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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Wednesday, January 05, 2022Examining Barry Bonds’ slam-dunk Hall of Fame resume before he was linked to steroids
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: January 05, 2022 at 01:10 PM | 90 comment(s)
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1. A triple short of the cycleWho made the All Century Team in 1999, Griffey Jr or Bonds? Yeah.
Outfielders (vote totlas)
1. Babe Ruth, 1,158,044
2. Hank Aaron, 1,156,782
3. Ted Williams, 1,125,583
4. Willie Mays, 1,115,896
5. Joe DiMaggio, 1,054,423
6. Mickey Mantle, 988,168
7. Ty Cobb, 777,056
8. Ken Griffey Jr., 645,389
9. Pete Rose, 629,742
10. Roberto Clemente, 582,937
11. Stan Musial, 571,279 *added by special committee, as the fans are kind of clueless
12. Joe Jackson, 326,415
13. Reggie Jackson, 296,039
14. Tony Gwynn, 232,476
15. Carl Yastrzemski, 222,082
16. Frank Robinson, 220,226
17. Rickey Henderson, 180,940
18. Barry Bonds, 173,279
A-Rod is an interesting case. It’s really hard to know if he ever played without juicing - it’s possible he wasn’t really all that good ever. We’ll never know.
McGwire basically succumbed to admitting his juicing so he could coach on. I bet he’s happy with that decision given that he is apparently a highly regarded coach.
Eh, I remember seeing him as a 19 year old, when he was skinny as a stick, and just being amazed by him. The ball just jumped off his bat. He's such a narcissicist though that I can see him wanting to take PEDs late in his career when his body couldn't do what it could when he was 19.
And the answer is obviously yes. I love David Ortiz, and I'm glad he may make it in his first year of eligibility...but the idea that 75%+ of voters think Big Papi is a first-ballot guy, and 90%+ wouldn't vote for 1986-1998 Bonds, is ridiculous.
4.83
And his MVP shares? He dwarfs the field in MVP shares, with 9.30, but let's say he retires after 1998. He had 4.83 shares through 1998, including three wins. That would have put him 10th in history in 1998 (13th today). Among those eligible and not currently on the ballot, the only one in the top 48 on that list who is not in the HOF is Dave Parker (30th all-time). His 1986-1998 career would sandwich him on the list between Frank Robinson and Frank Thomas...and doesn't reflect the eight friggin' Gold Gloves.
This is so dumb (you could do the same thing for Clemens, who is first in Cy Young Award shares; stop him after 1998, and he falls all the way to...second place all-time). Watching Bonds from the mid-1980s through 1998 was knowing you were watching the best hitter since, who, Williams? Mays? Aaron? Mantle? And watching Clemens was knowing you were watching the best pitcher since at least peak Seaver. If they aren't in the Hall of Fame - when they obviously eligible - then the system is broken.
According to Selena Roberts's biography, he was roiding pretty much since birth. Don't know anything about her to know if she's a reliable source.
Wow that would be some dexterity, not sure how you hold a syringe with the those tiny little baby hands.
But it's far better than the evidence that Roger Clemens used steroids.
I’ve always been surprised that an enterprising writer hasn’t gone out an interviewed a wide range of players, trainers, sellers etc to try to identify the universe of users. It can’t be that hard and I don’t think the universe of heavy users is more than 50-100 players overt that period.
McGwire earned about $15 million through age 30 according to B-R, he earned about $60 million after age 30. Maybe he wanted to mash, too, but he wanted the cash for sure
More likely their personalities which were perceived differently, and they were quite different people. Human nature to vote for the smiling face rather than the prickly personality.
You're surprised no one has gone out and gotten players to violate the sanctity of the locker room, to snitch on their brethren? And you think there were maybe two or three guys per MLB team using? Hmmm... Are you interested in buying a bridge? ;-)
Re 3. I think his legacy without juicing would be that he was a surly SOB, Sid Bream, and that he was pretty good when people could be bothered to remember him.
Next Question
And then the "anonymous" test in 2003 had over 100 failed tests...and that was just the players who happened to have PED's in their system at that specific time (after being given advance notice of the test!). How many players would have tested positive with consistent, random testing?
The idea that PED use wasn't widespread and was just a handful of isolated cheaters has always struck me as incredibly naive wishful thinking.
To the extent the Mitchell Report was good for much of anything, it was some of the examples of how casual players were about this. "I noticed you added a lot of muscle this offseason, what are you using? Got any extra?"
As to ratting players out ... these (non-Canseco) stories always go the same way. "For sure my teammate X used steroids." "Did you ever witness them injecting themselves?" "No." "Did they ever tell you they were doing steroids?" "No." "Then what is your claim based on?" "C'mon, look at the dude, look at the moon shots." (Roughly based on the short-lived "Mark Grace says Sosa did roids" controversy.)
I'll chime in again with a few reminders: BALCO was a legally incorporated business, not a guy dealing out of his locker. BALCO had several high-profile, publicly known clients. BALCO sponsored a track team FFS! Barry allowed a freelance writer for the NYT to follow him around for an offseason and document his insane workouts (with the Sheffield and Anderson cameos). Nobody was exacly keeping a low profile here. Bonds very likely used PEDs (or Anderson was taking advantage of a sucker). Bonds probably knew he was using stuff he shouldn't. But BALCO did everything it could to look legit and Bonds wasn't the only athlete telling a similar story about BALCO not being upfront with the athletes. (And of course the stuff BALCO was selling wasn't banned as a chemical compound, only due to its anabolic effects. That is, it wasn't a banned substance, it was covered under a "any other substance with anabolic properties" clause.)
But if he got Winstrol and/or Decadurabolin it was via Greg Anderson and I don't think Anderson was associated with BALCO in 1998. Anderson clearly had the connections to get those.
How seriously you treat that evidence is up to you.
Oh for ####'s sake, he would stil be an amazing player if he never took steroids. Say steroids made him *twice* as good, he would still have just under 60 WAR. I don't care if someone has been taking steroids since birth, there's no way they are going to increase your natural abilities by that much, and if they are that effective, then ####### sign me up right now!
@29: Thanks. I found Game of Shadows to be very loose with evidence. I'd call those allegations rather than evidence. My recollection (pretty hazy at this point) is that Bonds began his super-hard workouts in the winter of 1998-9 and that he got to BALCO then or later via Jerry Rice. I guess Anderson could have supplied other steroids at first and the "cream" and "clear" later (though I don't recall anyone saying that).
@30: Montgomery's testimony is not evidence against Bonds because it's hearsay. I don't find it very persuasive as against Bonds for that reason and because the time frame is indefinite.
If Bonds did use Winstrol or Decadurabolin (which were not the "cream" and "clear"), it's unlikely he did so after they began testing because those would have been easy to detect.
Yes, I know.
It's evidence from a person who claimed personal knowledge.
This is all hearsay, which is also a kind of evidence, admissible under certain circumstances and/or for some purposes. Also, this isn't court. It's a website.
Yes, I know.
Well, it was an unnecessarily snarky response to someone who was politely following up on your own "I can't remember/I'm not going to do the research myself" question.
This all began with me saying in comment 14 that there was no legally admissible evidence against Bonds. As I was careful to note in comment 30, Montgomery's statement is not admissible as against Bonds (that is, there are no exceptions and is no relevant legal purpose).
In any case, there's a reason hearsay is mostly inadmissible: it's not very reliable (e.g., 34 and 35).
Not sure it's any less reliable than the fact that the guy suddenly turned into the Incredible Hulk and started hitting like nobody had ever seen, or has seen since, in what is almost always the twilight of a hitter's career. That's evidence too.
My google comment was in response to a comment that said "I don't recall." And this is a stupid meta-debate. Just calm down.
Now you're making inconsistent arguments. If Bonds was using steroids earlier, then they can't have been the cause of his late career performance.
Not at all. I am talking about Bonds starting to use steroids after the 1998 season. Does his start on steroids need to be closer in time to his 2001 season for my statements to be consistent?
Yeah. You know who else gave tacit approval? Baseball media, who insisted on not reporting or questioning this stuff. They were in locker rooms looking at a bunch of guys who looked like Adonis wearing a towel, watching guys routinely drill outside pitches 425 feet over opposite field walls. 34-year-old hitters were having career years. Players were, overnight, doing things I'd never seen before. And ... crickets.
I could tell by watching televised games in the early 90's that something funny was going on. Anybody with half a brain could.
And now they clutch their pearls and refuse to vote for anyone who carries the shadow of PED use?
Please.
IIRC he did, but said he didn't know at the time they were steroids.
Note I say this as about the biggest Barry Bonds supporter there can be.
He, along with Cobb (Fun counterpoints eh), is baseballs great tragic hero in the finest greek tragedy sense. A man with absurd gifts but also laden with crippling flaws.
Take an immensely talented super sensitive guy. Saddle him with an alcoholic parent who teaches bitter lessons about expectations, racism, in trusting the press, institutions and others. Give him a godfather of mythical achievements who carries many of the same feelings lacking the booze. Toss in all the common characteristics so prevelant in adult children of alcoholics, distrust, evasion, silence, brooding, poor boundaries, fun things like that.
Then throw him to the wolves that are the national press. Have him be the best athelete in the game, the most dominant all around player since that godfather. Yet because he doesn't play ball with the media, his star is buried under guys like Griffey who, good as they are, pale next to him.
Which isn't only stinging to pride and ego but can literally cost millions.
(Working off GoS timeline in following speculation)
Watch lesser players cheat and steal his thunder. And his MVP's.
Then watch McG and Sosa in 98 receive the accolades of a nation, with all the attending fame and fortune.
That had to burn. No way, no how, it didn't.
To watch so many lesser players bask in his limelight. His money.
So take the most human response possible, vengeance, and get on a program too.
Which wouldn't be so bad, except when you take maybe the best ballplayer ever and make him better, superhuman things happen, get so good that you break the game.
Do ridiculous things. 73 home runs. .600 obp. 232 BB 120 IBB.
Average a 264 OPS+ over four seasons.
But instead of being praised like those who preceded, getting torn down, made the face of a "scandal" and all those vast accomplishments tainted. Targeted by a politicized government. Taken to court. Forced to risk fame, fortune, and freedom. Being found, after jumping through seemingly endless rings of fire, not guilty, only to walk away with image and name ruined and blackballed by the game that made and destroyed him.
I'm not saying he's not a dick. Or that he didn't contribute in many many ways to his issues.
Because he did.
But he played in an age when use was widespread and largely condoned by owners and management and the press. That he gets tarred as he does is a farce and bordering on tragic. He's become a lighting rod for the era.
He's so damn fascinating. We'll never see his like again.
And yeah, he should be in the HoF.
Because if nothing else, you can't tell the story of baseball without him.
Is that just accepted? That the players kept this so hidden from management that even though the players knew, the trainers knew (presume since some went to commissioner to express peds concerns) and so on nobody said anything to a manager?
If this is one of those things where "kid you don't get it" is the explanation I guess ok. But it just seems kind of implausible.
Hell, just measured by something like "WAR above non-steroid version" alone Bonds may have gotten more out of steroids than all but a small handful of baseball players.
Bonds' career is one of the truly great steroids success stories of our lifetimes. We should all be so fortunate.
Of course they knew. Every knew. There's a reason the yankees removed the steroid clause from Giambi's contract. That the Red Sox trainers gave advice about steroids. This ex post facto pretense of blind ignorance is laughable.
I put this first and foremost on the owners.
After the strike, they had zero problem turning a blind eye to steroids and the resultant offensive explosion that, along with Cal's streak, "saved the game."
They had no issues happily counting the money made with the offensive boom, huge growth in popularity, and exploding TV contracts.
And when the opportunity came, they quickly seized it to drive a wedge in the players union, tar the players, and gain their first victories in public perception and actuality over the union since they first met Marvin Miller.
I see that more than anything else as the reason for the smearing of the players.
This is all about money and power.
So of course the managers can't be blamed.
Beacuse that would imply the steroid era wasn't only caused by nasty evil game poisoning players, but ownership was involved. Heck, someone may even wonder about St Joe (Torre).
There was no real linkage between what bonds admitted to and to PED.
I followed the trials closely and am working of of memory here but I'm pretty sure it wasn't some random off the shelf clear/cream he testified to using but the specific ones provided by BALCO.
Now, note the following in his favor iirc:
-He said he didn't know they were steroids, he just took what the trainer recommended. Which by statement means he had no intent;
-And there was some question as to whether the clear/cream were by legal definition technically steroids because of the chemical composition. As a designer drug, they may not have fallen within defined threshholds. I'm not sure this was ever fully clarified.
I want to say Joel Youngblood was the test case but I no longer have my notes and don't trust my memory.
Now it's true that these rulings were from a time when recreational drugs was the primary concern but it doesn't matter. The Yankees couldn't have enforced a "no steroids" clause outside of MLB and the PA negotiating a policy and then the penalty for violations would be set by that agreement.
But MLB was not interested in negotiating a policy. They were interested in setting one but that's it.
I did not know that. Thanks for educating me.
My larger point remains. Steroid use was widely known across the game. I remember attending Bash Brothers A's games in the 80's and when Canseco went up to bat the whole crowd was chanting "Steroids" and doing the wave.
My recollection (could be wrong) is that Anderson gave Bonds the "cream" and the "clear", but Bonds said he didn't know the source and didn't know what they were. He did say that he got some zinc supplement from BALCO. That's why Anderson's refusal to testify was so critical legally: nobody could ever bridge that gap between Bonds and BALCO.
They seized calendars with his dosage schedules for "the cream" and "the clear". It was established that BALCO was providing athletes with designer steroids which had been modified to escape detection methods. "The cream" and "the clear" were two such steroids. I believe they also seized financial records showing how much Bonds was paying.
I am not a lawyer, but that sounds like a pretty firm circumstantial case to me. The company was offering illegal products, had a record of administering those products to Bonds and had records of receiving payment from Bonds for the administered products.
As noted above, Anderson did not testify so linkage cannot be ascertained
There's also this.
Again going off memory here, but the issue in Bonds' perjury trial was whether he *knew* he was getting steroids. Internal records at BALCO would not and could not show that.
He admitted paying them lots of money. The question left open was "for what?". Without Anderson's testimony, nobody could prove that.
Saying he didn't know what was in them does not mean he admitted to taking "the cream" and "the clear". It simply means he was given something and he claims he didn't know what was in it. Just like I have no idea what's in the shampoo that I use to wash my hair.
He said he was given a cream and a clear substance and he didn't know what was in it.
I don't recall if he tried the flaxseed oil defense under oath.
Fair enough, but the argument everyone is responding to is whether there's admissible evidence he *took* steroids, knowingly or unknowingly.
The financial records are evidence that Bonds knew about the scheme as well. He wasn't paying that much for flaxseed oil.
The original post in #11 didn't say anything about "admissible" evidence, FWIW. But I agree there was limited admissible evidence that would prove it beyond a reasonable doubt. (I also don't think Anderson spent 5 weeks in jail for contempt to avoid testifying about all of the perfectly legal things he and Bonds did together.)
And, of course, the other athletes who have spoken about their own interactions with BALCO. Here I think you would need to ask a real lawyer -- their testimony would definitely shed light on BALCO's pattern of operations, but I could see arguing that it shouldn't be admitted because they had no direct knowledge of Bonds's own activities.
Bonds was very open about the importance of his training regimen, I don’t really see how this itself is incriminating.
One of the charges was about lying about HgH and the feds didn't even bother to bring that up during the case. The Feds could present no one that said they sold steroids to Bonds or administered steroids to Bonds.
Having said all that I think Bonds took PED.
This is where I'm at too.
Whether he knowingly did so or not is a different game, We live in a nation were you are presumed innocent, the government took him to court, and try as they might...and they did, couldn't prove otherwise.
So I give him the benefit of the doubt there.
But I think he did them.
I also don't care.
For lots of reasons:
-As noted above, the clear and cream may not even have technically been steroids;
-There was a lot of murkiness about what was and wasn't legal then;
-Use was essentially condoned across the game;
-I think the vast majority of players were using. One guy told Gammons, "Everyone does. The only ones who don't are too stupid or scared," which sounds about right to me;
-People act like this was all one sided, but pitchers used too. Kinda gave them an unfair edge on him for years but no one mentions ths;.
-Steroids aren't just some all solving magic pill. You can take them but you have to do the work too. As auntbea stated, Bonds is the great steroid success story. No one else that took them put up numbers anywhere close to his. He dominates the era to a ridiculous degree. Now maybe that's because he had a higher talent floor or maybe he just did the work that the other slackers weren't willing to do. Either way the results are unmatched.
Because Bonds changed more than just his physique. He rebuilt his swing, started trying to get backspin and started undercutting balls, but most of all, just stopped swinging at anything he didn't like. He dictated the game and plate to the pitcher. Steroids didn't give him that discipline. He through will and work made himself the most devastating hitter ever. In an age of huge stats, no one threw a larger shadow.
Players know. Listen to them when they talk about him. Love him or hate him, they have awe in their voice when they talk about him as a player. Dude is a myth.
The financial records may support an inference to that effect, but aren't direct evidence without more. That said, Bonds admitted he took "cream" and "clear" without knowing what they were. That could be admissible evidence that he took steroids unknowingly -- based on the assumption that they were the same substance(s) that BALCO gave others -- but most folks don't seem satisfied with that; they want to insist that he *knew*.
Real lawyer here (well, retired now). That kind of testimony would not be admissible against Bonds for the reason you give in you last clause.
65 seems like a pretty fair summary, though I could see an argument for unknowingly (or "unknowingly").
They did a little more than that.
In a move indicative of the sleaze level of the investigation, in 2009 the feds, nice guys that they are, raided his mother in laws house with 20 agents as part of a "tax probe" aimed at her and his wife.
Anderson considered it retaliation for his refusal to testify and despised them for it. After that, they had no chance he would ever talk.
Golfers tip their caddies.
(There was, of course, a failed test for amphetamines, but as we know, none of the steroids crusaders care about that.)
EDIT: Someone cites a leaked rumor of evidence about hearsay from Montgomery about Conte implicating Bonds. But the government had a chance to get Conte's testimony directly, and it didn't get any about Bonds. All they needed was Conte to testify at Bonds' trial, "Yeah, I gave him THG [or Winstrol], and showed him how to use it," and Bonds would've been sent up the river. They didn't get that.
Ah, I see mccoy made that point.
Nope. Again, if that were the case, they could've buried Bonds with Conte's testimony. Bonds didn't get these things from BALCO. He got them from Anderson. And of course there was no testimony one way or the other from Anderson about where he had gotten these things.
I'm with you here.
While I think Bonds, inadvertently or not, did, I'll argue much stronger for Clemens.
From a post made by Ray in an earlier discussion:
Note that there would've been no reason whatsoever for Bonds to take steroids which had been modified to escape detection methods, because there weren't any detection methods. Baseball was years away from testing at the time.
- interesting that the govt, who spent HOW many zillions trying to nail him, couldn't find ANY evidence or anyone who could testify to ANYTHING and they wanted him in prison for doing drugs as bad as the feds wanted al capone in prison for murdering people. the feds managed to find SOMEthing on ol al but couldn't find no nothin on bonds? this super "guilty" person with all these supposed "mountains" of evidence? dude, pls.
i did bother to actually read game of shadows first word to last. They had lot of someone said someone said but exactly zero concrete evidence. and i mean ZERO. same thing with the trial transcripts (see posts of DMN).
it is beyond disgusting that some people insist that this one person somehow magically benefitted from a chemical that didn't do the same thing for anyone else. sort of like that new drug for alzheimers that only works on a two people but somehow got thru the all the legal bullstuff so that the company can make a ton of money on shttt that don't work.
it's like what this doctor told me a long time ago about placebos. people don't believe what they see, they see what they believe. people WANT to believe that bonds and clemens are The EVULLL Steroid Villains and Bad People and anyone saying any old thing is "proof". people don't think steroids - can we pls stop saying "PED" because no one cares about anything besides anabolic steroids - are bad or people who do them are bad. they think about 8 people who some did and some didn't do (or let' say there is no proof) steroids are Bad People. and that is about it.
the whole steroids story has proved to me that almost no one is interested in any sort of facts or evidence or truth. or have any sort of "open" mind
p.s. i looked at pics of mark mcgwire in 1987 when he first came up and was supposed to be "skinny" - um, he was NOT skinny. He doesn't look like a WWE wrestler like he did in 98, but he sure as heck was FAR from skinny
If A-Rod was using in high school onwards who knows what his true talent is. Being able to transform your body like that can have a big impact. To some extent this Is the Big Mac argument. How good was he really ?
And the PEDS that I'm confident he used were not illegal at the time. And yes, if they weren't under the radar at that time they'd have been scheduled.
Nor were they prohibited by MLB's rules.
But I'm being precise in my language here because illegal has a pretty specific meaning and none of Bonds' actions meet the definition.
I think Bonds took drugs knowingly I don't think anybody has given us definitive proof that he took drugs, that they were illegal, and he did so knowingly.
Yeah, but that's how you make a circumstantial case. You keep piling facts on facts. Giving a necklace doesn't prove anything in its own right, but giving an expensive necklace to a trainer who prepared doping schedules with your name all over them in recognition of a shared achievement tells you something about the relationship.
Basically, Conte would go to an athlete, pitch his zinc/magnesium stuff, and offer to do free bloodwork. The bloodwork would then -- surprise! -- come out positive for PEDs, at which point Conte would offer his own concierge doping service. That way, he never made a pitch to someone who wasn't already receptive.
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