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101. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 09:48 PM (#6097432)
Yankees stage a 4-run ‘rally’ in the 8th to secure another PA for Judge. Alas, the Pirates walk him to the displeasure of the Yankee Stadium crowd, who loudly boo as they head for the exits. 11-2.
EDIT: Gleyber Torres hits his second HR of the inning, a 3-run shot. 14-2.
102. Snowboy
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 09:59 PM (#6097435)
Having watched Arraez closely in the second half, my money's on Judge for BA.
Even if they pitch around him.
That leaves Bogaerts.
103. Snowboy
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 10:07 PM (#6097438)
Jays lead PHI 3-2, 2-out, 2-on, in the 8th.
Jays turn to closer Jordan Romano for 4 outs.
Schwarber lines it down to RF, ties the game.
Philly continues to fight!
104. Srul Itza
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 10:12 PM (#6097440)
O. Cabrera hit a first inning Grand Slam -- and it is pretty much just an afterthought by the time the game is over.
105. The Duke
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 10:58 PM (#6097442)
EDIT: Gleyber Torres hits his second HR of the inning, a 3-run shot. 14-2.
That one was into the LF stands, but one of the more heartening developments over the past week or so has been Torres' ability to go to RF instead of pulling off the ball and trying to pull everything. Now if only Stanton can follow suit.
113. Walt Davis
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 05:18 PM (#6097546)
Cards with 4 hits and BB thru 3 so far today, still haven't scored.
See this is what it's like being in the same division as the Cards. The Cards have now scored just 1 run in their last 39 innings. That's beyond atrocious but, because they're the Cards, that 1 run was enough to win a game.
114. Walt Davis
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 05:27 PM (#6097547)
I'd missed the news (probably somewhere up above) that the Cards optioned Gorman back to the minors. He'd already lost playing time (just 11 starts in 22 games) and just 4-35 with 17 Ks in that time. All told just 207/273/388 since the break. I can see they'd rather have Yepez up but to get optioned in favor of keeping DeJong is harsh. I hope he gets things straightened out.
...go to RF instead of pulling off the ball and trying to pull everything. Now if only Stanton can follow suit.
The only thing Stanton is pulling is a hamstring!
Yes, ladies and gents, I'm available for weddings, parties, anything.
So Judge should break the old Ruth record inside of 154 games thereby appeasing every fan over the last 50 odd years who has not been satisfied with the HR record due to the "asterisk", PED's, Sosa's corked bat, etc. etc.
And as a Red Sox fan, I'm actually pulling for him to complete the triple crown also, that would be unreal.
116. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 06:22 PM (#6097550)
Cardinals finally score some runs, grand slam by Donovan to make it 5-3 Cardinals.
117. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:15 PM (#6097555)
Cardinals salvage one game.
118. The Duke
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:18 PM (#6097556)
Oli Marmol avoids being nicknamed Gene Mauch as they finally get a couple HRs to win. I wouldn't say they started to hit but at least they got the hits they needed.
119. The Duke
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:24 PM (#6097557)
Cardinals announcers suggested that Helsley's season is one of the best ever for the Cardinals and maybe one of the best of all time. I struggle anointing a guy who has only thrown 60 IP this year. He's certainly been basically unhittable but even if you compare him to recent one inning guys, I think he's not too high on the list.
Seems like Hader alone would occupy at least three spots above Helsley.
Helsley has amped up to 102-104 mph and I think people confuse speed with success
Wacha walks him on 4 pitches not even remotely close to strikes
122. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:29 PM (#6097560)
Judge starts the game with a 4-pitch walk, none all that close. #TheFear
123. TomH
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:31 PM (#6097561)
cfb, just clarifying; did they say this Helsey season was
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal reliever
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal pitcher
- one of the best ever for any MLB reliever
?
124. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:36 PM (#6097562)
cfb, just clarifying; did they say this Helsey season was
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal reliever
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal pitcher
- one of the best ever for any MLB reliever
I didn't listen to any of the game, so I don't know, but I would assume best of a Cardinal reliever. I mean Cardinal pitcher would be a stretch, Gibson, Tudor, Tewksbury, Carpenter, Dean, Flaherty, Waino etc... is a standard that is pretty high for a season.
125. TomH
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:40 PM (#6097563)
okay, thanks. Best reliever season ever would be kinda silly. Like you said, a few Hader seasons, Mo seasons... and Gossage had one year of 133 IP , 1.62 ERA, and another of 42 IP in the strike year with a 0.77 ERA.
126. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 07:44 PM (#6097564)
I was thinking Hader's recent season would pretty much prevent any hyperbole about the Caardinals, add in some of Kimbrel, Wagner etc seasons and it's a stretch to really hyperbole Helsey season into the stratosphere that was those seasons.
127. JJ1986
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 08:06 PM (#6097565)
Helsley's not even having the best relief season in the NL this year.
128. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 08:07 PM (#6097566)
Walked Judge again, even after being ahead in the count 1-2.
129. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 09:11 PM (#6097569)
Stanton’s 2-run HR gives the Yankees a 3-0 lead in 6th. He was on a 40+ HR pace before all the injuries. Getting him back to that for the playoffs would be a big plus.
McGuire(not that one) with a 3 run shot, Sox up 4-3
131. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 09:46 PM (#6097577)
Helsley's not even having the best relief season in the NL this year.
Who is? A comment like that implies that there is a clear leader in the category... so just curious, the closest I could fine by doing a quick look is Evan Phillips, and it's half a dozen to one or the other.
All these BB to Judge are a bad look. You're out of it, give the guy a chance.
Red Sox playing for pride! C'mon man, they aren't just going to give him batting practice stuff to hit. Trust me, with the Sox pen, Judge will get plenty of chances, their pen is dreadful.
Red Sox playing for pride! C'mon man, they aren't just going to give him batting practice stuff to hit. Trust me, with the Sox pen, Judge will get plenty of chances, their pen is dreadful.
I'm not saying throw meatballs. Give him your nastiest stuff in the zone. These games are meaningless, embrace the challenge.
142. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 10:56 PM (#6097593)
Neither Judge nor Bogaerts got a hit tonight, but Judge had 3 BB, while Bogaerts was 0-for-5, so Judge fared a bit better in the quest for the batting title, which would give him the Triple Crown. Now leading by .00231, .31589 for Judge, .31358 for Bogaerts.
Stanton’s 2-run HR gives the Yankees a 3-0 lead in 6th. He was on a 40+ HR pace before all the injuries. Getting him back to that for the playoffs would be a big plus.
3 for 4 tonight and he barreled up on that DP he hit into in the 4th. If they can get Benintendi and Porn Stache back for the postseason they might be able to do some damage, although that bullpen is downright scary in a bad way.
And therein lies the fault in your suggestion. The Red Sox pen does not have this combination. It's either nasty and way off the plate, or in the zone and entirely hittable. The pen stinks. So by definition, since the pen stinks, I figure Judge will get plenty of chances against the Sox.
Though I must say the first 4 pitches that Wacha threw to him were not even close. A good LL player would've taken those 4 pitches.
145. The Duke
Posted: September 22, 2022 at 11:34 PM (#6097597)
134. I give the various managers and pitchers who are competing against Pujols credit. Very few intentional walks - they are giving him a chance to do it. Snell threw Pujols a fastball yesterday which they said was either his fastest pitch this year or ever. It's fun to watch these guys work hard to get him out.
Makes the show far more interesting and if he succeeds, more meaningful
Though I must say the first 4 pitches that Wacha threw to him were not even close. A good LL player would've taken those 4 pitches.
Plus lately Judge's strike zone judgement has been more like Ted Williams than the pre-2022 Aaron Judge.** That's not helping his record quest in the short run, but it's also why he's been so much more consistent over the course of the year. His league leading BA is proof of that.
** Which would be even more evident if the umpires stopped expanding the strike zone for him more than for any other player. This has been documented.
Simply put, the perennial MVP candidate is the victim of more missed calls than any other hitter in baseball, yet Judge still leads the league in home runs.
Being 6-foot-7 in the box may bring up new challenges for umpires, who rarely see a player of Judge’s stature at the plate, but the numbers suggest that there haven’t been much of an adjustment from the umpires. Being as tall as he is, Judge deals with several strike calls that are actually below the zone.
Safe to say, when an automated strike zone is inevitably brought into the major league level, Judge will likely be even more dangerous than he currently is at the plate.
Who is? A comment like that implies that there is a clear leader in the category... so just curious, the closest I could fine by doing a quick look is Evan Phillips, and it's half a dozen to one or the other.
I'd take Edwin Diaz over either of Phillips or Helsley this season -- the ERA differences are marginal, and Diaz has actually allowed fewer runs (thanks to no UER) with a lot more Ks and a much lower FIP.
After beating the Diamondbacks last night, the Dodgers stand at 104-46 with 12 to play. Somehow, this record is *below* their pythag record of 108-42. Anyway, barring a 12-game winning streak (which would be their second such streak of the season), the wins record is out of reach.
That pythag distinguishes this team from others to reach such rarefied heights. I've been looking around at great teams of the past, and all the ones I can find to win 110+ games out-performed their pythag -- even the 1927 Yankees, though only by one game. (The 1954 Indians outplayed their pythag by 10 wins!) Though it remains to be seen what happens in the playoffs, I think there's a pretty strong argument that this iteration of the Dodgers is the greatest team of all time. And they're doing it while dragging around a Cody Bellinger-shaped anvil in CF.
149. TomH
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 10:50 AM (#6097627)
Hey, possibly the greatest team ever,the 1939 Yankees, went 106-45, with a pythag of 111-40 (!), while having lost Lou Gehrig to disease and replaced him with Babe "76 OPS+, minus 2.7 WAA" Dahlgren.
150. TomH
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 10:51 AM (#6097629)
Begrudging premature congrats to Yankee fans, whose team no doubt gets a bye. The AL playoff chase now has zero drama until the postseason.
151. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 12:57 PM (#6097641)
I'd take Edwin Diaz over either of Phillips or Helsley this season -- the ERA differences are marginal, and Diaz has actually allowed fewer runs (thanks to no UER) with a lot more Ks and a much lower FIP.
As I said, I don't think there is a clear difference, I should have included Diaz in my original list though. The advantage I have with Helsey and Phillips is that unlike Diaz, they come into games with runners on base a lot more often (22IR/5IS for Phillips, 21/3 for Helsey, 9/2 for Diaz) Fip goes to Diaz though, OPS goes to Phillips (.425, .451 Helsey, .459 Diaz-- but again close enough to not really declare a winner) (sadly my favorite stat for relief pitchers, component era, is not included on bb-ref) If I had to rate them, it goes Phillips, Helsey and Diaz, but I could see any order out there as being a legit ranking.
152. The Duke
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 01:39 PM (#6097649)
Is Judge really a victim of missed calls? I get the argument but he knows that because of his height that pitches a bit below HIS strike zone are strikes and presumably adjusts. This is no different to the old way umps used to umpire. Tom Glavine got outside strikes all day long and batters had to adjust.
It's not entirely fair but I doubt it's some huge headwind to his productivity. Umps who have wildly inconsistent zones from Pitch to pitch are more deadly to one's productivity than the often called pitch just below the strike zone
153. Mayor Blomberg
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 02:06 PM (#6097651)
Duke, The difference is that Glavine's outside strike is an outside strike for all players. That's not the case here. Out of curiosity, does a little guy like Altuve get shoulder-high called strikes? &, yes, that Henderson's crouch shrunk the zone when he didn't stay in it when he swung pissed me off.
154. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 03:41 PM (#6097660)
That pythag distinguishes this team from others to reach such rarefied heights.
The 2016 Cubs won 103 on a pythag of 107.
155. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 03:48 PM (#6097663)
The difference is that Glavine's outside strike is an outside strike for all players. That's not the case here.
I'd say that is the case here. A "standard" knee-high strike is still being called a strike on Judge despite the fact that it's below his knees. Same pitch is a strike on Altuve. It's pretty weird to have a rule that tailors the strike zone to the individual batter -- Muggsy didn't get a 9-foot rim cuz he was short -- and doubly silly to think a human umpire is going to be able to make that adjustment properly.
Now if you can show that they do accurately adjust the zone for Altuve et al but not Judge and other tall guys ...
This year's Dodgers will likely win ~112 with a pythag of something like 116 or 117. There's a substantial difference. As far as I can tell, the only team that measures up to that is, as Tom pointed out above, the '39 Yankees.
Now if you can show that they do accurately adjust the zone for Altuve et al but not Judge and other tall guys ...
It would be worth looking into, because it stands to reason that they would. Umpires are generally normal-sized men standing in a crouch -- close to, if not below, Altuve's zone. Giants like Judge (and Sexton, and Tony Clark, and Frank Howard) tower over them. There's not a good way to get a perspective on that kind of strike zone.
158. JJ1986
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 05:58 PM (#6097675)
Fip goes to Diaz though, OPS goes to Phillips (.425, .451 Helsey, .459 Diaz-- but again close enough to not really declare a winner)
FIP goes to Diaz by a huge margin. His FIP is 1.02. Helsley and Phillips (and Devin Williams) are around twice that.
159. Howie Menckel
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 06:15 PM (#6097677)
If I had to rate them, it goes Phillips, Helsey and Diaz,
ok, I laughed.
meanwhile, huge battle being waged in media by fans re tonight's NYY Game/Judge 61 only airing on Apple TV in NYC market (and others????).
WFAN host in his 30s says, hey, it's free tonight (unlike Amazon Prime if you don't already have it) and with your smartphone and smartTV.....
Anthony from The Bronx (but no longer in The Bronx) calls up angry that his 83-year-old mother still in The Bronx can't see the game.
Maris hit 61, well, 61 years ago. so if you are old enough to remember that - well, tonight might be a challenge for you.
apparently ESPN/MLB will not be able to "cut in" for the Judge ABs, but that seems hard to believe.
did Bonds really hit HRs 61, 62, and 63 in same game?
160. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 06:59 PM (#6097684)
It would be worth looking into, because it stands to reason that they would. Umpires are generally normal-sized men standing in a crouch -- close to, if not below, Altuve's zone.
I'm not quite sure that that means ("below Altuve's zone"). But also Altuve is only 5-6 and I'm not sure he's even that tall ... I don't know the average ump height but I'm guessing that puts him 5-7 inches shorter. Judge is 6-7 so call that 6-8 inches taller. I'm not sure Judge is any more challenging.
If the zone was constant for everybody (let's say knee to chest of an average height player) then the bottom of the zone would be above Altuve's knees but the top would be near his shoulder; for Judge obviously the bottom would be below his knees and the top around his waist. I don't imagine there are many pitchers who think throwing Judge a belt-high fastball is a particularly good idea so they'd have little choice but to work low in the zone.
I can believe that an ump in his crouch might call everything above his eye level as "high" but that should help Judge. It makes more sense to me that they'd have trouble calling an accurate high strike on Judge. If they adjusted their crouch to be high enough to call an accurate top of the zone, I can imagine they no longer have a sense of where the bottom of the zone is. So it may not be tall vs short per se but simply the size of an individual's zone and Judge's is so large they can either stay down to get an accurate view of the low pitcher or straighten up to get an accurate view of the high pitch. But I'm not sure why either would lead to calling strikes below Judge's knees.
161. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 07:35 PM (#6097688)
Maris hit 61, well, 61 years ago. so if you are old enough to remember that - well, tonight might be a challenge for you
Well, I saw Maris hit #61, and I’m watching. I will say the Apple TV interface isn’t that user friendly. The link took me to a large image of Judge, but clicking there just brought up a text description of the game; you had to click on the smaller icon further down to get to the actual game. Can see some might be a bit flummoxed by that.
He's not the greatest lefty of all time, but I do love watching Hill work. He goes curve, quick high fastball, different arm slots. It's just a joy to watch a craftsman work. Different looks, different eye lines, speed variation.
Sox let a pop up fall in for a "hit" between 3 fielders. What f*ck up, that's LL stuff. OF needs to call off IF on that play.
163. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 08:25 PM (#6097700)
Sox let a pop up fall in for a "hit" between 3 fielders. What f*ck up, that's LL stuff. OF needs to call off IF on that play.
Don't most Red Sox pitchers avoid this by putting runners on 1st and 2nd?
I'm not quite sure that that means ("below Altuve's zone").
You could try thinking about it for a minute. It's not very complicated.
165. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 08:37 PM (#6097703)
FIP goes to Diaz by a huge margin. His FIP is 1.02. Helsley and Phillips (and Devin Williams) are around twice that.
Agree, and if I thought of Fip as the most important stat for a reliever, it would matter, but for a reliever results matter. As I said, I think of component era as the most telling stat for reliever (although inherited runners and actions there also figure into it, add in wpa which Diaz does kick ass in, etc. )
Component era for the three (assuming the website I used to figure it out did it correctly, and basing it upon the numbers after yesterdays game, which Helsey allowed a homerun, and probably shouldn't be considered as part of this discussion since it started before that game)
Component era for Phillips .982, Helsey 1.089, Diaz 1.47.
Ultimately they are all close and I can't see any legit argument that clearly puts one ahead of the other.
166. Howie Menckel
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 08:51 PM (#6097705)
this is only the 5th time the Yankees and Mets each have reached the postseason in the same year:
2022
2015
2006
2000 (Subway Series)
1999
of course, in modern times this is usually the Mets' fault for not hitting this exacta - the lone exception in the last 30+ years is 2016 when the Yankees had a rare miss.
The Apple feed's problem is that the announcers' voices come off much more softly than the YES announcers, and at least on our TV there's no way to up the volume.
168. TomH
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 09:20 PM (#6097708)
If the Mariner lose tonight and the Ray s win (both of those results are in progress at the moemt), it looks likely that the AL playoffs will be
Guardians host Mariners; winner plays Yankees
Rays-Blue Jays play each other; winner plays Astros
NL much murkier, but
Cardinals host Phils or Padres (or maybe Brewers); winner plays East champ Mets or Braves
Mets/Braves loser host the other WC ; winner plays Dodgers
169. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 09:52 PM (#6097711)
You could try thinking about it for a minute. It's not very complicated.
I have, I still don't know what you are trying to say. So you could try explaining what you mean.
170. Walt Davis
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 09:57 PM (#6097712)
"Interesting" review in Cubs-Pirates. Cub runner attempts a steal, throw beats him by a mile, he makes a nice swin move (really a double-swim move), ump calls him out. Replay shows it was a very nice swim move, fielder appears to miss the tag before the hand gets in (hard to say with certainty). But replay also appears to show that on the way back, the glove knocks the hand off the base so he should be out. Replay guy decides to over-rule the original out call. Runner eventually scores so Cubs lead 6-5 in b9.
The pitch just hung up there and Pujols treated it with the disdain it deserved.
Just an amazing last season for him. Great stuff.
179. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 11:27 PM (#6097722)
5 rbi, two homerun rbi night for Albert, it's only the fourth inning (he's hit a hr against a lefty and a righty)
180. Howie Menckel
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 11:29 PM (#6097723)
on the other end of the spectrum....
09.23... Jose Barrero went 0-for-4 and struck out twice Friday in the loss to the Brewers.
Spin: It's the fifth time in the last six games that Barrero has gone 0-for-4. The 24-year-old is sporting an incredible .403 OPS in 147 plate appearances for the Reds. The last player to get 150 plate appearances in a season and post a lower OPS was Leury Garcia in 2014, when he came in at .399 in 155 PA.
181. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 11:48 PM (#6097724)
AL Batting Average Leaders (rounded to 5 decimal places):
Judge: .31540
Bogaerts: .31358
Arraez: .31153
Abreu & Lowe may have time to get back into it, but they have to hurry, and probably get super-hot.
182. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 23, 2022 at 11:49 PM (#6097725)
183. Howie Menckel
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 12:23 AM (#6097730)
NYM 96-56
ATL 93-58 - trail by 2.5 games with 12/13 to play
Games 157-158-159 are in Atlanta vs Mets
winning division is huge, duh, but if Braves are on the brink and burn their top SPs.... although maybe the sked allows for that? haven't checked yet.
deGrom and Max for the Sat/Sun games in Oakland.
then off day, Carrasco-Walker in a 4th-SP postseason bakeoff on Tue-Wed home vs Marlins
then another day off, then Bassitt in Game 157 in ATL
if the ATL autopsy has yet to be approved, deGrom and Max FTW, I suspect
184. The Duke
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 12:31 AM (#6097731)
On April 13, the mlb network announcer predicted Albert would hit 700 on a Friday night in Sept in LA with Kershaw pitching. Pretty good guess
#184 that is amazing. So glad MLB decided to black out fans in Sacramento from being able to watch STL vs lad tonight.
Anyway game day is having a rough time accurately depicting Dickerson’s apparently vicious 53 mph sliders…
186. TomH
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 06:16 AM (#6097736)
Huge congrats to Mr. Pujols. A great man and a great ballplayer.
There aren't many guys in the last generation who have good arguments to be put on the all-time MLB lineup. In fact, the other 2 both have the PED* stink.
187. The Duke
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 09:39 AM (#6097740)
Pujols needs to go on a run here to get to 714. Not much time left. Given that he's putting up a nice 1.5 WAR season I'd like to see him come back and target 714 especially if he can get up to 703-705 before end of season.
do we think some team will throw $5M at Pujols to come back?
189. salvomania
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 01:14 PM (#6097751)
do we think some team will throw $5M at Pujols to come back?
He's done---He's said, multiple times, this is it and I don't see any reason why that's changed.
190. The Yankee Clapper
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 03:19 PM (#6097766)
Zach Britton not showing much in first action of the year - 3 BB & a single with 1 K. Could have been much worse, as Lou Trivino came in to strand 3 runners, preserving a 5-4 Yankee lead. Britton probably deserves more of a chance, but it should be in lower leverage situations, and he’ll have to show something to rate a spot on the postseason roster.
191. Walt Davis
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 03:40 PM (#6097772)
Factoid I saw last night ... Albert joins Ted Williams as the only players with 20+ HR in both their first and last seasons (min 10 seasons I think it was).
JoeD had just 12 in his last season. McGwire's first "season" was just 58 PA. Aaron doesn't qualify on either end; Bonds had 16 in just 484 PA in his roookie year so he was at least on that pace barely.
192. Booey
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 04:19 PM (#6097784)
Other random Pujols ranks:
- 14 seasons of 100+ rbi, tied with ARod for the all time lead (Albert also had a 99, 95, and 93)
- 14 seasons of 30+ HR, tied with Bonds for the 3rd most ever (Aaron and ARod have 15)
- 18 seasons of 20+ homers, 3rd all time behind Aaron (20), and Bonds (19).
194. Hombre Brotani
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 06:25 PM (#6097820)
do we think some team will throw $5M at Pujols to come back?
He's done---He's said, multiple times, this is it and I don't see any reason why that's changed.
He's got that 10-year personal services contract with the Angels to get crackin' on.
195. The Duke
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 06:41 PM (#6097829)
I think Pujols is done and I think it's good to go out on top. Having said that.....Mozeliak alluded to letting the dust settle and then having a conversation about a week ago.
The thing that is obscured for non- Cardinal fans is the clutchiness of his second half hitting. Take last night. cards have been unable to score at all for a couple weeks it seems. Against the best team in baseball he puts the Cards up 5-0 and takes the pressure off. He's been doing that all season.
That's a valuable skill. I can see why they might want him back. On top of that he has filled up every stadium in second half so he's minting money for the Cards and others. Next year chasing 714 would be more of the same.
196. The Duke
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 06:43 PM (#6097832)
I guess Striders injury is non-arm. Would have been a shame to see him flame out that quickly.
Keith Hernandez apparently is also on the IL after a fall in NYC
197. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 10:18 PM (#6097862)
One game with an offense showing up, and back to their scoreless ways.
198. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 10:53 PM (#6097863)
Arenado with his 7th career 30 hr, 100 rbi season.
199. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 24, 2022 at 10:54 PM (#6097864)
(supposed to say season not career---actually was supposed to say 7th season in his career with 30 hr, 100 rbi)
200. cardsfanboy
Posted: September 25, 2022 at 01:40 AM (#6097869)
Albert has a 147 ops+ this year, it's literally the worst ops+ he has ever had while wearing a Cardinal uniform.
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EDIT: Gleyber Torres hits his second HR of the inning, a 3-run shot. 14-2.
Even if they pitch around him.
That leaves Bogaerts.
Jays turn to closer Jordan Romano for 4 outs.
Schwarber lines it down to RF, ties the game.
Philly continues to fight!
Phillies break their 5 game losing streak, coming back from 3-0 down in the 8th.
That one was into the LF stands, but one of the more heartening developments over the past week or so has been Torres' ability to go to RF instead of pulling off the ball and trying to pull everything. Now if only Stanton can follow suit.
See this is what it's like being in the same division as the Cards. The Cards have now scored just 1 run in their last 39 innings. That's beyond atrocious but, because they're the Cards, that 1 run was enough to win a game.
The only thing Stanton is pulling is a hamstring!
Yes, ladies and gents, I'm available for weddings, parties, anything.
So Judge should break the old Ruth record inside of 154 games thereby appeasing every fan over the last 50 odd years who has not been satisfied with the HR record due to the "asterisk", PED's, Sosa's corked bat, etc. etc.
And as a Red Sox fan, I'm actually pulling for him to complete the triple crown also, that would be unreal.
Seems like Hader alone would occupy at least three spots above Helsley.
Helsley has amped up to 102-104 mph and I think people confuse speed with success
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal reliever
- one of the best ever of a Cardinal pitcher
- one of the best ever for any MLB reliever
?
I didn't listen to any of the game, so I don't know, but I would assume best of a Cardinal reliever. I mean Cardinal pitcher would be a stretch, Gibson, Tudor, Tewksbury, Carpenter, Dean, Flaherty, Waino etc... is a standard that is pretty high for a season.
Who is? A comment like that implies that there is a clear leader in the category... so just curious, the closest I could fine by doing a quick look is Evan Phillips, and it's half a dozen to one or the other.
Red Sox playing for pride! C'mon man, they aren't just going to give him batting practice stuff to hit. Trust me, with the Sox pen, Judge will get plenty of chances, their pen is dreadful.
Red Sox playing for pride! C'mon man, they aren't just going to give him batting practice stuff to hit. Trust me, with the Sox pen, Judge will get plenty of chances, their pen is dreadful.
I'm not saying throw meatballs. Give him your nastiest stuff in the zone. These games are meaningless, embrace the challenge.
3 for 4 tonight and he barreled up on that DP he hit into in the 4th. If they can get Benintendi and Porn Stache back for the postseason they might be able to do some damage, although that bullpen is downright scary in a bad way.
And therein lies the fault in your suggestion. The Red Sox pen does not have this combination. It's either nasty and way off the plate, or in the zone and entirely hittable. The pen stinks. So by definition, since the pen stinks, I figure Judge will get plenty of chances against the Sox.
Though I must say the first 4 pitches that Wacha threw to him were not even close. A good LL player would've taken those 4 pitches.
Makes the show far more interesting and if he succeeds, more meaningful
Plus lately Judge's strike zone judgement has been more like Ted Williams than the pre-2022 Aaron Judge.** That's not helping his record quest in the short run, but it's also why he's been so much more consistent over the course of the year. His league leading BA is proof of that.
** Which would be even more evident if the umpires stopped expanding the strike zone for him more than for any other player. This has been documented.
Who is? A comment like that implies that there is a clear leader in the category... so just curious, the closest I could fine by doing a quick look is Evan Phillips, and it's half a dozen to one or the other.
I'd take Edwin Diaz over either of Phillips or Helsley this season -- the ERA differences are marginal, and Diaz has actually allowed fewer runs (thanks to no UER) with a lot more Ks and a much lower FIP.
That pythag distinguishes this team from others to reach such rarefied heights. I've been looking around at great teams of the past, and all the ones I can find to win 110+ games out-performed their pythag -- even the 1927 Yankees, though only by one game. (The 1954 Indians outplayed their pythag by 10 wins!) Though it remains to be seen what happens in the playoffs, I think there's a pretty strong argument that this iteration of the Dodgers is the greatest team of all time. And they're doing it while dragging around a Cody Bellinger-shaped anvil in CF.
As I said, I don't think there is a clear difference, I should have included Diaz in my original list though. The advantage I have with Helsey and Phillips is that unlike Diaz, they come into games with runners on base a lot more often (22IR/5IS for Phillips, 21/3 for Helsey, 9/2 for Diaz) Fip goes to Diaz though, OPS goes to Phillips (.425, .451 Helsey, .459 Diaz-- but again close enough to not really declare a winner) (sadly my favorite stat for relief pitchers, component era, is not included on bb-ref) If I had to rate them, it goes Phillips, Helsey and Diaz, but I could see any order out there as being a legit ranking.
It's not entirely fair but I doubt it's some huge headwind to his productivity. Umps who have wildly inconsistent zones from Pitch to pitch are more deadly to one's productivity than the often called pitch just below the strike zone
The 2016 Cubs won 103 on a pythag of 107.
I'd say that is the case here. A "standard" knee-high strike is still being called a strike on Judge despite the fact that it's below his knees. Same pitch is a strike on Altuve. It's pretty weird to have a rule that tailors the strike zone to the individual batter -- Muggsy didn't get a 9-foot rim cuz he was short -- and doubly silly to think a human umpire is going to be able to make that adjustment properly.
Now if you can show that they do accurately adjust the zone for Altuve et al but not Judge and other tall guys ...
This year's Dodgers will likely win ~112 with a pythag of something like 116 or 117. There's a substantial difference. As far as I can tell, the only team that measures up to that is, as Tom pointed out above, the '39 Yankees.
It would be worth looking into, because it stands to reason that they would. Umpires are generally normal-sized men standing in a crouch -- close to, if not below, Altuve's zone. Giants like Judge (and Sexton, and Tony Clark, and Frank Howard) tower over them. There's not a good way to get a perspective on that kind of strike zone.
ok, I laughed.
meanwhile, huge battle being waged in media by fans re tonight's NYY Game/Judge 61 only airing on Apple TV in NYC market (and others????).
WFAN host in his 30s says, hey, it's free tonight (unlike Amazon Prime if you don't already have it) and with your smartphone and smartTV.....
Anthony from The Bronx (but no longer in The Bronx) calls up angry that his 83-year-old mother still in The Bronx can't see the game.
Maris hit 61, well, 61 years ago. so if you are old enough to remember that - well, tonight might be a challenge for you.
apparently ESPN/MLB will not be able to "cut in" for the Judge ABs, but that seems hard to believe.
did Bonds really hit HRs 61, 62, and 63 in same game?
I'm not quite sure that that means ("below Altuve's zone"). But also Altuve is only 5-6 and I'm not sure he's even that tall ... I don't know the average ump height but I'm guessing that puts him 5-7 inches shorter. Judge is 6-7 so call that 6-8 inches taller. I'm not sure Judge is any more challenging.
If the zone was constant for everybody (let's say knee to chest of an average height player) then the bottom of the zone would be above Altuve's knees but the top would be near his shoulder; for Judge obviously the bottom would be below his knees and the top around his waist. I don't imagine there are many pitchers who think throwing Judge a belt-high fastball is a particularly good idea so they'd have little choice but to work low in the zone.
I can believe that an ump in his crouch might call everything above his eye level as "high" but that should help Judge. It makes more sense to me that they'd have trouble calling an accurate high strike on Judge. If they adjusted their crouch to be high enough to call an accurate top of the zone, I can imagine they no longer have a sense of where the bottom of the zone is. So it may not be tall vs short per se but simply the size of an individual's zone and Judge's is so large they can either stay down to get an accurate view of the low pitcher or straighten up to get an accurate view of the high pitch. But I'm not sure why either would lead to calling strikes below Judge's knees.
Sox let a pop up fall in for a "hit" between 3 fielders. What f*ck up, that's LL stuff. OF needs to call off IF on that play.
Don't most Red Sox pitchers avoid this by putting runners on 1st and 2nd?
You could try thinking about it for a minute. It's not very complicated.
Agree, and if I thought of Fip as the most important stat for a reliever, it would matter, but for a reliever results matter. As I said, I think of component era as the most telling stat for reliever (although inherited runners and actions there also figure into it, add in wpa which Diaz does kick ass in, etc. )
Component era for the three (assuming the website I used to figure it out did it correctly, and basing it upon the numbers after yesterdays game, which Helsey allowed a homerun, and probably shouldn't be considered as part of this discussion since it started before that game)
Component era for Phillips .982, Helsey 1.089, Diaz 1.47.
Ultimately they are all close and I can't see any legit argument that clearly puts one ahead of the other.
2022
2015
2006
2000 (Subway Series)
1999
of course, in modern times this is usually the Mets' fault for not hitting this exacta - the lone exception in the last 30+ years is 2016 when the Yankees had a rare miss.
Guardians host Mariners; winner plays Yankees
Rays-Blue Jays play each other; winner plays Astros
NL much murkier, but
Cardinals host Phils or Padres (or maybe Brewers); winner plays East champ Mets or Braves
Mets/Braves loser host the other WC ; winner plays Dodgers
I have, I still don't know what you are trying to say. So you could try explaining what you mean.
@ActionNetworkHQ
·
32m
Hitters with 30 HR in a season: 1472
Pitchers with 200 strikeouts: 560
Players with both 30 HR & 200K: 1
Shohei. Ohtani.
(via @stathead/since 1920)
Well, three more RBIs with number 700!!!
3 more on that last homerun.
Just an amazing last season for him. Great stuff.
09.23... Jose Barrero went 0-for-4 and struck out twice Friday in the loss to the Brewers.
Spin: It's the fifth time in the last six games that Barrero has gone 0-for-4. The 24-year-old is sporting an incredible .403 OPS in 147 plate appearances for the Reds. The last player to get 150 plate appearances in a season and post a lower OPS was Leury Garcia in 2014, when he came in at .399 in 155 PA.
Judge: .31540
Bogaerts: .31358
Arraez: .31153
Abreu & Lowe may have time to get back into it, but they have to hurry, and probably get super-hot.
ATL 93-58 - trail by 2.5 games with 12/13 to play
Games 157-158-159 are in Atlanta vs Mets
winning division is huge, duh, but if Braves are on the brink and burn their top SPs.... although maybe the sked allows for that? haven't checked yet.
deGrom and Max for the Sat/Sun games in Oakland.
then off day, Carrasco-Walker in a 4th-SP postseason bakeoff on Tue-Wed home vs Marlins
then another day off, then Bassitt in Game 157 in ATL
if the ATL autopsy has yet to be approved, deGrom and Max FTW, I suspect
Anyway game day is having a rough time accurately depicting Dickerson’s apparently vicious 53 mph sliders…
There aren't many guys in the last generation who have good arguments to be put on the all-time MLB lineup. In fact, the other 2 both have the PED* stink.
He's done---He's said, multiple times, this is it and I don't see any reason why that's changed.
JoeD had just 12 in his last season. McGwire's first "season" was just 58 PA. Aaron doesn't qualify on either end; Bonds had 16 in just 484 PA in his roookie year so he was at least on that pace barely.
- 14 seasons of 100+ rbi, tied with ARod for the all time lead (Albert also had a 99, 95, and 93)
- 14 seasons of 30+ HR, tied with Bonds for the 3rd most ever (Aaron and ARod have 15)
- 18 seasons of 20+ homers, 3rd all time behind Aaron (20), and Bonds (19).
The thing that is obscured for non- Cardinal fans is the clutchiness of his second half hitting. Take last night. cards have been unable to score at all for a couple weeks it seems. Against the best team in baseball he puts the Cards up 5-0 and takes the pressure off. He's been doing that all season.
That's a valuable skill. I can see why they might want him back. On top of that he has filled up every stadium in second half so he's minting money for the Cards and others. Next year chasing 714 would be more of the same.
Keith Hernandez apparently is also on the IL after a fall in NYC
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