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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, June 14, 2022Heyman: Tony La Russa’s shoddy managing hurting more than current White Sox
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: June 14, 2022 at 01:28 PM | 50 comment(s)
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1. The Duke Posted: June 14, 2022 at 06:33 PM (#6081755)Said about every manager by their fanbase at some point
Was he at Hastings?
This is true in the narrow sense - he is "famous" for being loyal, in the sense that writers can never stop saying it - but as a Bulls fan, I always felt like his loyalty was fairly selective. For example:
Jerry Krause - loyal
Phil Jackson - not-so-loyal
John Paxson - loyal
Tom Thibodeau - not-so-loyal
It seems like it's more accurate to say that he picks a small circle of favorites, and then is very loyal to those favorites. Plus, of course, he was always one of the most notorious crush-the-players owners in labor disputes, which seems like it ought to be considered a measure of loyalty also.
Phil Jackson - not-so-loyal
John Paxson - loyal
Tom Thibodeau - not-so-loyal
But in both those cases - Krause/Phil and Pax/Thibs, they had falling outs or split and essentially forced Jerry to pick one. Same thing with Kenny/Ozzie. Just because he did let some guys get fired doesn't mean he still isn't likely the most loyal owner of the guys he likes. In fact, by re-hiring TLR, it kinda proves that point. Plus all the Doug Collins ####, if you wanna bring it back to the Bulls.
That's why it was such a big deal when he finally fired Krause and then Pax (although, Pax really wasn't fired and is still on the payroll), because both were way, way past their expiration dates.
Well, sure, but that's my point, isn't it? He's loyal to the guys he likes, which seems like a big difference to me from just "loyal", full stop. Lots of guys are loyal to their little group of cronies.
Along another line of succession in 1966, La Russa was managed at Modesto by Gus Niarhos. In 1946 at Kansas City, Niarhos had been managed by Burleigh Grimes.
Who had been managed by Wilbert Robinson, who had been managed by Ned Hanlon, who had been managed by Jim Mutrie, who played before they had managers in any modern sense.
also:
larussa played for billy martin, who played for casey stengel, who played for john mcgraw ...
Context matters, but fine, I'll rephrase. He's loyal, especially compared to virtually every other owner in pro sports. He's also *extremely* loyal to a select few, even more especially compared to other owners.
However, while Mack and Jack Glasscock (debuted 1879) were teammates with the 1894 Pittsburgh Pirates, Glasscock was apparently released in August of that season, just prior to Mack taking over as manager (I believe). It's close, but I think they missed each other. That would put the earliest major league playing debut of any player Mack managed as a major league manager as Denny Lyons (1885).
Mack did manage Adonis Terry (debuted in the American Association in 1884) with Milwaukee, as well as George Shoch (1886).
So, Mack's direct managerial influence stretched at least 80 years.
One of the frustrating things about being a fan of a TLR-managed team is that the conversation was pulled to him like the world's most powerful magnet was behind the wall. When you get beat (sorta) by a guy hitting .150, then it seems the story really should be on the guy hitting .150. I think the real criticism should be that it took the White Sox those extra couple of pitches to realize "Hey, there's a guy hitting .150 on deck right now."
Fair enough - like I said at the outset, the claim in question was true in a narrow sense. I just think it begs the questions of what "loyalty" really means and how meaningful the title "most loyal sports owner" really is.
I hate hate hate that reason because its dumb dumb dumb.
Terry pitched in 48 games with Milwaukee of the Western League under Mack. It wasn't a major league, but as far as I can tell Terry had the earliest major league debut of any player Mack ever did manage).
sure but this is national baseball writer Jon Heyman writing in the NY Post. He did do his undergrad at Northwestern but grew up in Long Island. I don't think he's a White Sox fan. The main question is whether LaRussa is a Boras client. :-)
The game has seemingly passed them by. When you think walking in a run with an IBB is cutting edge magic, you might need to move on.
The Last Dance existed because the Jerrys made it clear it was the last year for this group. They ran off the best player ever, and the coach who won the most NBA titles. Because they thought Jerry Krause was going to put together another dynasty.
Sourced quotes from wikipedia:
After contentious negotiations between Jackson and the Bulls in that same period, Jackson was signed for the 1997–98 season only. Krause announced the signing in what Chicago media widely considered to be a mean-spirited manner, emphasizing that Jackson would not be rehired even if the Bulls won the 1997–98 title. That triggered an argument between Jackson and Krause in which Jackson essentially told Krause that he seemed to be rooting for the other side and not the Bulls. At that point, Krause told Jackson, "I don't care if it's 82-and-0 this year, you're ####### gone."[23]
Krause was widely quoted as saying, "Players and coaches don't win championships; organizations win championships." The statement particularly offended Michael Jordan. However, Krause said that his original phrasing was "Players and coaches alone don't win championships; organizations win championships."[24]
McGraw's last year was 1932 with the Giants (first 40 games). Youngest player was Hal Schumacher - he played until 1946 (he played on the team in 1931 as well)
So McGraw covers 1886-1946: 60 years which is impressive but not anywhere near the record. Managed from age 26 to 59.
Mix in playing career and he starts in 1891 at age 18 with the Baltimore Orioles - Oldest player was Sam Wise who first played in 1881. So he played with or managed guys who were in the majors from 1881-1946 (65 years)
Connie Mack first played in 1886 for the Washington Nationals (age 23, first game was September 11, 1886) - Joe Start at age 43 was a teammate (final game July 9, 1886) - his first ML season was 1871 (first year of MLB sorta) with the New York Mutuals but sadly they weren't on the team together. Next is Davy Force (final game August 20, 1886) again not teammates but another guy who started in 1871. Looks like his oldest teammate was Paul Hines who played the full season and more - his first year was 1872 at age 17 - soooo close to the beginning of MLB. Safe to say he heard stories of it. Mack's final managing year was 1950 with the Philadelphia Athletics of course. A player on that team was Bobby Shantz who would play until 1964, and as mentioned above Nellie Fox was on his team in 1949 who would last until 1965. So Mack played with or managed guys who were around from 1872 to 1965 - 93 years. Hard to imagine anyone could come close to beating that.
Fox played with a very young Larry Dierker (age 17 & 18 together). Dierker would manage until 2001 with the Houston Astros. A pitcher he managed was Roy Oswalt who would play until 2013 with Colorado. Nolan Arenado was on that team and is still playing today.
So to go from 1871 to today you can do it with Joe Start (adds that last year) - Paul Hines - Connie Mack - Nellie Fox - Larry Dierker - Roy Oswalt - Nolan Arenado. 7 players to cover all of pro-baseball history and more - Joe Start began playing in 1859 pre-pro ball and was part of the team (and final rally) to beat the first all-pro team the Cincinnati Red Stockings who won 81 straight over 2 years until they faced Joe Start's Brooklyn Atlantics.
That was fun to dig into. Not sure if there is a shorter route from the Red Stockings to today, but I doubt it.
Yes, I just defended TLR and I feel icky
the 1969 Mets beat writer crew famously noted for many years after that the typically NY/NJ bunch didn't buy the "Miracle Mets" fairytale for at least four months. but eventually, they all toppled like dominoes, because - well, it WAS Amazin'.
all but one. this curmudgeon insisted it was all overhyped. the Cubs would take them down. then the Braves. then the Orioles - definitely! (and no, it wasn't BBTF fave Murray Chass lol)
re "The Last Dance" - I have two moments there were, if you break it down like the Zapruder film, I am right there in those freeze frames. pretty amusing.
Yes, I just defended TLR and I feel icky
One of the reasons for their bad Pythag is that they've been blown out a lot. They've lost games by 13, 10, 9, 8, 7 and 6 (three times) runs but coming into today* they had only won one game by more than 5 runs. They're 9-6 in one-run games and 3-5 in extra innings.
(* After today's 13-0 win, they're 30-31 vs. expected 27-34.)
So I don't know if TLR is doing a good job, by maximizing wins despite the overall run differential, or if he's doing a bad job by letting so many games get out of control. You could probably argue either way.
White Sox are 9-6 in one run games, 4-9 in "blowouts" as defined by BB REF (+5 runs or more margin)
Another way to look at it....
White Sox have a team 96 OPS+ and 98 ERA+, and -16 rDRS
Or....if one prefers Fangraphs Metrics:
99 wRC+. 106 ERA- and -16 OAA (Statcast fielding)
So slightly below average offense, slightly below average pitching, and well below average defense.
They are 30-31
TLR is annoying AF, but the core performance of the players on the roster is 98% of all this anyway. Looking at all this, I think it's hard to make a case that the White Sox should have a better record than they do. Their players need to play better.
Undoubtedly true, but let's focus on the "almost." This is a team that won the division last year and was picked by most to do so again this year. They've had injuries, certainly, but more/worse than other teams? (I don't know.) Maybe they're getting their doors blown off because the manager isn't utilizing the available talent correctly (including defensive personnel choices and positioning decisions), or because when they fall behind he panics and makes stupid moves, which makes them fall behind by more.
I actually have no idea; I don't follow the White Sox. Just trying to think of reasons why you don't need to defend TLR. :)
I appreciate the moral support. :)
As a fan of a team STILL reeling from the damage he managed to inflict in a very short period of time while heading up Baseball Operations, this is painful spot to find myself.
See percent of WARP missed
Use drop down "Preferred Measurement" to select this metric. It does appear they've been a little unlucky in this regard too .
This is how BP defines:
So Larussa is dealing with injuries, and the guys who aren't hurt include several that are under performing, (and several that are not), and the team is still just a game under .500, just 5 games back of the Twins.
Considering they've out performed their pythag, and the team has had a bit more than the average number of injuries, I am hard pressed to find hard evidence that another manager would somehow have them much closer to first place. Maybe there IS evidence of that. But a few high profile incidents probably obscure plenty of good decisions that went quietly unobserved.
I've got one. The decision to give substantial playing time to Jake Burger. He had plenty of other options. And I suspect that over the remainder of the season Harrison and Mancada will outplay him, but right now he's been clearly better than either. Mendick's another. Both are more than likely a few miles over their head, but if it's luck that they've done this well, it's luck that matters.
He's also done a good job of getting the reliever who have pitched well so far into high leverage situations. In particular Hendriks and Graveman.
But I can't find anything in the record that looks like an offset to the more high profile incidents.
Please don't do that, I'm doing no such thing.
The Pythag record vs actual is one piece of evidence "in the record" , as is the fact they've had more than their fair share of impactful injuries. You obviously don't find those two things to be very compelling, which is totally understandable. I'm not trying to make an iron clad case here. But those factors should at the very least have some moderating or mitigating effect on the negative judgement being handed down.
I don't watch them every day. But from my experience of watching other managers every day, I see a lot of little things on a day to day basis that are done right that often get obscured by more high profile mistakes. This is human nature on the part of the observers and commentators. So in that context, please re read the last sentences of my comment as they are intended. Not as a hand wave. But more as an acknowledgement we don't know what we don't know.
TLR should not be immune to criticism for the mistakes he's made, but at the same time, there is no HARd evidence presented in this thread that _______________ [fill in name of "best manager you can think of] would have the White Sox in a much better position right now.
No, that would be just during the Reinsdorf era (Lamont in 1995 and La Russa in 1986). Which is saying something, given that that era began in 1981. Bill Veeck switched managers midseason two years in a row before sticking with La Russa.
That Terry Bevington managed multiple complete seasons for this franchise is as great an indictment of Reinsdorf as anything about the La Russa reuniion tour.
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