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Saturday, October 02, 2021

World Series Urgency Index ‘21: Who MUST win?

(W)e put together the Playoff Urgency Index. When you factor in things like past postseason pains, pending free agents, payroll obligations and prospect potency, we can sort the remaining clubs on a relative scale—10 being the most urgent, 1 being the most relaxed.

Note: We are including all teams still mathematically alive for the postseason, which is 12 in total at the moment, even though only 10 will ultimately qualify for the playoffs.

4. White Sox
Urgency Index: 8, or how old Luis Robert was the last time the Sox won it all

While the AL Central champion White Sox do have a lot of young talent on their roster, they also rely greatly on a 34-year-old Lance Lynn and José Abreu and a 32-year-old Yasmani Grandal. The Sox’s farm ...

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Jose Is An Absurd Balladeer Posted: October 02, 2021 at 11:36 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: world series

Friday, October 01, 2021

OT - 2021 NFL thread

Quarantine procedure back in effect.

Lance Reddick! Lance him! Posted: October 01, 2021 at 06:41 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: nfl, off-topic, quarantine

OT - October 2021 College Football thread

Like freshly laundered linens, free of the NFL’s stink.

Lance Reddick! Lance him! Posted: October 01, 2021 at 06:40 PM | 189 comment(s)
  Beats: college football, off-topic

Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals reach deal for 2022, sources say

The St. Louis Cardinals have reached a one-year extension for 2022 with ace Adam Wainwright, sources confirmed to ESPN on Friday.

Terms of the deal are not yet available. A news conference has been scheduled for 3 p.m. ET.

The right hander has had a solid 2021 campaign and will start the National League Wild Card game for the Cardinals next week. He’s 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts including three complete games and a shutout. His 206 innings pitched so far are the most for him since 2014.

Wainwright has won 10 of his last 11 decisions with 11 quality starts during that span.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 02:41 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: adam wainwright, cardinals

Why Juan Soto should be the National League MVP

Since the all-star break, Soto’s on-base percentage is .535. It’s a number that should be stared at and marveled over. He has reached base in more than half of his plate appearances in what approaches half the season. Given that reaching base invariably helps your team — indeed, it is the base objective of any appearance in the batter’s box — that percentage is staggering. Then, add some context: According to baseball-reference.com, here are the hitters who have reached base at a higher clip in the second half of any season in history: Barry Bonds and Babe Ruth three times apiece, Ted Williams twice, and Rogers Hornsby once.

I did not realize how well he was doing in the second half.

Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb Posted: October 01, 2021 at 01:45 PM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: juan soto, nationals

Rosenthal: This year’s races demonstrate the potential issues MLB would face if the playoffs were expanded to 14 teams

Sub required.

With all due respect to fans of the Phillies, Reds and Padres, do any of those teams objectively deserve a postseason berth?

The answer is no. Yet, under Major League Baseball’s original plan for expanding the playoffs from 10 to 14 teams, two of those three clubs would qualify for wild cards. And in the American League, four of the five current wild-card contenders would be assured of playing in October.

Too many mediocre clubs. Not enough urgency. A plan too flawed to implement, at least in its initial, proposed form.

I’m not opposed on principle to more teams in the postseason. A larger field is inevitable once the league expands from 30 to 32 clubs, which should happen at some point this decade after, ahem, the ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 12:46 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: expanded playoffs

Why Are MLB’s Worst Teams Getting Worse?

They have plenty of miserable company. Pittsburgh was the fourth team this year to lose 100 or more games. The D-backs sit at 109 losses with three games to play. The Orioles have 107 defeats and the Rangers have 100.

This is not normal. This is only the third time in MLB history that four teams have lost 100 or more games in the same season.

But maybe this is the new normal. It also happened in 2019 (with a 60-game 2020 season in between). We are in the age of utter futility when it comes to bad teams. In 2019, there were also four 100-loss teams. In 2018 there were three.

There have been as many 100-loss teams in the past three full seasons (2018, 2019 and 2021) as there were from 2007-2017 combined.

Looked at from a slightly ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 11:38 AM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: tanking

Fit to be tied? AL Wild Card chaos abounds

Example: Yankees go 0-3; Red Sox go 2-1, Mariners go 2-1, Blue Jays go 3-0

What happens next: The above scenario is the only possible four-way tie, and it means all four teams finish with 91 wins (which is Toronto’s win ceiling). Each team would choose or receive an A, B, C or D designation. The club with the highest winning percentage in games among the tied clubs chooses first, second-highest chooses second, etc. In this scenario, the Red Sox (24-21 against the others) get first choice, the Blue Jays (22-22) choose second, the Yankees (22-23) choose third and the Mariners (15-17) get the leftover spot.

On Monday, Club A (likely the Red Sox) would host Club B, and Club C (likely the Blue Jays) would host Club D. So for the Yankees, it ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 10:13 AM | 58 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, mariners, red sox, yankees

Carlos Correa carries Astros to fourth AL West title in five years

It’s the fourth division title in five seasons and 10th overall for the Astros. They’re in the playoffs for the fifth consecutive season, extending a franchise record.

“That sounds pretty special,” Correa said.

The Astros will open the AL Division Series on Oct. 7 against the Chicago White Sox—home field for that best-of-five matchup is still to be determined. Houston went 5-2 against the White Sox this year.

Houston was a wild-card team last year in manager Dusty Baker’s first season with the club. So where did this division-clinching victory rate on his list?

“Every time you win, it ranks higher than the last time. And you never get tired of winning,” he said.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 10:12 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: astros

Atlanta Braves overcome ‘ups and downs’ to clinch fourth straight NL East title

he Atlanta Braves have done it all before—many, many times before—but this one felt a bit different.

More satisfying, for sure.

After all, the Braves floundered under .500 much of the season. They endured devastating injuries and grim legal issues. They had to essentially rebuild their outfield at the trade deadline.

And yet, there they were Thursday night, swigging champagne, puffing on cigars and celebrating an NL East championship.

Ian Anderson turned in another dominant pitching performance, Jorge Soler and Austin Riley homered to power the offense, and the Braves clinched their fourth straight division title by completing a sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies with a 5-3 victory.

“We were just trying to hang in there and pull this ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 01, 2021 at 10:12 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: braves

Brother’s Gonna Work it Out: Dave Parker, Sheff & the 1990 Brewers

“Harry Dalton had heard about my work with young players like Eric Davis, Barry Larkin and Kal Daniels and was hoping I could be a positive influence on Sheffield. Milwaukee offered me a raise, a nice signing bonus, two years guaranteed and an option for a third with a buyout. As we left the room, Barry was very excited. He did a nice job managing the situation. Once we got in the elevator, I took him a little by surprise.

‘Check with Alderson one more time,’ I told Barry.”

djordan Posted: October 01, 2021 at 06:56 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, bud selig, dave parker, gary sheffield, mlb

Thursday, September 30, 2021

50 Years Ago Baseball Left Washington In A Chaotic Stampede

After Bobby Murcer grounded out to Grzenda for the second out, Horace Clarke came up to bat. “I wasted some time, kicking dirt around, and Horace stood in that batting circle taking those practice swings,” Grzenda recalled. “And I yelled, ‘Come on, let’s go!’ I looked around, and it was over. They came over the fence, and there was actually dust flying. There were hundreds that came over the fence. It looked like a herd of cattle coming in those old movies, when they stampede.”

Did a now-aged turnstile-jumper with little respect for authority lead the stampede? We may never know.

The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 30, 2021 at 09:33 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: alcohol, fan behavior, forfeits, riots, washington senators

Dodgers Albert Pujols Hits the COVID-19 Injured List

As it turns out, Pujols, the future Hall of Famer, was feeling the effects of his second shot of the COVID-19 vaccination. This injury was for the greater good. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts had the update.

“It’s a covid IL. He got his second shot and he just didn’t feel good after getting it. As far as playing in a Major League game. So just to kind of give him a day to see where he’s at tomorrow, it was an easy move to activate Cody [Bellinger].”

This is normal for most COVID-19 vaccinations, thankfully. Some people feel worse after the first shot, some after the second. The probability is that Pujols should be back giving his teammates hugs by Wednesday or Thursday.


I intend for this to be the new COVID thread.

Lassus Posted: September 30, 2021 at 06:24 PM | 171 comment(s)
  Beats: albert pujols

If these Mets ever had a ‘core,’ it’s about to be blown up

What we’re saying is, prepare for massive changes to the team’s roster and culture, with little regard for what seemed promising during an ill-fated playoff run late in the 2019 season. No one around here is attached to that distant time.

Over the past several weeks, as we’ve talked to sources up and down the organization, three main themes emerge:

1) Quiet optimism that the baseball operations department is heading in the right direction, despite the public perception otherwise.

2) Uncertainty about who will lead the department in a few months.

3) A strong sense that the roster will look extremely different next season. Everyone is expecting significant turnover.

The third point is admittedly general. Without a president of ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 30, 2021 at 06:02 PM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Toronto Blue Jays’ Marcus Semien sets record for homers by a primary second baseman

Blue Jays slugger Marcus Semien set a record for home runs by a primary second baseman when he hit his 44th of the season Wednesday against Yankees ace Gerrit Cole in a critical 6-5 victory.

Semien’s homer, a two-run drive into the left field bullpen, broke a tie with Davey Johnson (1973 for Atlanta), who is still credited by Elias, the official statistician for MLB, as having the most home runs by a second baseman.

Four of Semien’s home runs this season have come while he was playing shortstop, but second base is defined as his primary position as he’s made 75% or more of his starts there. Semien has made 142 of his 157 starts (90.4%) at second base this season.

Rogers Hornsby (42 home runs in 1922), Brian Dozier (42 in 2016) and Ryne ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 30, 2021 at 03:16 PM | 52 comment(s)
  Beats: marcus semien

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 9-30-2021

Alaska Daily Empire, September 30, 1921:

Participation in a World Series is the ambition of every ball player. Yet Babe Ruth has it figured that if the Yankees get into the interleague title series this fall it will cost him something approaching $50,000.

For Ruth, participating in the annual blue ribbon event of baseball, will be prevented from barnstorming this season as he did last…He received as much as $3,500 per game for playing in semiprofessional parks.
...
All players participating in a World Series are barred that year from engaging in any barnstorming expeditions.

That’s a weird rule. Speaking as a Cleveland fan, I really wish the Babe had been able to barnstorm during the 1921-22 offseason.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: September 30, 2021 at 08:23 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Mariners move within a half-game of second AL wild-card spot; here are three reasons why the club is surging

1. Clutch hitting
The Mariners enter Wednesday last in the American League in hits and batting average. They are 13th (of 15 teams) in on-base percentage, 14th in slugging, 14th in OPS and 11th in runs.

What they have done, somehow, is raise their game hitting when it matters more. They are generally terrible at getting on base, but when they do, they start to hit. Check out this progression:


Bases empty: .211/.286/.361
Runners on: .249/.327/.423
Runners in scoring position: .260/.339/.453

Or how about this:

Low leverage: .205/.287/.337
Medium leverage: .228/.299/.397
High leverage: .274/.348/.485

Yep, the Mariners collectively have the clutch gene.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 29, 2021 at 10:28 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: mariners

Michael A. Taylor, Kansas City Royals reach 2-year, $9M extension, sources say

Center fielder Michael A. Taylor and the Royals are in agreement on a two-year, $9 million contract extension, sources told ESPN on Wednesday, keeping the elite defensive center fielder in Kansas City as the team’s rebuild nears its next phase.

Taylor, 30, signed a one-year, $1.75 million deal with Kansas City over the winter after being outrighted by the Washington Nationals, with whom he had spent his entire major league career. While Taylor remained an enigmatic offensive performer with the Royals, he placed himself firmly in the discussion for best defensive center fielders—and best defensive player period—in baseball.

Publicly available defensive metrics often disagree on players’ defensive contributions. Not Taylor. He is the ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 29, 2021 at 06:00 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: michael a. taylor, royals

Devin Williams fractures hand after punching wall

In a devastating blow for a team with World Series hopes predicated on pitching, the Brewers placed Devin Williams on the 10-day injured list on Wednesday with a fractured right hand, which the ace setup man suffered from punching a wall in the hours following Sunday’s National League Central-clinching win over the Mets.

Williams will begin the postseason on the IL for the second straight year and will require surgery that will sideline him at least through the end of the National League Championship Series. Last season, he suffered a right shoulder injury during the final week of the regular season and missed the NL Wild Card Series against the Dodgers.

“Bull Durham” should be required viewing for all baseball players.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 29, 2021 at 05:08 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, devin williams

We Polled Members Of Congress … About Baseball

First off, 13 of the 19 congresspeople we surveyed (68 percent) opposed the universal DH and wanted pitchers to continue hitting in the National League.4 “One of the things that makes baseball unique is that there are differences between the American and National League,” Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy told FiveThirtyEight. Republican Rep. Blake Moore agreed and used data to back up his point: “The World Series win count since 1973, when the designated hitter was implemented, is essentially equal between leagues (25 American League wins, 22 National League wins). These data suggest there is no inherent advantage for one league over the other.” Republican Rep. Brad Wenstrup, however, reluctantly disagreed. “I personally would like ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 29, 2021 at 02:54 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: congress

Tuesday, September 28, 2021

The Giants Capitalize on the First Pitch

After reaching an 0-1 count, the league-average non-pitcher posts a 69 wRC+, which is what Jason Heyward has done over the course of the 2021 season. On the flip side, when reaching 1-0, the league-average non-pitcher produces at the same rate as José Abreu. And that’s just from a single pitch.

First-pitch strikes matter a lot. The easiest way to get those first-pitch strikes? Throw your 0-0 pitches in the strike zone. It works extremely well, for many of the reasons Justin outlined in his piece on the Jays’ offense. The league-average hitter probably doesn’t swing enough in 0-0 counts, and until they do, it makes sense to try to get one over to steal a strike. Look at the league-average zone and swing rates by count, as well as ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 28, 2021 at 12:27 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: giants

Yus Your Illusion: Yusmeiro Petit and the Well-Hidden Power of Pitcher Deception

Petit threw an 89.1 mph fastball that got Angels infielder Jack Mayfield to tap a 73.2 mph groundout to third. He struck out Brandon Marsh swinging on an 82.7 mph changeup. Then he tossed a 77.6 mph curveball that induced David Fletcher to send a 49.7 mph popup into the catcher’s glove. Petit had held the lead in an eventual A’s victory, and he’d done it without ever quite touching 90 miles per hour. In the process, he’d demonstrated an understated and underrated skill that may soon be baseball’s next coveted commodity.

As Petit completed the competent, easy-to-overlook inning, Angels TV analyst Mark Gubicza—who pitched for 14 seasons in the majors, as has Petit—became the latest in a line of flabbergasted baseball people to ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 28, 2021 at 11:57 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher deception

Baseball’s Wall Street-Style Executives Get Titles to Match

Front office mastheads are swollen with key executives. The Dodgers, for instance, have seven vice presidents reporting into Friedman, their president of baseball operations, and 11 members of the department with a director title. Others have followed suit.

“You’re collecting intellectual horsepower that you can leverage to make better decisions,” said the Cardinals’ president of baseball operations, John Mozeliak. “And I think the trick of all this is to keeping that executive team or leadership team engaged because, in the end, you really have one person having to make a decision. But ultimately, you’re having people feel like they do have a voice on that decision tree.”

Clubs are all assembling a cadre of executives, ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 28, 2021 at 11:34 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: billy beane

New York Mets Embark on Branding Effort to Build Cred and Win Young Fans

Mr. Cohen, chairman and chief executive officer of hedge fund Point72 Asset Management LP and lifelong Mets fan, bought the team last year in a deal valued at some $2.4 billion. He has set out to log more wins, not only on the scoreboard, but in the hearts and minds of casual and prospective fans.

He and his wife Alexandra Cohen have prescribed a marketing overhaul that will include an update to the team’s brand design, including customized fonts in marketing materials like photography, signage and ads, as well as new experiences and features at its stadium meant to give the Mets more cultural credibility.

But the new owners face difficulties beyond player strikeouts, as baseball and other sports struggle to attract young people, a ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 28, 2021 at 11:23 AM | 61 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 9-28-2021

Pittsburgh Press, September 28, 1921:

One thing Barney Dreyfuss ought to do when he draws up his 1922 contracts is to put an anti-singing clause in the documents. The Pirates did too much “harmonizing” this season to suit a lot of their followers.

The Buccaneer quartet wasn’t a populat institution by any means. Indeed, many fans thought that the eagerness of some of the players to sing, sing, sing was an indication of a lack of interest in the real work they were paid to do.

I hope none of them had a harmonica.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: September 28, 2021 at 08:14 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, excuses, harmonica, history

Monday, September 27, 2021

Why Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox stormed the field: ‘It wasn’t intentional’


Detroit Tigers rookie reliever Alex Lange didn’t mean to do it.

“Obviously, I’m not trying to hit a guy in the ninth inning and down by one run after we just put five (runs),” Lange said after Monday’s 8-7 loss to the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park. “That’s not any way to come into a game. There’s no beef. It happens. It’s baseball. ... It wasn’t intentional.”

Following a five-run eighth inning, cutting the deficit to one run, Tigers manager AJ Hinch called Lange out of the bullpen for the top of the ninth. Slugger Jose Abreu — poised to lead his team on a deep postseason run — stepped to the plate with one out.

Minutes later, the teams were involved in a flurry of activities, highlighted by the benches and bullpens clearing. ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 27, 2021 at 09:18 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers, white sox

Brother HRs off brother for first time since ‘75

It’s every younger sibling’s dream—coming up to the plate against your big bro and going deep. Cleveland outfielder Bradley Zimmer can officially say he did so in the big leagues after hitting a solo shot off his older brother Kyle during Monday afternoon’s 8-3 win over Kansas City.

The Royals reliever left an 84.5 mph slider over the plate and 28-year-old Bradley, two years younger than Kyle, did not miss it. It was his eighth homer of the season but probably one he’ll remember for a long time.

“I’d say it’s a mix of emotions,” Bradley Zimmer said. “I don’t necessarily pride myself just because I hit that off of my brother. Hopefully, someday, we’ll be on the same team. I’d like to be on the same team. It was fun. It was a ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 27, 2021 at 09:16 PM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: bradley zimmer, kyle zimmer

The Cardinals’ Impressive Winning Streak Doesn’t Guarantee October Success

For as unbeatable as the Cardinals appear right now, the history of late-season winning streaks tells us that while this run may certainly help the team secure a playoff berth, it doesn’t tell us anything about how they’ll fare in October. Look no further than that aforementioned Cleveland team for a harsh reminder of that lesson. From August 24 to September 15 of the 2017 season, the defending AL champions steamrolled opponents, piling up wins in close games and in blowouts until they’d set an American League record. The team finished with 102 wins, the highest total by the franchise since 1954, and hopes were high that they could secure the title that they’d come so close to winning just the year before. Yet when the postseason ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 27, 2021 at 05:28 PM | 45 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals

Which MLB managers are on the hot seat? Ranking four skippers most likely to be fired after 2021 season

So what’s left? Let’s rank the four MLB managers with the hottest seats entering the final week of the 2021 season.

1. Luis Rojas, Mets
Given all that has gone down with this organization since new owner Steve Cohen took over, it really feels like a house cleaning is in order this offseason. They need a new president of baseball operations and probably general manager. Once those positions are filled, surely the new blood will want to hand pick a manager. As far as Rojas goes, I’m not sure we could absolutely pin the disappointing season on him, but at some point, the buck stops with the manager. That’s just part of the business. I’d be shocked if he’s the Mets’ manager on Opening Day 2022.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 27, 2021 at 05:21 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron boone, jayce tingler, luis rojas, rocco baldelli


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