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Sunday, October 09, 2022
Aroldis Chapman’s unpredictability on the mound already had his playoff chances in jeopardy, but he made sure he wouldn’t be on the ALDS roster when he blew off a team workout on Friday.
The Yankees’ veteran left-handed reliever was supposed to throw live batting practice on Friday in the Bronx but missed it with “not an acceptable excuse,” manager Aaron Boone said Sunday.
GM Brian Cashman said he fined Chapman, who posted a 4.46 ERA during the regular season and was no guarantee to make the playoff roster even if he showed up to Friday’s workout.
“There’s some questions about whether he’s been all in or not for a little while,” Cashman said.
Chapman is currently in Miami after the Yankees asked him to stay away from the team for now.
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1. Jack Sommers Posted: October 09, 2022 at 02:43 PM (#6100154)Had he been a good team guy maybe he would have got back on roster for the ALCS if they made it that far, but it ain't happening now.
How many millions has this cost him in free agency ? I'd think quite a few.
But Wagner's failures in the post season, no matter how small the sample, loom large in his narrative. Chapman, despite getting walked off by Altuve in 2019, has a pretty decent post season track record.
Chapman would have needed a pretty big bounce back in 2023 and for a few seasons to get back on a HOF track. But that train has gone off the rails.
Can I p!ss off the Yankees and get sent to Miami? (Like, say, in January...?)
But that we're seriously talking about HOF track for a 34 year old with 19 career WAR is pretty good indication of how absurd putting relievers into the hall is.
Wagner 903 IP, 187 ERA+, 422 saves, 28 WAR
Kimbrel 688 IP, 177 ERA+, 394 saves, 22 WAR
Jansen 769 IP, 159 ERA+, 391 saves, 20 WAR
It's hard for relievers to accumulate WAR in current usage. Jansen has just 4.3 over the last 5 seasons; Kimbrel just 4.1. Jansen can catch Wagner in saves and maybe IP but is pretty hopelessly behind in ERA+ and WAR -- basically he needs three dominant seasons to catch him, equal to the three best of his career to have any shot. Kimbrel is worse off in IP but better off in WAR and ERA+ -- his chances are probably a bit better in that he's had 6 big seasons and needs just 2 more to pull even with Wagner.
I suppose since modern closers never get a chance to accumulate innings and therefore Rrep, there is actually a case that they might be better compared to other HoFers via WAA. It still doesn't work well for them -- Jansen 11, Kimbrel 12, Wagner 16.5. Even Tony Perez made it to 18 WAA, Rice 19. Brock had just 8 though, Lemon 15, Catfish 6. That might be the best case to make for guys like this. (FWIW, Mo made it to 32.5; Eck to 30; but a guy like Sutter just 11.)
If that is persuasive (I'm not really trying to persuade here) then maybe the best comparison is to Cs who have a natural limit to how much replacement value they can accumulate. Simmons had 19 WAA (which under-rates him), Munson 25, Freehan 21 and Piazza 36 -- closers still aren't close other than Mo.
23 of Eck's WAA came as a starter. Eck is in the Hall due to his closer years, where he got just 17 WAR and 7.6 WAA.
I mean, Jansen hasn't really been himself since his heart surgery, if not before. Even last year, which looked sort of like a regular Kenley year, featured the worst BB/9 of his career and K rates well off his peak.
Jansen's a great story and once upon a time he was a very exciting player to watch. But he hasn't been an excellent reliever in years.
I cleaned up that sentence for you.
You mean Mariano Rivera can't fly with just the power of his mind?
I think they were holding him back for a save situation.
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