirve, though.
What's your whole point with that line of debate anyhow? Petty jealousies are easy to get between rival teams -- in some cases they are encouraged as a motivational tool.
Well, post #69 goes a bit too far -- especially considering the marriage and three kids makes it completely untrue. I realize it was a hyperbolic insult for humor purposes, but come on.
Its enlightening to hear about a players character, even if in cases where it shouldn't affect our voting. Lefty Grove & Ted Williams were cantankerous characters but that was part of what made them fierce competitors. There have been cases where personality hurt the team. Dick Allen was one of those guys -- and I'm sure some voters docked Allen for that.
As far as a Yankee like Munson not particularly caring for a Red Sock like Fisk? Enlightening perhaps, but I don't think it should affect anyone's votes. It probably helped Munson play harder it key games. Big deal. This isn't a "class act" contest where we judge players on how gracious they are in the media, this is the HOM.
All that said, I don't think this comparison really helps or hurts Munson at all. I mean, Fisk just has so much more career value and has higher peak seasons. Fisk isn't eligible until 1999 and he'll be going into the HOM that year (or shortly thereafter if there's some sort of logjam). So, if you are a Fisk fan, don't worry. Munson's chief concern is Bill Freehan, Ernie Lombardi, Roger Bresnahan and the rest of the current non-C backlog.
I remember this as a teenager, but also have talked about it with other older pals in the last few weeks. They also recall that Munson was basically burned out physically, and the Yankees were trying to figure out what to do with him for 1980. His knees were utterly shot, and he was in a lot of pain.
They tried him in the OF for 13 games in 1978, but that took about as well as the infamous Todd Hundley experiment the Mets once tried. Then Munson played 5 G at 1B in 1979, his last season.
One theory could be that he could have been switched to DH and added a few more solid offensive seasons. I'm skeptical, and not because Jim Spencer had 23 HRs in 295 AB in 1979, mostly as a DH (the immortal Eric Soderholm and friends filled the DH role in 1980).
Mainly, you have to imagine a remarkable battler whose intensity was almost frightening to watch. He literally wasn't built for the long haul, and he never played that way, either. Munson was in his prime as the Yankees awoke from a decade-long slumber, he was determined to make the most of it - and he did, hitting .357 in post-season play. But this is one of those stars that shone brightly but not so long.
I don't know yet if Munson makes my ballot, but I don't think the early death plays into the admittedly emotionless HOM part of the equation. I suspect he was headed for a quite-truncated career ending.
On the other hand, it is worth acknowledging the level of competitiveness that Munson brought to that memorable cast of characters.
Weird stat: Munson was 48 for 98 as a basestealer.
Nicknames listed in baseball-reference: Tugboat, Squatty Body, The Wall. I don't recall ANY of those ever being used while I was growing up in the NY area, but admittedly I was a pre-teen or teen during his career. The Wall probably had to do with how much he loved to block the plate.
Closest comp for his last three seasons: Freehan.
As for Kevin's comments, I figured we'd get the typically classy stuff sooner or later from him.
At the time he died, only Bench was regarded as better. "Regarded." As a Yankee hater, I will say again, people thought Munson was a great player. I thought he was a great player. Now we know better.
Actually, Thurman and Reggie became friendly before Thurman's death. In fact Reggie flew with him (I believe Nettles was also there) two days before the crash that took Munson's life.
The story goes that as they were flying there was an instrument malfunction and everyone's oxygen mask came down, except for Reggie's. Thurman jokingly told Reggie he had seated him there on purpose.
For me, the most remarkably stat is Munson's CS%+ relative to other AL catchers:
1970 132
1971 163
1972 124
1973 130
1974 91
1975 136
1976 103
1977 101
Again, he was in decline toward the end, but look at that 1971: 63% better at throwing out runners than other AL catchers!
This is just so not true it's funny.
Top 5 Freehan OPS+ relative to league vs Munson's, ranked from highest to lowest
Only if you treat a single year as a peak does Freehan have any advantage I'd call significant.
To deal with other data kevin might consider significant in seeing me as a sucker of the NY myth machine: I was 18 when Munson died, was born and lived in Detroit at the time, and have been quoted in the press when asked, what will be written on your tombstone - "'He hated the Yankees', because it's the only thing I'm sure was true yesterday, is true today, and will be true tomorrow."
Since Munson had more than twice as many MVP shares as Fisk had at the time of Thurman's death, it appears that the BBWAA thought he was greater, too.
(FWIW, I am a 35 year-old lifelong Yankee fan, who came of age following the Thurman-Reggie Yankees.)
And I assume it's obvious to all - well, almost all - that I didn't literally mean Munson's intensity was 'frightening.' Remarkable, a better word, if you like.
Presumably, my critic also didn't literally mean that Munson needed to bribe girls to date him, and that they "probably all though (sic) he was a pedophile."
Or maybe he did.
You haven't a clue what's going on here, kevin.
Thurman Munson is eligible for election to the Hall of Merit. Voters have to rank catchers eligible for election, and decide if any of them should be listed among those who in their opinion are the best 15 players not yet in the Hall of Merit.
Since Freehan is eligible for the Hall of Merit as of 10 September 2006, but neither Bench, nor Carter, nor Fisk is, Munson at this time need only be compared with Freehan, the top vote-getting catcher as of our last ballot.
Whether either Freehan or Munson belongs in the Hall of Fame is irrelevant.
But, kevin, if you suggest Freehan has a better peak than Munson (which you did), I'm going to tell you that the stats don't seem to indicate it.
Best season--Fisk 111 Munson 96, big edge for Fisk, debate over?
2nd best season--well, not so fast, Fisk 98 Munson 94
3rd--not to mention, Munson 91 Fisk 90, other than one year these guys are pretty interchangeable in RC!
4th--89-89
5th--Fisk 81 Munson 77, interchangeable indeed.
Sure a small edge to Fisk, but very small.
And as fp says, nobody here has argued that Munson belongs in the HoF, the HoF is not our problem.
AWAY Fisk Munson
Yr AB OBP SLG OPS MassBal AB OBP SLG OPS MassBal
1969 0 0 37 0.341 0.27 0.611
1970 0 0 235 0.392 0.46 0.852 200.22
1971 30 0.33 0.6 0.93 245 0.356 0.4 0.756 185.22
1972 218 0.347 0.495 0.842 183.556 276 0.334 0.348 0.682 188.232
1973 248 0.309 0.375 0.684 169.632 283 0.344 0.491 0.835 236.305
1974 99 0.407 0.586 0.993 98.307 262 0.281 0.347 0.628 164.536
1975 141 0.394 0.511 0.905 127.605 310 0.369 0.452 0.821 254.51
1976 238 0.318 0.357 0.675 160.65 319 0.356 0.47 0.826 263.494
1977 281 0.364 0.47 0.834 234.354 311 0.337 0.453 0.79 245.69
1978 303 0.317 0.442 0.759 229.977 318 0.314 0.352 0.666 211.788
1979 162 0.24 0.346 0.586 94.932 207 0.295 0.329 0.624 129.168
SUM 1690 1299.013 2766 2079.163
<b>AVG 211.25 0.768646746 276.6 0.751685828</b>
Indeed, the pre tags murdered Excel's formatting. I'll summarize:
During years when they were regulars in the 70's (for Fisk, 72-79, for Munson, 70-79):
Fisk averaged 211.25 away AB's with an away OPS of .769
Munson averaged 276.6 away AB's, away OPS of .752
AWAY Fisk Munson
Yr AB OBP SLG OPS MassBal AB OBP SLG OPS MassBal
1969 0 0 37 0.341 0.270 0.611
1970 0 0 235 0.392 0.460 0.852 200.22
1971 30 0.330 0.600 0.930 245 0.356 0.400 0.756 185.22
1972 218 0.347 0.495 0.842 183.556 276 0.334 0.348 0.682 188.232
1973 248 0.309 0.375 0.684 169.632 283 0.344 0.491 0.835 236.305
1974 99 0.407 0.586 0.993 98.307 262 0.281 0.347 0.628 164.536
1975 141 0.394 0.511 0.905 127.605 310 0.369 0.452 0.821 254.51
1976 238 0.318 0.357 0.675 160.65 319 0.356 0.470 0.826 263.494
1977 281 0.364 0.470 0.834 234.354 311 0.337 0.453 0.790 245.69
1978 303 0.317 0.442 0.759 229.977 318 0.314 0.352 0.666 211.788
1979 162 0.240 0.346 0.586 94.932 207 0.295 0.329 0.624 129.168
SUM 1690 1299.013 2766 2079.163
AVG 211.25 0.768646746 276.6 0.751685828
The columns should line up now.
I don't know what 'mass balance' means in this context though. I have a chemical engineering degree, so perhaps that's clouding my brain. Weighted average -- some home stats added in to even out the context?
These numbers don't jive with bb-ref at all. Here is bb-ref:
BF-145-144-139-127-122-122-106-105
TM-141-128-126-126-121-114-105-103
Are you using position-adjusted context?
OPS*AB for each year
Sum all years
divide by total AB's for all years.
Its what we do in isotope geochemistry...i dont know for sure if it works here, but it seemed like it was worth a shot.
It's today's date.
Yes. Starting from Retrosheet data.
Take the average seasonal numbers I posted above, and assume that you have to fill 320 AB's at catcher in away games ( I know I should be using PA, but again, I'm lazy), and assume a .700 OPS for the replacement catcher.
The production from catcher in the average season, Fisk+replacement=.745 OPS, Munson+replacement=.745OPS
That's how the HOM works. We don't have a 'bar' for admission, its whoever gets the most votes. People may make comparisions to the already-inducted or the not-yet-eligible for debating purposes, but at the end of the day its whoever gets scores in the top 2 or 3 in the results on Monday evening. Both Freehan & Munson are eligible, so a comparison between these two is quite relevant. We all have to submit top-15's next week. Freehan has quite a bit of support coming in from previous weeks, where should we slot Munson?
And it's BS to suggest that comparisons can't be made of contemporaries that are not eligible. There's nary a thread in which the merits of a player aren't discussed in the context of his contemporaries, both eligible and non-eligible.
You have a point. On one hand, Bench & Fisk won't be eligible until 1989 & 1999. We can't vote for them yet. I think that the point the other poster was trying to make. On the other hand, how Munson ranks relative to them affects his evaluation. We certainly don't have to induct a catcher this year. There are other candidates at other positions we could be voting for.
Unreal.
Sounds like Ted Williams.
Ah... since you were dealing with unscaled OPS's (not OPS+'s) to begin with, you could have just kept AB, H, BB, HBP, 2B, 3B, HR on your spreadsheet and carried them through to the bottom line. There's a small error due to the fact that OBP has PA-SH in the denominator instead of AB, but it should be pretty close.
You're numbers don't take into effect the fact that the Yankees played road games in Fenway and the Red Sox road games in the Stadium. That should widen the gap a bit. The PF's have an adjustment for that (112 BPF in Fenway means the run context was inflated by over 20%).
I realized that, but I figured that both of Munson's "extra" years are in low run-context seasons, so the effects would partially wash out. This is -at best- a crude measure of the two players, but it serves to show that neither was much better than the other during the 70's.
I typed these numbers over from retrosheet, so I had no spreadsheet to carry the numbers over from, thats why I used this quick-n-dirty method.
< - snip see #85 - >
And that's even considering that Freehan had to play his prime through the second deadball era.
No, those numbers don't consider era or park adjustments That's just raw RC divided by outs. You need EqA or OWP data.
From Lee Sinins, sorted OWP numbers (1964-79 only, 300 PA to remove Fisk 74-75)
BF-713-695-648-628-569
TM-656-639-615-601-589
CF-731-658-642-536-501
Everone seems to have a different way of calculating OWP, so perhaps a second opinion is in order for these.
The league average OPS for AL catchers in 1970-77:
.717
.672
.667
.693
.666
.682
.646
.662
So .700 probably overstates it quite a bit.
Therefore, even if Fenway inflated offense by 20% w/r/t Yankee stadium, you're talking about a very small difference.
Again, my numbers don't show that one player was a better hitter than the other, but merely that they are very close in offensive value in a neutral context. That's indisputable.
You can argue that Fisk should get credit for his ability to thrive in his homepark, and thats a legitimate argument. But he wasn't the "better hitter" he was "of two equal guys, the one who played in a more favorable context for his skills".
That analogy is absurd. First, Williams was never jealous of anyone.
Yep. The only jealousy Teddy had for DiMag was the way Joe was treated by the press.
With Golenbock, Appel, Gammons, and TheDeadballEra we seem to have a guest panel today.
But the original point was that baseball fans today, young 'uns, don't have a clue how highly regarded Munson was. Much more highly regarded than Freehan, e.g.
Only several years ago McFarland published a biography of Munson by high school student Chris Devine.
Marty Appel is still part of the sports scene in NYC.
Who keeps the memory of Bill Freehan alive for all those young baseball fans?
I suspect that he is known mainly by those youngsters who read the Hall of Merit discussion and election boards.
Freehan 53 46 28 28 25 21 13 4 2 1 1 -4 -4-10-12
Munson 31 27 26 23 19 14 9 6 5 -1 -1
Howard 45 41 36 21 13 11 9 1 0 -6 -6-14-14-29
Yes, these are park-adjusted. I see Freehan as clearly the better hitter than Munson - and since Freehan was likely also a substantially better defensive catcher, Freehan will be many places ahead of Munson on my ballot.
As has been pointed out, our task is to rank the eligible catchers, and that means that Munson should be compared to Freehan, Howard, Trouppe, Lombardi, Schang, and Bresnahan. The comparison to Freehan is particularly timely and important, since Freehan stands a very good chance of being elected this year.
Now, what do we know in the winter of 1984-85? Bench has retired. He's so clearly superior to this group that it really has almost no effect on the debate. We will elect Bench overwhelmingly as soon as he is eligible.
We also know about Gary Carter, whose career so far has been entirely in Montreal. We are aware that he is accumulating a very impressive resume. Since he may still be in his prime, it's too soon to be worried about placing him accurately.
Fisk? We can see that he probably belongs in the Freehan/Howard/Munson conversation somewhere, but he hasn't actually retired yet. He'll be 37 next year, so we've got to assume his retirement is near, right? We can also see that in-season durability is something we'll hold against him, as we also hold it against Lombardi.
Simmons is a year younger than Fisk, but he too seems to be approaching the end of his career (and he did no catching at all last year). When he does become eligible, we anticipate a raging debate in which many people will try many different things to measure his defense. But since he hasn't retired yet, we don't quite know when to begin that debate.
That's sort of in the eye of the beholder. Williams had an incredibly generous spirit, but his impatience with what he considered dumb questions led to enough shouting matches with reporters to give him a reputation for a temper. And then of course there was the series of Great Expectorations, one of the great soap operas of the 50's. His real personality problem wasn't his impatience or his obsessiveness, it was simply his thin skin. He could always pick out the one raspberry in a grandstand full of cheers and use it to drive himself, which was a good baseball strategy but not such a keen public relations move.
And of course his teammates loved him for the most part, since they, too, knew what schmucks writers often can be, and would hardly have held Williams's feud with the writers against him.
That analogy is absurd. First, Williams was never jealous of anyone.
Yep. The only jealousy Teddy had for DiMag was the way Joe was treated by the press.
This is true, but maybe if Williams had spent a little less time practicing his swings while playing left field, and a lot less time reading the Boston press, the problem would have mostly taken care of itself.
That may also be true but:
1. If Ted hadn't been so obsessed with his swing that he did things like practicing it in the outfield, he may never had become the hitter that he did. Besides, he was still a kid when he did that, and he did become a pretty fair left fielder anyway.
2. Isn't unreasonable to expect Ted (or any other high profile type) to just stop reading articles about themselves? Would you have the discipline to do that? Ted was a pretty highstrung guy, and the Boston press did write some nasty #### about him. I think he reacted as many of us would.
The question occured to me, when I was looking at catchers in the HoM, was whether we should actually evaluate 'games as catcher' as a meritworthy aspect of a player's career. (It was, in particular, the presence of Joe Torre and Roger Bresnahan that set me off in pursuit of this relatively obscure fact.)
I went to my Lahman database, and got a list of all seasons where a player caught more than 120 games. Here's a list of those with 7 or more, asterisk indicates a HoMer, '&' indicates not yet eligible:
13 Bob Boone
12 Al Lopez
11 Johnny Bench*, Tony Pena, Ivan Rodriguez&, Ray Schalk
10 Brad Ausmus&, Gary Carter*, Ted Simmons*, Jim Sundberg
9 Carlton Fisk*, Jason Kendall&,
8 Yogi Berra*, Mickey Cochrane*, Thurman Munson, Lance Parrish, Jorge Posada&, Jason Varitek&
7 Roy Campanella*, Terry Kennedy, Mike Piazza&, Benito Santiago
Now, my current take on Munson is that he's not as meritworthy as Campanella, but he's not so far off. Campanella is at about the midpoint of catchers according to the ballot ranking. I argued earlier in this thread (three years ago!) that Munson is comparable to Freehan. Freehan has more games caught for career, but not so many seasons of 120+ (only 6). Munson is certainly worth comparing with Bresnahan, who only caught about two-thirds as many games, and I think on that basis Munson comes out ahead.
But the wider point is that not a lot of catchers have shown Munson's durability, early death or not. Especially not catchers with a better-than-average bat and who were no slouch throwing out runners, either.
I know we're supposed to consider players in relation to the unelected, but I enjoy looking at the elected and wondering.
Here's what the comparison would look like with a different minimum
seasons with 100 games caught: Freehan 10, Munson 9
110 games: both 9
115 games: Munson 9, Freehan 7
120 games: both 7
125 games: Munson 7, Freehan 6 (same as the 121 used above)
130 games: Freehan 6, Munson 5
135 games: Freehan 4, Munson 3
140 games: Freehan 3, Munson 1
You pretty much cherry picked 1 of 2 cut-offs that favor Munson, while two others are tied and four others favor Freehan
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