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Thursday, June 30, 2022

When do the Tigers and Royals have to admit that ‘rebuilding’ has turned into plain old losing?

Detroit held on to the stars of its previous contenders too long — squeezing out minimal returns for Justin Verlander, J.D. Martinez and others. Avila declined to trade pitchers Matthew Boyd and Michael Fulmer at the peak of their powers. Kansas City has played the same (losing) waiting game with Whit Merrifield.

What’s missing from the equations in Detroit and Kansas City are the opportunistic gains of churn. The Astros unearthed and polished Jose Altuve and Dallas Keuchel. The Cubs sanded away the rough edges of Jake Arrieta. Other teams like the Padres accumulated such a glut of appealing prospects they traded them for established stars like Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove to speed up their return to contention.

Who, in other words, have the Tigers and Royals made better during their lean periods? What payoff are they seeing from half a decade with virtually no opportunity costs discouraging them from trying to maximize every shred of talent they can get their hands on?

The Tigers spent on Baez and Rodriguez, certainly a good-faith effort, but they have been disappointing and injured, respectively, in their first season. The Royals have overseen a bounce back to form for Andrew Benintendi, but also clogged up innings and playing time with a string of declining veterans.

Even when things aren’t going as planned, more future-focused gains should be evident.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 30, 2022 at 01:27 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: royals, tigers

Friday, June 17, 2022

An Historically Bad Offense Is Just One of the Tigers’ Problems

Collectively, these Tigers are hitting .221/.278/.318. Their slugging percentage is the majors’ worst by 18 points, and their 70 wRC+ the majors’ worst by nine points, while their batting average and on-base percentage are merely the AL’s second-worst behind Oakland. Their 31 homers is 15 fewer than any other team, and meanwhile, they’re in a virtual tie for the majors’ lowest walk rate (6.6%) and own the AL’s second-highest strikeout rate (24.3%)....

Some of what the Tigers have dealt with may be bad luck, sheer randomness, or a product of the deadened baseball. By Statcast, they own the majors’ largest gap between wOBA and xwOBA (-34 points), the fourth-largest gap between actual and expected batting average (-23 points), and are tied for the third-largest gap between actual and expected slugging percentage (-69 points). Even so, their .301 xwOBA and .387 xSLG represent major league worsts, and their 300-foot average fly ball distance is the shortest, 14 feet short of the major league average. In the words of James Brown, “People, it’s bad.”

Individually, just two of the 14 Tigers who have taken at least 55 plate appearances have a wRC+ of 100 or better, namely Harold Castro (142 PA, 119 wRC+) and Meadows (147 PA, 101 wRC+), neither of them full-timers due to their struggles hitting lefties. Castro, a 28-year-old superutilityman, entered the season with a wRC+ of 84 and has nearly tripled his previous barrel rate, from 3.0% to 8.8%. He’s ridden a combination of a 2.1% walk rate and a .343 BABIP to a .299/.312/.460 line while starting 12 games at third, 11 at shortstop, seven at first base, two in left field, and one at second base; the jack of all trades has also pitched twice, including on Wednesday. Meadows has split his time between the two outfield corners but missed 19 games in May and June due to a bout of vertigo and has struggled since returning to the point that he’s slipped below replacement level (-0.1 WAR).

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 17, 2022 at 10:59 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers

Friday, June 10, 2022

Detroit Tigers right-hander Casey Mize to undergo Tommy John surgery

Detroit Tigers right-hander Casey Mize will undergo Tommy John surgery, manager A.J. Hinch said Friday afternoon, to repair the ulnar collateral ligament in his throwing elbow.

He will miss the rest of the 2022 season.

Mize hasn’t pitched for the Tigers since April 14.

The 25-year-old landed on the injured list April 15 with a right elbow sprain. He was shut down twice during his throwing programs while rehabbing, most recently after a setback when he attempted to play catch from 90 feet on flat ground.


Mize, the 2018 No. 1 overall pick, has pitched 39 games for the Tigers in parts of three seasons, making his MLB debut in August 2020. He led the team with 30 starts and 150⅓ innings pitched last season.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 10, 2022 at 04:57 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: casey mize, tigers, tommy john surgery

Thursday, May 05, 2022

The 2003 Detroit Tigers, one of the worst MLB teams ever, provide rebuilding teams lessons to learn from 15 years later

Rather than replace those players through external means, Dombrowski turned to his kids. As a result, the 2003 Tigers gave 100 plate appearances to just three players older than 30. They used 10 pitchers to start at least one game, but none of them were beyond their age-27 season. In all, the Tigers used four pitchers who were older than 30. The elder of the bunch, 37-year-old Steve Sparks, was released before the season ended. Don’t feel too bad for Sparky—he became the only member of that team to appear in the 2003 postseason, albeit with the Oakland Athletics.

A full-scale youth movement sounds good in theory, but the Tigers lacked a premium farm system. “Nearly a decade into their rebuilding phase,” an essay in Baseball Prospectus 2004 stated, “they are as a strapped for prospects as they were when they started.” Baseball America had ranked eight Tigers in the top-100 between 2001 and 2003—only Jeremy Bonderman and Franklyn German placed in the top-50, with German making the cut at No. 46.

Bad young teams are preferable to bad old teams from a fan’s perspective—there’s hope for a better tomorrow, even if it’s misplaced—but the Tigers’ lack of polish led to maddening baseball.

Peña noted how their approaches fluctuated on a whim between overly aggressive and overly passive. The lack of nuance, of feel for the situation and context, extended elsewhere.

“We had guys who didn’t even know how to line up for fundamentals properly, for cutoffs and relays,” Walbeck said. “[Bench coach Kirk Gibson] would take us out there for early work, like before day games, and we would practice cutoffs and relays and pop-up priorities and bunt defense—stuff that teams generally just practice a few times during spring training then have it.”

Here’s how the next paragraph in that Baseball Prospectus 2004 essay ends: “Dombrowski inherited a situation so disastrous that he simply can’t be held to a normal rebuilding timetable.” Dombrowski probably agreed with the sentiment back then, but it proved moot. Not only did the Tigers improve by 29 games in 2004, they won the American League pennant in 2006.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 05, 2022 at 11:48 AM | 35 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers

Wednesday, April 27, 2022

Twins’ walk-off win after terrible Tigers defense is the wildest play of MLB season so far

The Minnesota Twins should collectively pool their money and buy some lottery tickets this week, because everything is turning up their way. On Sunday, the Twins beat the Chicago White Sox on a walk-off, three-run homer from Byron Buxton that traveled 470-feet. After a day off on Monday, the Twins started a series against another AL Central rival in the Detroit Tigers and again somehow pulled off an even more absurd blend of late-game magic to steal another win.

Miguel Sano stepped to the plate with two on and one out in the bottom of the ninth inning with Minnesota trailing by a run. Sano lined a shot into right field that bounced off the glove of Robbie Grossman and trickled to the outfield wall. Minnesota’s lead runner stopped at third and Sano pushed for second after the misplayed ball, which left teammate Gio Urshela in an uncomfortable position. But just when the base-running mistake was set to doom the Twins’ night, Tigers catcher Eric Haase threw the ball into the outfield and allowed both the tying run and go-ahead run to score.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 27, 2022 at 10:05 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers, twins

Tuesday, April 05, 2022

Detroit Tigers acquire OF Austin Meadows in trade with Tampa Bay Rays

The Detroit Tigers acquired outfielder Austin Meadows in a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday night.

Detroit sent infielder Isaac Paredes and a competitive balance round B pick in the 2022 amateur draft to Tampa Bay for Meadows, who hit .234 with 27 homers and a career-high 106 RBI last season.

Detroit is much improved after going 77-85 last year in its fifth consecutive losing season. Meadows joins a lineup that includes Javier Báez, who signed a blockbuster deal with the Tigers in free agency, and Spencer Torkelson, one of the majors’ top slugging prospects.

Meadows, who turns 27 on May 3, is a .260 hitter with 70 homers and 225 RBI in 375 career games over four seasons. He broke into the big leagues in 2018 with Pittsburgh and was traded to Tampa Bay in the Chris Archer deal that July.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 05, 2022 at 08:17 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: austin meadows, rays, tigers

Wednesday, March 16, 2022

Detroit Tigers sign reliever Andrew Chafin to two-year, $13 million contract

The Detroit Tigers have signed left-handed reliever Andrew Chafin to a two-year, $13 million contract, a source with knowledge of the agreement told the Free Press.

He has an opt-out after the first season.

Chafin, who turns 32 in June, has pitched eight MLB seasons for the Arizona Diamondbacks (2014-20), Chicago Cubs (2020-21) and Oakland Athletics (2021), boasting a career 3.30 ERA and 3.18 FIP.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 16, 2022 at 12:05 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: andrew chafin, tigers

Thursday, January 19, 2012

Tiger Tales: Replacing V-Mart

Lee Panas projects Victor Martinez’ 2012 production, and that of some possible replacements.

Would Martinez have had a WAR of 5.0 again in 2012?  Probably not. He’d likely hit about as well overall (lower batting average, more homers).  However, he might lose a fraction of a win by not catching.  More importantly, we would not expect him to come anywhere close to his 2011 performance in situational hitting.  Even if he we think he would have hit a little better in clutch situations than other at bats in 2012, we would estimate that he would have had a WAR of about 3.0.

So, we have two questions: (1) How much will the Tigers lose going from Martinez in 2011 (5.0 WAR) to Player X in 2012?  (2) How much would they have lost going from Martinez’s expected performance in 2012 (3.0 WAR) to Player X in 2012?

Mr Dashwood Posted: January 19, 2012 at 09:38 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: projections, tigers

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Tigers’ Victor Martinez likely out for season with torn ACL

Shouldn’t have gone motorbike racing with Jeff Kent.

The Detroit Tigers today made the following announcement regarding catcher/designated hitter Victor Martinez:

Martinez injured his left knee last week during his off-season conditioning. An MRI at the Watson Clinic in Lakeland yesterday revealed Martinez suffered a torn ACL in his left knee.

Martinez will be re-evaluated by Dr. Richard Stedman next week and surgery to repair the torn ACL in his left knee is anticipated. If surgery is required as anticipated, Martinez will most likely be lost for the 2012 season.

Martinez hit .330 (178x540) with 40 doubles, 12 home runs and 103 RBI in 145 games with the Tigers during the 2011 season.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 17, 2012 at 03:31 PM | 47 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers

Monday, January 16, 2012

CAPUTO: Why I won’t vote for Bonds, Clemens or Sosa for the Hall of Fame

Former Tigers pitcher Jack Morris was named on the second-most ballots - nearly 67 percent.

In the aftermath, Peter Gammons, one of the preeminent baseball writers of all time, talked on MLB Network about how he put Morris on the ballot the first three years he was eligible, but stopped because another baseball writer had displayed extensive statistical proof to him that Morris’ 3.90 ERA was “not because he pitched to the score” but rather because he lost a lot of leads.

Right then I decided this coming year, the first time they are eligible for election to the Hall of Fame, I am not voting for Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens or Sammy Sosa.

...Gammons said Bagwell is like a hockey player (whatever that means) and was one of those 10-to-12 hour per day in the weight room guys, who lost weight later in his career (ala Pudge Rodriguez) because he had a shoulder injury that prevented him from lifting. It’s the type of thinking that was prevalent from many baseball writers during the steroids era. Always buying the story. Unfortunately, I was one of them. I’d like to think I’ve learned my lesson.

...But if Hall voters are going to be so picky about the career ERA of Jack Morris, why not about possible PED use?

I strongly feel this: If Morris gets in, it will still be the Hall of Fame.

If Bonds, Clemens and Sosa are inducted, it would become

(Yanks out Rogers’ Dictionary of Cliches ~ Looks for entry form)

the Hall of Shame.

Repoz Posted: January 16, 2012 at 05:40 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, history, media, steroids, tigers

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Zumaya agrees to deal with Twins

Game on!

The Tigers could end up seeing a lot of Joel Zumaya this year after all. It’ll just be in a different uniform, albeit an awfully familiar one.

After throwing for teams in December and holding out for a roster spot and the right situation, Zumaya has agreed to terms with the Minnesota Twins, the reliever told MLB.com. The two sides spent Saturday putting together a deal that could pay him anywhere from $800,000 to $1.7 million if he reaches incentives.

A Twins official would neither confirm nor deny the deal to MLB.com, but said they’ve been in negotiations since December.

Zumaya weighed what he called “good offers” from three other clubs,  but the Twins included guaranteed money rather than a minor-league deal with a Spring Training invite. If he’s healthy, they’ll bring him to the same mound at Target Field where he last threw a Major League pitch. He fractured his elbow throwing for the Tigers against the Twins on June 28, 2010.

Repoz Posted: January 15, 2012 at 03:00 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers, twins

MLB Trade Rumors: Bartolo Colon Agrees to Sign With Unknown Team

Bartolo Colon has agreed to a deal with an unknown club reports Bob Nightengale of USA Today (on Twitter). The right-hander wouldn’t divulge the team because he has not yet passed his physical.

Pretty sure it’s either the All-Stars or the Champs.


Friday, January 13, 2012

BBPro:  Heartburn Hardball - Jack Morris in Motion

Morris, who was the face of the Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff for the entirety of the eighties before spending the early nineties hopping between the Twins, Blue Jays, and Indians, has every right to be thrilled at the news. And the rest of us, especially those who were too young to see him pitch, have every right to ask…why Jack Morris? Why now?

To answer that question, I decide to watch the most famous performance of his career, the game that proved once and for all that he was a true ace and a true winner.

....

The Twins will win 1-0 in the bottom of the 10th, winning the second World Series title in franchise history and solidifying Jack Morris’s place in baseball history.

And when it’s over, I will be more convinced than ever that Jack Morris is not a Hall of Fame pitcher.

 

 

Completely Unbiased 3rd Party Lurker Posted: January 13, 2012 at 01:39 PM | 83 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, hall of fame, tigers, twins

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Brisbee: Alan Trammell: Victim of Context

[Barry] Larkin getting in after a couple of decades or a Veteran’s Committee ballot wouldn’t add to Trammell’s cause. But Larkin got in on his third year of eligibility with 86 percent of the vote. Larkin wasn’t a borderline case—he didn’t satisfy the extra-super-special-first-ballot-bonus-points ninnies, but he was clearly a Hall of Famer in the voters’ eyes right from the beginning.

It’s that last statistic up there that’s the reason for the gap between the HOF perception gap between Larkin and Trammell. CRiL is a proprietary statistic I developed specifically to measure shortstops against each other. It’s a park- and era-adjusted stat that can sum up a shortstop’s Hall-of-Fame chances in a single number. It stands for “Cal Ripkens in League.” Larkin outpaces Trammell easily on this one.

Again, it’s not that Larkin wasn’t better than Trammell. By most metrics (and obviously in the court of public opinion), he certainly was. But if Larkin is a Hall of Famer, Trammell certainly deserves a closer look. The gap between them wasn’t that big…

Another difference between Larkin and Trammell is that the latter had a sidekick who was also worthy of the Hall of Fame. For just under two decades, Lou Whitaker played along Trammell, making All-Star teams and hitting at a position where most teams shouldn’t have a hitter. The two rode around on tandem bikes and finished each other’s sentences, and there might have been a tendency to pretend that the whole was greater than the sum of its parts. If Trammell played a couple decades with Doug Flynn, maybe he would have stood out more.

I’m sure many of us remember the Trammell/Whitaker Starting Lineup figures.

The District Attorney Posted: January 10, 2012 at 01:40 PM | 43 comment(s)
  Beats: awards, hall of fame, history, tigers

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Murray Chass: NO TWO SIDES TO AN MLB.COM SELIG STORY and MORRIS UNLIKELY TO MAKE IT

Murray Sez… have a Bud and a Jack chaser

When I left The New York Times in 2008 after having written for the newspaper for 39 years, the first offer I received to continue writing came from a high-ranking Major League Baseball official who was in position to offer me a job as a columnist with MLB.com. My initial reaction was to say no, but some people urged me to reconsider and at least talk about and consider that possibility.

Accepting that offer would have turned out to be more economically lucrative than what I have done with this Web site the past three and a half years. But money isn’t everything. Writing for MLB.com just didn’t seem like the right thing to do.

How could I have gone to work for the organization I had spent my professional life covering? Wouldn’t I be compromising my professional ethics by accepting a salary from people I would be in position to criticize and question if necessary? ...

To be sure, MLB.com serves a purpose, even for baseball writers, for whom it can serve as a 30-team research site in one location and a source of comprehensive statistics that are not mingled with WAR and VORP and all of those other metrics, as their advocates like to call them.

But then there are the self-congratulatory articles that can induce nausea. I guess we don’t have to read them, but they are there as propaganda for fans to see and be taken in by. Yes, baseball propaganda. I had never thought about it before this moment, but that’s what it is. ...

And maybe someday, perhaps when he retires, whenever that is, Selig will be big enough to allow an MLB.com columnist to write the truth about collusion and his role in the labor wars.

By the way, this column was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.

Based on e-mail I have received from critics of Morris and me, the Hall of Fame should take the vote away from baseball writers and simply establish statistical guidelines for players’ election. The players over the line make it, those under don’t.

Such a system would eliminate what is perhaps the greatest debate in sports, but that wouldn’t bother the stats zealots. Their numbers tell them who should be in the Hall of Fame, and the writers would be wrong if they disagreed.

That system would also eliminate the aspect of the voting that they hate most. Their opinion doesn’t mean beans. The writers’ opinion means everything.

bobm Posted: January 08, 2012 at 05:08 PM | 96 comment(s)
  Beats: angels, hall of fame, media, online, orioles, reds, tigers

Saturday, January 07, 2012

ESPN’s OTL: Strength from Weakness (Ben Petrick profile)

Who could have known? Who could have known that a player some considered a potential Hall of Fame catcher [...] would have his future stolen from him by an incurable disease that rarely afflicts people as young as 22?

How good was Petrick? Go back and look at his stats. In those 240 games for the Rockies and Tigers, he hit .257 with 27 home runs and 94 RBIs while trying to control the symptoms of Parkinson’s, which include tremors, rigidity and slow movements. He was not only tough enough to be a catcher, the most demanding position on the field, but also athletic enough to play centerfield when he wasn’t behind the plate.

“Looking back, I am amazed at what he accomplished,” says Rockies first baseman Todd Helton, who was Colorado’s first pick in the 1995 draft, the year Petrick was taken in the second round. “It’s hard enough performing at the highest level of this game, which he did. On top of that, he had to fight off a disease that robbed him of his physical ability. And on top of that, he had to play under the tremendous pressure of hiding the effects of that disease.”

Helton pauses. “You know what, though?” he says. “I’m more impressed by what he’s done with his life since.”

Der-K's tired of these fruits from poisoned trees Posted: January 07, 2012 at 10:03 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: rockies, tigers

Thursday, January 05, 2012

Former Major Leaguer Howie Koplitz passes away at 73

What is there to say…

Howie Koplitz

Repoz Posted: January 05, 2012 at 05:43 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: nationals, obituaries, tigers

Monday, December 26, 2011

Jayson Stark (ESPN): Strange stuff … in the 2011 postseason

The postseason edition of trivia and oddbits that Jayson Stark excels at collecting and presenting…

Here’s one I didn’t know:

All four teams that advanced to the LCS—the Cardinals, Brewers, Rangers and Tigers—got outscored by the teams they played in the Division Series … and won.


Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Australian Baseball League: World All-Stars prevail in inaugural showcase

The ConocoPhillips 2011 ABL All-Star Game, held at Perth’s Barbagallo Ballpark, was a thrilling affair in which the World All-Stars, led by game MVP Tyler Collins, prevailed over the home-standing Australian National Team by an 8-5 score. Collins drove in three on an opposite field home run, scored two, and added another hit in the game. Mike McGuire started on the mound for the World team and was credited with the win and veteran reliever Dae Sung Koo picked up the save.

Collins is in the Tigers system.

Gamingboy Posted: December 21, 2011 at 11:10 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: game recaps, international, minor leagues, tigers

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Tweet partings: Tigers bid Will Rhymes farewell

Using Beatnik Ramble Rhymes, it spit out…“in she bid Tigers Zelter mighty to see the likes of thee, and oh!  The smell, the smell, the awful smell!”

But an October editorial comment on Twitter Rhymes authored during the Tigers-Rangers playoff series probably eliminated any chance he would join Ryan Raburn, Ramon Santiago, and Danny Worth in a bid for second-base work in 2012.

During that Oct. 8 game against the Rangers, Rhymes, who was not on the playoff roster, disagreed with manager Jim Leyland’s decision to pinch-run Worth for Santiago.

“I turned the game off when Danny ran for Santi,” Rhymes wrote on his Twitter account.

“They are the same speed, at best. Very confused. I’ll check the box tomorrow.”

Dave Dombrowski, president and general manager for the Tigers, made little of Rhymes’ punditry when asked about Monday’s decision, although he acknowledged: “I don’t think it was something that you’d recommend a player to do. But it didn’t have anything to do with our decision.”

Repoz Posted: December 13, 2011 at 10:18 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: media, tigers

Saturday, December 10, 2011

Tigers finalize one-year, $3.5 million deal with Octavio Dotel

According to BobbyMac, these are the most lopsided projected left/right splits (in terms of True Average, formerly EqA) for active players, minimum 500 IP:

Name               Split        Size
Octavio Dotel      R, vs. R   +.112 TAv
Ramon Ortiz        R, vs. R    .110
Dontrelle Willis   L, vs. L    .105
Horacio Ramirez    L, vs. L    .105
Chien-Ming Wang    R, vs. R    .092

Detroit and Octavio Dotel made their deal official, with the Tigers paying the veteran right-hander $3 million in 2012 and $3.5 million or a $500,000 buyout for 2013.

This will be his 13th team in 14 seasons… Dotel has the highest strikeout rate of all time among right-handers with 800-plus innings and even at age 37 got more than 10 strikeouts per nine innings for the fifth straight season…
Jason Beck of MLB.com reports that Dotel chose the Tigers over the Brewers, with the Padres also in the mix.

The District Attorney Posted: December 10, 2011 at 03:50 AM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: tigers

Friday, December 09, 2011

Tigers, Nationals swap hard-throwing relievers [Perry for Balester]

A trade between three unelected and frankly unaccountable teams.

the Tigers and Nationals pulled off an exchange of right-handed relievers Ryan Perry and Collin Balester on Friday….

Perry… ended the year with a 5.35 ERA and a 24/21 K/BB ratio in 37 innings. Overall, he has a 4.07 ERA and a 129/82 K/BB ratio in 161 1/3 innings as a major leaguer.

Balester is viewed more of a flop than Perry, but he also has the better raw stuff; while both tend to throw in the 93-95 mph range, Balester’s curveball is a superior offering to Perry’s slider. It shows in the strikeout numbers, as Balester has fanned 62 in 56 2/3 innings of relief over the last two years.

Balester, though, has more of a wild streak than Perry. He’s also out of options, whereas Perry still has an option year left.

The District Attorney Posted: December 09, 2011 at 10:59 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: nationals, tigers

Thursday, December 08, 2011

Murray Chass on Baseball: SANTO IN; MILLER, MORRIS STILL OUT

Weeeee! More fun than watching Chass vein-throbbingly berate Hal Bodley into voting for Jack Morris!

This brings me to Jack Morris, a pitcher I have believed for years should be in the Hall but who has failed to receive more than 53.5 percent of the writers’ vote in his 12 years on the ballot.

Bert Blyleven, a pitching contemporary of Morris, was elected last year in his next-to-last year on the writers’ ballot. He benefited from the new use of sabremetrics in gaining election, publicly proclaiming one particular practitioner of sabremetrics for showing why he belonged.

As readers of this site know, I am not a fan of statistics such as WAR and VORP. I use statistics, but the old-fashioned ones have worked for me and most other writers who have covered baseball for years and are not relative newcomers to the baseball beat.

I saw Blyleven pitch, and I saw Morris pitch. If I had to pick one or the other to pitch one game or regularly in a rotation, Morris would be my man. He might not have sabremetrics in his favor, or even a sterling old-fashioned earned run average (3.90), but the only statistics he pitched for was to allow fewer runs than his team scored.

It was no accident that Morris was the most dominant starting pitcher in the 1980s, gaining more victories than any other pitcher in the decade. But forgive me; I am using a statistic that some viewers of the game now proclaim is the least relevant barometer of a pitcher’s success.

Wins no longer count. According to proponents of this cockamamie idea, there are too many variables that render wins meaningless. The name of the game used to be winning. Now it’s a quality start or a good WAR rating.

Give me a pitcher who can emerge from a game as the winning pitcher.

Repoz Posted: December 08, 2011 at 06:32 PM | 86 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, hall of fame, history, sabermetrics, tigers

Rule V Results

1.Astros take Rhiner Cruz from Mets.
2.Twins take Terry Doyle from White Sox.
3.Mariners take Lucas Luetge from Brewers.
4.Orioles take Ryan Flaherty from Cubs.
5.Royals take Cesar Cabral from Red Sox; traded to Yankees for cash.
6.Cubs take Lendy Castillo from Phillies.
8.Pirates take Gustavo Nunez from Tigers.
  21.Braves take Robert Fish from Angels.
22.Cardinals take Erik Komatsu from Nationals.
23.Red Sox take Marwin Gonzalez from Cubs.
  25.Diamondbacks take Brett Lorin from Pirates.
  29.Yankees take Brad Meyers from Nationals.


Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Lowe: Austin Jackson center of off-season talk

On Monday, manager Jim Leyland gave his diagnosis of why Jackson hit 44 points lower than in 2010:

“I believe that he got caught in between a few things,” Leyland said: ‘Am I a leadoff hitter? Am I supposed to hit home runs? Am I supposed to get on base? Am I supposed to walk? I’ve got to make this adjustment and that adjustment.’

“I hope that’s the answer. I’m not down on Austin Jackson. I know everybody is making a big deal about the leadoff spot. We all know that’s a thing he’d like to get better at if he stays in that position.”

The Tigers don’t have a visible alternative at leadoff. Perhaps they thirst for Cespedes to fill that role. He is said to have plenty of speed.

But what was true of Maybin and Jackson also will be true of Cespedes: No matter how much talent a player appears to have, no one can be sure what kind of major leaguer he’ll be until he plays in the majors.

Thanks to HY.

Repoz Posted: December 06, 2011 at 10:36 AM | 79 comment(s)
  Beats: projections, sabermetrics, tigers

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