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Saturday, March 06, 2021

Jake Odorizzi reaches 2-year deal with Houston Astros, source says

Right-hander Jake Odorizzi and the Houston Astros have agreed to a two-year deal with a player option, a source familiar with the deal told ESPN’s Jeff Passan on Saturday.

The Astros have already lost starter Framber Valdez for an indefinite period of time after the left-hander suffered a fractured left ring finger during his spring training debut on Tuesday.

Houston also is without ace Justin Verlander, who likely will miss the entire season after having Tommy John surgery on Sept. 30.

Odorizzi will join a rotation that likely includes Zack Greinke, Cristian Javier, Lance McCullers Jr. and Jose Urquidy.

After accepting a one-year, $17.8 million qualifying offer from the Minnesota Twins last offseason, Odorizzi, who turns 31 on March 27, was limited to four starts in 2020 due to bruised ribs and a blister, going 0-1 with a 6.59 ERA in 13⅔ innings.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 06, 2021 at 01:40 PM | 17 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: astros, jake odorizzi

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   1. Walt Davis Posted: March 06, 2021 at 03:38 PM (#6007841)
So the Astros time at the top seems to be in full fade. Still a solid team but the fearsome rotation has faded, Springer is gone, Correa will be FA, Reddick & Brantley are gone, Altuve may be in serious decline (or may have just had two lousy months). Wow, even McCullers will be FA at year's end (time flies). Could be nothing but Bregman and Kyle Tucker next year.
   2. I Am Not a Number Posted: March 06, 2021 at 04:31 PM (#6007842)
Reddick & Brantley are gone

Brantley re-signed with the Astros.
   3. The Duke Posted: March 06, 2021 at 06:48 PM (#6007845)
The astros seem to be in the same place the Cubs were a few years back. Really good but decline coming soon. Their situation is complicated by their draft issues so I’m not sure they will try to hold on beyond this year. Best to gobble up draft choices and re-boot. Or they could go the Cubs route and try to finagle a way through for a couple years.

The boom/bust model is a hard one to manage. The bust takes years to recover from and the boom creates players who likely won’t stick around and give away control years. The rays have the “flip players constantly and live off of years 1-6” model. The dodgers and yanks just spend. The cardinals have the “let’s just be good enough to make the playoffs” model. I’m a cards fan. They don’t get superstars often (pujols was lucky) but they seem to develop decent talent to supplement the few stars they have while at the same time never letting the GM take a couple years off. I like their focus on creating history (ie long tenured star players). Nostalgia sells and they smartly do a lot of nostalgia-creating.

The blue jays, twins and Mariners look interesting. The braves have stellar talent locked up for years so they are uncharacteristically spending - smart move. The Mets are going to be huge spenders. The giants feel more like the Cards to me. Always trying to win. I like it. Padres - well if they don’t win, it will be a shame. No one is doing more.
   4. Walt Davis Posted: March 06, 2021 at 07:50 PM (#6007847)
#2 ... So he did. b-r hasn't fully updated, he's sort of in the contract list but without money and with a FA listing and buried halfway down the contracts page so I didn't notice him. But he's on the 40-man page and Cot's shows him at 2/$32.
   5. Astroenteritis Posted: March 06, 2021 at 09:06 PM (#6007850)
The one thing the Astros needed this year was for the rotation to hold up, and it's already crumbling. Losing Valdez hurts. There's a fair amount of good, young pitching on the roster, but the minor leagues are a shadow of what they used to be, so there's not much to call upon when injuries strike.
   6. DCA Posted: March 06, 2021 at 09:10 PM (#6007851)
Astros are pretty clearly still the class of the AL West right now, for 2021 and for the medium-term future. The only other team that seems to have a clue is the A's and they are much more resource-limited both long-term and for 2021 specifically.

Young offensive core of Bregman, Yordan, Tucker are all under control for 4-5 years. As is Altuve, who was terrible last year but had a 903 OPS in 2019.

Rotation has Framber-Urquidy-Javier for 4-5 years, topped by Greinke-McCullers this year and Verlander next year.

I don't know why they haven't signed a legit alternate to Straw in CF (Jackie Bradley Jr would have been a perfect fit), and there's some downside risk that Altuve and Gurriel are toast, but this is a good team and it will take an intention decision to change that before 2025.

   7. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: March 06, 2021 at 10:22 PM (#6007854)
this is a good team and it will take an intention decision to change that before 2025.

At least they don't have to worry about falling any farther than 4th place as long as the Rangers seem content to play what looks on paper to be a 110-loss team.
   8. Walt Davis Posted: March 06, 2021 at 11:24 PM (#6007855)
Depends a lot on how you rate that future rotation. Valdez is just weird -- a Dominican signee who doesn't show up in the register until age 21, is turning 27, still only has 550 pro innings under his belt across 5-6 seasons, now has his broken finger. Urqidy is kinda similar except out of Mexico. His K-rate has bounced around a fair bit the last few years, he out-pitched his FIP by 2 whole runs in 2020. Javier's minor-league stats look very, very good and he's turning 25, let's hope he doesn't get hurt. And according to both b-r and Cot's, Verlander is an FA at the end of this year ... and of course he'll be 39 coming off TJS. They've also still got Whitley ... his stock has plummeted from top 10 prospect to 40/60/80 prospect, I assume due to injury (career high 92 IP in 2017).

If three of those guys hit then the future looks pretty bright but of course we've seen far more heralded young rotations hit the wall.

I had forgotten about Alvarez. Hopefully we'll get to see him over a full season, the debut was awesome.

Anyway, sure, it's not hard to see how the Astros keep going -- they just need young SPs to deliver, Altuve to have 2-3 more Altuve seasons, Alvarez and Tucker to be reasonably studly ... and they might re-sign Correa, or sign 1-2 big-name SPs with the Greinke-Verlander money, etc. That's more in the "if everything goes right" box though. I think it might be even easier to see things not going so right over 2021-22 and them looking to move Bregman before they have to pay him $30 M a year. Obviously partly depends on how cheap the ownership wants to be.
   9. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: March 07, 2021 at 09:12 AM (#6007857)
Altuve looked like his old self at the plate in the postseason last year, I wouldn’t write him off just yet.
   10. Tom Goes to the Ballpark Posted: March 07, 2021 at 11:50 AM (#6007865)
Heyman is reporting that Whitley has a torn UCL and needs Tommy John. Rough start to spring training for Astros pitching.
   11. Jesus Luzardo Maraschino Posted: March 07, 2021 at 02:39 PM (#6007875)
That's too bad about Whitley. His stock dropped due to injuries and realky high walk rates.

I think the A's have to be the favorites this season once Verlander went down.
   12. Astroenteritis Posted: March 07, 2021 at 10:57 PM (#6007914)
I think the A's have to be the favorites this season once Verlander went down.

I thought the A's were the favorites in the division last year (back when we expected a normal season) and I don't see any reason to think they shouldn't be the favorites this year. As for the future, if the Astros somehow manage to sign Correa to an extension, which I don't think they will, the future looks pretty decent. Even before the Valdez injury, I pegged Houston at about 85 wins, which I don't think will win the division. Of course, I tend to fall just ever so slightly to the pessimistic side of the spectrum, but not by much.
   13. Alan Didak Posted: March 08, 2021 at 03:09 AM (#6007921)
Poor Jake, he's gets his own headline but no one wants to talk about him
   14. McCoy Posted: March 08, 2021 at 07:47 AM (#6007922)
He stinks
   15. Howie Menckel Posted: March 08, 2021 at 09:50 AM (#6007924)
I see what you did there
   16. The Gary DiSarcina Fan Club (JAHV) Posted: March 08, 2021 at 12:32 PM (#6007937)
Has anyone seen the dollar amount? This was the last guy out there I thought would be a significant upgrade for the Angels' rotation, but they apparently don't have much money to play with.
   17. The Yankee Clapper Posted: March 09, 2021 at 02:31 PM (#6008031)
Reportedly, a 2-year deal that guarantees Odorizzi $23.5M:
Odorizzi is guaranteed $23.5MM. That takes the form of a $6MM signing bonus, a $6MM salary in 2021, a $5MM salary in 2022, and a $6.5MM player option for 2023. The option comes with a $3.25MM buyout. Performance escalators can max the option out at $12.5MM while also bringing the potential buyout figure up to $6.25MM. Combining to make 30 appearances from 2021-22 will bring Odorizzi to just shy of $24MM over those two seasons in salary, while incentives could push the deal up to $30MM.

On top of the $5MM base salary for the 2022 season, Odorizzi would make $500K for reaching 100 innings pitched, $1MM apiece for throwing 110, 120, 130, 140, and 150 innings, with another $1.25MM if he reaches the 160 inning mark. The deal also contains some deferred money. . . . With just a $3.25MM difference between the value of the option and the buyout, it’s highly unlikely Odorizzi exercises it two years from now. However, the player option pushes the contract’s guaranteed money out to three years, while still giving Odorizzi the chance to re-test free agency after 2022. That lowers the deal’s average annual value (which determines the luxury tax calculation) to a modest $7.83MM.

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