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Wednesday, November 11, 2020

Gausman accepts qualifying offer, returns to Giants for 2021

The Giants made no secret of the fact they wanted Kevin Gausman back in their rotation in 2021. They crossed that item off their offseason to-do list Wednesday afternoon when Gausman accepted the qualifying offer, which guarantees him $18.9 million on a one-year deal.

The decision, first reported by Jeff Passan of ESPN just before the 2 p.m. PT deadline, gives the Giants a dependable arm at the top of their rotation. Gausman currently would be their best option to start next year’s Opening Day—and also gives the sides some breathing room to potentially keep working on a multi-year deal. There were discussions in recent weeks, with both sides knowing they had the fallback option of Gausman returning for one year.

The deal was one both sides had sought when the offseason began. Gausman said as far back as the Aug. 31 trade deadline that he loved San Francisco and would like to stay long-term, and president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi said after the season that bringing Gausman and Drew Smyly back was one of his top priorities.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 11, 2020 at 06:33 PM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: kevin gausman

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   1. Walt Davis Posted: November 11, 2020 at 07:07 PM (#5988365)
That QO surprised me. Unless there's no major "correction" coming, this is a lot of money for a season of Gausman.
   2. JRVJ Posted: November 11, 2020 at 07:48 PM (#5988379)
So, 2 out of 6 QOs have been accepted.

   3. Walt Davis Posted: November 11, 2020 at 09:25 PM (#5988401)
The two most obvious ones though. Gausman seemed a no-brainer, Stroman less so but he didn't pitch in 2020 and $19 M for a "reestablish yourself" contract ain't bad.
   4. The Duke Posted: November 12, 2020 at 07:56 AM (#5988427)
The QO offer to him without a subsequent multi -year lower AAV signing makes no sense to me. Today, he probably considers himself the luckiest man on the face of the earth.
   5. JRVJ Posted: November 12, 2020 at 11:54 AM (#5988462)
4, the Giants probably thought that they would not be able to retain Gausman if he became an unrestricted FA.

I still don't see the value they seem to be seeing in Gausman, but that's probably why they offered him the QO to begin with.
   6. caspian88 Posted: November 12, 2020 at 01:17 PM (#5988472)
Gausman did pitch well enough in 2020, as well as the five years before 2019, so I think there's a pretty decent chance he's adequate in 2021. At only one season, there's no long-term commitment, and the Giants are not hurting for money (no more than any other team, at least). Gausman's contract basically replaces the money they were paying Samardzija.

I'm hopeful the team improves for 2022 - a lot of money is coming off the books after 2021 (Belt, Crawford, Cueto, Flores, Gausman, and Posey - $90 million) and the Giants are going to have a ton of financial flexibility.
   7. Walt Davis Posted: November 12, 2020 at 03:53 PM (#5988490)
I think it's clear you'd like Gausman on your team for 2021 (unless you have a darn nice rotation). The questions are "would you like him on your team for 2021-23?" (probably at the right price) and "would you like him on your team for 2021 at a price of $19 M?" (probably not). Pre-covid, Charlie Morton (better than Gausman) only cost 2/$30; Porcello 1/$10; Gibson 3/$28 (worse than Gausman); Minor 3/$27 (about the same).

Obviously it won't kill the Giants but obviously Gausman was gonna take this deal. Even without covid, it's not clear he could do better than 3/$35-40, quite possibly just 3/$30 even without covid; now he gets half of that for one year while taking no risk on the post-covid market. If the Giants like him, offer him the 3/$30 or 2/$25 with an option or ... then don't make him the QO if he turns that down.

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