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Monday, June 27, 2022

OMNICHATTER for Monday, June 27, 2022

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Hombre Brotani Posted: June 27, 2022 at 03:33 PM | 46 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Reader Comments and Retorts

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1. The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 27, 2022 at 04:02 PM (#6084121)

With yesterday’s 3-run walk-off HR, Aaron Judge passed Paul O’Neill (185) for 19th on the Yankees Career HR Leaderboard.

2. Walt Davis Posted: June 27, 2022 at 05:34 PM (#6084148)

WHO WILL THE ANGELS FIGHT TODAY?

3. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 06:17 PM (#6084151)

Kris Bryant returns to the Rockies' lineup tonight. He's played in two games since April 25, and his next homer in a Rockies uniform will be his first.

I'm guessing he reinjured his back on April 19. Up to that point he was hitting .359/.386/.482; since then he's 3 for 24, all singles, with a .125/.276/.125 line.

4. The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 27, 2022 at 07:25 PM (#6084166)

Anthony Rizzo HR (#20) to RF (366 feet) gives the Yankees a 1-0 lead over the A’s in 1st.

5. Howie Menckel Posted: June 27, 2022 at 07:50 PM (#6084171)

Yankees have 57 HR in June
A's have 51 HR.... in 2022.

what could go wrong?

6. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 08:30 PM (#6084178)

I don't care how often my team gets the benefit from that challenge, I still hate that call... Runner beats the throw, pops off the bag slightly because of momentum, replay calls him out.

7. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 08:51 PM (#6084181)

Goldy with the only hit for the Cardinals so far, a blast that gave them the lead, 1-0, Waino is meanwhile getting a bit lucky with a 5 hit game in 4 innings.

8. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:05 PM (#6084185)

Cardinals now have 4 hits, and 4-0 lead... Yepez crushed that one.

9. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:09 PM (#6084186)

Bader out with planter Fascitist(Sp)... not good for a guy who's game is almost entirely based on speed.

10. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:13 PM (#6084187)

Rockies go up 2-0 in the second against the Dodgers, trying to pin the first loss of the season on former Rockie Tyler Anderson, who's 8-0.

11. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:18 PM (#6084189)

Toronto showing Boston what it takes to try to stay within a single light year of NY. Sox down 7-0 in the 6th.

12. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:22 PM (#6084190)

Edman with a stolen base, his 18th of the season. It's funny that it feels everytime he's on, he's going (he got picked off yesterday)

13. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:25 PM (#6084192)

Goldy so far with a hr, double and single this game. Getting his 64th rbi of the season (1.068 ops)

14. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:43 PM (#6084194)

Yepez with another hr, his 9th of the season, he's third on the team, not bad for a guy with less than 200 plate appearances.

15. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:48 PM (#6084195)

Chad Kuhl has faced the minimum through four innings against the Dodgers. What a pickup he's been, off the scrap heap.

16. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:49 PM (#6084196)

Waino entering the 7th inning with 90 pitches, for a team that has been abusing their relievers recently, so this might be interesting way to save the pen.

17. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:57 PM (#6084197)

Cardinals about to put in yet another newbie to close the game for Waino. For a team competing for the division lead they have about 7-8 guys playing who have NEVER played in MLB before this year.

18. Howie Menckel Posted: June 27, 2022 at 09:58 PM (#6084199)

this is such a watchable product, lol. but Yankees are within 5-4 in the 7th.

7th so far:
Joey Gallo lined out (line drive to 2B).
DJ LeMahieu walked.
Aaron Judge reached on interference. DJ LeMahieu advanced to 2nd.
Defensive substitution: A.J. Puk replaces Adam Oller at pitcher.
Anthony Rizzo was hit by a pitch. DJ LeMahieu advanced to 3rd. Aaron Judge advanced to 2nd.
Giancarlo Stanton reached on interference. DJ LeMahieu advanced to score. Aaron Judge advanced to 3rd. Anthony Rizzo advanced to 2nd.

I remember the Knicks in the 1990s, tackling opponents and occasionally fighting them.

but hey, everybody loves a (even almost) winner!

UPDATE: and right cue, we have a baseball play with running fielders AND runners!
Josh Donaldson doubled (line drive to LF). Aaron Judge advanced to score. Anthony Rizzo advanced to score. Giancarlo Stanton advanced to 3rd.

19. The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:00 PM (#6084200)

Jordan Montgomery had a rough 3rd inning, but otherwise held the fort, and the Yankees have clawed their way back on Stanton’s HR, a Judge RBI single, and a 7th inning rally helped considerably by a BB, HBP, two Catchers Interference calls on the A’s Sean Murphy, and Donaldson’s double. 6-5 NYY.

EDIT: Trevino’s 2-run double makes it 8-5.

20. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:01 PM (#6084201)

Goldy with a four hit night, raises his ops to 1.071 after starting it at a measly 1.043

21. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:04 PM (#6084202)

James Naile apparently has been bouncing around the minors since 2013 with Oakland and will receive his debut tonight in STL. This is something the Cardinals do a lot - get the career minor leaguers a day in the sun.

They did it earlier this year with a guy named Kramer Robertson who has now been DFA'd twice since his debut.

22. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:05 PM (#6084203)

Waino exits the game with a 7-0 lead, some guy named Naile making his major league appearance... literally I have no clue who this guy is.

23. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:06 PM (#6084204)

Crowd in STL going crazy for Naile. 29 years old and finally getting his shot. Makes a put out at 1B on his first batter.

First pitch called strike
Second pitch a groundout 3-1
Third pitch strike
Fourth pitch base hit
5-6 pitches called strike
7 pitch DP ball

If he never pitches again - he'll have only thrown strikes !!

Anyone ever done that in their first inning?

24. Srul Itza Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:07 PM (#6084206)

Two catcher interference in the same inning?

25. The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:09 PM (#6084207)

RBI single by Marwin Gonzalez makes it 9-5 Yankees, after a 6-run 7th inning.

26. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:11 PM (#6084208)

Wow... that was bad fielding by Garcia (right fielder for the Marlins) giving Gorman a double.

27. The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:12 PM (#6084209)

Two catcher interference in the same inning?

Same half-inning. The 2nd one needed some replay help, but video was clear on both. The batters were Judge & Stanton, so perhaps the catcher miscalculated how much space they take up.

28. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:12 PM (#6084210)

He follows it up with poor fielding on a Carlson triple. Not sure if Garcia could have made a difference, but the effort was non-existent.

29. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:28 PM (#6084213)

Cardinals Herrera, who just made his MLB debut strikes out in bottom of eighth leaving Connor Capel, another guy ready to debut in the on deck circle

So by my count they Cards have debuted

Ivan Herrera
Nolan Gorman
James Naile
Mathew Liberatore
Zach Thompson
Conner Capel
Andre Pallante
Juan yepez
Brendan Donovan
Jake Walsh

Herrera is now starting half the games behind the plate. Nolan Gorman is starting 2B, yepez and Donovan start most games. Pallante is our fifth starter and Thompson is becoming a trusted arm out of pen

That's a pretty amazing situation for a contending team

30. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:38 PM (#6084214)

Kuhl now through seven innings having allowed two singles, no walks, just 78 pitches. Rockies up 4-0.

31. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:43 PM (#6084215)

And in the time it took me to type that, Kuhl throws a 1-2-3 eighth. Rockies don't have a complete game yet this year, but this one looks promising.

32. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:49 PM (#6084216)

As before, I'm going to look at the difference in war from a Cardinals pitcher. Waino came into the game with 1.3 war over 84 ip, with an era of 3.32 and an era+ of 117, threw 7 innings of 0 runs, 9 k's, 7 hits, 1 walk. (finished the game with a 3.07 era)

Again, intuitively this feels like a .3 to .4 performance, but based upon the last time I guessed this, I'm thinking that it's a .2 war performance (of course where the 1.3 exists on the rounding table might also figure into it)

33. Walt Davis Posted: June 27, 2022 at 10:56 PM (#6084218)

The Cubs have debuted:

Christopher Morel
Seiya Suzuki (technically)
Nelson Velazquez
Matt Swarmer
Brandon Hughes
Caleb Kilian
Ethan Roberts
Anderson Espinoza

Contending for the #1 pick is a type of contending.

34. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 27, 2022 at 11:01 PM (#6084219)

Chad Kuhl completes the three-hit shutout of the Dodgers. Rox win 4-0.

35. Walt Davis Posted: June 27, 2022 at 11:13 PM (#6084220)

And the other WAR components for Wainwright: 4.42 RA9opp, 0.18 Rdef, 0.16 Rrole, 97.5 PF, RA9avg 4.20, RAA 6. If those numbers were constant, an average pitcher would have give up 3.3 R in 7 innings. So 0 runs is a big deal already and would put him at 9 RAA (give or take). Coming in then he must have had 7 Rrep in 84 innings so 1 per 12 innings giving him an extra 0.6 in Rrep today. So tomorrow it should be 9 + 7.6 = 1.66 WAR, then corrected for unknown rounding, if the context doesn't change.

The tricky bit is that if the context changes due to today's game then it changed for all previous games too. Say maybe due to Marlins suckitude, changes in PF, etc. the RA9avg goes down to 4.15 that means that (a) he was only about 3.2 runs better than average and (b) his earlier RAA is also slightly reduced because it's not in comparison to a RA9ave of 4.15 not 4.20. But over the course of 91 innings, that should be no more than half a run which is a rounding error.

36. salvomania Posted: June 27, 2022 at 11:22 PM (#6084221)

So Adley Rutschman, through his first 20 MLB games amd 82 PA, had zero RBI and was hitting .176/.256/.257.

In the 10 games (well, 9-1/2) since, he's .382/.417/.882, going 13-for-34 with 3 homers, 7 doubles, and 9 rbi.

Coming into tonight he had doubled in 5 straight games, and he has 11 doubles total in 108 ab, which is a pretty good rate in itself---but he has 10 of those doubles in his last 52 ab.

37. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 11:24 PM (#6084222)

I think rutschman is going to be a fine catcher. It's hard to tell with catchers but he looks good to me . I wish we had him to replace Yadi

38. The Duke Posted: June 27, 2022 at 11:27 PM (#6084223)

Goldschmidt appears to be doing what a lot of guys do that make the Hall of Fame - he's putting up great numbers in his 30s.

Goldys top 7 WAR seasons before this year (bWAR)

8.3
6.3
6.3
6.1
5.5
5.0
4.7

He's at 4.1 coming into tonight for 2022. So his best seven seasons put him at 42.2 which is bang-on average for a HOF 1B. This season will likely see him replace the 4.7 with some higher number which then puts him above average for a HOF

His JAWS score will also go up as his overall and seven year WAR increases.

His counting WAR is 54.7 and the average 1B is 65.5. He should be able to get very close and/or exceed that as well which means his JAWS score will likely get to average JAWS for a HOFr

He's looking more and more like a HOFr by the stats.

He'll struggle with narrative. No playoff heroics and played for some low media profile teams. The loss of most of 2020 will look large for him.

39. Sleepy was just “inspecting the bunker”, y’all Posted: June 28, 2022 at 12:01 AM (#6084225)

I was certain that Goldy had an mvp under his belt, but no. 2nd in 2013 and 2015, 3rd in 2017. And he wasn’t robbed in any of those years.

Maybe this year will be the one.

40. Rally Posted: June 28, 2022 at 09:02 AM (#6084237)

I think rutschman is going to be a fine catcher. It's hard to tell with catchers but he looks good to me . I wish we had him to replace Yadi

Could happen if Yadi changes his mind to stick around a bit longer. Last time the Orioles came up with a #1 prospect switch hitting catcher he ended up as Yadi’s backup.

41. Dillon Gee Escape Plan Posted: June 28, 2022 at 09:12 AM (#6084240)

So Adley Rutschman, through his first 20 MLB games amd 82 PA, had zero RBI and was hitting .176/.256/.257.

In the 10 games (well, 9-1/2) since, he's .382/.417/.882, going 13-for-34 with 3 homers, 7 doubles, and 9 rbi.

Coming into tonight he had doubled in 5 straight games, and he has 11 doubles total in 108 ab, which is a pretty good rate in itself---but he has 10 of those doubles in his last 52 ab.

He's also done a good job limiting strikeouts. Only 4 K's in his last 39 PA, 7 K's in his last 64 PA.

42. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 28, 2022 at 11:50 AM (#6084266)

As before, I'm going to look at the difference in war from a Cardinals pitcher. Waino came into the game with 1.3 war over 84 ip, with an era of 3.32 and an era+ of 117, threw 7 innings of 0 runs, 9 k's, 7 hits, 1 walk. (finished the game with a 3.07 era)

along with Walt's comment

And the other WAR components for Wainwright: 4.42 RA9opp, 0.18 Rdef, 0.16 Rrole, 97.5 PF, RA9avg 4.20, RAA 6. If those numbers were constant, an average pitcher would have give up 3.3 R in 7 innings. So 0 runs is a big deal already and would put him at 9 RAA (give or take). Coming in then he must have had 7 Rrep in 84 innings so 1 per 12 innings giving him an extra 0.6 in Rrep today. So tomorrow it should be 9 + 7.6 = 1.66 WAR, then corrected for unknown rounding, if the context doesn't change.

The tricky bit is that if the context changes due to today's game then it changed for all previous games too. Say maybe due to Marlins suckitude, changes in PF, etc. the RA9avg goes down to 4.15 that means that (a) he was only about 3.2 runs better than average and (b) his earlier RAA is also slightly reduced because it's not in comparison to a RA9ave of 4.15 not 4.20. But over the course of 91 innings, that should be no more than half a run which is a rounding error.

Waino jumped to 1.7 from 1.3, so at least that feels more consistent than Mikolas only moving .1 in his previous appearance.

43. stanmvp48 Posted: June 28, 2022 at 12:00 PM (#6084268)

The Dodgers are leading the league in runs per game and OPS but they have some real s--t in the lineup. Max Muncy is not only not hitting his weight he is not slugging his weight. Bellinger 211/271/386. Justin Turner 216/287/344 Chris Taylor third in the league in strikeouts with no power.

44. Tom Nawrocki Posted: June 28, 2022 at 12:34 PM (#6084272)

Muncy is slugging .277, so he must have gotten pretty tubby lately. He's a Gene Tenace-type hitter so even if he hits .250 he'll put a lot of runs on the board, but .160 is unacceptable.

The Dodgers have had a lot of success finding overlooked players from other teams' minor league systems, but that also means they're older by the time they break through in the majors. Turner's 37, and Muncy and Taylor both turn 32 next month. These guys are probably already on the downside of their careers.

45. The Duke Posted: June 28, 2022 at 01:10 PM (#6084281)

I would think Arenado will opt out and slot into 3B for Dodgers for next 5-6 years.

46. cardsfanboy

Posted: June 28, 2022 at 09:37 PM (#6084382)

Goldy 1 for 2 with a walk and an rbi so far today, Edman 2 for 3 with 2 runs, rbi, and a double. Both are vying for most war by a position player in baseball.

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