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Wednesday, July 01, 2009

Flushing University: Reality Sets In

Consider this when talking about the Mets prospects for July, assuming they make no major moves over the course of the next few weeks. Reyes says it is unlikely he will be back before the All-Star break, and you have rehab games to consider, while Delgado almost certainly won’t return until after the trading deadline. So the Mets could very well miss both of them for all of next month.

In the base case scenario, Beltran will come back right after the All-Star Break. This means he will miss a little less than half (42%). During June, he missed 36% of the action. That month, the Mets were outscored 140-105; over a 162 game season, this amounts to 64 wins. Worst case, Beltran misses the entire month plus. In the nine games he has been absent thus far, the Mets have been outscored 43-32, amounting to 56 wins. Ultimately, were talking in the vicinity of 9-10 wins in July.

Unless Omar and co. does something big, the Mets are a bad, well below .500 team, and as the sample size increases, the results will bear that essential truth out.

himme Posted: July 01, 2009 at 06:20 PM | 10 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Esoteric Posted: July 01, 2009 at 06:46 PM (#3239235)
Great. Another self-written link submitted by a non-participant on BBTF pimping his own blog for hits.
   2. flournoy Posted: July 01, 2009 at 06:52 PM (#3239256)
In the nine games he has been absent thus far, the Mets have been outscored 43-32, amounting to 56 wins.


Bad math or bad wording. Probably both.
   3. . . . . . . Posted: July 01, 2009 at 07:17 PM (#3239334)
'Me fail English? That's unpossible!"


Can we have a retard filter on the link submission button?
   4. kirstie819 Posted: December 07, 2021 at 02:42 PM (#6056529)
Students should volunteer for these events because it is the best way to gain job experience and learn new skills which will open a door to new opportunities. I would prefer to do my assignment and I think you should take part in these events.
   5. Darren Posted: December 07, 2021 at 03:22 PM (#6056532)
Kristie makes a good point. Hopefully Tina will see this.
   6. Eric Clark Posted: December 08, 2021 at 03:13 AM (#6056598)
If you live in America and don’t like to play basketball, you are not a true American. I love to play basketball with my friends and colleagues. It is because my father was a known figure in this game. He has won several medals also. Due to this, I had this ambition in me to play basketball. I enjoy reading your blogs because you give new insights into the game. assignment help
   7. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: December 08, 2021 at 10:18 AM (#6056615)
Great. Another self-written link submitted by a non-participant on BBTF pimping his own blog for hits.

Yet I've been forced to stop submitting links because 80%+ of them get ignored.
   8. SoSH U at work Posted: December 08, 2021 at 10:39 AM (#6056618)
Yet I've been forced to stop submitting links because 80%+ of them get ignored.


The problem may be you're not submitting them in 2009.
   9. Itchy Row Posted: December 08, 2021 at 11:52 AM (#6056643)
The big move the Mets made that month was trading for Jeff Francoeur. Frenchy had his usual good first season with a new team, but it didn't help much. The Mets won on July 1 and again the next day to reach .500 and then went 31-53 the rest of the way.

Disclaimer: like Kirstie and Eric, I majored in basketball at Flushing University.
   10. The Mighty Quintana Posted: December 08, 2021 at 05:29 PM (#6056725)
This thread gave me a headache. Even the Mets retroactive newsblogs are embarassing.

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