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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, October 13, 2022Column: Dodgers at some point must figure out what to do with Cody Bellinger
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: October 13, 2022 at 02:56 PM | 14 comment(s)
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1. Walt Davis Posted: October 13, 2022 at 04:59 PM (#6100776)Other than C, CF was the worst-hitting position this year (by a smidgen relative to SS and 2B). Only 11 teams got a 700+ OPS out of CF and the Dodgers were 12th (I assume that's Betts and Taylor). 7 of those top 12 made the playoffs ... but so did 5 of the bottom 8 (Phi, Hou, SD, TB, Cle) ... apparently what you don't want is an average-hitting collection of CFs. :-)
But yes, you pretty obviously non-tender Bellinger. You might offer to re-sign him at $8 M or something because, unless they sign Judge, they're not likely to find anything better. But you definitely walk away at $18 M (abs min via arb would be $13.6 I think but that will never happen).
at least 20% above league average, according to the OPS+ statistic. Bellinger was 20% below league average.
It still doesn't mean that.
If they do that, the Red Sox should pick him up. Their OF is just rubbish anyway and who knows, maybe a change of scenery gets the bat back to league average and he's ok with the leather in CF.
It's tough to play an entire season (Bellinger had 550 PA) without having some value...although of the 99 players with that many PAs, four players (Nick Castellanos, Andrew Vaughn, Charlie Blackmon and Yuli Gurriel) managed to have a negative WAR in 2022.
Maybe if the Dodgers included Betts in the deal they could get a prospect or two back. The Dodgers still might have to cover some of that $18M though.
to be fair, and this need not have anything to do with bellinger specifically - it's easy to use money as a proxy for "this is how much they want or value me". if deep pocketed la didn't match or approach another offer, bellinger would be justified in thinking that the dodgers simply thought less of him than the other club - and it's super reasonable to go where you feel most wanted, even beyond $$ in and of itself.
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