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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, January 12, 2012Goldman: Bernie Williams vs. Kirby PuckettLet’s ask Erardi!...okay, maybe not.
Repoz
Posted: January 12, 2012 at 05:52 AM | 68 comment(s)
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1. Jacob Posted: January 12, 2012 at 06:34 AM (#4034909)Kirby Puckett OPS+124, WS teams 2, 6 GGs, 2.56 Career MVP Shares
Bernie's counting stats are better in pretty much every category, mostly due to a longer career. Puckett has the higher BA. Kirby sailed in on the 1st ballot. Bernie will be lucky to get in via the VC (so it seems). It doesn't make a lot of sense, if you think about it.
Actually, Bernie's peak and prime were both higher than Pucketts. Kirby's prime was longer and he was still in it when he was forced to retire which helped him among the voters.
"we luv batting avg and hits"
He finds Bernie with 5 seasons on the list and Puckett with 3. Of course, if he had looked at only the top 85 seasons he'd find Puckett with 2 and Bernie with 0.
Williams didn't have a decline phase so much as he fell off a cliff after age 33. Puckett appeared to still be in his prime (at least with the bat) when he retired at age 35, and voters likely gave him the benefit of the doubt by assuming a normal decline phase rather than a cliff dive.
But mostly, it's that Puckett's traditionalist resume is just better: higher BA (easily the best among post-war CFers), more black ink, more AS games, more GG, more SS, better postseason.
Not that it means much, but I'm pretty sure it was Bob Costas, and not Peter Gammons who said this. And Costas is the guy who added 'Kirby' to his son's middle name.
Which is hilaripus given that Puckett turned out to be an ####### predator, instead of the "hale fellow well met" everyone thought.
Puckett's defense was inversely correlated with his girth, and his homerun totals.
Jimmy Wynn, Cesar Cedeno, Dale Murphy, Fred Lynn.
Bernie contributed significantly to 5 World Championships (tho he stunk it up in the World Series: .677 OPS), but for some inexplicably strange reason has gotten virtually no credit for it.
Four (which is meaningful. Bernie faded out and the Yankees kept churning out division winners/playoff berths).
I don't think it's terribly surprising. Kirby was viewed, in a general sense viewed correctly, as the best position player on two World Series winners. Bernie is seen as one cog, and not the most important one, in a WS machine.
Puckett was indeed accused of some unsavory behavior but he took the case to try and was acquitted.
Yea, it was just one isolated incident. It's not like it was different women accused him of threatening them over many incidents.
Yea, a real sweetheart of a guy.
We thought of him as a monster here in Texas (in the positive sense, not as in "history's greatest" ...) He had 12 RBI in 10 playoff games against the Rangers in the '90s – and I had forgotten he went 0-for the 1998 series, so the '96 and '99 series were all the more impressive. But you're right, Bernie hit only .208 lifetime in the World Series, and his heroics cooled off after his first few years in the postseason.
As for the off field stuff, there is no player who disappointed me more when the curtain was lifted than Kirby Puckett.
Which is funny because he was, IIRC, the best position player on the team most of those years.
I'm an decently strong anti-roider, but Puckett deserves exclusion from thr HoF based on the character clause far more than any of the PED cheaters.
Hell, he's probably the #1 character clause violater (among reasonable candidates) since Ty Cobb. Or am I missing a worse shitheel?
It looks like he was in 1996, but not the other years. But my comment was more on the perception of him than the reality.
Same here. I loved watching him play baseball.
I understood that, I was just making the point that the perception was very much wrong (though it appears I was wrong as well, did you look at raw totals or adjust for games missed?)
Here's my take on the Kirby situation. I'll admit that, as a child of the Kirby (and Barry Bonds) fanclub, I'm probably a little biased here, and the idea of nuance is fairly incompatible with your worldview, but I find it more interesting to rank ballplayers by their on-the-field accomplishments instead of their Shitheel Quotient.
More to the point, the idea of the "character clause" is bullshit. After all, we all must cultivate our own garden. (If Voltaire isn't your things, how about Drive-By Truckers? "It seems to me you'd have to have a hole in your own to point a finger at somebody else's sheet") Kirby, as a player, was beloved by his teammates, by the media, by the community (which he did interact with.) I have met plenty of people who encountered Kirby (during his active career), and no one has ever said a poor thing about him. Yeah, he was probably an unfaithful husband. Truly, a rare sight in the world of professional athletes.
Then, it all came to a stop. Kirby retired. His teammates cried. The writers cried. The state cried. It is difficult to overstate how big Kirby was in Minnesota. If you went to a Little League baseball game in the 90s, 80% of the kids in the on-deck circle were working on their pre-swing leg-kicks. There was only one way to swing the bat: like Kirby Puckett.
The one person who didn't cry for Kirby was Kirby. Throughout the whole ordeal, he seemed scary well-adjusted to his situation. Everything was "even though it's cloudy in one eye, the sun is shining brightly in the other," and "God's plans for me something something." I honestly believe that he was trying to trick himself into thinking that he had things to do outside of baseball. And that he was wrong.
I have no problem conceding that, post-baseball, Kirby did some terrible things. I wish I knew more accurately what they were. But I don't see the story of Kirby Puckett being one of a man with a good smile who tricked the public into thinking he wasn't a scumbag. I see it as a man who lost his livelihood and couldn't cope. He got fat. He got angry. He got really, really fat. It's not like Kirby knew anything other than baseball. The Robert Taylor projects were, at least in reputation, one of the saddest places in the country. Baseball got Kirby out of that.
I think of Kirby in terms of that old F. Scott Fitzgerald quote, "show my a hero and I'll write you a tragedy." It's sad. I feel bad for Kirby's family. I feel bad for those he alienated at the end of his life. But I don't see how moral outrage is going to help anything.
Then again, as I said before, I'm biased. So when Kirby comes up on BBTF, I like to read what other people think about him. But I'm far more interested in opinions of his career as a player than who can harrumph the loudest at his moral failings. He's a controversial Hall of Fame pick. That's interesting. He played in an era that is oddly represented in the Hall. That's interesting. He was a great contact hitter who never took a walk and could play defense until he got fat. That's interesting.
He's out nation's greatest monster? Well, maybe, but that seems like interesting. And ultimately, not that true. In my mind, at least.
And normally I think it's pretty cruddy to accuse a guy of using steroids without any real evidence but somehow I feel less bad about it when the guy is already a proven fraud/#######.
EDIT: K, Walt made me feel a bit more bad about it. Ain't redacting, though.
If nothing else, it speaks to the overwhelmingly positive characters (or at least, those lacking newsworthy negative character traits) that MLB has put in the Hall of Fame over the past 70 years.
I was just eyeballing WAR, just to see how he stacked up with his teammates. He had a slight edge in 1996, trailed Jeter by a little bit in 98 and wasn't that close in the other two.
He obviously was a key contributor on four championship teams, and would be a perfectly acceptable Hall of Famer (as would Posada, who might face the same fate). Perhaps some future Vet's Committee will usher both in. And since I happened to like both of them, I hope they do.
And, BTW, great post Wins Above PW.
Puckett was a fine player (I don't hold Game 6 against him even though it broke my heart at the time. Liebrandt was going to blow that game one way or another, I'd have rather seen Kent Mercker) but I never really understood the ease with which he sailed into the HOF. I'd take him over Bernie but it's certainly close enough for a discussion.
Williams had 5 seasons with a 140+ OPS+ in CF. I don't know if he's a worthy HOFer, but that's pretty ####### great and more than Andre Dawson, for example, can claim.
I just don't think that's true. The floodgates on the Kirby saga opened when he was charged with groping that woman in the bathroom. If that trial never happens*, there's a chance that maybe the rest of the story stays quiet. Then Kirby just looks like another happy ballplayer, despite the real, underlying "character" problem.
I would venture to guess that there are at least a few Hall of Famers with some serious skeletons still hung-up in their closets. That doesn't lessen Kirby's serious problems, but then again, Kirby's serious problems don't elevate anyone else.
*And there's a good argument for not trying that case. But don't tell
prosecutorSenator Klobuchar that.All these marginal guys have a few things like this to hang their hats on and they seem to either get trumpeted or ignored by the writers randomly. I'm already preparing myself to get worked up in eight years when Andruw Jones (one of my favorite players ever) hits the ballot with 15000 innings in CF, nine Gold Gloves, 450+ HR and drops off after one year. I mean, what an outrage!
If you want to argue that his personality didn't have anything to do with his election, I'd disagree, but fine. If you want to argue that his personality shouldn't have had anything to do with his election, I'd agree with that principle, but I'd disagree that that's how they actually vote. If you want to argue that, if you were inclined to give "good-guy" points at all, Kirby Puckett in 2001 seemed for all the world like a guy to whom you'd give them... that's pretty obviously true. I would still think, though, that there's a place for examining how the character clause affects HOF candidates generally; how it affected Kirby specifically; whether Kirby's case makes us rethink how we should think about the character clause; and how things might have played out for Kirby in other hypothetical situations.
Que? Not every post over 3 paragraphs is mine. :-)
I think the whole character thing is a bit of a red herring, because it is extremely unknowable, the metrics we have are really bad.
Also I think Kirby's election CAN be explained without referring to his character. He has a great narrative arc. Kid from Chicago projects makes it to the big leagues, brings MN its first (and second) ever major sports championship, carries teamon back for game six of one of the greatest world series of all time (1991 yo) which is followed by one of the greatest pitching performances (Yes this series will have helped two marginal candidates get to the HoF, assuming Morris makes it), and finally when still at his (percieved) peek he is struck down by a tragic injury/illness.
People have a hard time seeing how that narritive (and some legit HoF type numbers including the much loved BA) gets him an easy in to the HoF? Really? The fact he was a great guy (percieved) makes it that much easier.
That's all fair. I don't really want to make Kirby's Hall of Fame case. I'm really interested in how people do/don't make it. I just don't like how quickly people trot out the post-career allegations, and turn what could be an interesting thread on an interesting (in my mind) player into a game of "I'm Offended." Plus, the Starlin thread (last time I checked) seemed to be our catch all for sexual assult/odd moral statements this week.
I would agree that Kirby's relationship with the media and perception as a one-team, jovial star unfairly helped his Hall of Fame case. However, I feel like the abrupt ending to his career is ultimately what made his election so overwhelming. If Kirby follows a normal career path, I don't know if he goes first ballot, or if at all (although he still probably goes in, especially because he was a hit machine.)
There's always Steve Garvey
If you want to argue that his personality didn't have anything to do with his election, I'd disagree, but fine. If you want to argue that his personality shouldn't have had anything to do with his election, I'd agree with that principle, but I'd disagree that that's how they actually vote. If you want to argue that, if you were inclined to give "good-guy" points at all, Kirby Puckett in 2001 seemed for all the world like a guy to whom you'd give them... that's pretty obviously true. I would still think, though, that there's a place for examining how the character clause affects HOF candidates generally; how it affected Kirby specifically; whether Kirby's case makes us rethink how we should think about the character clause; and how things might have played out for Kirby in other hypothetical situations.
I agree with this completely.
Puckett's character is relevant b/c he was elected in large part because of it.
The fact that Mickey Mantle or Babe Ruth was a drunken womanizer isn't relevant to their HoF cases b/c everyone knew that, and they were elected for pure on field dominance.
What Puckett is alleged to have done (see post 15) is a damned sight worse than anything they did (and I seriously doubt he only started beating and threatening women after retiring), and he was elected in large part b/c he was (thought to be) a good guy.
Strongly disagree (for all the reasons in my post above). He got in quicker and easier than he would have because of his "character" (really the joy with which he seemed to play, being liked by teammates, and having good PR outside the game), but even with "normal" character he would have made the Hall.
And really, that should have been your first clue it wasn't Walt. (-:
1. He's an excellent example of the accuracy of (some of) the voters' moral compasses which are now being employed heavily of course.
2. He's an excellent example of the problems with having a "character clause". The character clause assumes the voters know what the player's character is. That's nonsense. And given the threshold nature of the HOF (once you're in, you're in), the character clause is really the "publicly known, or rumored or suspected, character at the time of this vote." Inevitably scumbags get elected, it's unavoidable and having the character clause makes the voters look like fools. The only way to avoid that (and it's not guaranteed) is to not make them eligible until, say, 5 years after they're dead by which time all the good dirt should be out ... unless they were really, really famous like Mick or Joe D. Or, of course, get rid of the character clause.
On #24:
A thoughtful post. But ... make sure you're not still being a bit of a fanboy. Who they are/were as players and who they are/were as human beings are simply not strongly connected. If anything, the sort of obsession/single-mindedness, the level of self-confidence/arrogance required to be an elite athlete is likely to produce folks who aren't that well-balanced in other parts of life. Enjoy his career for sure, but make sure you're not defending/excusing the behavior because you don't want to let go of what you thought you were admiring.
Which isn't to say we're not all guilty of that at times. Or something similar. I suppose my long-time cynicism has helped inoculate me from both idol worship and the disappointment that follows -- I'm not immune, there are certainly some I'd be hurt to find had done something horrible. Anyway, the example I'm trying to get to is a musical one.
I'm a jazz fan. Miles Davis, in many ways, was an #######, including spousal abuse ... but I knew Miles' music (at least a good chunk of it) before I knew about any of that.* Thus, it was and is easy for me to separate Miles the musician from Miles the #######. Stan Getz was ... well, maybe not an #######, maybe it was the drugs and booze or maybe he was mentally ill ... but he also abused his spouse. But I didn't get into Getz's music before learning this and so I've never had any motivation to try.
* That long-time cynicism also tends to make me un-curious about the personal lives of those whose professional lives I enjoy or respect. The further you dig, the more disappointed you're likely to be. :-) Even if their behavior wasn't at the extremes of Puckett, Davis or Getz, you'll find political or social views you find distasteful or, worst of all, that song that means so much to you or you think has some deep social/philosophical meaning means nothing to them. It's a lot easier to enjoy somebody's professional work if you don't go poking your nose into their personal life. :-)
Like when I found out about Shooty's secret shrine to Marge Schott.
There's always Steve Garvey
Thankfully he's not in the Hall.
So you're saying I shouldn't have put all my advertising money into print media?
No, they don't have TV and internet in North Korea, so print's the place for your campaign to be.
But his post-career marital relationships have nothing to do with baseball. And if we start considering that kind of stuff for Kirby Puckett, we start putting the Hall in a position where it needs to dig into other players' backgrounds, to make sure Jeff Bagwell didn't have a horribly ugly divorce or Tim Raines didn't swindle his partners in a post-career business deal. I really don't want Billy Williams' Cooperstown credentials to hinge on how well or how horribly he treated his wife.
I don't think I'm a terrible fanboy, but I readily acknowledge that I am not the best person to assess things like Kirby's career value. I'm sure, if forced to make a serious argument, I'd eventually turn into a Heyman-esque "you had to be there" loon. I also understand that he's not was not a happy or good person. And that sucks. But it's reality. Just like I have to acknowledge that Norm MacDonald is a Republican and the church I was raised in hates gay people. But I don't think Kirby's Hall of Fame case rests so heavily on "character." From what I can remember:
1. .318 lifetime batting average. At the time (and it's in the opening paragraph of his Wiki), people made a big deal about Kirby's BA being the highest for any RH-hitter since DiMaggio. That's silly. But it's the sort of thing people looked at.
2. 6 Gold Gloves/6 Silver Sluggers/10 All-Star Games. The guy does have a 160 on the HOF Monitor. He was a high-visibility player.
3. Postseason heroics. Two huge moments in Game 6 and a lifetime .309/361/536 postseason line (not huge, but not a choker)
4. Kirby was, for something like three weeks, the highest paid athlete in the game. I don't know why this matters, but it apparently does.
5. He was made into an honorary 3000 hit member the day he retired. So many career retrospectives claimed that, had he not gotten hurt, he probably would have reached 3000. He had 2304 in 12 years, and I don't believe had ever gone on the Disabled List.
6. He played for the Twins his entire career. Every feature on Puckett, Gwynn or Ripken mentioned the death of the one-team athlete. Sportswriters love that stuff.
None of these are "he smiled a lot and gave me good quotes." I do think that his character unfairly helped him get elected so quickly, but I don't think it was the largest contributor. And I do not think the writers deserve a character clause to hide behind/moralize with when it comes to Hall of Fame voting.
Finally, although I've been here a while, this is my first serious contribution to the Factory, so thanks for not stoning me to death. I swear I have other interests outside of Puckett, including (but not limited to) the Montreal Expos, Barry Bonds, that one time Bud Selig called my phone and yelled at me, Pablo Sandoval, the Mountain Goats and tort reform.
I generally don't care about steroids (In a baseball morality context), but really? You know this how?
Wow. Depriving yourself of Getz' music is a real shame. The Brazilian stuff aside, any of the Roost recordings are gorgeous - An exquisite "Moonlight In Vermont" with Johnny Smith.
PEDar?
Through the heart of Kirby's career, there were few days when he wasn't the most broadly and deeply skilled baseball player on the field. I would agree that Fred Lynn is in that sort of a category. Not sure about Bernie.
And the idea that he is the worst of the worst is every bit as biased/over-stated as PW's fanboy stuff, don'tchathink? Has Wade Boggs alienated more or fewer people in his personal life? Dunno. Don't care.
Did you read post 16?
We're not talking affairs here, we're talking physical and sexual assault and death threats (including holding a gun to a woman's head).
This is Elijah Dukes level stuff.
I don't think anything you say is wrong but I think you are understating the importance of his personality/character. I think people gave more credence to the bullet points you listed and gave him "post-eye injury credit" if you will BECAUSE he was a good guy.
Just to give an example of a fellow Hall of Famer and BBTF punching bag Jim Rice. Rice suffered an elbow injury early in 1987 when he was hit by a pitch that was generally perceived as being a big reason he aged as badly as he did. He had had an excellent 1986 season and then went over the cliff the following year. Rice of course was notoriously surly with, well with everyone and no one really seemed eager to give him credit for a more conventional aging curve.
I'm not saying they should have and the two situations are not perfectly aligned. I hope you see my point though. Puckett did get credit for a more conventional aging curve that Rice did not.
Or, take Rice out of it. Puckett's top ten list of comps on BBRef is a 9 non-Hall of Famers (some not yet eligible) and a Frisch-era VC selection (Cuyler). Mattingly and Oliva to name two are not getting any sort of additional credit or attention to their cases. Without his personality I don't think Puckett gets in anywhere near as easily, if at all.
I still think you are minimizing the power of narative, but that's ok. And again I am not saying narative should drive Hall induction, just that it does.
I think this undersells Jimmy Wynn, he's solidly above the others mentioned.
EDIT: And I say this as someone who'd vote for Murphy
Well, except that Dukes's behavior has contributed greatly to his not being able to hold a pro-baseball job. That was completely not the case with Puckett.
I'm sympathetic to Westerberg's point here, and to Walt's more general thoughts. Abusive behavior is bad. Baseball is baseball. If a player distinguishes himself at the sport, it seems odd to deny them a baseball honor because they did bad things outside of baseball.
One of my current favorite ballplayers, Josh Hamilton, evidently did some very bad things in between bouts of being a great baseball player. I hope he's not fixing to do more bad things later in his life – God knows he's at risk, and conscious of that risk – but he's the 2010 American League MVP for fairly good baseball-related reasons. That award is his forever, and it's both an honor and a limited honor: it is about being good at baseball, no more.
Say what?
I'm close to someone who knew him well. So to be fair, being that it's second hand info from someone I trust but certainly wouldn't hold up in a court of law, I'll add "in my opinion". And I'm with you, I don't care either. This person also claims he was as big a degenerate as the bad stories would have you believe.
Wrong! chosuntv
But some of those allegations weren't "post-baseball" and it's hard to imagine that he changed from being a nice guy who wouldn't harm a soul to a bully threatening and beating women just because his part time job went away. There had to be a far darker Kirby than you want to admit hiding been that smile all along.
Really? He's not even in the top 100 among outfielders in WAR (49), and not even close to the top 200 most valuable position players.
And he still played almost as many games as McGwire, but McGwire was far more valuable than Kirby (71 WAR), and there are many on this board who don't think McGwire was HOF worthy even without the PEDs issue.
Kirby is the purest example of a ballplayer over-rated because of circumstances and a wonderful public image.
I agree with your whole post except this excerpt. It really isn't that hard to imagine that Kiby's condition could have eventually led to him being a threatening bully as he tries to hold onto his memories. But of course as your post pointed out the allegations stem from well before his final days as a player.
Was that the alleged incident in the restaurant bathroom?
In addition to the bathroom, the SI article has claims by a woman claiming to be Puckett's mistress. While cheating with Puckett on his wife, or so she says, he also messed around with other women. And we believe this because...? She also claims he got pissy once on his way to visiting a sick kid, and that he peed in a parking lot. Puckett's ex-wife also says bad things about him. It's not a very nice picture, but where are the facts, the objective testimony we all crave around here? Where are the people without an ax to grind in the Puckett story, and what do they have to say? I've known attorneys who advise their clients in Massachusetts, where they hand out orders of protection the way strip joints pass out handbills, to get orders of protection as bargaining chips in divorce and custody proceedings. I've heard completely nutty things said about people (and said in complete earnestness), and in matters of the heart I'm awfully skeptical when it comes to what people have to say about each other.
edit: "There had to be a far darker Kirby than you want to admit hiding been that smile all along." If he did, that's not necessarily true. I've known pretty nice folks who suffered severe trauma (physical or emotional) and turned into pricks. I knew a woman who was bumbling sorta harmlessly through life, a pleasant woman, whose kids decided to buy into their dad's brainwashing and move in with him. She started drinking and turned in a nasty, vicious shrew. She's never been the same. I know a guy who was feeling a little down for the first time in his life and started taking an antidepressant. It had the opposite of the intended effect and he became paranoid, and did a few things he'd never done before, including attacking people and losing a job. The downward spiral continues to this day. I knew a guy whose drinking was in control, for twenty years, until his wife left him. He became a raging alcoholic, complete with prison time, job losses, bankruptcy. People change, drastically sometimes. I hate to say it, but maybe he was juicing, and went off the stuff when his career ended. That can change personality too.
Hey since I don't care about baseball steroid morality I would LOVE to have him outed as a Steroid user in the HoF. Then we could get all the gnashing out of the way. And I say this is a big twins fan who loved Kirby (the player).
Oh great a WAR argument, because that really does determine everything. Seriously I am NOT saying he deserved to sail in, but the narrative of his career arc says he WAS going to sail in. Talk about WAR all you like, but he was going in, it was just easier because of PR.
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