Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback



All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher


Babip Newsbeat

Wednesday, August 12, 2020

Why Are MLB’s Base Hits Disappearing?

In those 25 full seasons since the strike, MLB’s BABIP never dipped below .283 in any stretch of 18 game days. Not since September 1991 has MLB’s BABIP been as low as .276 over any equivalent span. Granted, this latest stretch of 18 game days has yielded fewer plate appearances and batted balls than the average stretch of 18 game days, both because of COVID-caused cancellations and because of the record strikeout rate. Still, this stubbornly low BABIP has persisted over more than 16,000 plate appearances and more than 10,000 batted balls, so it’s probably not purely a fluke. To make matters more perplexing, one might have expected that the universal DH would buoy BABIP in light of the ineptitude of pitcher hitters, although the NL and AL have boasted identical BABIPs dating back to 2002. Plus, the warm months of July and August are typically the peak period for BABIP, so any weather or temperature effect should be acting in the opposite direction of this downturn.

Relative to last season, BABIP is down by between 17 and 23 points on ground balls, fly balls, and line drives. It’s down for left-handed hitters and right-handed hitters, albeit more for the former. It’s down in every inning, although the dips in the first two innings have been particularly pronounced. Pick a split or a circumstance, and hitters are having a harder time getting hits, which has flummoxed front offices. Another team analyst notes, “The most likely explanation is that it has to do with the shortened season, or the fans being gone. Something about this whole COVID situation.” But nobody seems to have narrowed things down. “Haven’t been able to come up with any single great explanation,” an R&D director says. “Might be a confluence of a number of things. But it’s super weird.”

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2020 at 09:18 AM | 88 comment(s)
  Beats: babip



BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF


Thanks to
for his generous support.

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT - NBA Bubble Thread
(3276 - 9:59am, Oct 01)
Last: Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb

NewsblogEmpty Stadium Sports Will Be Really Weird
(9799 - 9:45am, Oct 01)
Last: bunyon

NewsblogCarlos Correa addresses Astros haters after sweeping Twins: 'What are they going to say now?'
(11 - 9:33am, Oct 01)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogYouTube TV is losing Fox regional sports networks
(11 - 9:27am, Oct 01)
Last: jmurph

NewsblogMinnesota Twins eliminated by Houston Astros as postseason losing streak hits 18 games
(3 - 9:25am, Oct 01)
Last: bunyon

NewsblogBill James: A Galaxy of Royal Stars
(23 - 9:23am, Oct 01)
Last: RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)

NewsblogRemoving Fans Didn’t Remove MLB’s Home-Field Advantage
(7 - 8:46am, Oct 01)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network)

NewsblogAs Marlins prepare for postseason, is the franchise turning a corner under Derek Jeter?
(10 - 8:22am, Oct 01)
Last: Fiore Gino

NewsblogWild Card Round Day Two OMNICHATTER (9/30/20)
(222 - 1:16am, Oct 01)
Last: Walks Clog Up the Bases

NewsblogAnaheim City Council approves $150-million cash stadium sale to Angels owner
(12 - 11:54pm, Sep 30)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogMLB allowing limited number of fans for NLCS, World Series in Arlington, Texas
(1 - 11:47pm, Sep 30)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1932 Discussion
(3 - 5:17pm, Sep 30)
Last: DL from MN

Gonfalon CubsCubs Postseason Thoughts
(2 - 4:41pm, Sep 30)
Last: Walks Clog Up the Bases

NewsblogRays top-ten prospect Shane McClanahan added to postseason roster
(21 - 4:19pm, Sep 30)
Last: The importance of being Ernest Riles

NewsblogRon Roenicke let go as Boston Red Sox manager; team will begin search immediately
(45 - 3:29pm, Sep 30)
Last: Captain Joe Bivens, Elderly Northeastern Jew

Page rendered in 1.2084 seconds
46 querie(s) executed