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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, May 09, 2023A’s revisit other Vegas stadium sites as legislative process lags
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: May 09, 2023 at 11:18 AM | 30 comment(s)
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1. Doug Jones threw harder than me Posted: May 09, 2023 at 03:56 PM (#6127648)A's pull out of binding agreement, now trying for the Trop
This still requires them to get $395 million from the State of Nevada, with the legislative session for this year AND NEXT set to end June 2nd, without any legislation even having been drafted.
This has been the obvious plan for YEARS, so there's no way in hell it happens.
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/as-pivot-to-new-site-for-vegas-baseball-stadium-lowering-public-funding-request
I don't see how this fixes their problem with the legislature.
Is the Tropicana not an historic landmark of some sort? Is there some better symbol of the last 70 years of America than a cheesy casino.
Yes, it is. And in proper Vegas fashion, what you do with a pile like that is blow it the #### up.
He took the highway and it cost me something like 20 bucks. When it was time to go back home I got into a cab told the guy take me to the airport and i spent like 1 minute in the can before i was at the curb of the airport.
Turns out Willeston is a street about 100 feet long that juts off the intersection of Lambton Quay and Willis St. A normal person would have have kept calling the street Lambton Quay but no .... so the corner of Willis St and Willeston which happens to be directly across Willis St from the corner of Lambton Quay and Willis. Not confusing at all.
At least the cabbie didn't charge me.
Then clearly you didn't eat from the breakfast buffet.
He's OPSing 1.084 now - and he OPSed 1.044 in half a season at AAA last year.
Before that, .931 full season at AAA in 2021.
Didn't play in 2020, but in 2019 he OPSed .933 in half a season at AAA.
2018, full season at AA, "just" .798 with about 60 XBH in 130 games.
So it seems like he always could hit; I assumed his glove must be deeply suspect or something.
He's still not my pick for AL ROY - that'd be Jordan "3 HR at Yankee Stadium" Diaz - but I don't mind if those guys finish top 2, in whichever order.
Sure, but not like this. He seems to have always had projectible power but was starting to resemble a AAAA player and had been passed around by several organizations in the last few years. His projections at the beginning of the season didn't suggest he was going to be a quality hitter for a corner OFer. Even now, with an extra 130 PAs of insane production he only projects forward as having a ~117-119 wRC+.
Meanwhile his statcast numbers most back up what he's doing in terms of on-contact production and his BB%/K% are arguably as good as any he's had since rookie ball 6 years ago.
He's not likely to hit HRs on 30% of his flyballs and maybe the .337 BABIP is unsustainable (though it's hardly outrageous). But this seems like a real breakout into a very good, if not elite, MLB hitter from a guy who was freely available in the offseason. I think there is more to it than he hit well in the minors and is now 28. Maybe not though, that's why I'm asking.
He's still not my pick for AL ROY - that'd be Jordan "3 HR at Yankee Stadium" Diaz - but I don't mind if those guys finish top 2, in whichever order.
Wasn't even aware of Diaz, looks kinda like Johnathan Schoop statistically. His 2023 success looks...less sustainable.
has always been considered a plus clubhouse guy, afaict, though. easy to root for.
Rooker 235/334/462, 122 OPS+, 290 BABIP, 5% HR, 29% K, 9% BB, 91 EV, 50% HH, 29% LD
Wisdom 219/305/475, 112 OPS+, 290 BABIP, 6% HR, 37% K, 10% BB, 91 EV, 50% HH, 23% LD
Rooker looks slightly better overall (K and LD rates) but (a) Wisdom is over 1100 ML PAs now and (b) Wisdom is a below-average 3B rather than a below-average OF/DH. Rooker off to a great start this year but it's just 128 PA, maybe pitchers just haven't found his weak spot yet. I suspect we could find similar 128 PA stretches for Wisdom -- OK< maybe not any where he hit over 300 or didn't K 30% of the time but Wisdom does still have the higher HR rate this year. If the K rate difference is for real, even at 37 vs 29, that's a huge advantage for Rooker.
He gave a very thoughtful interview in Fangraphs a couple years ago.
Rooker looks slightly better overall (K and LD rates) but (a) Wisdom is over 1100 ML PAs now and (b) Wisdom is a below-average 3B rather than a below-average OF/DH. Rooker off to a great start this year but it's just 128 PA, maybe pitchers just haven't found his weak spot yet. I suspect we could find similar 128 PA stretches for Wisdom -- OK< maybe not any where he hit over 300 or didn't K 30% of the time but Wisdom does still have the higher HR rate this year. If the K rate difference is for real, even at 37 vs 29, that's a huge advantage for Rooker.
Interesting comp and I agree that the defense certainly gives Wisdom an edge that requires Rooker to rake to match up in terms of total value.
One thing I noticed is that they have the same CSW% this year (29.3 to 29.6, although bigger for their career). A quick look at the leaderboards suggests that K% and CSW% are not super closely correlated (at least not so far this season and I'm too lazy to do 2022). Guys like Wisdom and Jung have CSW% rates in the 40s and are top 10 in K%. Matt Olson is 62nd in K% but 6th in K%! So yeah, that tells us nothing.
Anyway, if Mason Miller doesn't need TJ surgery I now have a second reason to watch the A's. Which is kind of a lot of reasons all things considered.
Wisdom 403/1030
Rooker 446/944
So obviously both destroying the ball when they hit it. Right now Rooker is hitting it a lot more often. (Both with 2 foul outs by the way.)
Judge hits the ball as hard as anybody, quite possibly as hard as anybody ever. Last year his fair split was 446/997, pretty spot on for these too.
Careers
Wisdom 387/842
Rooker 358/710
Judge 431/896 (likely even better than Ruth)
Trout 418/821
Stanton 401/823
Gallo 370/880
Ohtani 388/774
Schwarber 352/754
Thome 406/824
Mac 392/828
So all you need to turn Wisdom or Gallo into a HoFer is to cut down on the Ks (without hurting those splits) and improve the endurance. Or turn them into Judge when they do make contact (and endurance).
This year Rooker is off the non-Judgian charts but those career numbers are closer to Schwarber. I'm sure the A's would be thrilled with a few years of Schwarber. The main difference between Ohtani and Wisdom is 26% vs 36% Ks but Wisdom seems to have a bit moe raw power.
I'm just kinda fascinated that a guy like Wisdom, buried in the minors, can be one of the most powerful hitters in MLB. When he actually hits the ball, he's essentially Mark McGwire. We know the price for that (for him) is a huge strikeout rate and that all those Ks and indifferent 3B defense can drag his value all the way back to average so it's not like we can consider it a huge blunder on the part of front offices.
Cross him off, then.
Historically bad, maybe...they're projected to finish 37-125. ('62 Mets, beware!)
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