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Friday, February 10, 2023

Cristian Javier extension: Astros ink five-year deal, worth reported $64 million, with World Series hero

The defending World Series champions have signed a core player to a long-term extension. The Houston Astros have inked righty Cristian Javier to a five-year contract, the team announced Friday. It is worth $64 million and includes a $2 million signing bonus, reports the Houston Chronicle. The five-year deal buys out Javier’s three arbitration years and two free agent years.

“Cristian is an outstanding pitcher, so we are really excited about signing him to a long-term deal,” Astros GM Dana Brown said in a statement. “We felt that he is the perfect candidate for this type of deal as a core piece of our rotation. This is in line with our vision to try to lock players up to sustain our success both now and in the future.”

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 10, 2023 at 06:49 PM | 4 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
Tags: astros, cristian javier

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1. Walt Davis Posted: February 10, 2023 at 08:36 PM (#6116462)

Wow. Over 300 innings, mostly as a SP and he's got a BABIP against of 224. That's incredible. 300 innings is still a small sample but there's probably some signal there.

I don't know who to comp him to moneywise. He was mostly SP in 2020, mostly RP in 2021, started 2022 as a swingman/6th starter but performed so well they didn't dare take him out of the rotation even when everybody was healthy.

Jose Berrios -- got $10 M for his first 2 arb years then signed for 7/$131 (total $20 M for his 3 arb years plus however you want to partial out his $5 M signing bonus).

Bieber got $6/$10 for his first 2 arb years. deGrom's 3 arb and first 2 FA years cost $80 M so (shocking) they aren't paying him like he's deGrom. Strider got $75 M for 3 arb years + 1 FA year with a $22 M option ($5 buyout). This is certainly cheaper than that one.

Anyway, seems fine for both sides. I'm not sure where the arbitrator would put him but 6/10/14 in are can't be ruled ruled out, l3aving 2/$34 for the FA years. I certainly don't think the Astros can complain that they got him this much cheaper than Strider while Javier of course now has a big risk-free payday under his belt.

2. John Reynard Posted: February 12, 2023 at 12:23 AM (#6116581)

This seems like a good deal for Houston given Javier's quality so far. Its not Javier's fault he was used as mostly RP in 2021.

3. Walt Davis Posted: February 12, 2023 at 03:56 AM (#6116584)

Sure, but arbitrators take usage into account. A swingman is not a full-time SP. Obviously not as good as Javier but Ryan Yarbrough got just $6.2 M for his first two arb years then got non-tendered and signed for $3 for 23. The Rays signed Springs on a 2+2 for $31 M. Stripling has been in and out of the rotation over the years and he got about $11 M over 4 arb years and now 2/$25. It's moot, the Astros are clearly paying him like a starter.

4. sunday silence (again) Posted: February 16, 2023 at 11:16 PM (#6117543)

Wow. Over 300 innings, mostly as a SP and he's got a BABIP against of 224. That's incredible. 300 innings is still a small sample but there's probably some signal there.

this article (among others) suggests that BaBIP rate for pitchers almost never stabilizes.

http://web.archive.org/web/20080112135748/mvn.com/mlb-stats/2008/01/06/on-the-reliability-of-pitching-stats/

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Friday, February 10, 2023

Cristian Javier extension: Astros ink five-year deal, worth reported $64 million, with World Series hero

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