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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Saturday, January 14, 2012Goldman: The Montero-Pineda Trade: Rotation Upgrade at a Sustainable CostOr as Barnald points out…“But this is the part of the upgrade that scares me!”
Repoz
Posted: January 14, 2012 at 08:24 AM | 30 comment(s)
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1. UCCF Posted: January 14, 2012 at 09:20 AM (#4036972)It would be funny if the Yankees turned around and put a package with Pineda to get Hernandez.
Heyman tweeted last night...
"#yankees tried for #felix before acquiring pineda. #mariners wouldnt budge. #yanks woulda offered montero/banuelos/betances/etc./etc"
Many people believe it's possible for Pineda to become an ace-level starter. If both players reach their full potentials seems like the deal won't be a bust for anyone.
Nice one.
Sanchez was much better than Montero as a 17 yr old; as an 18 year old Montero showed much better contact skills but Sanchez kills him in power and BB rate. So maybe they do.
Jesus: "In my father's house are many Monteros."
Really? Montero turned from Miguel Cabrera to Carlos Delgado to Gregg Jeffries pretty quickly in the eyes of Yankee fans.
(I hope the poster does realize that Gregg Jefferies was a switch-hitter. Not that I think that which side a batter bats from is crucially important, but he seems to.)
Next stop, Wily Mo!
EDIT: And Gregg Jeffries? Even Wily Mo is a better comp than Gregg Jeffries. At least go for Richie Sexson or Steve Balboni or something equally uninspiring.
Many people believe it's possible for Pineda to become an ace-level starter. If both players reach their full potentials seems like the deal won't be a bust for anyone.
Or Campos becomes an ace.
This is a much bigger deal than you seem to be making it.
Gary Sanchez, Austin Romine, J.R. Murphy...
Are you implying that any of these guys are the quality of prospect Montero is/was?
Nah, Montero was a megaprospect, none of those three guys have anywhere near the hype or reviews.
Still, I think the Yankees are making a smart move with this trade. Obviously one tweaked elbow and the whole facade can come crumbling down in a heartbeat but it seems like a worthwhile gamble.
Ignoring any speculation about Montero's sustainability behind the plate, the Yankees certainly seem happy with Russell Martin. He wasn't awful offensively and even if the team doesn't fully buy in to Marchi's HB Times work on pitch framing I think it's fair to say the team acknowledges Martin's defensive abilities and the Yankee staff seems to like throwing to him. Further, I think it's fair to say Yankee pitchers as a whole outperformed expectations in 2011. If Mr. Cashman thinks it's worth sacrificing some offense, or even a heap of offense just to take the stress off the pitching staff for a couple of years, he's in a better position to deal his top catching prospect and address another area of perceived need than most GM's.
I don't think any of Austine Romine, Gary Sanchez, or JR Murphy will hit as well as Jesus Montero in the majors but I think it'd be a solid bet to predict at least one of the three will develop into an above-average major-league catcher in the next 3 or 4 years. Baseball America has the trio as 8th, 4th, and 9th-best in a decent Yankee system respectively; there are no guarantees in talent development and health but the Yankees are dealing from a position of depth at catcher. And of course, we're not even considering the possibility that Montero ends up not being a viable option and must be moved to DH or 1B, positions the Yankees probably feel more confident addressing through the market.
I think Montero is going to hit a ton wherever he ends up on the field, but adding a big, hard-throwing young pitcher like Michael Pineda to the rotation has to be considered a huge benefit to the Yankees both on the field where he projects to a strong #2 or #3 power starter, and on the payroll, where he'll (again, assuming health) be an inexpensive contributor in the Yankees march to <$189 million in 2014. Given the apparently serious effort the team appears to be making towards that goal, you can't fault Mr. Cashman for renouncing Jesus and dreaming of a rotation featuring an expensive Sabathia backed by an affordable and talented supporting rotation of Pineda, Ivan Nova, and some winnowed combination of Phillip Hughes, Manny Banuelos, Dellin Betances, David Phelps, Adam Warren, or another arm from the farm (perhaps even Jose Campos).
Speaking of Campos, I hope Mariners fans aren't underselling the potential of Hector Noesi coming their way. I think Noesi will be a better-than-league-average starting pitcher in the very near future. I think the Yankees had a good bit of confidence in Noesi's ability to contribute to the 2012 team and that if the Mariners were willing to accept a non-Banuelos/Betances pitcher in his place the Yankees would certainly have preferred that option. Noesi has a live fastball and a good changeup, I'll wager he'll give the Mariners very good value as soon as this season.
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