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Friday, February 15, 2019
I estimate only 10-12 Primates care about the NBA, none of whom can be bothered to curate their own thread to avoid detracting from what this site is really about: Kyler Murray and how the Galactic Empire did nothing wrong.
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Thought for sure this was a typo, because Zion shot 68% on Field Goals this year. But LJ was 64% in his college career, and much better from the line (79% vs 64% for Zion).
Zion reminds me of an extremely wealthy Julius Randle-an absolute wrecking ball in the paint, with good ball-handling and playmaking, especially for their size. Zion is more dynamic, and will likely be a much, much better defender.
You're crazy. It's important to note that Duke was an awful 3-point shooting team, literally one of the worst in the nation (30.8% = 329th out of 353 teams). At all times Zion was surrounded by at least 3 guys who can't shoot, sometimes 4. Every opponent schemed to clog the paint and collapse on him with 2-3 defenders anytime he could touch the ball within 15 feet of the rim. That makes it all the more remarkable that Zion shot 75% inside the arc.
In the NBA, Zion should be surrounded by at least 3 guys who CAN shoot, sometimes 4. As a result, it actually should be harder for NBA defenses to take him out of the offense. One thing you probably couldn't see from the second half of the MSU game is that Zion has good vision and feel as a distributor. At Duke, teams double- or triple-teamed him and forced him to kick it out to a non-shooter. Space the floor with long-range threats around him, and it's a risky strategy to double him in the post. Of course individual defenders in the NBA should be better equipped to challenge him in the paint, though very few would like their chances one-on-one.
Zion also has a quickness/coordination advantage over other 4s and 5s and a solid handle for a big man, so if you can effectively clear out the lane, he can initiate offense from the perimeter. He gets in trouble as an initiator when he tries to split double teams or spin around a help defender; a less cluttered lane should limit the need to do that. Just imagine Zion landing in Atlanta alongside Trae, Huerter, Prince, and John Collins. How do you defend him in that situation?
The UNLV team, by the way, was better than this Duke team.
This should bring up another round of questioning regarding Pax's job security.
Who had the better longer, inexplicable tenure with their team - Pax with Bulls or Enrie with Wizetts?
Re 1111: Isn't that on Coach K? How on earth did Zion not get a shot at the end of that last game?
Indiana will need Kyrie to suck if they want to get out of the first round. That was true since the moment Dipo went down. Maybe even before that.
We knew what AD could become, and he has largely reached that. AD is a great player, and it's great to see how he's redefined the big man position. AD is an evolutionary step in how to play as a big.
Zion is not that. Zion offers the potential for revolution. He's as heavy as Boban! He passes like Pau Gasol! He offers help defense like Ben Wallace!
No one knows what Zion will be in the NBA! Maybe he's part of a lethal spread PnR attack. Maybe he's part of a stifling defense. But what makes Zion exciting is not how you can slot him in on the Warriors or the Rockets. What makes him exciting is that he's got the potential to define the next 10 years much how LeBron has defined the last 10 years.
"potential" is doing some heavy lifting there. and it seems like a prediction that can only win, or play to a draw. #riskfree
Here's a clip of Westbrook grabbing rebounds number 19 and 20.
if that matters to anyone.
I think for the moment I'm actually most excited to see what Zion can be defensively. So far everything points to him being an outlier defender: athleticism, college stats, eye test. In the modern NBA, I'm not sure there is a player who has ever come into the league that's as promising on that side. Regression to the mean is a #####, but oh my god this looks like it's going to be amazing.
i think what's really underrated about zion is his floor, which imo, if he doesn't break down like a horse at santa clarita, is a perennial all-star.
anyway, here's a primer repost:
The good news is Young looks like his offensive game is going to play, he could be pretty good.
If the award was based solely on post-ASB, I'd probably go with Young. That momentum is positive for him. For the full season, Luka is quite a ways ahead.
edit- VORP and BPM also favor JJJ and Ayton over Young.
Doncic, Robinson, Ayton, Mikal Bridges, Gilgeous-Alexander, JJJ, Young, Bamba, Carter, Shamet, Robert Williams (very low minutes played), Bagley, Miles Bridges, Spellman, Okogie.
Rookies with > 1 WS (descending)
Ayton, Robinson, Doncic, Bagley, Shamet, JJJ, Young, Gilgeous-Alexander, Mikal Bridges, Brunson, Miles Bridges, Carter, Bamba, Kurucs, Huerter, Okogie, Spellman, Brown, Williams.
Rookies with positive BPM (descending)
Robinson, Williams, Doncic, Zhaire Smith (15 total MP), Ayton, JJJ.
Worth noting that Robinson has played about half the minutes of several of the recurring names and JJJ is also low in MP. Rookies with over 2k MP: Sexton, Young, Mikal Bridges, Doncic, Ayton, SGA, Knox. Huerter will join them.
2019-02-25: 3 minutes
2019-03-24: 2 minutes
2019-03-26: 1 minute
2019-03-28: 1 minute
2019-03-31: 41 minutes
2019-04-01: 1 minute
Tim Frazier also played 53 minutes after a total of 5 minutes in the previous 3 games.
That game was also the first career start for D.J. Wilson, the Bucks 2017 #1 pick.
Also, the Bucks/76ers tech-fest was super unfair to Milwaukee (fortunately didn't matter). It sure looked like Scott did the most aggressive thing, but because the refs always try to get the techs to even out and there was only one Buck to two Sixers, Bledsoe had to get two techs to one for Scott and one for Embiid. I hate the double technicals thing in general, but this case seemed especially dumb.
* The record, according to ESPN, is 50 such wins, by the 71-72 Lakers. Two of Golden State's recent title teams have reached the high 40s, as did the Garnett Celtics, the Jordan Bulls (twice), and the Kareem Bucks.
Moses is a good poster. You're missing out by having him on ignore. ;-)
(post# 1098)
Still a cool stat, of course.
Nah, it's not a thing. Curry's pretty much at the maximum for 3p accuracy. Hard to see how he would realistically improve.
He shoots approximately 50% on open 3s every year. No one has ever shot significantly higher than that. The variance in Curry's 3p% is mostly in how he shoots on pull ups, and how many pull ups he takes vs. catch and shoot. Even for Curry, it's more about shot selection than it is about shot making.
Even less appealing than Orange Vanilla Coke.
They're pretty good.
And the legendary Grayson Allen has 19 pts in 10 minutes at halftime! 8/8 FG, including 3/3 from deep!
I thought he was a reach in the second round and it looks like I was too high on him.
there are 22 active NBA players who played a game for the sixers (so, not including embiid or dario) while sam hinkie was general manager. i will make it somewhat easier by including the initials from the player's name, and that player's current(?) team
LBTR
ICMB
MCWOM
RCMT
DDAH
TFMB
JGOKC
RHPS
SMCH
LRMBAMLAC
TJMP7
JMLAL
NNOKC
JNHR
JONOP
GRDP
ISDP
JSCB
NSCC
ETPT
CWNOP
TYIP
good luck trying to name more than 18 of them before looking the answers up.
also, just a reminder for those who have forgotten from last season: FULL 57i66135 is real...and he's coming.
ICMB: Isaiah Canaan, even though he only had a 10 day for the Bucks and isn't on the roster
Michael Carter-Williams
Robert Covington
Dwayne Dedmon
Tim Frazier
Jeremi Grant
Richuan Holmes
somebody on the Hornets with SM initials
Luc Richard etc
I'm not sure what P7 means
Javale
Nerlens
I don't know, I'm sure I could come up with a few more in the home stretch here, obviously Okafor is in there, but I'm tired and this isn't that interesting.
Use THE PROCESS of elimination to figure it out
I like them, but there's not enough orange. Too similar to Vanilla Coke.
ICMB - Canaan
MCWOM - Carter-Williams
RCMT - Covington
DDAH - Dedmon
TFMB - Frazier
JGOKC - Grant
RHPS - Holmes
SMCH - (had to look up, he's a year too early for Hinkie I think)
LRMBAMLAC M'Bah a Moute
TJMP7 - McConell
JMLAL - McGee
NNOKC - Noel
JNHR - (had to look up, didn't realize he was back in the league)
JONOP - Okafor
GRDP - Robinson
ISDP - Smith
JSCB - Sampson
NSCC - Stauskas
ETPT - Turner
CWNOP - Wood
TYIP - Young
Total games played for the 76ers (that's the "7" next to McConnell) by the 2 guys I missed: 13
I thought that chasson randle was under hinkie’s watch, but I guess that was later.
Lakers fans ofc have mixed feelings about the whole thing.
Note: I am not trying to clown Booey and Cervo here. Their team has had a far better year than mine has, obviously.
Yes, but per BB-ref, he played under Collins while DiLeo was in charge.
shoulda kept dangelo russell.
...and julius randle.
...and brock lopez.
...and ed davis.
...and lou williams.
...and trevor ariza.
...and david nwaba.
...and ivica zubac.
I am never good at knowing who is going to be good, but knowing who is going to be bad seems a lot easier*, so it's baffling to me when things like this happen. How did anyone think this was going to work?
(*Totally acknowledging confirmation bias here, I'm not going to remember all of the ones I miss.)
Yeah, that was a stupid loss for the Jazz. KCP and McGee deserve credit for playing well, and the Jazz were missing a lot of their depth themselves with Favors, Korver, and Rubio out (plus Neto and of course Exum), but Utah still had Gobert, Mitchell, and Ingles, so that should've easily been enough to win against whoever the Lakers have left of their roster, half of whom I'd never heard of until a week and a half ago when the Jazz played them last. That balding Caruso guy has to rank right up there with Ingles and the goofy looking redhead on the Hawks (Huerter?) as the least "NBA looking" players in the league.
It probably won't matter in the end, what with Denver punting their game against Portland last night, but it would've been nice to have an extra game of breathing room over OKC. Plus 50 wins just feels different than 49, and Utah's final 2 games are vs DEN and @ LAC, so another win isn't a guarantee.
Rockets just need to beat the Thunder tomorrow to lock everything into place.
Results for, "which team will win the title":
1. Golden State (79.5%)
2. Milwaukee (6.8%)
...
6. Oklahoma City, Clippers, Orlando (1%)
It seems correct that those three teams do indeed have the same chances of winning the title.
Good for Orlando and Clifford, by the way. Hopefully Charlotte can pass Detroit (sorry to the Pistons fan(s) here!).
Did you see this play?
---
As someone who never was really a Wade fan but always disliked Pierce more, I found this amusing, for a number of reasons.
I don't know anything about basketball stats, but um, don't possessions always have to essentially match up? There are only 2 teams, and when one team loses possession, the other gets it. If I win the tip, best I can do is end the half +1. If that first half had a tie up, I can start the 2nd half with the ball, and end with it, which is another +1. Am I missing something?
Also, number of possessions essentially = pace, b/c time is fixed. Right??
And I don’t just mean the possession stuff, the other stuff is nonsense too!
Virginia plays literally the slowest pace / tempo in the country, if you count possessions/game.
https://kenpom.com
https://kenpom.com/blog/ratings-glossary/
Edit: RC Colas to FTO
Poss
Possessions (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); the formula for teams is 0.5 * ((Tm FGA + 0.4 * Tm FTA - 1.07 * (Tm ORB / (Tm ORB + Opp DRB)) * (Tm FGA - Tm FG) + Tm TOV) + (Opp FGA + 0.4 * Opp FTA - 1.07 * (Opp ORB / (Opp ORB + Tm DRB)) * (Opp FGA - Opp FG) + Opp TOV)). This formula estimates possessions based on both the team's statistics and their opponent's statistics, then averages them to provide a more stable estimate. Please see the article Calculating Individual Offensive and Defensive Ratings for more information.
If Caruso sidled up to ladies at a bar and said, "Hi, my name is Alex, and I play for the Lakers", would anyone believe him?
Kudos to middle aged rec-league looking players like Caruso and Ingles for keeping the rest of our NBA hopes alive!
EDIT: Or honestly just shots.
Player Age MP PTS TRB AST
Dwyane Wade 24 43.5 34.7 7.8 3.8
Antoine Walker 29 36.6 13.8 5.5 2.2
Shaquille ONeal 33 35.2 13.7 10.2 2.8
Jason Williams 30 31.3 8.8 1.8 4.7
James Posey 29 29.5 7.3 6.0 0.3
Udonis Haslem 25 29.2 6.5 6.2 0.3
Alonzo Mourning 35 11.0 4.3 3.2 0.0
Gary Payton 37 22.3 2.7 2.0 2.0
Shandon Anderson 32 7.7 1.5 1.8 0.8
Michael Doleac 28 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jason Kapono 24 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
(Full disclosure: my wife has spent the last year and a half working as a senior producer to launch this podcast, so I can't claim to be entirely neutral in promoting it)
Are we living in an alternate universe where D'Angelo Russell is good?
Or Julius Randle, for that matter?
I swear to god, sometimes people act like defense isn't half the game.
Zubac was bad to dump for no reason, Ed Davis is fine, but is on like his 3rd team after the Lakers, Nwaba is a good guy to have as the 10th guy in your rotation. The Lakers' problem this year was not the details, it was the big picture. Rondo is bad, has been bad for a while, and completely stunk up the Lakers. Injuries were also an issue.
Was just listening to this on the way in, it's very good so far. As to the content of the podcast, I think I missed Draymond calling Violet Palmer a "f______ b______" sometime in the recent past? Good lord.
Amusingly enough, somebody posted on the Laker's Reddit sub a few months ago about seeing Caruso out on the town one night with a spectacularly beautiful woman on his arm. I suppose the lesson here is that even goofy looking scrub NBA players have no difficulty scoring with the ladies.
Kyrie has played like a top 10-12 player since the trade to the Celtics.
Westbrook and Draymond are also very good players, I feel like this is a weird definition of overrated. Shouldn't it apply to truly bad/overpaid players like Wiggins, or fine but wildly overpaid players like John Wall?
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