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Eric Hosmer Newsbeat

Monday, September 06, 2021

Offseason trade candidates—it’s a big list

Byron Buxton, CF, Twins
One of the most electrifying players in MLB. One of the most injury-prone players in MLB. So his future value is impossible to ascertain. But having turned down a reported $80 million extension, with free agency looming after 2022, Buxton is a trade candidate for a Twins team trying to figure out where to go next after a messy 2021.

Josh Hader, LHP, Brewers
We don’t have to tell you how important Hader is to the Brew Crew. But we also don’t have to tell you what can happen on small-market clubs when players—especially relievers—get expensive near the end of their term of contractual control. The Brewers have control of Hader for just two more seasons. And because he’s so darned good, he’s going to get pretty darned expensive. So while Hader is an unmistakably important piece of the Brewers’ identity, we can’t rule out a trade here.


Monday, July 26, 2021

Padres Discussing Eric Hosmer Trades

Eric Hosmer “has surfaced in recent trade discussions,” according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. The motivation for such discussions seems to be at least partly connected to the Padres’ luxury tax situation, as Rosenthal notes,”The most recent calculation, provided by MLB around the All-Star break, has the Padres over the CBT threshold by roughly $2 million.”  On a related note, the Padres had the Pirates pick up much of the tab for recent acquisition Adam Frazier.

After going 71-91 in the 2017 season, the Padres signed Hosmer to a huge eight-year, $144MM deal, sending a signal they were ready to compete. Since that time, the Padres have only gotten more aggressive, handing out even bigger contracts to Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr., along with a number of high profile trades for marquee names such as Yu Darvish, Blake Snell and Joe Musgrove. This has succeeded at pushing the Friars into contention. They got as far as the NLCS in 2020 and currently hold down a wild card spot in 2021. Hosmer’s contribution to the club, however, has been mercurial. In 2018 and 2019, his wRC+ tallies were 95 and 91, producing negative fWAR numbers in the process. The shortened 2020 season seemed to be a bounceback, with a wRC+ of 127 and an fWAR of 0.9. But 2021 has seen him trail off again, with his wRC+ down to 96 and his fWAR in negative territory again.  Hosmer’s contract still has four years remaining on it after 2021.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 26, 2021 at 12:10 PM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: eric hosmer, padres

Saturday, June 19, 2021

The Padres Need a First Base Upgrade

In other words, starting Hosmer nearly cancels out the positive effect of being able to start Manny Machado every night. Wil Myers is a problem as well, but first base is currently the team’s biggest issue and one that is projected to persist for the rest of the year.

ZiPS was never optimistic about Hosmer, but at the start of his San Diego tenure, it projected him to be a two-win player for the first half of the deal. Instead, thanks to Hosmer’s 2021, he’s once again back down to replacement level. With the chances that 2020 reflected a meaningful comeback fading, so too have his projections for the rest of the contract:

If the projections hold true, Hosmer would be smart to not exercise his opt-out clause after the 2022 season, leaving a final eight-year total of -0.1 WAR for $144 million. I actually had to tell ZiPS to assume that Hosmer wouldn’t be benched; the model for predicting playing time in a player’s final years was determined to stop playing him after 2022.

Ignoring the long-term first base problems, simply getting an extra win would be a real boost in a tight pennant race. Coincidentally, that’s about what adding Trey Mancini from the Orioles would give to the Padres, bringing a bit of real-world applicability to a theoretical solution.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 19, 2021 at 01:27 PM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: eric hosmer, padres

 

 

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