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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Friday, September 23, 2011Kriegel: Red Sox are anything but ‘Money’Money: (Marty) Barrett Strong ~ (Mark) Kriegel Weak.
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Posted: September 23, 2011 at 09:15 PM | 15 comment(s)
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1. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: September 23, 2011 at 09:58 PM (#3934399)Take out the snark and attitude, and there's a point in there. Why do successful players in one city fail in another? If you're in a front office and you're thinking of acquiring a big player, does that enter your decision process? Is there a way to identify a player who will not be a good fit in your particular situation?
There was an article in Spring Training that talked about the Sox doing just crazy levels of investigation (bordering on stalking it seemed) on Carl Crawford. I'd be stunned if every team doesn't do some sort of background check on players before they sign them ranging from a phone call to a former manager to something like the Sox and Crawford.
At the same time, I just don't know how useful it is. It seems to me that doing a psychiatric profile on someone is a pretty tough thing to do with any accuracy unless you are doing the type of stuff that spy novels are based on. I mean, Lackey won Game Seven of the World Series as a rookie and was pretty regularly a horse and an Ace for the Angels with a darn good post-season record. He looked like a guy you would expect to step in in Boston and deliver.
That's just one example and there are plenty of contraexamples but I just think doing psychiatric evaluations of players is a virtual impossibility. Doesn't mean it shouldn't be tried, just that it's unlikely to succeed.
Ignoring pitchers attitudes about the team they are heading towards and said pitchers numbers in the park of the team they are heading towards is the new market ineffciancy.
The problem for the Red Sox isn't that Lackey and Crawford haven't been expensive mediocrities; they've been expensive negatives on the field. Even if they were each paid $5M, these guys would be killing the Sox by playing every day and starting every 5th day. A team that wants to win 95-100 games is pretty hamstrung by a 0.5 WAR player in LF every day and a -2 WAR starter taking the hill once every 5 days.
Jayson Werth can't be as bad as his numbers this year though, can he?
But the theory is that if they weren't so invested in Crawford, both because of the expense and the expectations of the acquisition, they might have been able to develop or buy a legitimate backup plan, so if Crawford put up a replacement-level season, they can replace him in the lineup. If you sign Carl Crawford, you figure that LF is taken care of; you don't acquire a LF option, as the Sox might have had they never signed the man.
I'll take things we used to say about Jason Bay for $500.
Numbers don't lie, Tommy Lasorda does.
(Many) People thought it was a bad contract before the year even started. Even if he's not really this bad (which I'm inclined to agree is the case) this year still has to substantially lower our expectations for his future compared to what we would have thought last year. Since most of us already thought the contract was bad, it's now looking quite likely to be truly awful.
The Crawford contract is similar in this regard-many people thought it was bad to begin with, and even though I doubt Crawford is truly this bad, it is hard to see him performing at a level that comes close to justifying his pay.
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