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Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, September 17, 2019
OMNICHATTER is full of great ideas!, for September 17, 2019
Scoreboards for the Major Leagues and all minor leagues,
courtesy of Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee).
Los Angeles El Hombre of Anaheim
Posted: September 17, 2019 at 05:33 PM | 107 comment(s)
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For starters, I'm tuning into this Red Sox game to see how Bostonians welcome Mike Yastrzemski as he leads off for the Giants tonight.
Yaz the Junior strikes out on 4 pitches.
An all-time great is throwing out the first pitch at Fenway tonight, but it’s not Carl Yastrzemski. The Red Sox are honoring Felipe Alou, a pioneering figure for Dominicans in baseball. Pedro Martinez will catch him. Before catching his first pitch, Pedro Martinez embraced Felipe Alou. Two absolute legends from a baseball-rich nation. Cool moment.
Felipe was movin kinda slow, like Uncle Joe, but it was good to see him back on the field.
Fist home run by Yastrzemski at Fenway Park since Carl took Moose Haas deep on 7/31/83.
Schildt overmanaging. You've got 2 on, nobody out for your 2-3-4 hitters; down a run early, you'll need multiple runs to win, yet he gives up an out, severely diminishing the chances of a big inning, and the out he gave up was one of his team's better hitters.
Let's see how this plays out...
I agree and disagree with salvo... Wong is a heck of a bunter, and that was a fantastic bunt... it was a potential base hit type of bunt... just didn't happen, but the odds that he gets a base hit while bunting, or advancing the runners, is probably higher than if he's swinging away for the whole bat.
I feel very old.
The chances of the Cardinals scoring multiple runs are greater if he swings away. He bunted, they got one run, they still need to score more than that run to win this game.
Great baseball name.
Red Sox stink. Eovaldi just not right.
The chances of the Cardinals scoring zero is also greater if he swings away...And instead of relying on "average" results, you do need to look at expected results for that particular player, and Wong is a heck of a bunter and has a pretty good chance of absolutely advancing the runners, and a decent chance of still getting a base hit out of it... I am not a Shildt supporter, but I support this move if the batter is fine with it, and it's someone like Wong... not Carpenter... who can actually get a base hit... There are too many stat guys that are looking at the average performance for the league and not the average performance for a particular player, team or even a pitching staff.
2nd and 3rd out, chance of scoring multiple runs: 39.32% (17.2% 3+ runs)
This doesn't take the quality of the hitter into account, stats from some table I found on the internet.
Gotta admit, I'm a little suspicious of how close the percentages are to each other... doesn't quite smell right.
He has been knocking the cover off the ball lately so I'm betting on it.
Those grids are based upon average runs scored per season and will change based upon that... I love them... they are fantastic tools, but not absolutes... they are a baseline argument for standard tactics... But from an actual manager viewpoint, you need to include the quality of offense from the other team, quality of your pitching staff and bullpen, and the exact batter and maybe a couple of the next batters and even the styles of the pitcher and hitters etc...
I am very much a fan of not sacrificing in the early innings, but at the same time, if you can sacrifice and do it well enough that it's close to a base hit at 30% or so, then it's a different story.
From Nationals PR: With Patrick Corbin's last strikeout, Nationals are only team in history to have three pitchers with at least 222 Ks in the same season.
It seems like both home runs and strikeouts are up with this juiced ball. I can't believe the ball has that much effect on 60 foot pitches, but you never know. Should this be A Thing?
That is assuming it's a juice ball issue, more than a change in approach.
Fully agree, but if you can improve your chances to score just one run in a game early, and you then have another 6 innings to score more runs, then the odds are in your favor that you'll score more runs. I'm not arguing for sacrificing every time.. nor do I like sacrificing with your number two hitter, but it was a half sacrifice, half bunt for a hit, etc... Wong batting second is much different than Polanco or Oquendo batting second... this is a guy who actually has the ability to bunt, and ability to turn it into hits, and the ability to hit it over the fence.... I hate batting contact hitters second unless they are someone like Wong.
That is assuming it's a juice ball issue, more than a change in approach.
It has been proven. The 2019 ball has less drag than even last year's.
See:
yes-the-baseball-is-different-again-an-astrophysicist-examines-this-years-baseballs-and-breaks-down-the-changes/
That first inning was very odd in retrospect.
I guess those three runs he gave up were before he found his release point or something. Because he's making the Reds look silly now.
I don't deny that there is a juice ball, just not sure that the juice ball is the full story.
EDIT: if he keeps it up, this must be in the running for the worst dominant performance of all-time.
A 20 K game and a loss in the same start would be pretty awesome.
We have different definitions of "awesome." Now if a Yanks pitcher were to K 20 and lose, that would be awesome.
Even the Nats announcers were shocked.
Big play on a leadoff double in a 1-run game.
geez whats the point of replay if they're gonna blow it anyway.
nice shot of maddux in the dugout mouthing 'g-d-mmit'
Happened in last night's A's game, too. I wonder if there's quietly been An Instruction.
i'm wondering the same thing, is it anyone's impression that anything close is slowly becoming 'go with the call and then shrug and say there is no angle/no overwhelming evidence blah blah'?
I kind of like the idea that it puts a focus on being able to run aggressively yet maintain control---similar to the biathloners that have to cross-country ski like madmen then stop and hit a target from 200 yards.
As long as we have the technology to expose a baserunning technical weakness so it can now be properly penalized, I say go for it.
yes! i have my mlb feed set on 'nanny'. works like a b-tch.
I hate people being declared out because of natural physics... you slide you beat the tag and you get called out because your foot bounced... that is just stupid... you arrived at the bag, you touched the bag and there was a split second where physics happened... sorry... I don't care... that isn't really the concept of the game... not really.. I want the fundamental concept of the game to work, I love replay when applied properly.. I don't want petty #### happening.
You can have a wiggly-waggly stance and a huge leg kick and an enormous sweeping swing at every single pitch as long as it's working.
It stopped working around May 1 of this year, and it's been running around a .650 OPS since.
martinez did not look good striking out there, and he also looked like poop last night pinch hitting. he's probably not getting enough at bats, i guess.
or what salvo said ...
Watch Lou Brock's pop-up slide to see some good technique: with it he ALWAYS stayed on the bag. But the kids these days...
don't care... to me the concept is about the concept more than worrying about dorkness of accuracy... if a guy arrives at the bag and is relatively controlled then a split second is not an issue and shouldn't be an issue... The game should be about the game, and what works, not some dork in his basement playing dungeons and dragons and being a rules lawyer... it's about the flow of the game.
but ... but ... he's got SPEED and he's gritty.
but really, where can you put martinez if dexter still can play? carp is about done. jose can't play third, edman can.
and don't we have yet another good outfield prospect in the pipeline?
A day or two ago he was briefly third on the team in OPS at .800 or so, and he has 2.4 bWAR in essentially half a season of plate appearances.
He's started 33 of the team's last 37 games, going .331/.368/.537 in 144 PA. The fascination is understandable.
The issue is that none of those guys are "starters" they are the backup guys getting playing time and you use them in that respect... rotate these guys around based upon the handedness of the pitchers or whatever you need... etc... The Cardinal starters are 1. Goldschmidt. 2. Wong 3. Ozuna 4. Fowler. 5. molina... after that rotate whoever you want in..but acting like Edman or Carpenter or Bader or whoevever is the starter is ridiculous... and if I had to make a bet and I gave Carpenter 10 starts and Edman 10 starts going forward... and had to bet who would be better going forward... I would give you 4-1 odds on Carpenter.
overrated... I like him don't get me wrong.. I just don't really see him as a major league starter right now...
August 6 is more or less when Martinez was removed from the lineup, and he was hitting .269/.337/.405, with horrible defense and baserunning.
Say what you will about WAR, but Martinez has negative WAR this year. Edman is flat-out outplaying him.
Zombie Mets are the best Mets. this version will not enjoy a brief reanimation, alas.
Right now I'd take that bet, because I watch the games and I see Carpenter staring at pitches right down the middle, and grounding weakly to the right side, the way he has all year. At least Edman swings at strikes.
Playing Carpenter 10 games in a row won't magically turn back the clock to when he was a productive hitter.
For the record.. I've been and Edman fan since his draft... this isn't about Edman, it's about my personal uncertainty of young players and their ability to maintain their hot streaks going forward.
ugh, they're showing that replay again. dude was out.
carp has really fallen off this year. he's 33, lots of players start their free fall suddenly at that age. doesn't he also have a habit of fading towards the end of the year? maybe he's hiding an injury, i dunno, i'm not in the dugout. but edman has earned his shot. if he fails he fails, but there's only so many options.
in other words:
there's no option J!
Let's see what happens...
EDIT: aaaannnd base hit!
EDIT: aaaannnd base on balls!
EDIT: aaaannd Schildt goes to the pen again. Baby steps. At least he's not leaving him in this time.
oh sh-t! the dreaded gant.
i thought we had a contract out on him. nuts!
good god, gant with 11 walks in his last 7 1/3 innings.
CFB, you live in STL. ... go find gant after the game, knock him on the head, put him in your trunk, and hide him for the rest of the season.
... and another 2-out hit scores the runner gant put on base.
and another.
2-out hits. 2-strike home runs.
there are essentially two outs and two strikes in the season. we're letting it slip away.
the microcosm reflects the macrocosm.
What are the ####### Cubs doing?
EDIT: And it's snuffed out as Lorenzen comes in and K's Castellanos.
One of those teams won't be going to the postseason, and one of them will sit comfortably back preparing for their NLDS series while the other two play a cage match to advance.
As a Nats fan I gotta admit, that was well executed.
BADER WHAT ARE YOU LOOKING AT???
warm fuzzies? belly rubs? nice-nice? hot cocoa and slippers?
Worshipping his ####??? ultimately it boils down to McLaughlin HATES Matheny and because of that Hate he goes out of his way to worship Shildt regardless of performance or the fact that it's clear to everyone watching the game that Shildt is clearly tacticaly deficient compared to Matheny (who wasn't that great of a tactician himself... sure he respected the saber crap, but would be to beholden to it because of the gm)
Ya gotta admit, he has nice hair.
Gary Ward: September 18, 1980
Daryle Ward: May 26, 2004
oh gawd ... swinging bunt single and now two on with nobody out.
i don't think i can keep watching. rats.
The Neighborhood Rule was desigend to protect both the infielder and the runner in a potentially dangerous situation and this newfangled replay interpretation that the runner MUST maintain contact with the bag at all times and all costs works against the spirit of that rule and the general interest of safety of the players. And for what?? So some snot-nosed punk sitting in front of a computer screen can declare that there was 3 microns of distance between the runner's finger and the bag? Where's the benefit in that? Where's the sportsmanship? Who gives a crap??
That is my point... the exception is of course when the guy goes past the bag or is obvious on his breaking the contact for whatever reason... but the goal in the game should be about beating the play... we don't want people slowing down to make the play "safe for replay"
This would cover sliding into the bag and your foot momentarily leaves contact but hovers over the bag, but would NOT cover someone sliding wide of the bag and curling their arm around it and then letting go.
This protection disappears
- if you no longer are over the bag (in which case you must regain contact)
- if you make any attempt to advance
- the play is declared over (time is called or pitcher steps on the rubber)
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