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(You'd think they'd play "Your Cheatin' Heart")
EDIT: No Disneyfied beverage, since I got the official title correct.
Anyhow Yogi is down an OFer. He's got Milner and CLeon in the corners, but Staub is hurt. Its affecting his hitting and he's throwing underhand. Don Hahn can sort of cover a corner but he's being stretched to play CF. He's also a .220 hitter with no power. That leaves 42 year old Mays and littel used Geo. Theodore.
I think he should have put in someone for Staub as OAK tied game 3 in the eight on a base hit to RF and Staub just underhanding the ball back.
who else is really an easy out in the lineup? Even Swanson is 6 for 16 in the past week. I thought he was hitting better at the end of the season going from memory
I always preferred my friend's version: "she's a call girl after all"
Can't beat that.
May he be that, forever.
The ####, you idiot, Albiez.
Is WPA valid and reliable?
Nope.
which one are you using? The one on statcast seems to be off by as much as 5pts compared to this one:
https://gregstoll.com/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#V.0.5.1.3.0.0.1960.2020
this one is based on empirical data, and you can set it to any historical range of MLB games you want. Like say all games from 1960-2020. It seems better, but there are certain anomalies where like a guy steals 3b and the odds dont increase at all. Probably because there are so few data pts. in the set that match that actual score/base out state. But all in all I think its better
That seemed to open the door a bit for ATL.
There should be more, like cool names, like... wait, what was that guys name again ?!
Win probability is relatively valid. So if all you care about is the difference in win probability from one game state to another, it’s ok. But attributing that change to a single player, and aggregating WPA of individual plays to come up with a player’s total WPA for the game, is a misuse of statistics.
Huh? it seems like you are taking exception to the the practice of stacking WPA into a counting stat, ok. But win probability is a legit stat. Perhaps it can't be attributed to a single player, pro or con, but that's okay.
..[ x] this game
..[ ] this series
..[x ] this years playoffs
And it showed (also on the earlier throw where he missed the cutoff man.)
Is that a good strategy ?
The issue with Wpa was and will always be it's situational aspect, but the other issue is that there was a small segment of the stat community that fell in love with it immediately, and started to use it for everything.
(I still can't forget the moron kid in St Louis BBWAA convention that tried to claim it was the uber stat. It was hilariously bad. The kid argued that there was more or less no reason to use any other stat other than wpa, including voting for the mvp... it was cringe worthy)
WPA is like caught stealing percentage, it has analytical value, but it's low on the totem pole of major stats, it's a coloring stat, not a major stat. It colors the discussion, it doesn't answer any important question.
Edit: and as mentioned above, it doesn't account for the real teams and players in the next lineup spot or on the field etc.
He might only have one more game to do it.
2011 Rangers and Nelson Cruz say yes.... :)
Piscotty, beam me up !
And to my death, I don't think there is a better name than Rich Batchelor... unless we somehow get poor divorcee as a name.
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