Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, April 28, 2020
So, with the very likely possibility that baseball and basketball — at minimum — will be played to empty stadiums, it begs the question: Will it be as fun?
And before you answer, think about it for a second. No crowd noise. No intensity that builds for the home team or against the away team. Yes, the scoreboard will tell the tale, but the pressure is cranked up when you have a building full of crazy fans screaming their lungs out.
I get that it’s a business and that the money’s at the ML level, but considering crowds, distance from population centers, and the pleasures of relaxed fandom, I’ve been thinking that we might just run some mLs instead.
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OK, so far so good...
Yep...
Just couldn't possibly do it without being a dick, could you?
Many of the Republicans would claim in their floor speeches that "Trump must be held accountable"-- and then, in their votes, proceeded to... not hold him accountable.
How utterly morally bankrupt and anti-American the GOP has become.
and someone will show up to say, BUT THAT'S TWICE AS MANY AS YOU THOUGHT!!!!1111!!!ELEVENTY!!!!!
Someone alluded to Lucy and the football the yesterday or the day before, and so it ever is.
How about in place of party closure the RICO Laws?
Well, we need witnesses and stuff for the Senate trial. That takes time. A lot of time.
Too bad there are no tapes of what Trump said, or documentation of why the NG took so long, or Republicans who had to hole up in the Capitol. Maybe then the vote would have been different.
ETA: Let's see if the Ditch the ##### vote on Lynne Cheney draws more.
Charlie Sykes unearthed this quote from Ulysses Grant:
Fun fact: the Mason-Dixon line was not the border between Union and Confederacy but between free and slave states. Maryland and Delaware were south the the Mason-Dixon line, but never joined the CSA.
the Jersey coast south of Barnegat; Glassboro including Stockton State, or Rowan as it's now called. Drawn to settle the border between aMD and PA and to give Pynchon a platform for a wonderful novel.
I'm still pretty confident of the effectiveness of the ones available in North America. Moderately confident that the side effects will be acceptable and ... moderately concerned about the actual roll out.
My father-in-law got the first dose in FL last week. We were a little worried about him because he has very severe allergies (to various foods and bee stings), but he had no adverse reaction to the vaccine. So that’s a good sign as well.
Grant made the mistake of thinking patriotism entailed wanting what's best for the country, not the modern version that means what's best for the Republican party.
First, you subtract one for Boebert. She's so big on the Trump playbook I think she's angling to be his next wife. As for many of the rest, I don't even think it's party over country and it's instead about making certain they appease the voters back home.
No defense of it here. Just noting I think a bunch of it is the usual "once in power just stay in power" mentality even more than standing by elephant- (or donkey-) decorated laundry.
You misspelled "passive-aggressively".
It wasn't that hard. Most Republicans are just gutless cowards, that's all.
There's plenty of room for interpretation here, as Sweden, more than most nations, seems to report deaths weeks or even months later, and doesn't report 7 days a week. But still, hardly strong support for the remaining 'Sweden found the magic formula' crowd. (Toby Young, kind of a crappier British Ben Shapiro(!), has today deleted most of his 2020 Tweets claiming that a second wave wasn't happening, and touting various "lockdown sceptics" as being the only ones with the right analysis.)
Scandianvian update:
Sweden: 1,005 deaths/million
Denmark: 286
Finland: 111
Norway: 94
Iceland: 85
Ha ha ha- This made me laugh out loud- so typical. He squandered his legacy and didn't even get paid!!!!!!!!
Nobody could have predicted...
I really hope Rudy sues him for payment — if nothing else, the potential comedic value of such litigation is off the charts.
with Michael Cohen testifying for both sides!
ETAsk: And what turned Alan Dershowitz into such a total scumbag?
Still, he's always seemed to me to have a strong contrarian POV -- I honestly am surprised when I find him on the majority side of any contentious issue. And frankly given his reading of FA and political speech he'd have argued that Trumps actions were legally OK even if he wasn't getting paid.
Man, are we screwed.
He was always nothing more than a huge self-promoter, always looking for the next spotlight. Being a scumbag comes with that territory.
Making the federal prosecutors' jobs easy.
i like to compare "political correctness" to when smoking was banned in restaurants around 2 decades ago.
everyone benefits from its existence, but the people who benefit the most are the ones who most aggressively oppose it.
there's a huge difference between actively suppressing the craziest opinions you have, or chasing them down a facetube rabbits nest and letting all the looney toons out, all the time.
(i'm sure this sounds weird coming from me, btw; that's kind of the point)
What did Kuntsler and Kuby do? I know they defended the blind sheik and other unsavory types, but everyone is entitled to a defense. There's probably something I missed but it seems like a stretch to lump them in with Dershowitz.
They actually have a specific charge for that? Daymn.
Fitting name for an insurrectionist.
(Yes, I know I'm being misleading by omitting his last name; it's a joke. Come to think of it, though, the fact that his parents named him Robert Lee suggests they either had Confederate sympathies or were not thinking carefully enough when they named him)
Even money if you meet a Bob or Robert from the south that his middle name is Lee. Not sure where Sanford is from, but I'm sure those sentiments exist in the north.
Do they?
And maybe that they were dyslexic.
Do they deserve a defense? Is that the question? Not in Trump's America, but in the US, yes.
Does a terrorist deserve top legal talent such as Kuby or Kuntsler?
Or who can't have the attorney they want? Or who can't represent someone if s/he wants to?
If we're making these calls, why not just skip the trial anyway?
if there's a question of legal import (and make no mistake, the torture of suspected terrorists raised such a question), then it's reasonable to expect it would draw the attention of high-powered legal talent.
11756 and your prior posts, sir (or ma'am) you may think of yourself as law abiding, and may indeed be so. That fact will not prevent you from being accused of crime (say, mistakenly or through neglect).
If you ever find yourself in that unfortunate position (and culpable or not, it is terrible to be accused of a crime). I hope your counsel formulates ideas better than you do. I guarantee you that if you ever do find yourself in that position (and I sincerely hope you do not), you will be whining for counsel like nobody's business. No shame in that.
Among many other things, Kunstler defended one of the Central Park 5 (later exonerated; remember when the president, pre-election, of course, took out the ad condemning them?). This when he was in his 60's or 70's. Defending (competently) people accused a crime is very arduous work. I tip my hat off to him.
Dershowitz is great legal mind; tried some heavy cases (although it helps to have Harvard law students on your team).
Mr. Kuby I remember from the Goetz case; but I don't put him in the same class as the other two. And that class is someone you want when your rear end is on the line.
I would say that to you if I had a face to face encounter with you (although I don't seek it).
Be well.
If a top lawyer chooses to defend a despicable client due to defense of some important principal, then fine.
It's a far from perfect system in that a decent chunk of people the Innocence Project deals with are in prison thanks to the lack of competence from their initial defense.
and defending Terrorists that bomb the WTC and maniacs such as Colin Ferguson.
And yes- scumbags don't deserve top legal talent that could be defending more deserving cases.
11762 One can be critical of lawyers, certainly. You can be critical of "Race Horse" Haines whose fee was "everything you got." It doesn't make him anything less of a lawyer, or a human being.
One can also be critical, perhaps, of lawyers who defend large corporations and insurers against suits by severely injured people; or lawyers who facilitate speculative investment transactions, such as what led to the 2008 crisis (which caused great damage to the nation and its citizens); or lawyers who facilitate the takeover of businesses in such that competition is reduced to the detriment of consumers. But, of course, there's no right to counsel in those transactions. Then again, it can be tough to be a lawyer.
Also, please permit me to correct my post 11664; the person suspected is alleged to be from the Chester, PA fire department and NOT to have been involved in the killing of the police officer. So, the spokesperson from the Chicago FD turns out to be correct after all (and indeed worth every penny of his/her salary).
And some people will be drawn to defend unpopular causes precisely because the might not get a competent defense otherwise.
Any time somebody advance a "terrorists shouldn't get good legal defense" argument I bring up Richard Jewell. Very little doubt in my mind that if coercive interrogation had been permitted (the authorities were absolutely convinced of his guilt) they'd have gotten a confession and he's have gone to prison.
For all the faults of the American system I vastly prefer it to the Japanese one. The combination of coercive interrogation and the cultural issues with taking unpopular cases basically mean if you're accused you're going to prison.
The lawyers and capitalists here will yell at me, but I'd nationalize the criminal law. Everyone has a public defender. You draw a name at the beginning and that's who defends you. Letting those who are well off have competent lawyers while the poor get (very often, I'm probably painting with too broad a brush) crappy ones is a big part of exacerbating wealth inequality.
In that world, I would agree, the worst criminals deserve equal defense. The point is, they don't deserve better.
(Which isn't an argument that, as it stands now, they shouldn't be defended. As many have pointed out, everyone deserves competent defense).
So Rudy mano a mano if Trump is indicted?
CDC has reported only 335,000 of those so far, so they are just a little behind.
My brother's a recently retired naval officer. He continues to reassure me that the military will not follow an illegal order. And the Joint Chiefs put out that letter a few days ago -- it's bad enough that they felt they had to release it, but good enough that they stood up for the rule of law.
And if you want to feel better, big business much prefers stability to chaos. Civil wars aren't good for the bottom line. And that's the most important component of the power structure in this country.
That said, we've gone through a lot of "can't happen" scenarios the last four years that have, in fact, wound up happening. So I hear where you're coming from.
I have a Xanax prescription that I use whenever I fly. Only time I ever pop them -- until the last couple months. We're almost home, the plane is finally descending, and we're hitting some pretty wicked turbulence. But planes are built to handle it. We're about to find out if our country is.
I'm sure you saw that story that the vaccine "reserve" the administration was about to release doesn't in fact exist. It is incomprehensible to me that any rational person would want this regime to last a minute longer. But the operative word is "rational".
I'm rambling here, but one last thought -- On 1/6, many Capitol Police officers overcame inadequate leadership, and in some cases the non-cooperation of some of their own peers, to save the lives of hundreds of US legislators. On 1/13, 197 of those legislators paid them back with a big middle finger.
Here in Boulder county the percentage of positives has been under 5% for a while but the number of new infections per capita is still far higher than it had been March-August. (Graph of 5-day rolling average.)
And this is a fairly compliant area (in terms masks in public places I guess). Are the infections mostly coming from social gatherings?
I'm also in Boulder County and here's my vaguely educated guess, spoken as someone who has physically left home for work every single day of the pandemic but who also rarely leaves the city of Boulder. Social gatherings may play a role, but when I'm driving in town and when I am downtown, what I've noticed is that business activity remains ongoing. Think delivery drivers, plumbers, construction sites, etc. Ultimately, while we've had restaurant and bar closures/restrictions, and there are loads of people working from home, there are still lots of people out and about all the time. Then some of those people also go to social gatherings. Add it all up, and as long as this much business activity is taking place, until more widespread vaccination has been done, I think it's gong to be difficult to get the positivity rate down much more, even with the mild winter we've had.
4000 deaths a day, and they still can't be bothered to take the most basic of protective measures. All because of the need to Make A Statement.
Frisco pastor urges followers to keep guns loaded, stock up on food and water before Biden inauguration
I have a client who is pretty conscientious about covid precautions but they are a medical clinic (ophthalmologist) that's been open the whole time. 20-30 staff on site at all times, maybe that many patients. They enforce the mask rule for everyone and try not to let the patients bunch up. Still, you have a patient in an exam room, then another, then another. There's no chance for the air to clear out much.
They've had employees catch Covid but after the contract tracing they are pretty sure it hasn't spread from employee to employee or from patient to employee--there was always someone in the employee's household where it seemed more likely that is where the infection came from. I don't know how many grains of salt to take that with.
My other Boulder County clients are pretty careful as well. Many are WFH, they distance as much as possible, wear masks in the office. But I'm sure there are plenty of businesses not taking it seriously.
Too bad it's not really feasible to make people tour the ICU's, like how Germans were shown the death camps.
I just signed up for my first Pfizer dose on 2/1. Sooner than I expected.
many (fewer) people are saying ...
We don't have to take people to tour the ICUs. We can just take them to hospital parking lots.
also, they didn't get hit very hard in the first or second waves, so when this one hit, they didn't have a significant buffer population that already had some immunity.
Doesn't help that some of the new variants appear to be better at spreading.
This doesn't apply only to Los Angeles, but you can set the blame for what we've gone through on the refusal by too many "freedom loving" people to comply with common sense masking requirements, the mixed messages sent by the White House and the agencies it controls, and the lack of support of essential workers by both their employers and the federal and state governments. Obviously these factors aren't equally distributed in all regions that have suffered the worst, but they're all present to some degree in all of them. Hopefully with adults about to resume control of the federal government after four years of seeing it run by petulant infants, at least some of these factors will quickly be addressed.
Basically a lot of people parsed, "safe to come out of (semi) lockdown" as "Covid over" (and therefore no need for basic measures like distancing and masking) -- despite pretty consistent messaging from all levels of government.
it would have been tremendously unpopular, but governments needed to shut down air travel, and close major interstates leading up to thanksgiving and christmas.
even just making a big show of it, and then walking it back at the 11th hour would have sent a message to people to just stay where they ####### are.
the issue isn't just people gathering together (which is a major problem, to be clear), but also the mingling of communities, people coming from one, going to another, back and forth, contaminating everyone, everywhere. if everyone keeps their "local" bubble as small as they can, they will keep everyone in it safer. but once that "local" bubble pops, preventing community spread becomes significantly harder. thanksgiving and christmas popped a lot of bubbles.
Fine in small groups if everybody's been reasonably careful. But ...
Right now, 30 states are (by Worldometer) above what I've come to think of as the "Lombardy line" of 1000 deaths/million. (I remember back when Lombardy hit that level and it just seemed inconceivable that things could get that bad here.) I think the only states that I'd be above 50% confidence in ending the epidemic below the Lombdary Line are Hawaii, Alaska, Maine and Vermont. Maybe 25% chance for Washington, Utah, and Oregon. After that, it would take pretty long odds for me to bet on any other state. (Washington's COVID performance seems under-reported to me. The first manifestly hit US state (probably in fact hit after NYC, though), and after that initial trouble it's had maybe the most impressive performance of any US state.)
(2) Navajo Nation is now up to 4600 deaths per million. I think there are realistic (but grim) projections on which final deaths there end up at 1% of the population.
(3) Are there any good studies out there about what we've learned about spread vectors from all of this contact tracing? I would have hoped for regular reports on what percentage of new cases were coming from what kinds of sources, but all I find are recyclings of those restaurant, wedding, and choir studies from back in March and April.
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