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Wednesday, March 29, 2023

2023 MLB predictions: Wild Cards, Playoffs, World Series, more

Figured we could use a predictions thread. Give your picks for:

AL Division winners:
AL Wild Cards:
NL Division winners:
NL Wild Cards:
World Series matchup:

AL MVP:
NL MVP:
AL Cy Young:
NL Cy Young:
AL ROY:
NL ROY:

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 29, 2023 at 09:16 AM | 18 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: predictions

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. The Duke Posted: March 29, 2023 at 09:34 AM (#6121681)
Seattle, Tampa Bay, cleaveland
NY, houston, Toronto
St. Louis, San Diego, Atlanta
NYM, LAD, philly
WS: Atlanta vs NYY
MVP: Soto and Judge
Cy: Alcantara and ohtani
Rookies: Walker and Hunter Brown
   2. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 29, 2023 at 09:37 AM (#6121682)
AL Divisions - Blue Jays, Twins, Astros
AL Wild Cards - Yankees, Mariners, Rays
NL Divisions - Braves, Cardinals, Padres
NL Wild Cards - Dodgers, Mets, Phillies
World Series - Cardinals over Blue Jays

AL MVP: Vlad Guerrero, TOR
NL MVP: Juan Soto, SDP
AL Cy Young: Alek Manoah, TOR
NL Cy Young: Spencer Strider, ATL
AL ROY: Oscar Colas, CHW
NL ROY: Jordan Walker, STL
   3. Jeff Francoeur's OPS Posted: March 29, 2023 at 10:02 AM (#6121684)
AL Division winners: Houston, Cleveland, Tampa
AL Wild Cards: Chicago, New York, Seattle
NL Division winners: Atlanta, St. Louis, San Diego
NL Wild Cards: Los Angeles, New York, Philadelphia
World Series matchup: Atlanta vs. Houston

AL MVP: Ohtani
NL MVP: Olson
AL Cy Young: deGrom
NL Cy Young: Fried
AL ROY: Volpe
NL ROY: Carroll
   4. Where have you gone Brady Anderson? Posted: March 29, 2023 at 11:16 AM (#6121690)
Division Winners
Toronto, Cleveland, Houston
Atlanta, St. Louis, Los Angeles

Wild Cards
New York, Tampa Bay, Seattle
New York, Philadelphia, San Diego

World Series
New York beats Toronto

MVP’s
Jose Ramirez
Ronald Acuna

Cy Young’s
Gerritt Cole
Corbin Burnes

ROY’s
Gunnar Henderson
Corbin Carroll
   5. Walt Davis Posted: March 29, 2023 at 04:02 PM (#6121706)
AL
Hou, Cle, NYY
Tor, Sea, Minn

NL
Atl, StL, LAD
NYM, SD, (that coin is still spinning)

WS winner: LAD

AL MVP: wait for it ... BUXTON ... OK, Correa
NL MVP: Ohtani (hedging my bets)

AL CYA: Bieber
NL CYA: somebody with 12 wins ... or Hunter Greene who will be lucky to have 8 wins

AL RoY: Anybody But Gunnar (actually I don't care)
NL RoY: Hayden Wesneski

And that coin has come up Giants just because nobody expects it which seems very Giants-y
   6. Steve N Posted: March 29, 2023 at 04:47 PM (#6121711)
I think that the Phillies are being vastly overrated. They were lucky last year, and, even if Harper is back at the halfway point he will not be at full go. I see them as about a .500 team.
   7. Hombre Brotani Posted: March 29, 2023 at 05:09 PM (#6121714)
AL Divisions - Blue Jays, Guardians, Astros
AL Wild Cards - Rays, Yankees, Angels
NL Divisions - Braves, Cardinals, Padres
NL Wild Cards - Dodgers, Mets, Giants
World Series - Angels over Dodgers

AL MVP: Shohei Ohtani, LAA
NL MVP: Juan Soto, SD
AL Cy Young: Shohei Ohtani, LAA
NL Cy Young: Julio Urias, LAD
AL ROY: Masataka Yoshida, BOS
NL ROY: Corbin Carroll, AZ

Shut up, I know what I did.
   8. reech Posted: March 29, 2023 at 06:21 PM (#6121723)
AL Div- Blue Jays, Guardians, Astros
AL Wild Cards - Mariners, Rays, Rangers
NL Div- Mets, Cards, Dodgers
NL Wild Cards - Padres, Braves, Giants
World Series - Mets over Astros

AL MVP: Vladdy: TOR
NL MVP: Alonzo: NY
AL Cy : DeGrom TEX
NL Cy : Scherzer NY
AL ROY: Yoshida, BOS
NL ROY: Walker STL

LFGM
   9. Walt Davis Posted: March 29, 2023 at 07:10 PM (#6121729)
I think that the Phillies are being vastly overrated. They were lucky last year, and, even if Harper is back at the halfway point he will not be at full go. I see them as about a .500 team.

I agree with the latter but "6th best record in a 15-team league" is pretty much the definition of crapshoot and the only reason to think it won't be a team that is "about 500" is because there's a reasonable chance the "about 500" team actually finished with the 5th-best record. The Rays had 86 wins last year, Phils 87. In theory in 2021, the Reds would have made the playoffs with 83 wins, just ahead of the 82 win Phils. (6th-best record depends a lot on overall interleague performance and whether the Dodgers decide to win 110 or just 95.)
   10. Howie Menckel Posted: March 29, 2023 at 11:10 PM (#6121749)
don't see a better place for this, so...

Jeff Passan
@JeffPassan
BREAKING: A deal is in place between the minor league players in the MLBPA and Major League Baseball on the historic first collective-bargaining agreement for minor leaguers, union officials tell ESPN. Deal is five years and includes at least 2x pay at all levels of the minors.
9:57 PM · Mar 29, 2023
·
1.5M
Views
   11. cardsfanboy Posted: March 30, 2023 at 12:02 AM (#6121750)

AL Division winners: East. NYY, Central Cleveland, West Hou. (yes same as last year)
AL Wild Cards: LAA, TBR, Sea
NL Division winners: East Phil, Central STL, East Padres
NL Wild Cards: Padres, Atlanta, Mets
World Series matchup: Cardinals vs Yankees.
World Series winner: Cardinals.


AL MVP: Ohtani
NL MVP: Soto
AL Cy Young: Valdez
NL Cy Young: Nola
AL ROY: Henderson
NL ROY: Walker
   12. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 30, 2023 at 12:15 AM (#6121751)

I think that the Phillies are being vastly overrated. They were lucky last year, and, even if Harper is back at the halfway point he will not be at full go. I see them as about a .500 team.


I don't disagree but the NL seems very top heavy. There are the Padres/Dodgers/Braves/Mets/Cardinals in some order, then the Brewers and Phillies and Giants seem kinda mediocre, then everyone else looks pretty shitty. A sixth team has to make the playoffs, and with Dombrowski, the Phillies will probably make a big move this summer to go all in again.
   13. cardsfanboy Posted: March 30, 2023 at 12:39 AM (#6121754)
The Phils might be overrated, but who else is there? The NL is kinda locked in the west with Dodgers and Padres clearly the two best teams in the league. The Central is garbage, Cardinals can be great or could just be good, but only one team is coming out of there, if the Cardinals falter, the Brewers are good enough to back up into the spot and with the balanced schedule, no wild card is coming from that division. The east is stacked with teams that are equally the same. Mets and Braves are clearly the class in the division, but the Marlins and Nationals suck as much as the Braves and Mets are good.

In reality the only teams in the NL that have a chance for the playoffs is the Padres, Dodgers, Braves, Mets, Cardinals (best odds on that group) and of the lesser chances it's really just the Brewers and Phils... you can reach for the stars and add the Giants, but I think that requires a bit of a stretch.
   14. cardsfanboy Posted: March 30, 2023 at 12:45 AM (#6121755)
I did forget to mention that I think it's very likely that Kodai Senga deserves ROY but ends up losing... because we all know that bbwaa writers are the absolute worst and will find any reason to knock a guy like him down a spot or two.
   15. SoSH U at work Posted: March 30, 2023 at 07:50 AM (#6121761)
The Phils might be overrated, but who else is there?


Someone. The one thing I would bet on is the Top 6 is not identical to last year. I doubt it's ever happened in the WC era. Now, choosing that someone is the tricky part, but I'm sure a team will emerge from the 2022 "And the rest" pack to grab a playoff spot.

Of course, you avoided the mistake of picking a repeat of 2022 by predicting the Padres will win both the division and the wild card.
   16. Howie Menckel Posted: March 30, 2023 at 10:51 AM (#6121774)
Diamondbacks seem like a good "surprise" option
   17. cardsfanboy Posted: March 30, 2023 at 01:09 PM (#6121795)
Of course, you avoided the mistake of picking a repeat of 2022 by predicting the Padres will win both the division and the wild card.


Damnit, I kept flipping between Dodgers and Padres and never fixed the final line, nor even noticed it. Obviously the Padres wild card should be Dodgers for me.
   18. My name is Votto, and I love to get Moppo Posted: March 30, 2023 at 04:52 PM (#6121883)
My picks:

AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros
WC: Twins, Guardians, Orioles

NL: Mets, Cardinals, Padres
WC: Dodgers, Braves, Giants

MVP: Carlos Correa, Pete Alonso
Cy Young: Cristian Javier, Aaron Nola

Final Four: Rays over Twins, Padres over Braves
WS Champ: Padres

Others:
SB leader has at least 80
Luis Castillo strikes out the most hitters
Judge hits 50+ homeruns again, Stanton hits <20
Braves lead the NL in runs

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