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Cedric Mullins Newsbeat

Tuesday, January 11, 2022

Finding Switch-Hitters Who Should Stop Switch-Hitting

According to the authors of The Book, it takes around 600 plate appearances against left-handed pitching for the platoon split of a switch-hitter to stabilize. Even with a 1,000-plate appearance minimum, many of the players above haven’t reached that threshold yet.

This isn’t the first time this question has been asked. Back in 2014, Ben Lindbergh investigated this same question for Baseball Prospectus. In that article, he used a heavy regression model to calculate the estimated performance of a switch-hitter who decided to go one way. Using his method, four players appear to be good candidates to stop switch-hitting: Ozzie Albies, Ian Happ, Tommy Edman, and Ketel Marte.

Using a regression model to estimate performance is a blunt way of approaching the problem, though at the time, Lindbergh didn’t have access to the kind of granular batted ball data we do today (Statcast was one year away from implementation). For Mullins, I examined the handedness splits of some of his underlying metrics, and it quickly became clear that his batted-ball and plate discipline peripherals as a right-handed hitter were extremely poor. That alone should have convinced him to drop swinging from the right side, even if his peripherals as a left-handed batter weren’t much to sneeze at.

To dig further into the list of switch hitters above, I pulled handedness splits for those same key underlying metrics to see if any of them are potential candidates to make such a drastic change. Once I had the peripheral splits, I calculated z-scores based on the league standard deviation for each metric. The sum of those z-scores should tell us which batters under or over perform from one side of the plate in particular.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 11, 2022 at 02:24 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: cedric mullins, ozzie albies, switch-hitting, yoan moncada

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Mullins 1st Oriole in 30-30 club: ‘It’s surreal’

Cedric Mullins’ surprise, superlative breakout season now also ranks historic. Not until Friday had an Oriole player hit 30 home runs and stolen 30 bases in the same season, throughout 67 years of O’s baseball in Baltimore. In that respect, Mullins now stands alone.

He earned the distinction with his three-run home run off Rangers righty Spencer Howard in the second inning of Friday’s 8-5 loss, tying something of a bow on a season that’s certain to earn the All-Star center fielder some down-ballot MVP love come awards voting. Mullins is the 43rd player in MLB history to record a 30-30 season, and first since Christian Yelich and Ronald Acuña Jr. accomplished the feat in 2019. The last American League players to do so were Mookie Betts and José Ramírez in ‘18.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 25, 2021 at 05:08 PM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: cedric mullins

Wednesday, August 11, 2021

MLB’s 10 biggest surprises so far including White Sox lefty Carlos Rodón and Orioles All-Star Cedric Mullins

According to league sources, Carlos Rodón was unwilling to entertain offers over the winter that required him to pitch out of the bullpen. What seemed like a misjudgement at the time—he hadn’t been an effective big-league starter since 2018—now looks like the decision of someone who knew better days were coming. Prior to hitting the injured list on Wednesday, Rodón had accumulated a 2.38 ERA (178 ERA+) and 5.33 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 109 innings. His velocity is up, from 92.8 mph to 95.8 mph, and his signature slider remains a bat-missing weapon, evading lumber on more than 40 percent of the swings taken against it. He’s got one of seven the no-hitters this season; back in April when he threw one against Cleveland. Add in an improved feel for the strike zone, and Rodón now looks like the pitcher he was supposed to become when he was drafted third overall in 2014.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 11, 2021 at 10:40 PM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: carlos rodon, cedric mullins



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