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Saturday, November 09, 2019

2019 Rookie of the Year: Breaking down the finalists

Awards announcements represent the final chapter of a Major League Baseball season.

The first winners will be revealed Monday when the Baseball Writers Association of America names the American and National League Rookies of the Year.

This race should be more clear cut than last year’s, but closer than the 2017 contest. The awards winners should follow the theme of the 2019 season as the big boppers with the gaudy home-run numbers are likely to take home the hardware.

New York Mets slugger Pete Alonso and Houston Astros bruiser Yordan Alvarez are the league’s respective frontrunners. But cases can be made for Mike Soroka, who emerged as an ace for an Atlanta Braves club that won a second consecutive division title, and John Means, one of the few bright spots for a 54-win Baltimore Orioles squad.

Interesting to ponder, perhaps less for who will win, and more concerning what careers we can expect from these players.

QLE Posted: November 09, 2019 at 12:08 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: awards and honors, brandon lowe, fernando tatis jr., john means, mike soroka, pete alonso, rookie of the year, yordan alvarez

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   1. bobm Posted: November 11, 2019 at 07:42 PM (#5900440)
From ESPN:

Alonso was a near unanimous selection of the award's 30 voters, getting 29 first place votes. Braves starter Mike Soroka received the other first place vote and finished second, with Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr finishing third.

Alvarez was a unanimous selection of the award's 30 voters. Baltimore Orioles pitcher John Means finished second, with Rays second baseman Brandon Lowe third, White Sox outfielder Eloy Jimenez fourth and Blue Jays second baseman Cavan Biggio fifth.
   2. bbmck Posted: November 11, 2019 at 10:36 PM (#5900497)
Debut 1947-2012 (Trout and Harper are 2012 RoY winners) there are 195 players with 3+ position player WAR in a Rookie Eligible season by modern standards.
Won RoY - 59, 2nd - 36, 3rd - 17, 4th - 10, 5th - 6, 6th - 10, 7th - 4, no votes - 53. The players have averaged 33.8 position player WAR so far, the median is Willie Horton 26.4.

Same but 4+ is 83 players. Won RoY - 35, 2nd - 15, 3rd - 5, 4th - 4, 5th - 3, 6th - 5, no votes - 16. The players have averaged 39.1 position player WAR so far, the median is Bill Doran 32.9.

Same but 5+ is 38 players. Won RoY - 18, 2nd - 9, 3rd - 2, 5th - Devon White, no votes - Vada Pinson, Billy Grabarkewitz, Bobby Grich, Al Rosen, Tom Brunansky, Ralph Garr, Dusty Baker and Willie Randolph. The players have averaged 46 position player WAR so far, the median is Troy Tulowitzki and Nomar Garciaparra 44.2.

24 Hall of Fame rookie seasons from group of 195 so far: 1st Carlton Fisk 7.3, 1st Mike Piazza 7, 1st Frank Robinson 6.6, 2nd Joe Morgan 5.7, 1st Johnny Bench 5, 1st Jeff Bagwell 4.8, 1st Cal Ripken Jr 4.7, 3rd Richie Ashburn 3.6, no votes Larry Doby 4.6, 5th Roberto Alomar 4.4, 1st Willie Mays 4, 1st Andre Dawson 3.9, 3rd Wade Boggs 3.9, 2nd Tim Raines 3.5, 3rd Kirby Puckett 3.4, 2nd Gary Carter 3.3, 2nd Ozzie Smith 3.3, 3rd Ken Griffey Jr 3.3, 1st Eddie Murray 3.2, 1st Jackie Robinson 3.1, 1st Orlando Cepeda 3.1, 1st Willie McCovey 3.1, 6th Ryne Sandberg 3.1, 2nd Jim Rice 3.

Debut 1947-2012 there are 216 players with 3+ pitching WAR in a Rookie Eligible season by modern standards.
Won RoY - 25, 2nd - 25, 3rd - 24, 4th - 19, 5th - 9, 6th - 5, 7th - 9, 8th - 4, 9th - 4, 11th - 1, no votes - 91. The players have averaged 17.9 pitching WAR so far, the median is 11.95 from Chuck Taylor 12.1 and Jeremy Hellickson or Pat Zachry 11.8.

Same but 4+ is 77 players. Won RoY - 16, 2nd - 14, 3rd - 13, 4th - 7, 5th - 3, 6th - 1, 7th - 2, no votes - 21. The players have averaged 23.2 pitching WAR so far, the median is Britt Burns or Jack Sanford 17.8.

Same but 5+ is 30 players. Won RoY - 9, 2nd - 7, 3rd - 7, 4th - Dave Rozema, 5th - Britt Burns, no votes - Dennis Eckersley, Ken McBride, Matt Young, Burt Hooton and Saul Rogovin. The players have averaged 28.4 pitching WAR so far, the median is 23.3 from Jonathan Papelbon 23.5 and Larry Jansen 23.1.

5 Hall of Fame rookie seasons from group of 216 so far: 1st Tom Seaver 6, no votes Dennis Eckersley 5.3, no votes Don Sutton 3.5, no votes Fergie Jenkins 3.3, 9th Pedro Martinez 3.

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