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Wednesday, July 15, 2020

How long will Trout reign as MLB’s best player?

Barry Bonds spread his seven out over a long period, doing it at the end of 1992, ‘93, ‘96, and each season from 2001-‘04. (He also finished second at the end of ‘90, ‘91, and ‘94).

Walter Johnson managed it six out of seven years from 1912-19, missing out only when Pete Alexander topped him following the ‘17 season.

Stan Musial was The Best Player in Baseball five times between 1943 and ‘50, though with a huge caveat: he missed 1945 entirely, serving in the military. Fellow Cardinal Albert Pujols also did it five times, consecutively from 2006-10. (He finished second after 2004 and ‘05, too.)

So for the moment, Trout still has Ruth and Mays above him, except for two things. First, Ruth didn’t do his consecutively, though Mays, like Trout, did have a streak of seven straight. And second, Trout is only 28 years old. He’s still not done. Not close to it.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 15, 2020 at 09:50 AM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mike trout

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   1. Rally Posted: July 15, 2020 at 11:00 AM (#5963023)
As Dan explained back in March: Trout would be projected to be The Best Player in Baseball headed into 2021. And 2022. And 2023. It would take until 2024, Trout's age-32 season, for someone to finally take over first place. That'd be Acuña, who would be headed into his age-24 season.


Wait, Acuna is not that young is he? Nah, he'll be 26 on opening day 2024. That is, assuming the 2024 baseball season starts before his Dec 18th birthday.
   2. The Duke Posted: July 15, 2020 at 03:42 PM (#5963139)
If you disqualify Bonds for PEDs, Albert has a good run from 2001-2010
   3. dejarouehg Posted: July 15, 2020 at 07:55 PM (#5963219)
If you disqualify Bonds for PEDs, Albert has a good run from 2001-2010
because Pujols is beyond suspicion.
   4. bookbook Posted: July 15, 2020 at 11:39 PM (#5963261)
Grandpa Pujols? They hadn't invented PEDS when Pujols was born.
   5. The Yankee Clapper Posted: July 16, 2020 at 12:35 AM (#5963266)
According to the BB-Ref Simulation, at the All-Star break (~ 95 games), Cody Bellinger (6.1 WAR) & Juan Soto (6.0) are both ahead of Trout (5.5), who is tied with Francisco Lindor. The torch may have already passed, unless you’re one of those fussbudgets who insist on actual games.
   6. Walt Davis Posted: July 16, 2020 at 04:02 AM (#5963281)
Per #5: He's avoided any super-major injuries but it's possible Trout can be counted on to miss 25 games most seasons. If that's the case, it will be hard for him to win many more WAR titles.
   7. Rally Posted: July 16, 2020 at 08:52 AM (#5963300)
If you disqualify Bonds for PEDs, Albert has a good run from 2001-2010


Looking at the metric used in the article, disqualifying Bonds would only add one season where Pujols ranked as #1. A-Rod takes some of the others. Though of horse, there's a similar case to disqualify A-Rod.
   8. Rally Posted: July 16, 2020 at 08:54 AM (#5963302)
I think the absolute max case for 2020 Trout is a 40-45 game season. He's going to take some time off when his baby is born, we just don't know how much.
   9. The Duke Posted: July 16, 2020 at 09:00 AM (#5963303)
I guess no one is above suspicion but there really is zero evidence of that with Pujols plus the fact that his atrocious end of career performance does not scream PEDs.

Pujols is suspected more for taking a couple years off his age. There was an article explaining how Albert was reminiscing about players from his youth that indicated he might be as much as three years older than he says. If he’s two years older, it goes a long way to explaining his career arc. But I don’t think PEDs are an issue
   10. PreservedFish Posted: July 16, 2020 at 09:26 AM (#5963309)
PEDs were banned in 2005, and Pujols' decline began a mere 7 years later. Coincidence? I think not.
   11. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: July 16, 2020 at 11:24 AM (#5963342)
How long will Trout reign as MLB's best player?


As long as Matt Wieters lets him. Is that still a thing?

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