Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher

Syndicate

Luis Arraez Newsbeat

Monday, June 05, 2023

Arraez and Let Us Swing

So let’s get down to it: Can Arraez hit .400?...

In a way, Arraez’s lack of power makes him more susceptible to swings in BABIP than a normal hitter. When Manny was hitting in the .380s at this point in 2001, he was on pace to hit 56 home runs; 19 of his hits were going to be hits no matter what the defense did. Arraez’s BABIP is… huge! It’s enormous! It’s gigantic! That .405 mark is the second-highest BABIP among 161 qualified hitters, and if it stayed that high all season, it would be remarkable. In the past decade, only Yoán Moncada in 2019 has posted a higher BABIP as a qualified hitter in a 162-game season. The only other hitters to break .390 in that time were Tim Anderson that same season and Avisaíl García in 2017. (So yes, Arraez can hit .400, but only if he gets traded to the late-2010s White Sox.)

Arraez’s expected batting average this season is the fourth-highest among qualified hitters, but it’s only .332. And while Arraez is in the top 10 in batting average on contact (as you’d expect, given how frequently he makes contact), he’s overperforming his xBACON by the fourth-highest margin in baseball as of this writing.

So, the Statcast numbers say he’s going to regress. But I don’t really care, for two reasons. First, Arraez is built to confound expected statistics based on launch angle and exit velocity. We’re into the fifth season of Arraez’s major league career, and in all five of those seasons, he’s combined an absolutely trash hard-hit rate with elite xBA numbers and huge BABIPs. And beyond that, he’s outperformed his xBA in four of his five major league seasons, including this one. If that’s a fluke, it’s a fluke that’s been perpetuated over five years and nearly 1,800 plate appearances.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 05, 2023 at 11:50 AM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: luis arraez

Friday, January 20, 2023

Batting champ Arraez headed to Marlins for López, more

The Marlins are set to acquire reigning AL batting champ and All-Star infielder Luis Arraez from the Twins for right-hander Pablo López and two other players, a source told MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand on Friday. Neither club has confirmed the deal, which is expected to send infield prospect Jose Salas and outfield prospect Byron Chourio to Minnesota, according to Feinsand.

Salas, 19, is ranked by MLB Pipeline as the No. 5 prospect in Miami’s system.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 20, 2023 at 03:52 PM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: luis arraez, marlins, pablo lopez, twins

 

 

BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Jim Wisinski
for his generous support.

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogRed Sox will host first scheduled doubleheader since 1978 this Sat.; here’s why
(25 - 8:10pm, Jun 05)
Last: Srul Itza

NewsblogReport: Nationals' Stephen Strasburg has 'severe nerve damage'
(20 - 7:52pm, Jun 05)
Last: Slivers of Maranville descends into chaos (SdeB)

Newsblog2023 NBA Playoffs Thread
(2572 - 7:45pm, Jun 05)
Last: KronicFatigue

NewsblogOMNICHATTER for June 2023
(138 - 7:37pm, Jun 05)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogArraez and Let Us Swing
(8 - 7:02pm, Jun 05)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogHoward Johnson, Al Leiter headline Mets hall of fame class
(11 - 7:00pm, Jun 05)
Last: Doug Jones threw harder than me

NewsblogHitters Are Losing More Long Plate Appearances
(1 - 6:20pm, Jun 05)
Last: Jose Canusee

NewsblogRoger Craig, Teacher of an Era-Defining Pitch, Is Dead at 93
(3 - 5:44pm, Jun 05)
Last: Itchy Row

NewsblogNestor Cortes Likely To Be Placed On IL With Shoulder Issue
(4 - 5:37pm, Jun 05)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogRed Sox place Chris Sale on IL with left shoulder inflammation
(5 - 2:00pm, Jun 05)
Last: jacksone (AKA It's OK...)

NewsblogMarcell Ozuna removed for not hustling in Braves' 8-5 victory
(2 - 1:39pm, Jun 05)
Last: SoSH U at work

NewsblogBeloved ex-Met Bartolo Colon finally retires from baseball at 50
(18 - 12:07pm, Jun 05)
Last: JJ1986

Hall of MeritReranking First Basemen: Discussion Thread
(36 - 11:28am, Jun 05)
Last: Alex02

NewsblogAaron Boone’s Rate of Ejections Is Embarrassing ... And Historically Significant
(19 - 10:59am, Jun 05)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogOT Soccer Thread - The Run In
(441 - 10:16am, Jun 05)
Last: jmurph

Page rendered in 1.0617 seconds
51 querie(s) executed