VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE

2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

Starters	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Pena, Angel	399	53	103	17	2	15	55	33	95	3	2	0.257	0.316	0.422
Karros, Eric	588	89	161	29	1	30	100	60	121	6	3	0.275	0.345	0.479
Grudzielanek, Mark	606	77	171	30	4	9	66	42	81	11	5	0.282	0.331	0.390
Beltre, Adrian	583	95	167	33	4	21	87	65	93	18	7	0.287	0.361	0.465
Cora, Alex	609	73	154	28	8	7	56	39	84	10	5	0.253	0.301	0.360
Sheffield, Gary	542	109	164	25	2	36	107	106	72	9	5	0.303	0.420	0.554
Goodwin, Tom	576	94	147	18	6	6	48	72	117	44	10	0.254	0.340	0.334
Green, Shawn	576	104	163	35	3	31	105	72	114	21	7	0.283	0.365	0.516

Reserves	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Kreuter, Chad	372	50	92	17	1	8	42	60	78	1	1	0.246	0.354	0.359
Donnels, Chris	565	85	153	28	2	35	89	83	113	4	3	0.271	0.368	0.512
Hansen, Dave	560	77	145	25	3	19	78	88	122	1	2	0.258	0.362	0.415
Santangelo, F.P.	565	77	133	26	2	8	55	83	115	13	6	0.236	0.337	0.332
Aven, Bruce	588	83	156	29	3	20	82	60	127	6	4	0.265	0.336	0.428
Grissom, Marquis	606	80	156	24	2	17	74	42	108	17	6	0.257	0.308	0.385

Prospects	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Allen, Luke	598	78	149	23	6	13	62	50	131	11	5	0.250	0.311	0.372
Bocachica, Hiram	597	83	153	29	5	19	78	51	129	12	5	0.256	0.317	0.417
Mota, Tony	601	82	158	28	6	15	71	47	110	13	6	0.262	0.319	0.403
Chen, Chin-Feng	592	71	140	26	3	7	55	56	157	12	5	0.236	0.305	0.328

Longshots	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
LoDuca, Paul	390	53	108	21	2	7	45	42	34	6	3	0.277	0.350	0.394
Beiser, Steve	388	50	95	17	3	4	35	44	65	9	4	0.245	0.325	0.339
Gil, Geronimo	397	50	101	20	2	12	51	35	81	2	2	0.255	0.318	0.403
Jensen, Marcus	380	50	89	19	2	10	46	52	97	1	1	0.234	0.330	0.378
Johnson, Brian	399	48	95	18	1	13	52	33	85	1	1	0.238	0.299	0.388
Pachot, John	408	41	98	20	1	5	39	24	64	1	1	0.240	0.286	0.329
Bogar, Tim	584	70	136	23	3	11	59	64	105	4	3	0.232	0.311	0.341
Branson, Jeff	601	64	138	25	3	9	57	47	146	4	3	0.229	0.288	0.324
Hiatt, Phil	593	79	136	23	1	29	89	55	204	6	3	0.229	0.297	0.417
Johnson, Keith	612	69	149	28	3	14	69	36	130	7	4	0.244	0.289	0.365
Ledesma, Aaron	612	69	167	29	3	3	55	36	96	10	5	0.273	0.317	0.344
Stankiewicz, Andy	593	65	138	24	3	7	53	55	140	5	3	0.232	0.300	0.317
Barry, Jeff	584	75	143	30	2	14	68	64	108	6	4	0.244	0.321	0.373
Cookson, Brent	571	98	155	27	2	35	106	77	126	8	4	0.272	0.362	0.511
Gilbert, Shawn	570	83	140	27	3	15	68	78	146	13	6	0.246	0.339	0.383
Prieto, Chris	572	86	137	23	6	10	56	76	102	25	8	0.240	0.332	0.353

Notes:

Two players to watch are Adrain Beltre and Gary Sheffield. One has a particularly nasty ailment right now, and the other is in a PR mess of a rather sizeable proportion.
If someone asks me, "Voros, who is your number one sleeper this year?" My money would be on Chirs Donnels. With injuries to both Beltre and Hansen striking at an opportune moment, Donnels may get a shot at some playing time. He absolutely obliterated the ball in Albuquerque and backed it up with four homers in 34 at bats in Los Angeles...
...but one should be careful with the projections from Donnels and Cookson. The data we have indicates they both can pound, but we don't have a lot of data the last three years (I even used Donnels at bats in Japan, but he was hurt over there). At Cookson's age, I'd rather have him and Cookson has always hit even back when he was of prospect's age. However Donnels does have the better opening here.
Always remember age when looking at prospects. A player Bocachica's age will generally not improve nearly as much as a player Chen's age.
I have a hunch that Geronimo Gil will someday latch on as backup catcher in the big leagues.

Vörös McCracken
voros@daruma.co.jp
March 9, 2001