Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Friday, July 26, 2019

One Weird Trick to Beat MLB Batters

Well, this ought to make some get-off-my-lawn-you-kids types’ heads Cronenberg ...

But what if there had been a bold, truly original strategy that Girardi could have called on to make the same move? And what if it’s one that major league managers may be about to embrace?

Consider this: Even more so than the typical pitcher, Betances is far more effective with two strikes than he is in non-two-strike counts. In fact, Betances is one of the best two-strike pitchers of all time, boasting the biggest gap in recorded history between his performance in two-strike and non-two-strike counts (minimum 500 batters faced with two strikes). In the pitch-tracking era (2008-19), Betances’s wOBA allowed (.449) in non-two-strike counts has been one of the worst in the game, well above the .402 league average. But in two-strike counts, his wOBA allowed (.139, compared to the .237 MLB average) has been the best—better than Craig Kimbrel’s, better than Kenley Jansen’s, better than Aroldis Chapman’s. Betances isn’t good at getting ahead, but when he does get two strikes on hitters, his knuckle-curve renders them helpless.

Wilson’s splits aren’t so extreme: He’s been worse than Betances with two strikes, but better than Betances before he gets to two strikes. So why not use him to get Bradley in a hole, then bring in the two-strike specialist to finish him off? It’s the baseball equivalent of basketball’s alley-oop: The first pitcher puts up the alley, and the second supplies the oop. You’ve heard of the opener; this is the oopener.

the Centaur Nipple Paradox (CoB). Posted: July 26, 2019 at 10:55 AM | 4 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: relief pitching, strategy

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: July 26, 2019 at 04:24 PM (#5865315)
Alternate Headline: One Stupid Idea to Generate Clicks
   2. the Centaur Nipple Paradox (CoB). Posted: July 26, 2019 at 04:35 PM (#5865324)
Seems like Davo beat me to submitting the same article so if a mod wanted to disappear this one, that's fine with me ...
   3. Itchy Row Posted: July 26, 2019 at 05:10 PM (#5865334)
Two threads on the same article seems fitting.
   4. caspian88 Posted: July 26, 2019 at 05:39 PM (#5865348)
Hitting coaches hate this!

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Forsch 10 From Navarone (Dayn)
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogRob Manfred offers little insight, shows contempt for reporters in press conference
(87 - 11:51am, Feb 18)
Last: Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)

NewsblogRosenthal: Carlos Correa rips Bellinger, passionately defends Altuve and says the Astros deserve their 2017 title – The Athletic
(73 - 11:48am, Feb 18)
Last: Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)

NewsblogDisciplining Astros not as easy for MLB as Altuve revealing a tattoo
(8 - 11:44am, Feb 18)
Last: Never Give an Inge (Dave)

NewsblogOT - Catch-All Pop Culture Extravaganza (February 2020)
(99 - 11:34am, Feb 18)
Last: jmurph

NewsblogYankees’ Brett Gardner wants fan making bizarre sexual claims kept away from his family, MLB stadiums
(2 - 11:33am, Feb 18)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogHow will the Red Sox market a Mookie-less team? - The Boston Globe
(52 - 11:26am, Feb 18)
Last: jmurph

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-18-2020
(3 - 10:42am, Feb 18)
Last: Itchy Row

NewsblogPederson, Stripling back to work with Dodgers after no trade
(6 - 10:40am, Feb 18)
Last: gef, talking mongoose & vexatious litigant

NewsblogOT - Soccer Thread - January, 2020
(572 - 9:54am, Feb 18)
Last: AuntBea calls himself Sky Panther

NewsblogAstros’ Dusty Baker begs MLB to protect players from cheating retaliation
(24 - 8:27am, Feb 18)
Last: Rusty Priske

NewsblogHow a rookie middle infielder could be the most interesting player in Giants camp
(3 - 10:15pm, Feb 17)
Last: Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-17-2020
(13 - 9:26pm, Feb 17)
Last: JJ1986

NewsblogSABR announces 2020 Henry Chadwick Award recipients
(7 - 9:07pm, Feb 17)
Last: Cblau

NewsblogAgainst the Astros and their reputation, suspicious Nationals felt they had to assume the worst
(7 - 9:06pm, Feb 17)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogBlue Jays legend Fernandez dies at 57
(19 - 7:44pm, Feb 17)
Last: blueshaker

Page rendered in 0.2411 seconds
46 querie(s) executed