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1. Der-K's enjoying the new boygenius album. Posted: November 17, 2010 at 09:29 PM (#3692290)The link (to Martinez's story) inside the link is actually from May 2009. It was incorrect about Martinez resuming his career imminently. AFAICT, Martinez didn't play again until the tail end of the 2010 season.
If this it -- it puts the 40-man at 36 -- it would expose some intriguing names to the Rule V, led by (imho) Adron Chambers, a speedy left-handed OF who has had a very good AFL season.
Also CF Tommy Pham, PCL All-Star pitcher Brandon Dickson and a few other RHPs -- Brian Broderick, Ramon Delgado, Casey Mulligan, Pete Parise, Blake King. Also C Tony Cruz, who also has been strong in the AFL and the ancient Amaury Cazana, who is a cautionary lesson in what happens to Cuban defectors when they make the mistake of coming directly to the U.S., rather than establishing residence in a third country.
Anyway, the Cardinals have a release out now with those five names -- Sanchez, Reifer, Chambers, Kozma and Kopp, which gives them 38 on the 40-man.
Cruz's problem is that he's largely redundant with Steven Hill -- right-handed power hitter with questionable defense -- who was given a brief call-up during the season. With the Cardinals in the market for a major league FA to be Molina's backup and with Bryan Anderson also still on the roster, I can't imagine they'd burn 5 roster spots on catchers.
From the UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU!!!!!!!!!!!!
-- MWE
Nats outright P Juan Jaime
A's outright P Justin Souza
O's outright 1B Rhyne Hughes and P Armando Gabino
Fron Bob Dutton's blog:
I think Teaford and Lough are certain to be protected and I expect that the other two pitchers will be as well. Derrick Robinson is kind of on the borderline; the Royals have spent a lot of money on him, and he's the type of player who *could* stick on someone's roster as a 5th OF. While it would be tough to leave Clint Robinson unprotected after the season he just had, he's the opposite of Derrick Robinson in a lot of ways - teams typically "don't" select 1B/DH types in Rule 5.
-- MWE
I'm not sure Lough is much of a risk to get taken - he's kind of a tweener. Then again, he probably wouldn't embarrass himself at the MLB level as a bench guy. But he doesn't really do anything exceptionally well, he just is solid in a lot of areas. Paulo Orlando is a better hitter than D-Rob, but with less speed, but I wouldn't anticipate him getting protected or taken.
I think Santiago and Teaford should get protected (Teaford has a good shot to make the club in the spring) and no on Paulino. The "at risk guys" should all be unprotected.
More than that. They also added Lester Oliveros, Jose Ortega, Brayan Villarreal, and Duane Below.
I bet Villarreal would have gone if he hadn't been rostered. Kid's got a great arm.
Jonathan Schuerholz will be managing the Braves' Gulf Coast League affiliate this year. Schuerholz the younger retired following the 2008 season, then spent two years as a roving minor league instructor for Atlanta. Vladimir Nunez, who finally retired after 2010 after three seasons in AAA for the Braves, will be the pitching coach in Florida.
The Braves also let Phil Wellman, the star of this meltdown several years ago, go as their AA manager. Rocket Wheeler moves up from A-ball, and Luis Salazar takes over at Lynchburg. Paul Runge (Danville to Rome) swaps jobs with Randy Ingle. Atlanta usually has a lot of stability in the organization; although they move guys around, they don't let a lot of people go and they don't have a lot of people leave. Wheeler and Ingle have been there forever, and Wellman had been in the organization for a long time as well.
-- MWE
Not the most aptly-named guy ever.
Little-known fact: Nunez is responsible for me picking "Vlad" as my handle when I started posting here. He was pitching in a highlight on SportsCenter, and the name stuck in my head. (Plus, I'm a Slav, so it fits.)
Gee, it's too bad the Pirates don't have a fiery manager like that. :P
Carter and Escobar have both been impressive in the Arizona Fall League. Jones has a big fastball.
The moves bring the 40-man roster to 34. God, this is a barren system.
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Padres add Ps Simon Castro, Brandon Gomes, Jeremy Hefner and Evan Scribner, OF Cedric Hunter, C Luis Martinez and 2B Jeudy Valdez.
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(Cue Weird Al...)
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Nice pickup.
No! The precious! We wants it!
Did they get him after he was dropped by Kenny Powers?
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Others being Stavinoha, Adam Ottavino and Darryl Jones, who a couple of years ago was close to the top of their top prospects list.
They also added Tony Cruz and Blake King to the 40-man.
Seems unusual to do the 40-man shuffling in two distinct steps two days apart.
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Rockies add Cs Wilin Rosario and Jordan Pacheco and Ps Bruce Billings, Casey Weathers and Cory Riordan.
Orioles add P Zach Britton, 1B Joe Mahoney, and OF Matt Angle. Former #1 pick 3B Billy Rowell was left unprotected along with INF Ryan Adams and P Pedro Beato.
-- MWE
I'm guessing they wanted to see if they could move Ottavino and/or Stavinoha and finding no takers decided to cut bait.
-- MWE
Adams was ranked the #8 prospect in the system by BA. also not protected are 3B Brandon Waring, P Wynn Pelzer (ranked #6), P Steve Johnson (drafted by the Giants last year and then returned), and P Pedro Beato (2.11 ERA in AA last year as a 23 year old). the O's have I think 5 more spots open.
Houston adds 2B Jimmy Paredes (acquired in the Lance Berkman trade) and Ps David Carpenter (acquired for Pedro Feliz), Jorge De Leon and Arcenio Leon.
Nationals add 1B Chris Marrero and Ps Adam Carr and Cole Kimball.
-- MWE
DFA OF Jordan Parraz, P Bryan Bullington, P Gaby Hernandez, and P Victor Marte
Semi-interesting names left unprotected: P Mario Santiago, P Eduardo Paulino, OF Paulo Orlando
-- MWE
Yes, they do - which is kind of strange. I think there's a good chance they lose someone like Pelzer or Beato - with five open slots they didn't really have to do that IMO.
-- MWE
There's certainly a fair chance Pelzer and/or Beato get chosen - MacPhail must be betting that neither will stick. And he'll need a bunch of those roster spots.
The O's need 3/4 of an infield; trades are certainly a possibility, but free agency seems more likely. If the team adds a minor leaguer to the roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft but then removes him to make room for a free agent signing, they've screwed up badly, because then the prospect can be claimed on waivers and doesn't need to stay on the big league roster of the claiming team. They have a better chance of holding onto the marginal prospects by leaving them off the roster.
I was gonna link to your post (and the one you linked to), Vlad - forgot about it; sorry. Can't read it (again) from where I am - will give feedback later.
SPANdemonium posted what they think is the list of eligibles, with people they consider to be of interest in bold.
One note - a lot of fan entries on this stuff make heavy mention of guys who were recently outrighted to AAA - like Eddie Kunz or Brett Sinkbeil. However, why would a team pick them up in Rule 5 if they could have gotten them for less / without roster restrictions a few weeks prior?
IIRC, Law likes (insomuch as he likes anyone from this process) Craig Heyer (NYY) and Nick Carr (NYM), among others. Doesn't like Pelzer.
I'm hoping to post a few names I think are worthy of selection tomorrow (schedule permitting - I've only looked at half of MLB thus far) - the BA article hit many of the ones I haven't seen other people list. Marquez Smith (a 3b/2b type, like Emaus, like Adams, like Taylor Green) might be the best (current value) postion player on the board. Best position player who I haven't seen anyone pimp yet is Josh Rodriguez, the ss/if from Cleveland. Also, I agree w/ BA that Aneury Rodriguez might be the most likely guy to get tabbed (Pelzer is up there too).
They mentioned SS Justin Sellers*, noting that they didn't know about his defense - his glove is generally considered his best attribute (average to very, very good - depending on who you ask). He's been short on attention, I think, for much of his pro career (generally young for his league, hits well enough to hold his own, some projectability) - but the teams that have had him (A's, Cubs, Dodgers) never seemed (from my far off vantage point) to really believe in him. He could be a Theriot type, if you let him. (This year's power in Albuquerque was maybe a fluke/bad thing - the book on him is that he swings for the fences too often - there, he could get away with it a bit more).
* I think I talked him up in last year's R5 thread - or maybe it was the year before. Something like that.
Yeah, I always wondered about the thinking behind that, too.
I guess it sort of makes sense if you're writing a "who should get chosen" piece, rather than a "who will get chosen" one.
Negron's a bit of a surprise; he's basically the same player as Cozart without quite as much pop. The others aren't terribly surprising.
-- MWE
Kasey Kiker (Texas) is a former #1 draft pick who throws left-handed (always a plus). He hasn't been healthy and had an absymal year in 2010, and his stuff hasn't developed as much as you might like to see. However, he's still just 23 and probably can do the Donnie Veal thing out of the pen for a year.
Seattle left Johan Limonta unprotected. Limonta's 27 and hasn't played above AA, and he doesn't hit for enough power to man a full-time job at a corner, but he hits line drives and plays decent enough defense. He could be a decent lefty bat off someone's bench.
The White Sox also made Deunte Heath available. Heath is the former Atlanta prospect who got caught up in a prostitution sting last spring and was eventually released by the Braves. He had a good year for Birmingham in a middle relief role.
-- MWE
Also, he was slagged in a BA chat today, but I also like the Boscan idea, Vlad.
I'd pass on Jimenez personally, but he's interesting enough.
Low ceiling but Brad Meyers is a reasonable 5th starter candidate. So is Scott Diamond.
Yeah, I saw that, too. Seems kind of harsh to write off any future velo gains for a skinny little 20-year-old, but what do I know?
BA podcast (also free) at: ripple.radiotail.com / 383 / mp3 / free / 101208.mp3 (originally a link, but got a 'blacklisted item' message when I tried to post - which is neat.
Aneury still drawing lots of attention. Elvin Ramirez (NYY) pops up in the update and a Buster Olney tweet (iirc) as a likely tab.
I remember reading a BA draft report card on the Brewers where a scout criticized his "goofy" make up, and I thought it was silly that a guy being goofy was a concern to the scout. I didn't realize at the time that the scout probably said that as a reference to some other problems the guy had that he couldn't talk about.
Joe Ortiz is VERY young and a long way from the bigs, but his K-BB numbers are very intriguing.
Scott Diamond looks like a pretty good LOOGY.
Aneury Rodriguez, Josh Rodriguez, Elvin Ramirez seem like very good bets to get taken early.
* Pirates take Josh Rodriguez from Indians.
* Mariners take Jose Flores from Indians.
* Diamondbacks take Joe Paterson from Giants.
* Orioles take Adrian Rosario from Brewers.
* Royals take Nathan Adcock from Pirates.
* Nationals take Elvin Ramirez from Mets.
* Astros take Aneury Rodriguez from Rays.
* Brewers take Patrick Egan from Orioles.
* Mets take Brad Emaus from Blue Jays.
* Padres take George Kontos from Yankees.
* Twins take Scott Diamond from Braves.
* Rays take Cesar Cabral from Red Sox.
* Yankees take Robert Fish from Angels.
* Phillies take Michael Martinez from Nationals.
1. PIT Josh Rodriguez, ut (cle)
2. SEA Jose Flores, rhp (cle)
3. AZ Joe Paterson, lhp (sfg)
4. BAL Adrian Rosario, rhp (mil)
5. KCR ...missed this one, sorry, a righty from pittsburgh
6. WAS Elvin Ramirez, rhp (nym)
7. CUB Mason Tobin, rhp (laa)
8. HOU Aneury Rodriguez, rhp (tby)
9. MIL Pat Egan, rhp (bal)
10. NYM Brad Emaus, 2b/3b (tor)
11. SDP George Kontos, rhp (nyy)
12. MIN Scott Diamond, lhp (atl)
13. NYY Rob Fish, lhp (laa)
14. TBY Cesar Cabral, lhp (bos)
15. PHI Mike Martinez, if, (was)
16. WAS Brian Broderick, rhp (stl)
17. HOU Lance Pendleton, rhp (nyy)
18. NYM Pedro Beato, rhp (bal)
19. NYY Dan Turpen, rhp (bos)
Earth's greatest hero, (almost)
If you can't sign him out of JCC, then grab him in Rule 5.
Wee bit cheaper that way, huh?
It seems there are questions about his defense and whether he can remain at 2B.
That being said, Emaus is a nice chance to take.
The only guy who I thought was more likely to go than not that wasn't picked was Pelzer. Best position player who didn't go was 3B Marquez Smith.
ZiPS has Rodriguez projecting a 91 OPS+ compared to Cedeno's 81. So for the Pirates, it could be a nice 10 point OPS+ pick-up costing them pretty much nothing.
Not particularly young, and walks a lot of guys.
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