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Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Grantland: Jazayerli: Can Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder Carry the Brewers to the World Series?

Rany on the royal Brewers.

As consistently excellent as Braun and Fielder have been since joining the Brewers, this was probably their best year as a duo. Braun hit .332/.397/.597, leading the NL in slugging while setting a career high in walks (58) and a career low in strikeouts (93). He even stole 33 bases to go along with his 33 homers, becoming just the second 30/30 player in Brewers history. Fielder hit .299/.415/.566 with 38 homers without missing a single game. (In addition to their other virtues, Braun and Fielder have been remarkably durable throughout their careers. Braun has played in at least 150 games every season since his rookie year and Fielder has missed 13 games in the past six seasons combined.)

One of the generally accepted principles of sabermetrics is that hitters are more likely to peak at age 27 than any other time. Braun and Fielder are both 27.

Given the overall decline in offense throughout the majors this season — teams averaged 4.28 runs per game in 2011, the lowest since 1992 — Fielder’s and Braun’s numbers are even more impressive. Braun, in fact, led the NL in OPS (on-base average + slugging average) with a mark of .994, and Fielder finished third at .981, behind Braun and Matt Kemp.

It’s a testament to how much pitchers fear Fielder that despite leading the league in OPS, Braun — batting directly in front of Fielder all season — was walked intentionally only twice this year. And it’s a testament to how little opponents fear anyone else in the Brewers lineup that Fielder was intentionally walked 32 times, leading the majors. (It didn’t help that the Brewers’ no. 5 hitter for most of the season, Casey McGehee, hit .223/.280/.346. He was replaced by Jerry Hairston at third base for the playoffs.)

Repoz Posted: October 11, 2011 at 01:51 PM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: brewers

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. salvomania Posted: October 11, 2011 at 04:10 PM (#3959409)
Well? Anybody read TFA? Can they?
   2. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: October 11, 2011 at 04:12 PM (#3959412)
yes (and no)
   3. Javy Joan Baez (chris h.) Posted: October 11, 2011 at 04:17 PM (#3959419)
I had no idea that Rany was a dermatologist living in the Chicago suburbs.
   4. Pawapuro Posted: October 11, 2011 at 06:29 PM (#3959524)
I read TFA. It sums up facts. Then it ends, without any analysis. WTF?
   5. bigglou115 is not an Illuminati agent Posted: October 11, 2011 at 06:49 PM (#3959538)
I didn't think it was that bad. It points out that Braun and Fielder are really good, and should make a difference in the playoffs. Not groundbreaking, but not worthless. I could see one or two people not knowing that.
   6. Greg Franklin Posted: October 11, 2011 at 07:13 PM (#3959560)
Rany is better than this on his blog, and was pimping this upcoming article there. Well, either he regards Grantlandians as the slow kids in the sabermetrics class, or TFA was edited to hell.
   7. Der-K's no Kliph Nesteroff. Posted: October 11, 2011 at 07:18 PM (#3959565)
McGehee was batting 5th?
   8. JoeHova Posted: October 11, 2011 at 07:25 PM (#3959573)
McGehee was batting 5th?

McGehee batted fifth for 476 plate appearances this year. The last 400 or so of those were very distressing for most Brewers fans. (We were willing to forgive him for a slow start but changes need to be made at some point.)
   9. Steve Parris, Je t'aime Posted: October 11, 2011 at 11:54 PM (#3959760)
Well, either he regards Grantlandians as the slow kids in the sabermetrics class, or TFA was edited to hell.

From what I've seen of the Grantland articles, it's much more aimed towards the casual fan. I believe I saw OPS defined in one article, which Rob Neyer stopped doing around 1999.

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