VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE

2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

Starters	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
LaRue, Jason	403	52	101	22	2	14	56	29	85	3	2	0.250	0.304	0.421
Casey, Sean	581	91	176	38	3	24	97	67	89	2	2	0.303	0.379	0.501
Reese, Pokey	597	91	159	29	5	12	68	51	95	31	8	0.267	0.327	0.396
Boone, Aaron	599	84	159	33	4	17	79	49	110	15	6	0.266	0.325	0.419
Larkin, Barry	568	97	169	32	5	15	75	80	57	19	8	0.297	0.386	0.448
Young, Dmitri	599	86	179	42	4	21	94	49	94	2	2	0.298	0.354	0.486
Griffey, Ken	560	110	156	25	3	44	120	88	114	12	6	0.279	0.380	0.569
Ochoa, Alex	582	95	167	35	5	20	85	66	75	16	7	0.287	0.362	0.466

Reserves	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Stinnett, Kelly	392	51	95	17	1	16	55	40	100	1	1	0.242	0.315	0.410
Castro, Juan	595	68	143	28	4	10	61	53	102	2	2	0.240	0.305	0.350
Guerrero, Wilton	609	79	167	26	8	6	56	39	83	14	6	0.274	0.321	0.375
Sadler, Donnie	589	73	134	25	6	8	52	59	122	13	6	0.227	0.301	0.329
Clark, Brady	575	85	152	33	3	14	72	73	82	12	6	0.265	0.351	0.405
Tucker, Michael	567	96	146	27	5	24	83	81	136	18	7	0.257	0.353	0.447

Prospects	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Henson, Drew	601	70	135	26	3	16	68	47	203	6	3	0.225	0.284	0.359
Dawkins, Gookie	598	81	147	29	5	9	60	50	114	25	8	0.246	0.308	0.354
Melian, Jackson	607	83	146	24	5	18	72	41	152	24	7	0.240	0.290	0.381
Broussard, Ben	567	86	132	21	4	22	74	81	157	12	6	0.233	0.332	0.400
Larson, Brandon	610	77	146	29	2	23	84	38	178	10	4	0.239	0.287	0.406
Coleman, Michael	596	87	145	28	3	28	93	52	166	13	5	0.244	0.308	0.443

Longshots	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Davis, Tommy	400	45	96	18	1	9	45	32	88	2	1	0.241	0.299	0.357
Spehr, Tim	379	46	73	13	1	11	41	53	135	2	1	0.192	0.294	0.320
Valencia, Victor	393	48	83	15	1	15	51	39	132	2	1	0.211	0.285	0.373
Walbeck, Matt	397	48	100	18	2	9	46	35	65	2	2	0.251	0.315	0.374
Cromer, D.T.	606	74	149	30	3	18	77	42	142	6	3	0.247	0.298	0.394
Selby, Bill	589	79	149	31	3	20	81	59	107	2	2	0.252	0.324	0.420
Sexton, Chris	568	76	144	23	3	5	52	80	87	10	5	0.254	0.350	0.332
Gonzalez, Raul	599	78	163	31	3	13	73	49	84	8	4	0.272	0.331	0.400
Greenwell, Mike	597	79	168	31	3	16	79	51	61	6	4	0.281	0.341	0.421

Notes:

A lot of people have written the Reds off and I think that's a mistake. There's a little bit of offensive punch here surrounding Griffey, and the Reds have been a notoriously good defensive club lately. Replacing Bichette with a terriffic glove man like Ochoa can only help things there.
Michael Tucker is starting to show flashes of the player many thought he'd become.
The Reds prospects are very young and thanks to the Neagle trade, very deep.
Brandon Larson has an outside shot to open the season in the lineup if Aaron Boone is still unavailable.
Sexton and Gonzalez both probably could be of use to a MLB club.
The projection for Mike Greenwell is strictly for fun. He'll be 38 in July, in case you're wondering.

Vörös McCracken
voros@daruma.co.jp
March 1, 2001