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Sunday, September 12, 2010
Joey Votto doesn’t hit a’lotto’ infield poppo’s.
Maybe (I thought) I just don’t have any idea how many infield pops are hit by strong hitters. Over the last three seasons (2008-2010), Votto’s IFFB percentage—Infield Fly Balls / Batted Balls—is ... actually, the percentage is so low that it looks like a meaningless number: 0.006 percent.
Instead, let’s look at the Batted Balls per Infield Fly for Votto and a few other great power hitters (again, 2008-2010):
Albert Pujols: 19 Batted Balls / IFFB
Prince Fielder: 21
Miguel Cabrera: 25
Adrian Gonzalez: 38
Joey Votto: 167
Votto’s completely off the charts.
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1. OPS+ Posted: September 12, 2010 at 03:37 AM (#3638959)and it is an interesting bit of info that I had no idea about. I always thought power hitters had lots of popups. To go along with this data, it might be interesting to find out how often batters swing under or over pitches.
High five, racial pride!
You would be correct. Vernon Wells is actually behind only Kurt Suzuki among all qualified players, with a 20% IFFB rate.
Agree, Harveys. Thought I even posted something on it a few weeks back. Guess not.
BTW, Robbie Cano has hit 22 infield pop-ups this season at Yankee Stadium...and 14 went out as homers!
While I think it I rarely voice the contrast between a Cameron who posts on things that have not been discussed elsewhere previously versus more popular writers who seem to use BBTF and the like as their muse.
Is it just me or is Rob being a little disingenuous here. He later goes on to show that Ryan Howard has hit 1 IFF per 202 batted balls. I don't find it plausible that Rob would pick a bunch of great power hitters to look at and not initially include Howard. It's as if he purposely overlooked Howard in order to write the article the way he wanted, and then later included him in a sort of postscript.
This isn't fair. I just didn't include the Howard part, which immediately follows, in the quoted portion of the article.
He starts with the top hitters in baseball and those are: Those dudes. Then he moves to a motley assortment of the good and mediocre which includes Howard. He's not an elite offensive guy so no reason to include him with Cabrera, Pujols, Fielder and Gonzo.
Skippy Schumacher is also a top non-IFFB hombre.
While I think it I rarely voice the contrast between a Cameron who posts on things that have not been discussed elsewhere previously versus more popular writers who seem to use BBTF and the like as their muse.
Harvey I feel like Neyer stole this from us here. The few Reds fans, you, and myself have been discussing this and other smaller details of the Reds all season (of course the details I speak of are common discussions among Yanks, Sox, or Mets fans). Yet when Reds information comes from non-BTF posters, it's seemed as surprising.
I wonder how long it's going to take to see a Buster Olney article about the Reds bench production.
Votto's walkoff homer last night at first appeared to be a popup too, but he somehow managed to get the meat of the bat on the ball and muscled it over the opposite-field wall. For most players, that pitch indeed likely would have been a popup to short.
And my mother--shes a hometown Cincy girl, who still talks fondly of the Redlegs. I'm so sorry, mommy.
Votto has a career .351 BABIP in his 3+ year career. That's pretty high for a guy that doesn't leg out any IF hits. He centers and crushes almost every ball he swings at.
I understand that. But the article reads:
"Instead, let's look at the Batted Balls per Infield Fly for Votto and a few other great power hitters (again, 2008-2010):
Albert Pujols: 19 Batted Balls / IFFB
Prince Fielder: 21
Miguel Cabrera: 25
Adrian Gonzalez: 38
Joey Votto: 167"
Emphasis mine. Why pick Fielder instead of Howard if not:
A - oversight, which is possible but to me kind of implausible
B - for purposes of the narrative he wanted.
Again, it's no big deal, just sort of oddly coincidental that you would omit the guy out-homered all of the above great power hitters over the period in question, especially when the guy omitted ruins the narrative. And then to lump Howard in with a mish mash of middling power hitters and slap hitters strikes me more as a CYA move.
Is a "great power hitter" a great hitter who hits for power, or a hitter who's great at power hitting? If it's the second you have a point, if it's the first maybe not. That list sure looks like great hitters who hit for power, though - Adam Dunn's not on there either.
Reading the full post it seems to me like Neyer was attempting to compare Votto to his peers - meaning elite hitters whose contribution comes in roughly the same shape as his. Howard certainly has an argument to be on such a list - if he's behind Fielder as a hitter, it's only slightly - but he's having a worse year than all those guys, and isn't a no-brainer inclusion (especially for a quick & dirty blog post).
Now if I were writing the article and had lots of time to reflect before putting it up, after doing the second list (with Howard) I might have thought "Hey, Howard could easily fit on that first list, doesn't that undermine my implied point that it's not such an unprecedented skill for a great power hitter?" But I don't think Neyer made that point so strongly that it needs a retraction, or anything.
[eta: just noticed the 2008-2010 time period. Howard's even further behind the guys on the list in total value if you don't get to use 2006.]
Derek Jeter never hits pop-ups.
If unsourced Fangraphs blog commentary is to believed (and if you can't trust unsourced blog posts, who can you trust?), a reader reviewed all Votto's pop-ups (as labeled by MLB) visually, and one of them was caught on the dirt right on the edge of the outfield grass. Maybe some foul pops too - not sure if those would be counted.
And yes, Fangraphs uses BIS data, which defines an "infield fly ball" as a fly ball 140 feet from home plate (as defined by BIS video scouts); BB-Ref and BP use MLBAM data, which defines a popup as one where the responsible fielder was an infielder (which is how Votto has at least one popup double this season, by MLBAM's definition).
I am surprised you are surprised that nobody reads Reds threads.
"Reads Reds threads" is halfway to a good tongue twister. Hmmm...
Ted reads Reds threads to Fred
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