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Do you think this is a weaker draft class than usual years? I think it definitely is for hitters, but the pitching looks fairly strong to me.
Bud Selig is going to be angry if teams pay that! REALLY angry! You would not like to see him angry.
Keith Law's final mock draft
Jonathan Mayo's final mock draft
The signing deadline has been pushed back to August 17, because the 15th is a Saturday
What's going on with draft slots? Are they dropping the money this year?
I think so, particularly the hitters (as you note)
If this is true (I have no idea) at what point might there be an incentive for some team like the Pirates to just draft Keith Law with the #4 pick, not sign him, then go into next year with two high picks? Is there a "good faith" rule in place as there is with the Japanese posted players?
SELIG SMASH!!!!
Law has Leake going to the Royals at #12. I take it I should be excited about this?
Yeah, Goldstein has Leake going to Oakland. I'd be happy with that, I think. Anybody actually see him pitch?
I think it's just to give folks like me who have never heard of/seen these guys play have some kind of sign post for what to expect and to introduce some of the names that will be called. Also, it's just for kicks.
Leake - I've seen him on TV. Looks like a future #3 (to me), but I tend to overrate pitchability types. Very polished, obviously.
Green: I'm not a fan (relative to where he'll go), but I still expect him to be a future major league regular. Reminds me of Justin Jackson, but I've no idea why.
Turner: Don't have a strong opinion. Anyone who draws favorable comps to Tim Melville can't be bad - but I'd be wary of the price tag. If my job were safe (and I liked him), I tab him in round 1 and risk not signing him, I've always got the compensatory pick to fall back on.
WAS - Strasburg
SEA - Ackley
SDP - Tate
PIT - Sanchez
And its all up in the air after that.
He seems like the hardest guy to sign in the draft. Everyone else is a baseball lifer, while Tate wants to play football as much as he wants to play baseball.
Honestly, I think the football stuff is just a negotiating ploy. (People in Chapel Hill hate it when I say that.)
He did, but one of the local writers here (Perrotto) said that he didn't, so it's kind of up in the air.
Sanchez is a terrible idea. I don't like him at all as a prospect, and wouldn't even burn a 2nd on him, much less #4 overall.
You have to love it when Willie Bloomquist can fetch around $3 million, but a guy like Matzek can fall a little cause some teams don't want to give him an extra $1 million or so.
Keith Law
Brian wins the chat.
Awesome.
The Bucs are probably trying to compound the mistake of not drafting Weiters...
What a sad organization.
The Bucs are probably trying to compound the mistake of not drafting Weiters...
What a sad organization.
And also skipping Buster Posey?
There's a big organizational need for catchers, but christ, there are probably four or five high school kids in the second/third round who would do just as well.
Hobgood to the Orioles would be surprising.
Yea, but I really like the strategy. Hobgood isn't top five talent, but he's a nice polished HS arm who could rise fast and he should sign easily. With the high upside arms they already have, adding a lower upside, but less risky arm would be outstanding. Then they can try to sign someone who slides for signability reasons later on in the draft. If that's their strategy, I think it could really pay off well.
Even if the Nats bullpen the worst in the majors, that seems to be a wasted pick there.
More Callis - Rockies are choosing between the HS pitchers available, not Mike Leake.
I don't really get this argument. Why don't they just pick the best player at #5 AND target signability sliders in the later rounds? That's pretty much what they did with Wieters/Arrieta in 2007.
The Orioles spend almost zero in the international talent market, so the draft is just about their only avenue for acquiring talent.
That said, the Orioles have a pretty solid drafting record since Joe Jordan became the scouting director a few years ago. If he really likes Hobgood for some reason, I don't really have any reason to argue with him since I have no scouting skills and have seen none of these players.
Because you can land the pitcher you really like in round one without the hassle of a huge signing bonus/protracted negotiating period AND still get a first round talent later on. And these guys do have budgets I imagine, maybe they don't feel like they can splurge in the first AND second round.
*shrug* His numbers at Vandy don't look so hot but who knows. I'd sure rather have Alex White. At least I'd heard of him!
The #5 pick has tremendous value because it allows the Orioles to pick from the top of a pyramid-shaped talent pool (even if this pool is flatter than others). If they pick a lower-level talent with their first pick, they are basically forfeiting that advantage.
The A's, if they are willing to spend money, will have a lot of good players to choose from.
That makes sense. There's something to be said for maximizing your budget, esp. in a draft like this where there's so little separation between the players after SS (and maybe Ackley). If you think Hobgood is 99% as good as Wheeler, but will cost a lot less, the money you save can be spent on other guys who fall in later rounds.
I also tend to think that people make too much of players being "overdrafts." A player is overdrafted only if he wouldn't have been available at your next pick. If you really like some player and he won't be available for your next pick, just take him. Put another way, at the end of the day a scouting director has to trust his own judgment about a player's value, and can't be a slave to the conventional wisdom.
Yes -- I think he's earned the benefit of the doubt.
The #5 pick has tremendous value because it allows the Orioles to pick from the top of a pyramid-shaped talent pool (even if this pool is flatter than others). If they pick a lower-level talent with their first pick, they are basically forfeiting that advantage.
I think you're understating the "flatness" of this draft.
not to mention, watching the whole thing means watching seligula come to the podium another 98 times.
pass.
No pressure, Ackley.
pass.
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agree, but what I do is have mlb.com running on a browser, minimized and listening to it, while I continue to surf the web. I was afraid I was going to have to go to my tv with the cable box, but mlb.com is giving it away for free (smart move of course)
Tate taken, so far post 18 has been accurate.
He seems like the hardest guy to sign in the draft. Everyone else is a baseball lifer, while Tate wants to play football as much as he wants to play baseball.
I wonder if they're punting the pick and angling to get two high choices next year, when the draft figures to be deeper.
At least he's not a reliever.
So that's what the draft tracker meant by "tremendous mound presence"....
Heh, I've been wanting to call him "the goblin" since he was linked to the yankees in a mock draft.
good to see the nickname fits the face ...
"ignore the scouting report on this guy. and throw out the stats."
sheesh.. throw both out at #7 overall?
Braves take LHP Mike Minor, Vanderbilt
Reds take RHP Mike Leake, Arizona State
And what the hell does Harold Reynolds know about amateur talent?
He took all the prospective first rounders to lunch at Applebee's.
it seems silly that they've got Callis but he isn't sitting there commenting on every pick.
this seems like a serious run of signability picks.
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