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Tauchmann could have been given two errors on that one. Back-to-back bad baseballing by the Cubs didn't cost them anything but it wasn't pretty. Padres 1-0 after 2.
I've found that Sutcliffe is marginally more tolerable on the Marquee broadcasts than he was on ESPN. Maybe just because he's older now and mellowed a bit, or maybe he simply doesn't feel the need to be "on" as much on a team broadcast as on the national broadcasts. Or maybe he's as bad as ever but after so many years, I've just gotten used to him. But he seems a little less over-the-top.
But just a little, he's still bad.
SCIAMBI: Yu Darvish has actually thrown 17 more pitches than Smyly has, but the Padres have attacked early in the count and have a 3-0 lead.
WILLIS: We call that being effectively wild, and I know a lot about that!
SCIAMBI: So was that something that was intentional, when you were playing?
WILLIS: Uhhhhh ... I'd like to buy a vowel.
And I mean, wtf. We all know what "effectively wild" means, and it has absolutely nothing to do with how Darvish was pitching. The only reason Willis brought it up was to remind everyone - as he does constantly - that he used to be a pitcher himself, with his usual faux-modesty.
"Alex Cobb, 7 2/3 scoreless, his best start of the year !"
hmm. I preferred his 9-inning shutout a couple of weeks ago in a 2-0 final, but ymmv I guess
(103 pitches tonight)
10 minutes later, the other MLB Network host doubles down on "longest outing of the year for Alex Cobb" as the game ends.
it's as if his April 24 9-inning shutout of STL never happened.....
(he also pitched 7.3 scoreless May 11 at ARI. not like he's beating up AAA lineups when he's on)
So it's time for the Do's (Dew's, Doo's, Du's) and Dont team (some of these are quite a stretch)
C Red Dooin, Dewey Williams
1B Lucas Duda
2B Joe Dugan
SS Mickey Dooling
3B Dewey Creacy (NeL)
LF Adam Duvall
CF Duke Snider (this seems like cheating but it's him or DeWayne Wise)
RF Dewey Evans
SP Dontrelle
RP Sean Doolittle, Mark Dewey, Dooley Womack
Mgr Leo the Lip
What has Nolan Arenado done to warrant playing on bad teams his entire career
Arenado has played in the postseason four of the past six seasons.
None of those teams have been very good and had virtually no chance of progressing.
But yes, he's gotten a taste
I feel sorry for him as the Cardinals appear to need to re-tool around him again. They may very well win the division but it will be with a flawed team .
What's more worrying is that he appears to be declining
If he had done a better job covering 1B on a two-out grounder to the right side in the first inning, this might still be a scoreless tie. But he was late covering to load the bases, and Hayes followed with a two-run single..
Signed contracts guaranteeing him over $300 M. (In fairness, about $60 M of that he had little choice but to sign.)
The cards attempt to mimic Tampa Bay and LAD is failing badly. I never have understood what's wrong with set lineups, good pitching and great defense. Instead we have a team of DHs playing out of position, mediocre pitching and defense that can never get into a groove because they play different positions. What has gone wrong that 2B gold glover Tommy Edman is now alternating between SS, Cf, and RF.
Mike Trout does not look right.
A big reason for that is Arenado himself has been terrible in the postseason (.152/.143/.242).
I'm not a Cards fan and even I know the answer to this is O'Neill, Carlson and Nootbar all on the IL. The options then are Burleson (pretty clearly a corner OF), Donovan (who has never set foot in CF -- literally!), Walker (still learning the position) and Oscar Mercado (getting some playing time). Any team would be scrambling with 3 OFs on the IL. All "complicated" by deJong's renaissance.
The best part was I don't think he was aping Major League on purpose.
Man, Ozuna hit the crap out of the ball too. Ended up with a single for watching the ball. Ouch.
Was so happy to watch the Braves this year after the Chip Caray exit and the new pitch clock, but they had to add that &%*#^#$ patch to taunt me.
You can't escape it. It's just there, a yellow beacon in a sea of grey, as distracting as a mosquito buzzing around your ear.
The current Padres batter looks like his Motorola patch is about to fall off his sleeve.
Anyway, is this international signing day? I see the Cubs found another one-L Welington (Santana this time).
now, the Yankees 'pen has the lowest ERA in MLB and has cost the team only one 9th-inning lead all year, but let's run with this.
Host: "Which arm do you want?"
Caller: "Give me Robertson."
now, it's clear that on-air talent is trained not to use words like "imbecile" "moron" "jackass" and so on.
but this young fill-in host couldn't resist; she called the proposal "stupid."
it seemed to pain her to do it, but the vibe was also, "c'mon, I'm being kind on so many levels."
agreed.
No pitchers. Well, Pablo Sandoval. He pitched in a couple of games. But no, no pitchers.
As for MadBum, remember that he hit righty.
None of those teams have been very good and had virtually no chance of progressing.
Yes, last year's 93-win Cardinals clearly had no chance to sneak into the NLCS when faced with the juggernauts who made it - the 89-win Padres and 87-win Phillies.
(Every team that makes the playoffs has a chance of progressing. You'd think a Cardinals fan would remember 2006.)
..................
Sunday NCAA baseball regional game, Penn vs Southern Miss. Penn already has two wins, and is one win away from advancing.
up 2-1 in the 4th inning, bases loaded and 2 out for Penn, and the count is 3-2.
and here's the pitch..... nah, I'm just kidding.
the ump called the batter out for taking too much time, and the inning was over.
Penn lost the game, and again today, and they are headed home.
now, if the ump would be downgraded for NOT calling it, then you can't blame him - he has every right to protect his job.
but.... c'mon, man. surely we can do better.
Keith only had 32 PA in the majors. He ended up with over 1000 at AAA, hitting 247/319/342. His career high was 4 HR so looks like Grae has more power than Uncle Keith too.
All Kessingers went to Ole Miss.
He’s very fast. Despite that, he might be the absolute worst outfielder I’ve seen in the last 3 years. No baseball instincts whatsoever. Makes stupid mistakes. Does clumsy Jose Canseco - style things. I don’t think he’s had a ball bounce off his head for a homer yet, but if anyone could do that, it would be Adell.
Just hope that he’s worked on his defensive game and improved with experience in AAA, because he has the tools to be decent. As a hitter, he’s bashing a ton of homers, striking out a lot, and in a crazy high scoring league. There’s a chance that a more experienced version of Adell can be similar to what Hunter Renfroe has done over the last 2.5 seasons, but you never know.
"When did it happen, sir?"
"Oh, it didn't happen yet. It will be sometime after the 4 pm meeting today."
"Which meeting is that, sir?"
"It's the one where PGA Tour stars who turned down in some cases more than $100 million from the Saudi-backed LIV Tour will meet with the Commissioner who announced a merger with LIV this morning without bothering to consult the players."
"Motive?"
"Aside from the obvious financial one, the players who cited their disapproval of the involvement of terrorism-loving Saudis as a key reason for turning down the money will now find that their purse money starting next year will be funded in significant part by those same Saudis. So if they keep playing, they look like hypocrites - but there is no place else to go."
much of the northern US could use a dome today and tomorrow, at least.
you sense that faint but noticeable smoky haze, and you know there was a forest fire up the road somewhere.
yeah, up the road in Canada - and I'm in Jersey !
NMart has an OPS+ of .850 at AA in Chattanooga, with 8 HR and 10 SB - and he's age 21.
they call those players "Lookouts" for a reason !
almost feels like the crazy SF 1B-OF scenario, late 1950s-mid 1960s....
(almost) One RBI per game is .... kinda good.
- Luis Arraez is hitting .400
- so he must really be helping his team score, right?
- the Marlins are 2nd to last in the NL in scoring
- Arraez is only FOURTH ON HIS TEAM in scoring runs.. Can a man hit .400 and score only 65 runs in a season??
- The MLB leader, Marcus Semien, has scored two and a half times as many runs as Arraez (55 to 22)
- Arraez also has only 29 RBI, in case you thought that hitting third in the lineup should make him more of an RBI man.
And now it's 3-3 as Turang drives in Perkins for the Brewers.
Did you know that over the last five seasons (2019-2023) Marcus Semien has more Win Shares than Mike Trout--and it isn't remotely close. "Close" would be 2%, maybe 5%. Over 5 years, Semien beats Trout in Win Shares by a whopping 19%.
Nido was 7 for 56 (all singles) before DFA this week
vet Omar Narvaez (22 HR in 2019), age 31 and on the IL almost all season, is now 6 for 16
this seems like a possible upgrade
but no, Vogelbach grounds out feebly to second base.
has anyone ever had a golden sombrero in the final game of his MLB career?
kind of like a bizarro Ted Williams exit, I'd say.
(oh, yes - Mets lose, 6-4 while blowing a 3-0 lead in the 5th inning)
Semien 2019-23; 2709 PA (That is a lot of PA for 3 full seasons plus 120 games)
So in 56% more playing time, Semien has 19% more win shares. I'm shocked!!
FWIW, bWAR puts it at 19.5/13.9 vs 25.1/16.6 (that's WAR/WAA) so 28.7% more WAR and 19.4% more WAA. (Is there a win shares to WAA connection or is that just coincidence? If anything, I thought win shares was kinda anti-WAA.)
Over that same period, Xander has a smidgen more WAR but less WAA than Trout. Arenado and Goldschmidt barely sneak past in WAR but are a bit short in WAA. That Judge guy cleans his clock in WAR and WAA (with about a 25% PA difference).
Of course Elly de la Cruz has more WAR than Trout 2019-23 after just 4 PA.
Meanwhile ... it's almost as if Ross is under orders to run this like a Little League team where everybody gets to play. We seem to have shifted from trying to bore our way into the playoffs towards "what the hell, let's find out what we've got." Miguel Amaya, who was always considered a glove-first C prospect (or at least since they watched him hit) was hot in AA/AAA this year so now has 3 starts in 3 games, 2 of them at DH. Matt Mervis, a LHB, gets the start at 1B over Mancini vs LHP Tyler Anderson. Mike Tauchmann, 32-yo LHB, gets the start in CF. (Fairly enough, Morel has been terrible lately ... I may have jumped the gun 10 days ago when I proclaimed him the greatest hitter in baseball history.)
Did you know that over the last five seasons, I’m still trying to make Win Shares a thing?
The Reds overcome the Dodgers 9-8 on 13 singles and 1 double(hit by some guy named De La Cruz....). 14 hits and only 1 XBH seems unusual; maybe not.
This is really unfair, although I'm not blaming you because you obviously didn't see the original tweet. James originally posted the difference in terms of WAR, and Tangotiger followed up by tweeting the difference in terms of Win Shares. James responded that he didn't want to use his own stat in this context because people would accuse him of cooking the books.
@markasaxon
·
2h
Just based on my sense of timing from two decades as an MLB beat writer, I would expect a fairly robust intervention from the #STLCards front office soon. They can’t just do nothing as the team squanders all the effort it took to get back in contention.
...............
I have 10 bucks on UNDER 88.5 wins for Cardinals this year. hated their lack of starting pitching depth.
STL is 25-37
so I can withstand a 63-37 rally and still cash.
:)
meanwhile, finally an option for the infielder-starved Reds:
06.07... Christian Encarnacion-Strand went 3-for-4 with a homer and a walk for Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday.
Spin: Encarnacion-Strand has five homers and a 1.245 OPS in his last 12 games, and he's at .352/.408/.716 for the year. The easy time for the Reds to call him up seems to have passed, what with Joey Votto back on a rehab assignment and likely to come off the IL sometime soon. They could still make room for him with Votto on the team, but it probably wouldn't leave much for Votto to do.
"From my standpoint, I trust him, I believe in him and I stand by him."
The end is near, the end is very near
EDIT: No coke, since #180 didn’t provide the invaluable additional context found here.
the WNBA's NY Liberty postponed their game tonight at Barclays Center in Brooklyn before the Yankees did.
that game would have been indoors, of course, so would have seemed odd for any NYC team to play outdoors following that announcement.
getting many reports in NJ - one says sky is "New York Knicks orange," another says red, another says yellow.
I'm getting a seemingly unmistakable odor of an outdoor grilling party.
if you have asthma or any kind of respiratory issues, fuggedabout it this week.
He just got his pension wings too. Ten years in the MLB. How time flies
- so he must really be helping his team score, right?
- the Marlins are 2nd to last in the NL in scoring
- Arraez is only FOURTH ON HIS TEAM in scoring runs.. Can a man hit .400 and score only 65 runs in a season??
Sure, baseball isn't a one-man game. He does lead the NL in OBP at 451. He also leads in OPS+. He has 18 Rbat which would place him 4th ... among NL teams.** He is actually 3rd among NL players (Freeman with a 299 BA, Acuna with a 329 BA).
So yes, he is a great example of the importance of batting average.
Unfortunately for him and the Marlins' six fans, the rest of the team isn't very good. The Marlins may have taken the "batting order doesn't matter" thing a bit far given their #4 batters are averaging 217/286/383. And I'm pretty sure The Book would say that #3 (34 of 54 starts) is the worst spot for a hitter like Arraez -- all those PAs with 2 outs and nobody on wastes the value of a guy like this. Over half os his PAs come with nobody on, about 15% with 2 outs and nobody on. He has just 58 PA with RISP, hitting 375/414/467. With man on 3rd and <2 outs (just 12 PA) he has the fabulous line of 667/583/778.
It's true he's not much of a baserunner and, to make matters worse, this year is taking the extra base only 27% of the time (39% career). But it's not really his fault that only 8 times has he been on second when a single was hit (it is probably partly his fault that he's scored only 3 times out of those 8).
Now the point you want to make would be better made looking at the Marlins' overall stats. The team is 2nd in BA but are just 10th in OBP (that's a lot of not walking) and 10th in SLG (that's a lot of non-ISOing). They are first in hits but 14th in BB, 12th in doubles and 11th in HRs. Alas, outside of Arraez they hit 233 -- he raises the team BA by 28 points! That 233 would be good for 13th.
So it's true, if a team has a good BA but doesn't take walks or hit for power, they won't score many runs. That's because they are doing only one of the three things you need to do well to produce runs. It's probably even worse when in fact it's just one player who does a good (well great) job of hitting for average. (In fairness, a few Marlins are having decent years. They just don't seem to be on base for Arraez nor are they getting hits when he's on base very often.)
** I know, but it sounds cool doesn't it?
Of course we now need to ask, WTF is wrong with Manny Machado?
regardless, he replaces Aaron Judge on NYY roster. corner OF.
ex-NYY TOR MIL NYM LAD OAK ballplayer is bringing it all back home. (Bob Dylan said that.)
6th team in 4 years - surprised he's only 28.
79 career OPS+, went 5-for-52 for the A's last year and 12-for-82 for the Dodgers in 2021. oof.
was 1 for 4 as a Yankee in 2018 before being shipped to Toronto with Brandon Drury in a midseason trade for J.A. Happ, who went 19-8 for NYY in 2018-19.
Arraez had just 1 HR so far this year so he's been driven in by somebody else 23 times. We're about 40% through the season so that would be a pace around 60 RS, about the same total as an extrapolated Trout (OBP 369 and that includes the HRs). Bat Ohtani behind Arraez and I'd guess his RS would go up.
FWIW, even as a very good runner, Carew only scored 100 runs in a season once (came very close twice). With just 92 career HR, he was driven in by others 1332 times. Career OBP of 393. Gary Sheffield had exactly the same OBP (to the 4th decimal) in 400 more PA. He was driven in by other 1127 times. Bobby Abreu had a 395 OBP in about 500 fewer PAs and was driven in by other 1165 times. Of course if we convert Sheff's and Abreu's extra HRs to singles and a few doubles, they would have been driven in some of those times and get closer to Carew's total.
OBP is very important but relying on others to drive you in all the time is a tough way to score runs. Even with his smidge of HRs, Carew scored only about 88 runs per 650 PA. With about the same HR/PA rate and a slightly lower career OBP, Arraez has scored about 86 runs/650. Brandon Nimmo, with a good bit more power, lower BA, more walks, same OBP as Arraez has scored 91 runs/650 ... while hitting 16.5 HR/650 compared with Arraez's 5.4 HR.650.
LA 1804 PA, 326/384/421, 125 OPS+, 21 Rbat/650
BN 2634 PA, 271/384/439, 129 OPS+, 26 Rbat/650
If we look at them in terms of "bases produced" (i.e. TB + BB + HBP), Nimmo comes in at about 340 per 650 PA and Arraez at just 305. Now feel free to argue that Nimmo is the contemporary Roy White.
............
RUH ROH
Top of 1st
Brandon Nimmo walked.
Jeff McNeil reached on fielder's choice (ground ball to 2B). Brandon Nimmo out at 2nd.
Francisco Lindor struck out swinging.
Pete Alonso was hit by a pitch. Jeff McNeil advanced to 2nd.
Offensive substitution: Tommy Pham pinch running for Pete Alonso.
[might have to end my protest non-watching of feckless Mets]
The Yanks crossed this line when they added Jake Bauers to the 26-man. Or possibly way back when they added Franchy. Warm bodies are significantly better than an Aaron Judge cutout in the starting lineup. (Bauers of course has a 127 OPS+ cuz why not.)
But I also can't believe McKinney is still just 28. He came to the Cubs as part of the Russell-Samardzija trade. He went from Cubs to Yanks as part of the Gleyber-Chapman trade. He's had a solid career as the "nice throw-in" for a trade. If he can hang on for 30 days or so, he'll be arb-eligible at the end of the year.
Nah, won't happen. They'll be more clever then that. Oil money will somehow buy into the league itself, Manfred will consider this a good idea, and under the guise of a "partnership", dirty oil money will control the financial direction of MLB. Of course the owners will be stoked as they will all get a windfall of like $500mil USD. Tampa, Oakland, Cincy, Pittsburgh and Cleveland will still cry poor and spend less then half of the large market teams....
@SteveGelbs
·
26m
Pete Alonso is coming out of the game after getting hit on the wrist with a Charlie Morton fastball.
Obviously this is not a thing, but hey, so far, the kid is super fun and gathering a HR, triple, double and 2 BB in your first game and a half is a pretty good start.
Oh and right now he's OPSing 2.514. Suck on that Bonds and Ruth!
that'll play in any ballpark, as they say
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