Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, January 04, 2021

Did Payroll Matter in 2020?

When it came to winning baseball games last year, payroll was not a significant factor. It’s worth noting that if we used BaseRuns standings, the correlation coefficient (r) moves up to .3, which is in line with what it was for actual wins and payroll for most of the last decade. Here’s a year-by-year look at wins and payrolls over the years….

On its face, last year’s correlation is the lowest since before baseball’s strike. As with much of 2020, the lack of a full season tends to distort the numbers and our ability to get value from them. Would the Marlins and Astros have maintained their roughly .500 trajectories, or would they have moved more toward their projected status? Looking at BaseRuns shows a significantly higher correlation between expected wins and projected payroll, and it’s likely that a full season would have resulted in a much stronger relationship, but the shortened season limits certainty.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 04, 2021 at 06:14 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: payroll

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Adam S
for his generous support.

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogVeteran starter David Price offers to move to the bullpen if it helps the Dodgers
(2 - 1:08am, Mar 09)
Last: Joyful Calculus Instructor

NewsblogCanadian Baseball Hall of Fame pitcher Rhéal Cormier dies at 53
(3 - 11:26pm, Mar 08)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogLos Angeles Dodgers' Trevor Bauer pitches shutout inning vs. San Diego Padres with one eye closed
(27 - 11:21pm, Mar 08)
Last: base ball chick

NewsblogThe One Start, One Shutout Wonders
(5 - 11:15pm, Mar 08)
Last: SoSH U at work

NewsblogAlbert Pujols could keep playing to reach 700 career homers: 'If I’m close to it, why not?'
(168 - 10:57pm, Mar 08)
Last: base ball chick

NewsblogNBA 2020 Season kick-off thread
(1943 - 10:52pm, Mar 08)
Last: rr doesn't talk to pawns

NewsblogMLB suspends free agent Sam Dyson for entire 2021 season
(16 - 9:33pm, Mar 08)
Last: flournoy

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 3-8-2021
(4 - 9:26pm, Mar 08)
Last: vortex of dissipation

NewsblogOT - Soccer Thread - Winter Is Here
(913 - 5:32pm, Mar 08)
Last: Richard

NewsblogEmpty Stadium Sports Will Be Really Weird
(12245 - 4:09pm, Mar 08)
Last: .

Sox TherapyA Week Without Me
(7 - 3:03pm, Mar 08)
Last: Darren

NewsblogJake Odorizzi reaches 2-year deal with Houston Astros, source says
(16 - 12:32pm, Mar 08)
Last: The Gary DiSarcina Fan Club (JAHV)

NewsblogUniversal DH and expanded postseason unlikely for 2021 MLB season, per report
(35 - 8:07pm, Mar 07)
Last: Ron J

NewsblogWe found them: They're the worst team ever
(4 - 1:06pm, Mar 07)
Last: puck

NewsblogSource: Former Boston Red Sox CF Jackie Bradley Jr. to sign 2-year, $24M deal with Milwaukee Brewers
(28 - 11:58am, Mar 06)
Last: snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster)

Page rendered in 0.2322 seconds
46 querie(s) executed