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Monday, September 12, 2022

Los Angeles Angels star Mike Trout homers in seventh straight game, one shy of MLB record

Los Angeles Angels star Mike Trout homered in his seventh consecutive game, one shy of the major league record, but the AL Central-leading Cleveland Guardians posted a 5-4 victory on Monday night….

Pittsburgh’s Dale Long established the MLB record of eight straight games with a home run in 1956. Don Mattingly of the Yankees matched it in 1987, as did Seattle’s Ken Griffey Jr. in 1993.

Trout can match the mark on Tuesday night when the Angels continue their series with the Guardians.

Trout is the first AL player with a seven-game home run streak since Kendrys Morales of Toronto in 2018. Cincinnati’s Joey Votto homered in seven straight last season from July 24-30.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 12, 2022 at 10:48 PM | 21 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mike trout

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   1. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 13, 2022 at 12:15 AM (#6095906)
And the Angels lost, which reminds me of that quip a while back about the typical Angels game summary involving something record-breaking from Trout and/or Ohtani and, of course, the Angels still losing the game.
   2. Howie Menckel Posted: September 13, 2022 at 12:21 AM (#6095909)
one possibly apocryphal anecdote from the Mets expansion days included variations on:

NYC cabbie to new fare: "hey, did you hear the Mets scored 19 runs today?"

New fare: "Great ! Did we win?"
   3. Rally Posted: September 13, 2022 at 08:23 AM (#6095922)
Angels 3-4 in those 7 games. I expect this headline:

“Mike Trout blasted 3 homeruns today while Shohei Ohtani hit for the cycle and pitched 8 scoreless innings. The Angels lost 5 to 4.”
   4. cHiEf iMpaCt oFfiCEr JE Posted: September 13, 2022 at 10:49 AM (#6095933)
Cincinnati’s Joey Votto homered in seven straight last season from July 24-30.
And missed hitting in eight straight by mere inches.
   5. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: September 13, 2022 at 01:02 PM (#6095950)
7 games.
7 HRs, 2 2Bs, 2 singles.
11 RBIs.

If I were the Angels, I would prioritize having two guys who could hit one-two in the lineup with on-base skills, regardless of anything else they could do well, and stick them in front of Trout.

And I would just put Trout in bubble wrap.

It is so frustrating that Tom Brady can play pro football for 23 years, and outside of one season with the torn ACL in 2008, pretty much never miss a game. LeBron James is a huge guy, plays unreal amounts of minutes, taking endless amounts of contact as he approaches 40, and keeps playing at a high level; Serena can play until almost 40, give birth to a kid, keep playing at a high level; but Trout can't stay on the field with what would *seem* to be the least punishing of the major sports.

Because when Trout is on the field, there is nobody like him.
   6. gehrig97 Posted: September 13, 2022 at 01:07 PM (#6095952)
I'm going to be that guy: As incredible as this power surge has been, Mike Trout's walk rate this season is pretty alarming (relative to his standards). Career-high K rate, lowest bb% since his rookie season... hoping it's a one-year blip.
   7. SandyRiver Posted: September 13, 2022 at 03:43 PM (#6095964)
#2 reminds me of the classic Babe Herman story (that actually happened). Herman came up in the bottom of the 7th with the score 1-1, either no outs or one, no PBP on BBRef. Hank DeBerry was on 3rd, pitcher Dazzy Vance on 2nd and Chick Fewster on 1st when Herman blasted a drive over the right fielder's head. DeBerry scored but Vance rounded 3rd and decided to retreat to the bag - one account has him getting into/out of a rundown between 3rd and home. Fewster easily made 3rd and stopped when he saw Vance while the rookie Herman kept charging and reached 3rd just ahead of the throw. The 3rd baseman tagged all 3 and the umpire, correctly, said that Vance "owned" the base and the other 2 were out. Brooklyn won 4-1 and DeBerry always reminded people that, despite Herman's "doubling into a double play", he (DeBerry) scored the game's winning run.

Also possibly apocryphal:
Brooklyn cabbie says to new fare, "Hey, the Bums have 3 men on base."
New fare, "Yeah? Which base?"
   8. JimMusComp misses old primer... Posted: September 13, 2022 at 11:19 PM (#6096039)
#6 - I’m that guy too. I was looking the other day, and a bit freaked by that walk rate and K rate.

Also very much hoping it’s a one year blip - but I don’t know.
   9. McCoy Posted: September 14, 2022 at 07:38 AM (#6096048)
Reminds me of the glory days of Sammy Sosa and the Cubs. I think at one point there was some Cub fans who kind of thought the Cubs were better off with Sammy not homering I'm a game because the Cubs always seemed to lose those games
   10. Bret Sabermatrician Posted: September 14, 2022 at 09:05 AM (#6096050)
During his 66 home run season, the Cubs went 30-24 in games in which Sosa homered.

They went 60-49 in games he didn't homer.
   11. AndrewJ Posted: September 14, 2022 at 09:16 AM (#6096052)
6>> We should ALL have off-years with a 175 OPS+…
   12. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: September 14, 2022 at 09:40 AM (#6096055)
If I were the Angels, I would prioritize having two guys who could hit one-two in the lineup with on-base skills

Does anyone prioritize "on-base skills" any more, much less two people, much less two on the same team? Contemporary analytics says a guy who hits 15 HR with a .280 OBP is more valuable than a spray-hitting singles hitter who walks 80 times a season, so that's all we get any more.
   13. McCoy Posted: September 14, 2022 at 10:10 AM (#6096056)
He also hit 66 in one of the few years the Cubs weren't terrible while he banged them out.
   14. Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama Posted: September 14, 2022 at 10:41 AM (#6096060)
Contemporary analytics says a guy who hits 15 HR with a .280 OBP is more valuable than a spray-hitting singles hitter who walks 80 times a season, so that's all we get any more.


That seems a little hyperbolic. Or I missed the memo, which is happening more and more these days
   15. TomH Posted: September 14, 2022 at 10:43 AM (#6096061)
Trout flyball% going into 2022 was 29%.
This year, 45%.

So overall his HR% is up, but his HR/fly ball is actually down a bit.

Not judging, merely observing. Not right or wrong, just different. Still very valuable.
   16. TomH Posted: September 14, 2022 at 10:50 AM (#6096062)
Trout could accomplish this: finishing 2nd in the AL in home runs while not having enough PA to qualify for any "rate" titles. I wonder if this has been done since early-career Babe Ruth?
   17. TomH Posted: September 14, 2022 at 11:01 AM (#6096064)
deleted; wrong thread
   18. Dillon Gee Escape Plan Posted: September 14, 2022 at 11:23 AM (#6096067)
Trout is making a lot less contact than he was prior to 2021. He has a career 80.9% contact%, but it's been under 74% the last two seasons. His SwStr% is also well above his career average (11.7% in 2022; career 7.2%). 11.7% still isn't terribly high, but it is his first season above the league average.

Of course, he's also been dealing with various injuries. And yet, he still has a 176 wRC+ that's above his career average. He's pretty good.
   19. The Gary DiSarcina Fan Club (JAHV) Posted: September 14, 2022 at 11:28 AM (#6096068)
I'm just speculating, but it seems logical that this:

Trout is making a lot less contact than he was prior to 2021. He has a career 80.9% contact%, but it's been under 74% the last two seasons. His SwStr% is also well above his career average (11.7% in 2022; career 7.2%). 11.7% still isn't terribly high, but it is his first season above the league average.


is related to this:

Trout flyball% going into 2022 was 29%.
This year, 45%.


He's always had an uppercut swing path, but perhaps he's gone even further in that direction to hit more balls in the ait.
   20. Hombre Brotani Posted: September 14, 2022 at 03:27 PM (#6096100)
Trout had a 13-game stretch where he hit .167 (8-48) with 21 strikeouts and just two walks, and then went onto the IL with the back issue that kept him out for over a month. Before that stretch, he was at a usual Troutian .291/.396/.658. It's hard to say what things are going to look like going forward for him, but I'm wary of drawing too many conclusions. The back could force him to make adjustments to his swing. He might, in typical Trout fashion, just make big adjustments all on his own.

I don't have the numbers for this, but my naked eye observation is that, with Ohtani behind him, Trout's getting challenged a lot more, so he's seeing -- and swinging, and missing -- at a lot more pitches around and across the plate. He's always racked up a big K total for such a finicky hitter. Again, I'm not sure what this means going forward.
   21. Walt Davis Posted: September 14, 2022 at 08:12 PM (#6096152)
a spray-hitting singles hitter who walks 80 times a season, so that's all we get any more.

Such as?? We toss out stuff like this as if these guys were ever a substantial part of the game. (And as if they wouldn't be allowed in today's game for some reason which is just a silly claim.) I mean walking 80 times a year is already around a 12% walk rate. Back in 1977, there were only 30 qualified batters who reached a 12% walk rate, only 16 batters who actually made it to 80 walks; 35 who made it to 70. Only 16 of those 35 hit 270 or better. Of those 16, one (Davey Lopes) had a below-average SLG. Two other guys are maybe close enough to count -- Steve Ontiveros (299/390/423, >avg SLG but <avg ISO) and Roy White (268/358/405, slightly >avg SLG), both guys with over 40 XBH.

In 2021 there were 15 guys who made it to 80 walks, 26 who made it to 70 (note, despite expansion, there were actually more qualified batters in 1977 than 2012 at 147 to 133 ... a startling change nobody seems to have noticed). Only 6 of the 26 hit 270 or better which might be all the oafish behavior or might be a tougher BA environment or a mix of the two.** There's one guy who's close enough in LeMahieu at 268/349/362 and two Roy White types in Moncada (263/375/412) and Nate Lowe (264/367/415). Lowe's even a 1B.

So good average, good walks, little power has always been a very rare combination -- if for no other reason than walk rates and power are somewhat correlated. To the extent teams make a choice between BA and power, it is usually as to whether Juan Pierre (300/350/375 early in his career) is worth playing in LF in his 30s (the answer was yes despite 287/341/342, averaging 36 BB and 10 HBP per 162). Here in 2022, the answers are Andrew Benintendi (304/373/399) and Steven Kwan (293/370/383) ... which hasn't kept Myles Straw (207/277/254), Adam Frazier (241/307/315) or Tony Kemp (234/309/325) from racking up plenty of playing time.

Note, average SLG in 1977 was 401; in 2021 it was 411 but pitchers were still hitting some; in 2022 it's been 396.

1977 264/329/401, 4.47 R/G
2022 243/312/396, 4.31 R/G

In 2022, 11 of 139 qualified batters have an ISO below 100; in 2009, a Pierre year, it was 13 of 156; in 1977, it was 32 of 147. Raise your hand if you miss OF Paul Dade. (Not surprisingly, the vast majority among those 32 are SSs and 2Bs. There's also Dave Chalk a 3B, Steve Braun who had his moments, an old Brock, a young Mazzilli and Bruce Bochte who were corner players.)

So sure, we've "lost" 12 singles while "adding" 10 extra bases per 600 AB. Call it one single per game per team in exchange for an extra HR per 3 games per team. In terms of who's on the field, the change is mainly that 2B and SS are bigger and stronger than they used to be -- if it worked for Ernie Banks and Cal Ripken then why not Corey Seager and Carlos Correa?

** i.e. in 1977, a 270 BA was barely above league-average; in 2021, that was 10% above league average ... 250 is new 270. If we apply that, then 15 of the 26 guys with 70+ walks in 2021 were "270 or better" hitters.

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