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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, October 02, 2023Mariners’ Cal Raleigh apologizes for calling out team after season-ending loss
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: October 02, 2023 at 08:52 AM | 15 comment(s)
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1. The Duke Posted: October 02, 2023 at 12:40 PM (#6143120)And Texas, with all those big names, staggered to the line as well, giving away the division title on the final day. Playing against Seattle.
Oh, I notice Mr. Raleigh went 3-for-20 with no walks or extra-base hits in the season's last five games.
The Orioles were in a tough divisional race too, and the only big stretch-run move they made was adding Jack Flaherty, whose impact was marginal. Does Mike Elias not want to win?
ok, he'd be a sensation literally anywhere. but from a revenue standpoint - well beyond just season tickets and suites - they'd get more bang for their buck than some other markets.
of course, NYC has large populations of virtually every culture on Earth, including Asian countries (especially Queens, but the demographics there don't match Manhattan of course).
The front office had been making noises for years about saving their bullets and being ready to spend big once the team had developed and was ready to benefit from the support.. Last offseason, they abandoned that plan. The stopgaps they did acquire, Pollock, Wong, La Stella delivered a combined negative 2.2 WAR, before the team traded away its closer to plug holes with prospects. Rental bats were available cheap, but we’re not acquired.
Raleigh may have been wrong to say what was on many folks’ minds, but his veteran teammates all spoke out in agreement, afterwards.
Of course fans aren't rational and sometimes it makes "rational business sense" to do the irrational to please your customers.
That said, the mistakes were made this past offseason, not at the deadline. Sewald for Rojas and prospects helped the team down the stretch.
In baseball, you have a 40% chance any season. So a player can expect to make the playoffs two out of five years. It's not that hard to attain.
In other sports, it's even less of a distinction. In the NBA and NHL, the playoffs are one step up from a participation trophy.
I wouldn't say that they made mistakes, but the moves didn't work out. They needed a 2B. Prorating 2020, Kolten Wong was coming off five 3+ WAR seasons in a row. He was -1 WAR in 67 games before being released.
They needed a corner OF bat. Teoscar wasn't terrible (2 WAR in 678 PA) but over the last three years he had produced at about twice that rate.
They made real offseason moves to address plug holes with good players, and came up 5-6 WAR short of reasonable expectations. They were 2-3 wins away from the #2 seed (I'm not sure how the tiebreakers work).
JP and Cal overperformed, as did Caballero, Ford, several no-name bullpen arms and--most dramatically--the unfinished rookie hurlers who don't yet have breaking pitches: Miller and Woo.
I don't think the Mariners had any right to expect the defensive development of Julio to be so dramatic, nor to expect Kelenic to be cromulent overall. (Nor Gilbert and Kirby to be so flawless in their progression to #2 arms.)
Because the team didn't play in the FA market, nor acquire stars or big bats, they became responsible for counting on all of the variability to be on the positive side of the ledger in order to deliver the serious playoff team they seemed to be promising.
That feels to me like mistakes.
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