User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
Page rendered in 0.4371 seconds
48 querie(s) executed
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, October 27, 2022
2022 World Series OMNICHATTER
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros
Scoreboards for the Major Leagues and all minor leagues,
courtesy of Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee).
Hombre Brotani
Posted: October 27, 2022 at 08:20 PM | 565 comment(s)
Login to Bookmark
Tags: omnichatter, world series
Tags: omnichatter, world series
Login to submit news.
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
Hot Topics
Newsblog: Arraez and Let Us Swing
(26 - 6:40pm, Jun 06)
Last: Stevey
Newsblog: OMNICHATTER for June 2023
(150 - 6:35pm, Jun 06)
Last: BDC
Newsblog: Rangers ace Jacob deGrom needs Tommy John surgery, will miss rest of 2023 season
(4 - 6:33pm, Jun 06)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network)
Newsblog: Nestor Cortes Likely To Be Placed On IL With Shoulder Issue
(6 - 6:12pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Bobby Bolin, former Giants pitcher, dead at 84
(1 - 6:08pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Reds call up top prospect Elly De La Cruz, put Nick Senzel on IL
(2 - 6:05pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Rangers place Jacob deGrom on 60-day IL
(10 - 6:05pm, Jun 06)
Last: Tom Goes to the Ballpark
Newsblog: Blue Jays demote Alek Manoah to rookie-level Florida Complex League
(1 - 5:57pm, Jun 06)
Last: The importance of being Ernest Riles
Newsblog: 2023 NBA Playoffs Thread
(2590 - 5:51pm, Jun 06)
Last: tshipman (The Viscount of Variance)
Newsblog: OT Soccer Thread - The Run In
(444 - 5:39pm, Jun 06)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy
Sox Therapy: Lining Up The Minors
(33 - 4:07pm, Jun 06)
Last: villageidiom
Sox Therapy: Feeling A Draft
(1 - 4:06pm, Jun 06)
Last: villageidiom
Newsblog: Beloved ex-Met Bartolo Colon finally retires from baseball at 50
(25 - 3:09pm, Jun 06)
Last: ReggieThomasLives
Newsblog: Red Sox place Chris Sale on IL with left shoulder inflammation
(12 - 1:42pm, Jun 06)
Last: Darren
Hall of Merit: Reranking First Basemen: Discussion Thread
(38 - 1:36pm, Jun 06)
Last: Howie Menckel
(26 - 6:40pm, Jun 06)
Last: Stevey
Newsblog: OMNICHATTER for June 2023
(150 - 6:35pm, Jun 06)
Last: BDC
Newsblog: Rangers ace Jacob deGrom needs Tommy John surgery, will miss rest of 2023 season
(4 - 6:33pm, Jun 06)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network)
Newsblog: Nestor Cortes Likely To Be Placed On IL With Shoulder Issue
(6 - 6:12pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Bobby Bolin, former Giants pitcher, dead at 84
(1 - 6:08pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Reds call up top prospect Elly De La Cruz, put Nick Senzel on IL
(2 - 6:05pm, Jun 06)
Last: The Duke
Newsblog: Rangers place Jacob deGrom on 60-day IL
(10 - 6:05pm, Jun 06)
Last: Tom Goes to the Ballpark
Newsblog: Blue Jays demote Alek Manoah to rookie-level Florida Complex League
(1 - 5:57pm, Jun 06)
Last: The importance of being Ernest Riles
Newsblog: 2023 NBA Playoffs Thread
(2590 - 5:51pm, Jun 06)
Last: tshipman (The Viscount of Variance)
Newsblog: OT Soccer Thread - The Run In
(444 - 5:39pm, Jun 06)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy
Sox Therapy: Lining Up The Minors
(33 - 4:07pm, Jun 06)
Last: villageidiom
Sox Therapy: Feeling A Draft
(1 - 4:06pm, Jun 06)
Last: villageidiom
Newsblog: Beloved ex-Met Bartolo Colon finally retires from baseball at 50
(25 - 3:09pm, Jun 06)
Last: ReggieThomasLives
Newsblog: Red Sox place Chris Sale on IL with left shoulder inflammation
(12 - 1:42pm, Jun 06)
Last: Darren
Hall of Merit: Reranking First Basemen: Discussion Thread
(38 - 1:36pm, Jun 06)
Last: Howie Menckel
About Baseball Think Factory | Write for Us | Copyright © 1996-2021 Baseball Think Factory
User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
I'm interested to see how it goes. The Phillies defense is entirely capable of losing the series even if their pitchers pitch and their hitters hit too of course.
playoff baseball isn't nearly as good without joe buck calling the games.
As a Mets and Yankees fan (YEAH- both- what's it to you?!) I don't have a horse in this race as I dislike both teams. But, it would be nice for Dusty to get a ring. And the Phillies are actually kinda cool (Bryce!!!!!!!!)- except for that asshat Syndergaard.
Hoping for a 7 game dramatic series!
And I'm with reech, no real rooting interest here, I just want a seven game thriller.
I predict the Phillies win Game 1, but the Astros win the series in 5 or 6.
The Phillies have won Game 1 in five of the seven World Series they've been in, but have only gone on to win two Series, so that will probably check out.
--
Who is the greatest active pitcher? It seems like a question with 3 good answers and no clear choice.
(with apologies to Mr Grienke)
by WPCT
Kershaw .694
Scherzer .663
Verlander .647
By WAR
Verlander 78 (age 39)
Kershaw 76 (age 34)
Scherzer 72 (age 37)
by WAA
Kershaw 52
Verlander 49
Scherzer 48
Cy Young voting share totals, adding in an estimate for upcoming 2022 votes
Verlander 4.8
Scherzer 4.7
Kershaw 4.6
postseason record
Verlander 15-11, 3.5 ERA, pending 2022 WS
Scherzer 7-7, 3.6 ERA
Kershaw 13-12, 4.2 ERA
obviously Kershaw is the youngest so he may have more time left
Yeah... the World Series should be the next level beyond this. Let's get the MLB, NPB, KBO, and CPBL (Taiwan) champs in a real World bracket. Heck, let the honkbal and pesäpallo champs have a play-in round.
There's nothing all that interesting about his actual words, but he's clearly fully caught up in the moment. (Though Dave O'Brien's radio version later in that clip with the thrice repeated David OrTEEZ is even more memorable.)
i can respect minimalism as a choice, not wanting to step on the moment and letting the crowd speak for itself (especially coming from someone who is criticized as much as buck), but i don't think buck brings enough else to the table to be able to point to that as a positive.
BTW, he's already forgotten about Altuve's GIDP...
no, that was actually more like a baby seal clubber.
11-1 this month entering tonight.
schwarber, castellanos and realmuto combined to have 38 SBs, against 3 CS.
and he ####### did it again
put the next one in his ####### ear, you skirt
I think Diaz (1 for 14 in the postseason) realized that 'better McCormick than him,' and that he failed to get the HBP on the previous pitch.
that made him realize - don't get out of the way! and that led to "lean in" - which was properly denied.
On the previous pitch, I thought he might have taken one for the team just to put the pitcher on the ropes. Bases loaded with the pitcher not trusting his breaking stuff is a good situation to be in.
First WS extra inning HR by a catcher since Carlton Fisk’s famous HR in 1975.
Why is it any worse than already having the runners on 2nd and 3rd?
leaning into a pitch is fine, imo. hitters do not have a responsibility to get out of the way. he's free to stand his ground.
diaz did that, which again, is fine, but then while he was waiting, he also decided to threw his elbow into the strike zone. it was completely shameless.
i don't think it's a huge deal, because you do gain force outs at 2nd, 3rd and home to compensate, but it's not nothing. especially if a pitcher doesn't trust themself to throw strikes.
win expectancy, down by 1, 2 outs, bottom of the 9th/10th/Nth:
-- -- --: .052
1B -- --: .104
-- 2B --: .151
-- -- 3B: .172
1B 2B --: .179
1B -- 3B: .215
-- 2B 3B: .252
1B 2B 3B: .283
so, you're gaining ~3% win expectancy. which again, is not nothing, but it's not backbreaking, either.
Because on successive breaking pitches, the pitcher has put the tying run on 3rd, the winning run on 2nd, and made it so that a walk ties the game.
The next batter is going to see a very good pitch.
A good reminder that win expectancy is correlative but not necessarily causal. There's nothing magical about having a runner on 1st that causes you to be more likely to win there, because it's a useless runner; it doesn't even change the how defenses choose to set up since that runner is not remotely a threat to them. It's most likely just a case of a pitcher that loads the bases being more likely to give up runs.
It still remains the case that putting the onus on "the next batter" is just cowardice. There are very few times where sports are really a morality play, but this one of them. Dude had the option to try to win the game, or the option to be a useless runner on 1st. He deliberately chose (twice!) to try to be the latter when he should have been putting all his focus on doing the former. Deserved a weak grounder to end it, is all I'm saying.
high:
DH harper
C realmuto
RP dominguez
low:
RP robertson
1B hoskins
optimistic:
P suarez
P eflin
SS stott
OF marsh
pessimistic:
SP nola
OF schwarber
OF castellanos
is there no difference between walking with runners at 2nd and 3rd, vs. walking with the bases loaded?
It's not putting the onus on the next batter. It's reaching base safely in a way that puts maximum pressure on the pitcher.
win expectancy, 'down by 1', 2 outs, bottom of the 9th/10th/Nth:
1B 2B 3B: '.283 '
win expectancy, 'tie game', 2 outs, bottom of the 9th/10th/Nth:
1B 2B 3B: '.665 '
going from 28% win expectancy to 67% seems pretty substantial to me, and not just in some theoretical fantasyland. a walk is a very realistic possibility, and there is a very concrete difference between walking with the bases loaded and walking with 1B open.
If the bases had been loaded, I would have thought trying to get hit by a pitch to be a productive (if somewhat lame) strategy.
That's just asinine. I mean, come on.
Winning run's on 2nd. 2 outs. Try to get a hit and win the game instead of picking that moment to play some pathetic version of 4-dimensional nerdball.
Are we just assuming the walk now? The 67% has no relevance until after the tying run has scored, which would have required something else to happen after the HBP. And the run expectancy with bases loaded, 2 out is still far short of 1 run.
this is not just a formula spitting out numbers; the possibility of a walk forcing in the tying run is the reason why the win expectancy increases with the bases loaded. it's a real and significant difference.
Same Q about the 10th inning; who has a better chance to put a "0" up in the 10th, his #3 SP, or another great reliever?
Also in fairness, props go to Realmuto. Sure, he hits fastballs well but that pitch was a 98 MPH heater above the belt that dotted the outside counter.
I wondered by Garcia was out there instead of Stanek to start the top 10th myself.
I think the Phillies have to be favored in the series now. They sent Nola vs Verlander since Nola tosses some dud starts up sometimes....and they won the game, through that bad start, while outlasting the Houston pen.
If Houston can beat Wheeler tonight, it'll shift things back closer to even. But, they have to win game two and at least one game in Philly to get back to favored at this point.
they'll be fine.
if they win, you make a profit of $33 (getting your $20 back plus $33 more).
after the Game 1 win, you are offered a chance to cash out and walk away with a profit of $4.86.
a) would you do it?
b) how high would the offer have to be where you would take it?
(you can make everything 10x if that would make the decision more interesting.)
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main