Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, May 03, 2021

Colorado Rockies name Bill Schmidt interim GM, will conduct broader search in offseason

The Colorado Rockies have appointed Bill Schmidt as their interim general manager after parting ways with Jeff Bridich.

Schmidt has been with the team for nearly 22 years and has been in his current role of vice president of scouting since Jan. 2, 2007. Schmidt also was a scout for Cleveland, the New York Yankees, Cincinnati and the Major League Baseball scouting bureau.

Colorado plans to begin a search for a permanent general manager following the postseason.

Schmidt takes over for Bridich, who recently stepped away as part of an agreement with the team. Schmidt will be in charge of the team’s baseball operations.

“After discussions with the baseball department heads, we have come to the conclusion that Bill is the right person for interim GM,” team president Greg Feasel said in a statement Monday. “Bill’s experience and his relationships from top to bottom throughout our organization, including the players, coaches and staff on the field, more than qualify him for this role.”

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 03, 2021 at 10:11 PM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: rockies

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Lowry Seasoning Salt Posted: May 04, 2021 at 01:17 AM (#6016776)
Schmidt has overseen the team's drafts since 2000, so there's a good chance this is the best in-house baseball person they have for taking over this role for the year.
   2. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: May 04, 2021 at 01:53 AM (#6016778)
Schmidt has overseen the team's drafts since 2000, so there's a good chance this is the best in-house baseball person they have for taking over this role for the year.
”We have decided that the guy who was responsible for bringing Nolan Arenado into the organization, rather than the guy responsible for alienating Arenado therefrom, is perhaps the better choice for leadership.”

EDIT: Eh, after actually looking it up…Matt Harrington, Jayson Nix, Ian Stewart, Chris Nelson, Chaz Roe, Greg Reynolds, Casey Weathers, Christian Friedrich, Tyler Matzek, Kyle Parker - and that’s only first-round picks up to 2010. So I retract any credit given or implied.
   3. Rally Posted: May 04, 2021 at 10:32 AM (#6016806)
Wow, a record of unbroken failure. I could have sworn they drafted someone decent between Nelson and Reynolds.
   4. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: May 04, 2021 at 10:53 AM (#6016815)
Yeah, I left out Tulo, but the cherries were delicious.
   5. Rally Posted: May 04, 2021 at 11:03 AM (#6016817)
Just out of curiosity I looked up how often teams hit on a first rounder. By "hit" I'm defining as a 20 WAR or better career. List is subject to change, since recent draft picks haven't had time to get there yet.

Anyway, from 1992 on, the Rockies have hit on 3 first round picks - Tulo, Story, and Helton. There have been 100 first rounders in the same time frame to get 20 WAR, or 3.3 per team. So the Rockies' first round success rate boringly and completely average.

Of course there's a lot more to success than hitting the first round picks. Tampa Bay has the best farm system in baseball and hasn't had a 20 WAR success since 2007 (Price), and the only guy drafted since who looks likely to join the group is Blake Snell, who was drafted 10 years ago.
   6. Tom Nawrocki Posted: May 04, 2021 at 11:57 AM (#6016830)
Anyway, from 1992 on, the Rockies have hit on 3 first round picks - Tulo, Story, and Helton. There have been 100 first rounders in the same time frame to get 20 WAR, or 3.3 per team. So the Rockies' first round success rate boringly and completely average.


They also got Nolan Arenado and Charlie Blackmon in the second round, and first rounders Jon Gray and Kyle Freeland have crossed 10 WAR and are still in the rotation for the Rox.

But yeah, the fact that this guy drafted Chaz Roe 32nd overall in 2005 should be completely disqualifying.
   7. Walt Davis Posted: May 04, 2021 at 06:55 PM (#6016958)
Story was a 1s pick all the way down at #45. The Rox have really had as much/more success with later picks than early ones. But yeah, they seem to have done fine on the draft/develop front. It's the FA market where they've messed up consistently.
   8. Walt Davis Posted: May 05, 2021 at 03:33 AM (#6017019)
Just out of curiosity I looked up how often teams hit on a first rounder. By "hit" I'm defining as a 20 WAR or better career.

That seems a bit high. That might constitute a "hit" on, say, picks 3-10. Even the 55 #1 picks -- to date, only 48 have made the majors and those 48 averaged 22.6 WAR ... or as it works out, just a tad under 20 WAR per pick. 2nd overall picks are still under 15 WAR per pick. #3 overall is around 12 per pick. Those numbers could go up but don't really show substantial signs of negative recency bias.

Maybe that's interesting. The numbers cited are just the ones at the bottom of the b-r page for #1, 2, and 3 overall picks over the history of the draft. But for #1 picks, the only player still active drafted 2005 or earlier is Justin Upton and he's not adding much; for #2 it's Verlander and he's not likely to add much; for #3 it's nobody. For #1, those picked after 2005 have so far added about 178 WAR. If we take that off the full total, we get 906 WAR over 40 picks which works out to 22.6 (up from 20). For #2, the pre-2006 mean and the full mean are pretty much the same; also for #3. So we might as well simplify my life and use the numbers b-r has already calculated. (well, the lazy bastards don't calculate the per pick average.)

Another way to look at is: 23 of the #1 picks have topped 20 WAR ... we might consider a "hit" (by which I mean hitting at least a small jackpot) to be 30 WAR for a #1 pick (15 players so roughly top third). Already by #2 pick, only 14 players make it to 20 WAR so 20 WAR is a hit there. For #3, it's only 9 players at 20+ WAR and 15 WAR is a top third outcome. But of course the draft is weird so at #10, you have 12 players making it to 20 WAR ... but we might still use 15 WAR as the top third. #20 is a particularly cursed spot with only 9 guys making it above 8 WAR.

Lots of folks have looked at it more carefully and thoroughly than that but the notion that a 1st round pick is supposed to become an above-average starting player for several seasons is off-base. (Not that Rally was saying that.)

Bringing it back to the Rox, they haven't had a lot of top 10 picks. The last two are Riley Pint and Brendan Rodgers so that's not a good start. Freeland (13 WAR) and Gray (11) are doing OK, Dahl not. Casey Weathers and Greg Reynolds turned out poorly but Tulo (#7) turned out great. Helton a big yes, Jeff Francis OK, 4 other guys pretty useless. Tulo and Helton get you over 100; Freeland, Gray and Francis get you to about 140. Out of 14 picks that's not great but it's not atrocious, especially since they've never had a #1 and just one #2 (that flopped).

As already pointed out, Story (#45, 20+ WAR), Arenado (#59, 41+ WAR) and Blackmon (#72, 18 WAR) are outstanding outcomes. Dexter Fowler (20 WAR) was a 14th round pick which is awesome. Meanwhile, are there any trades where they gave up substantial prospect talent? From the first round the worst was trading a very young Jake Westbrook.

The Rox might be a bit extreme in the hit and miss -- 26 of their 1st round (including supplemental and the recent ones) have either not made the majors or produced 0 or less WAR. But overall they seem fine in the first round and probably well above-average in later rounds.

Now, what about their international signings?
   9. Rally Posted: May 05, 2021 at 08:18 AM (#6017027)
But yeah, the fact that this guy drafted Chaz Roe 32nd overall in 2005 should be completely disqualifying.


You're probably not being serious here, but half of the players picked #32 overall never make it to the big leagues. Chaz ranks as the 16th best #32 pick out of 56. Maybe you're thinking you'd rather have some upside, since Chaz only throws a slider which makes him a roogy. But that's just what he became at the big league level, once upon a time he was a starter and somebody must have thought his other pitches had some potential.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Guts
for his generous support.

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogDave Roberts baffled by Angels' blowout bunt attempt, but play helps Dodgers snap losing skid in wild game
(4 - 12:51am, May 10)
Last: Tin Angel

NewsblogWhere Did the Homers Go?
(5 - 12:30am, May 10)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogNBA 2020 Season kick-off thread
(3080 - 10:39pm, May 09)
Last: "bothsidesism" word 57i66135

NewsblogOMNICHATTER for the weekend of May 8-9, 2021
(87 - 9:42pm, May 09)
Last: Snowboy

NewsblogBlue Jays moving back to Buffalo’s Sahlen Field for June 1
(1 - 9:27pm, May 09)
Last: Brian

NewsblogMets' Jacob deGrom scratched from start with right lat inflammation, avoids injured list
(14 - 8:55pm, May 09)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogNationals broadcaster F.P. Santangelo accused of sexual assault, pulled from games
(3 - 8:03pm, May 09)
Last: Starring Bradley Scotchman as RMc

NewsblogOT - Soccer Thread - Spring is in the Air
(399 - 7:43pm, May 09)
Last: The_Ex

NewsblogFormer manager, coach Ray Miller dies at 76
(3 - 6:42pm, May 09)
Last: Bourbon Samurai stays in the fight

Hall of Merit2022 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(146 - 4:34pm, May 09)
Last: cookiedabookie

NewsblogLos Angeles Angels designate slugger Albert Pujols for assignment
(146 - 2:50pm, May 09)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogFrancisco Lindor’s ‘rat’ tale unnecessary drama for Mets
(24 - 1:18pm, May 09)
Last: Dag Nabbit at ExactlyAsOld.com

Sox TherapyTap the Brakes
(5 - 1:02pm, May 09)
Last: Bad Fish

NewsblogMLB teams can’t play games under protest anymore
(29 - 9:05am, May 09)
Last: Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama

NewsblogCubs deal Sox can’t refuse: Bryant would be MVP move
(17 - 10:22pm, May 08)
Last: Walt Davis

Page rendered in 0.2718 seconds
48 querie(s) executed