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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Wednesday, August 31, 2022Aaron Judge home run debate: Roger Maris’ untainted 61 is real record
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: August 31, 2022 at 12:26 PM | 59 comment(s)
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1. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: August 31, 2022 at 12:46 PM (#6093875)So here's to Judge beating Ryan Howard's hallowed record of 58.
More truer words never written (okay that is probably an exaggeration... but I whole heartedly agree with this)
Trollbait.
For once, I agree with Clapper.
There really isn't any point in rehashing the PED debate for the umpteenth time. Judge is having a fantastic season. And frankly, I love that he decided to bet on himself, and is then might crank 60+ HR.
I actually feel similarly about the AL MVP debate. Judge is having the season he's having, and Ohtani is *gestures at everything*. The debate quickly devolves into arguing over the DH penalty, roster spot games, etc.
Just appreciating these types of seasons should be enough
The pitcher/hitter thing doesn’t mean he wins automatically. He should win if the total of his pitching + hitting is greater than everyone else. And as of today, by bbref WAR he’s #2 after Judge. The fact that Judge’s team is winning the division and the Angels’ record is pathetic means Judge should get benefit of the doubt if they finish very close to each other.
60 by Wladimir Balentien in 2013.
I wasn't there but the historical record seems to show that Ruth's accomplishments were denigrated at the time, as well. I always enjoy the retrospective articles where people complain about "kids today" throughout the eras, and it sounds *Exactly* the same 150 years ago as it does today.
It's sad that people are choosing to use Judge's accomplishment to grind an axe that has been dull for well over a decade. Some people love to grumble rather than celebrate greatness, for reasons that are lost on me.
Just with Judge and Ohtani alone it's an exciting time to be a baseball fan - even if it's not such a fab time to be a Red Sox fan, specifically. I'm rooting for Judge to keep putting up BIG numbers, no question about it.
I wasn't there but the historical record seems to show that Ruth's accomplishments were denigrated at the time, as well.
As much as I've read about Ruth and his 1927 season, I can't remember anyone knocking his record. On the contrary. Prior to that there'd been complaints about his training habits and his envelope pushing at contract time, but by 1927 about the only criticism of Ruth was more of an aesthetic lament over the demise of "scientific baseball" of the deadball era variety.
The only thing I remember reading was in regards to his 29 or 54 hr season, in which someone said something like "now that he's set an impossible record, he should return to playing baseball" or something like that, indicating that the hr record was thought of as an outlier season and that it wasn't real baseball.
More like 3000 years.
He's having an amazing season any way you want to slice it.
59 2017 Giancarlo Stanton
58 2006 Ryan Howard
54 2010 Jose Bautista
54 2007 Alex Rodriguez
54 2006 David Ortiz
53 2019 Pete Alonso
53 2013 Chris Davis
52 2017 Aaron Judge
51 2022 Aaron Judge
51 2005 Andruw Jones
50 2007 Prince Fielder
Here and here are some posts from River Ave Blues, via the Wayback Machine. One from before the 2013 draft, and the other after the Yankees drafted him.
Seems like Judge was seen as a bit of a project.
#15: My recollection (I was 15 that season and a huge fan of Mantle) was that 90% of the carping was due to the season increasing from 154 to 162 games (and Maris had 59 thru 154), with the others lamenting that the Babe's record shouldn't be broken by a .270 hitter.
Sandy River,
Right on both counts. I always thought (and still think) that the first complaint was legitimate (what if they'd gone to a PCL 192 game season?), but the second one was completely bogus, and was mostly advanced by the sort of writers (and others) who just didn't see Maris as a worthy successor to the Babe. And the irony there is that many of those writers (and fans) were always finding Mantle himself to be an unworthy successor to Dimaggio. People now recall that Maris was booed in Yankee Stadium (he was, but not in 1961), but what they often forget to mention is that Mantle was the target of similar boos on and off all the way up through 1960.
------------------------
The only thing I remember reading was in regards to his 29 or 54 hr season, in which someone said something like "now that he's set an impossible record, he should return to playing baseball" or something like that, indicating that the hr record was thought of as an outlier season and that it wasn't real baseball.
cfb,
That complaint was voiced after Ruth was dumped by Frazee, and was echoed by (among many) the editor of the 1920 Spalding Base Ball Guide. At that point his record was 29, and his critics were fighting a losing battle against the sort of power-based offense that the Babe had introduced. They said that the Red Sox were lucky to be done with him.
But after 1920 and 1921 even those critics pretty much kept quiet, though when Ruth began having problems with (euphemism alert) curfew they went right back on his case again.
Who was the rookie who preceded Judge in his home run debut feat?
Hell, with a .296 avg vs a league leader of .318 (albeit with 5 other guys between them), it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility that with a hot September - and a continued Arraez slump - Judge could challenge for the Triple Crown (although Goldschmidt has a better chance).
I'd suggest several rows back in LF on Mon Oct 3 through Wed Oct 5 in Texas. Say hi to BDC. (Note includes a double-header so 4 chances.) Granted, if he's on 59, 60 or 61, the other 4,576 people who show up will be sitting there too.
Wondering if Judge had any shot at 400 TB (not really) inspired:
AJ 2022 296/399/664, 104 R, 113 RBI, 20 doubles, 0 triples, 51 HR, 312 TB (31 games to go)
SS 2001 328/437/737, 146 R, 160 RBI, 34 doubles, 5 triples, 64 HR, 425 TB
The rate stat gap and maybe at least some of the TB gap are likely era differences (AJ 199 OPS+; SS 203) but that Sosa season gets too easily overlooked due to Bonds' 73 the same year and of course the controversy. They still pitched to Sosa so he beat Bonds by 17 R, 23 RBI and 14 TB.
I have a ticket for the day game on 10/4! But I will be way up the RF line and in foul territory. I sit there because it's near the best beer stand.
Early in the 2017 season, I dissuaded a normie friend of mine from picking up Judge in our fantasy league, because he struck out too much, and the projections weren't buying into his early hot streak. He was never a likely convert, but all hope was lost after that.
You're basically saying Judge should win it because he has better teammates. This is the thing we all rage about and here you are posting this. So if Ohtani was with NY and Judge with the Angels, would you be inclined to give the MVP to Ohtani because He's the guy that's going to make them a first round bye. Full stop even though Judge too is having an historic season and leads in WAR(both flavours)
That would be Tyler Austin, who along with Judge foreshadowed the Yankees return to contender status after the quick but harrowing 2016 rebuild. IIRC, that day’s OmniChatter had a fair number of tongue-in-cheek comparisons to Ruth & Gehrig. Half right isn’t bad in such matters.
It seems like 100 years ago that the Big Time rookie callup in 2016 was the stiff to end all stiffs, Gary Sanchez. 20 home runs and 3.0 WAR in 53 games, and then 8.7 WAR total in the 5 years after that.
I assume I had my doubts about Judge due to his K-rate too. In my defense, I probably said something like "he'll have to hit a Ruthian 400/800 on contact" so ... not wrong! :-)
Jose is the Primate with the Frazier fetish.
This is a fan who has his priorities in the right order.
That’s the BBTF spirit, but if you retain sufficient mobility function, moving anywhere in RF for Judge’s PA should put you well within his range. An AL HR record ball presumably would be worth quite a bit - bring your glove if it’s in play.
I've got $25 to BDC if he spills a significant quantity of beer on Zack Hample in a scrum for a Judge HR ball.
Roger Maris in 1961 had a BABIP of .209. His career average was quite low (.254, 22 points below league average for the time), but .209 is 27 points worse than his second-lowest figure. Not sure if there's an option out there to find the lowest BABIP figures for full-time players, but I have to think Maris in '61 would rank quite high (or low) on the list.
babip is a stat that you can sort in stathead, so if you have it, it's easy enough to figure out based upon the criteria (pa) of your choice
I'm kind of with you on this, jj. Sosa never failed a test and never was caught communicating with a known dealer or "lab". According to Wiki, the NYT reported that unnamed attorneys reported he had failed a test. Pretty weak. I acknowledge it "looks bad" when a player goes from 40 to 66 home runs, but other players from that era have gotten a pass on gaudy numbers that they put up (pick one or more from Piazza, I-Rod, Walker, Thomas, Randy Johnson).
would be interesting if a player was willing to cheat, but when it comes to PEDs....
to paraphrase Meat Loaf, "I would do anything to cheat, but I WON'T DO THAT!"
I don't really think it would be that difficult to find someone willing to do one without the other. A guy may be perfectly willing to doctor his equipment but he doesn't want to doctor his body for fear of side effects/legal consequences/etc.
Around here, most of us are ambivalent to roiders, if the league didn't care, why should we? (and even the roid bashers around here, outside of a couple, usually have reasonable degree arguments)
But yes, back in the day, the majority of the fans rooted for the power numbers and didn't care how they happened until after the fact. Then they got righteous.
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