Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, March 01, 2017
I estimate only 10-12 Primates care about the NBA, none of bothered to submit a monthly thread to avoid detracting from what this site is really about: I dunno, baseball, maybe? Probably politics, but maybe some baseball, too.
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2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed) Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse)
15. Portland (JJ)
16. Chicago (Dandy)
17. Milwaukee (Sosa)
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
19. Atlanta (Laser Man)
20. Portland (JJ)
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Philadelphia (via Toronto) (STIGGLES)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Chicago (Dandy)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
This is fascinating to me because I wouldn't have picked Smith if he were there at #13. I wouldn't have picked him at 20.
The athleticism is obvious. But Smith doesn't pass, frequently dribbles the ball flat, and disengages completely when he's away from the ball It's so easy to fall in love with doublepluselite athleticism, and tell yourself "We can teach him to play team basketball!" But you can't. If a guy fundamentally does not think of basketball as a team sport, it's ingrained deeply in him and it's not a malleable part of his personality, as the Wolves are learning the hard way with Wiggins.
If your team is going nowhere--if you're Detroit, perhaps, or Sacramento--then yeah, it's not a bad option to draft Smith and let the fans enjoy watching him play isoball and challenge for scoring titles. If he pans out he might even lead you to 45 wins. But he is never going to stop loafing whenever he's not on the ball, on offense or defense, and no coach has ever lived that is going to persuade him otherwise. And worse, when a team's best guy plays that way, it sets the example for everyone else.
Plus, a legit three point shooting assassin would be such a fun toy for Jokic to play with.
John Collins was the next guy on my board, for similar reasons: He has great footwork, a great motor and is a smart guy. He needs to develop but I like his chances to do so.
I was torn between Allen and John Collins, but I admit I love the wingspan Allen has and that was the tie breaker for me.
I haven't watched Denver much; I figured Murray was that guy?
edit: plus the pacers shouldn't resign Teague and even if they do they shouldn't do it for more than 3 years
Westbrook always looks like he's been shot out of a cannon with everything he does, Smith has a good body but he's not Westbrook and I didn't see anything close to Westbrook's fire from him either. I think he will be something in between Mudiay and Wesbrook.
In other words, drafting is hard and often makes one look stupid and I have no idea. Based solely on what I've seen, I'm not bullish on him.
edit to clarify: But I'm not as negative about him as Paste. At 10 if you are swinging for the fences you could do a lot worse, especially for the price Mekong paid.
I'll do it if we replace Davis with Aminu, so Lopez and Rondo (waived) for Crabbe, Aminu, and 15.
JJ, I'm actually fine with the deal you proposed: Lopez and Rondo (waived) for Crabbe, Davis, and 15. Let me know if it's confirmed and then I'll be on the clock.
STIGGLES, presuming that trade goes through, would you do #23 and Richaun Holmes for #16 and Ed Davis?
It might be hard to sneak in real world talk amidst the mock draft (not complaining, for the record), but any takers on this from tship? I'm... not sure I disagree? Or rather, he's a player you want, and if you have him (Pacers) or can sign him as an FA, you do that all day every day. But do you give up what it takes to trade for him?
On the other hand, until Butler's break out this year (and he's 8ish months older than George), they were pretty similar, except George was and still is a much better shooter. The breaking point seems to be George's defensive decline post-injury. If he's no longer an elite defender, then he's not worth what it would take to get him, I don't think.
damn, i love ed davis, but i can't make that swap.
#23 and #46 are still on the table as a standing offer, pending my target being available.
Acquiring him would not be without risk, but if he's happy and would be part of a contender, I think he is well worth acquiring. Assuming the medicals check out.
Any tweaks that would make it work? Maybe #16, #38 and Davis for #23 and Holmes?
1. LeBron
2. Durant
3. Kawhi
4. Curry
5. Chris Paul
6. Draymond
7. Jimmy Butler
8. Westbrook
9. Gobert
10. Harden
Order is rough and doesn't really matter. After that you get Jokic, Lowry, Giannis, Anthony Davis, Conley, Marc Gasol, Hayward, Lillard, Blake Griffin, Millsap, Love, Kemba Walker. I think George fits in pretty favorably among that group. Some of those guys are probably better when healthy, or better today, or will probably be better in 3-4 years. But George has a nice mix of all that. Current value, future value, and playoffs value.
i think 2 things kind of get lost about george's career path:
1: he's competitive against lebron 1 on 1, but he doesn't dominate matchups against lesser players.
2: that gruesome knee injury took a huge bite out of his defensive value, and it likely retarded his offensive development.
1: he's competitive against lebron 1 on 1, but he doesn't dominate matchups against lesser players.
2: that gruesome knee injury took a huge bite out of his defensive value, and it likely retarded his offensive development.
I dunno, 2 years ago he was matched up 1 on 1 with Derozan in the first round of the playoffs (and some Carroll, but from what I remember he cross matched Derozan a lot) and absolutely dominated that matchup on both sides of the court. I do think it's fair to say he doesn't put up the numbers in the regular season the way I'd like to see. I agree that post-injury his defense went from fringe all-defense level to just solid.
if my guy is there at #16, i think i'd do that, yeah.
I might be an outlier on this but I'm not putting Butler in the top 10 after just one year. Until this season I think George would have been unanimously held in higher regard.
I think this is basically the only question. We know he can be an elite scorer, but if he's not that level of defender anymore, he's nowhere near being an All NBA player.
This year happened though. Also, before this year I think Butler was still a top 20 guy. The last couple of years Butler has shown great growth in being able to get his own points, rather than relying on others to set him up. He gets to the line a *ton*. And he has the Paul George pre-injury defense. I think Giannis is close, but I think if I had to win a game today, I'd take Butler. But yeah, I'd take Giannis over George, though George can shoot and that's really nice.
I decided to take a chance on swapping Robin Lopez's rim protection for Allen Crabbe's shooting in the knowledge that I'd be adding Bell to keep the team D stout. I see Bell as a potentially elite and versatile defender, with more offensive skill than he's typically given credit for. I think many scouts and front offices are skeptical of Jordan Bell’s pro potential because they view him as an undersized PF/C, standing 6’9″ with an sub-7’ wingspan and 8’8.5” standing reach. Despite Bell’s outstanding Tournament performance overall, it’s easy to focus on the negative—the enduring memory of him failing to box out UNC’s massive front line with a trip to the NCAA Championship Game hanging in the balance.
But rather than seeing Bell as a smallish Power Forward or Center, why not think of him as a powerful Small Forward? In my mind your position is defined by who you can defend, and in that respect, I’d consider Bell less a 4/5 and more a 3/4/5, or maybe a 3/4/2/5, depending on the matchups. I wouldn’t want him chasing a shooter around screens all night or battling a legit low post presence, but otherwise his combination of quick feet, quick hands, upper-body strength, explosiveness, timing as a shot-blocker, and uber-competitiveness allows him to frustrate just about any opposing player. He’d essentially be a perfect complement to the archetypal stretch-4-with-underwhelming-defense, taking on the tougher assignment at Forward each night.
I wrote a lot more on Bell here.
STIGGLES, let me know if we have a deal for #16.
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
with the #16 pick, the sixers select justin jackson, SF, north carolina
i think MIL/sosa at #17 is on the clock.
I'll listen (for Brooklyn).
Great handle.
Can get to the rim and the line.
Can shoot from distance on a pull up.
Those three things are in my mind the most important attributes for a primary initiator, which is in my mind the most important role in the modern NBA - if you can do those things you're at least a lesser star. Their seems to be RELATIVLY little risk (always risk in translation) that those things will translate.
Their are other things he does well, and their things he doesn't do well - things he does poorly. No doubt about it - if their wasn't he would be a top 1 or 2 pick.
I put a tremendous amount of weight on getting potential stars. Besides, Ball, Fultz, I think Smith or maybe Tatum are the most likely stars. I like Smith a touch more than Tatum, but go back and forth because I think his games plays better if he doesn't end up a star.
2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed) Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse) Jarret Allen, C Texas
15. Chicago via Portland (Dandy) Jordan Bell, F Oregon
16. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES) Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
17. Milwaukee (Sosa)
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
19. Atlanta (Laser Man)
20. Portland (JJ)
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Chicago via Philadelphia (via Toronto) (Dandy)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
Trades:
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
POR: Lopez and Rondo (waived)
CHI: Crabbe, Davis, and #15
SAC: #18 #47 2018 lotto protected that turns into a 2nd if not conveyed.
IND: #10
Honestly I'd probably just absorb him into space for picks. Let me know what you had in mind.
I really like Bell, he would have been on the list of considerations if I could have added a pick in the 20's.
G: jerryd bayless, tj mcconnell
W: josh jackson, robert covington, demarre carroll, dario saric, timothe luwawu, justin jackson, furkan korkmaz, justin anderson
B: joel embiid, ed davis, jahlil okafor
all of the above: ben simmons
picks left: #38, #39, #46
my strategy here is to load up on wings in preparation for a FA signing at PG and a blockbuster trade in the next 12-18 months. both josh and justin jackson have high BBIQ, with size, athleticism and defensive instincts. they both move well off the ball and keep the ball moving within an offense. pairing them up with veteran defenders like covington and carroll should let them ease into defensive roles and having secondary creators like saric and simmons allows them ease into their natural offensive roles.
TOR: gerald henderson, nik stauskas, #36, #50
PHI: demarre carroll, #23
That link is from before the 2017 season, though, so some names are pretty far off from where we'd rank them today. Drummond is at #20, for example. Gobert is at #37, one spot behind Steven Adams.
I don't think they've done a ranking for 2018 yet.
With the #17 pick the Bucks take Tyler Lydon.
I think he is one of the more underrated guys in the various mock drafts. Not because I think he is going to be some kind of superstar, but because I think he has skills that translate and is one of the better bets to develop into a credible stretch rotation forward. Provided he hires a nutritionist.
tshipman stole a little of my thunder earlier talking about Markkanen, I was going to talk about that a bit. Compare Markkanen's age 19 season to Lydon's age 19 season. From what I can recall, I think tshipman and I frequently agree on the way we look at prospects. I don't drill down into the stats nearly as much as he does, but there are a few blunt instrument basic numbers I like to go along with the eye test. When you consider Markkanen's athleticism metrics, it scares me off of him as a prospect, especially given that I think Arizona's defensive scheme helped mitigate his defensive shortcomings. Lydon was not as prolific a scorer and was not as efficient, but he did shoot threes, he did shoot them well, and his athleticism metrics are much better. He also shot free throws well (as did Markkanen) which is a big thing for me, it is encouraging for future shooting development. Add that into the eye test, Lydon has a good release which is encouraging that it might translate to NBA range and he also passes the eye test from an athletic standpoint. According to a lot of mocks, Lydon is a significant reach, but I'm reasonably confident he can stick as a stretch forward and I like him as a prospect.
Typed this in a hurry during a lull at work, sorry for any incoherence.
1. Boston (MHS)- Markelle Fultz, PG Washington.
2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed) Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse) Jarret Allen, C Texas
15. Chicago via Portland (Dandy) Jordan Bell, F Oregon
16. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES) Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
17. Milwaukee (Sosa) Tyler Lydon, SF Syracuse
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
19. Atlanta (Laser Man)
20. Portland (JJ)
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Chicago via Philadelphia (via Toronto) (Dandy)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
Trades:
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
POR: Lopez and Rondo (waived)
CHI: Crabbe, Davis, and #15
SAC: #18 #47 2018 lotto protected that turns into a 2nd if not conveyed.
IND: #10
TOR: gerald henderson, nik stauskas, #36, #50
PHI: demarre carroll, #23
1. Durant
2. Davis
3. Kyrie
4. Westbrook
5. Lebron
6. Harden
7. Rose
8. Blake
9. Love
10. Steph
The evaluation on Kyrie appears to have just been a miss.
Davis has not developed quite as well as anticipated. You can debate about how much of that is him vs. the team/coaching.
Lebron has eroded less than anticipated. I think we're all aware of that anyway.
Rose suffered due to injuries a ton. Love has not totally fit in Cleveland and had his own health concerns.
They notably whiffed on Kawhi, who was 16 and has developed much more than anyone expected. They didn't try to rank incoming players, so no Towns or Porzingis.
Link
link
I read that as age 16, and was like, geeeeeeez aberg, a little harsh man.
I would think that is well, well below his market value. Which isn't to say it won't happen- that group of players clearly wants to run it back- but I'm just wondering if this is A. believable reporting or B. poorly informed speculation.
With the 18th pick, the Kings select Bam Adebayo, Kentucky (do you see what I'm doing here?) I like his reach, and WCS and Skal could use another backup. I'm not enamored of any of the SG/SF that I'm seeing.
That puts Atlanta and Laser Man on the clock.
1. Boston (MHS)- Markelle Fultz, PG Washington.
2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed) Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse) Jarret Allen, C Texas
15. Chicago via Portland (Dandy) Jordan Bell, F Oregon
16. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES) Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
17. Milwaukee (Sosa) Tyler Lydon, SF Syracuse
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy) Bam Adebayo, Kentucky
19. Atlanta (Laser Man)
20. Portland (JJ)
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Chicago via Philadelphia (via Toronto) (Dandy)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
Trades:
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
POR: Lopez and Rondo (waived)
CHI: Crabbe, Davis, and #15
SAC: #18 #47 2018 lotto protected that turns into a 2nd if not conveyed.
IND: #10
TOR: gerald henderson, nik stauskas, #36, #50
PHI: demarre carroll, #23
Oh man, am I totally misreading the market or is Brooklyn doing Portland a bit of a favor in taking back Harkless's contract (not that it's terrible by any means)? I think I'd need something in return.
What about:
POR: 22, 57
BKY: Harkless, 26
(It's totally possible I'm terrible at this.)
Yeah I was going to suggest something similar- I could see 12 million per for Iggy over 4-5 years, basically as his final contract. But not like 2/24 or 3/30 or something like that. Depending on space, obviously, any reasonable contender would be interested in him on 3 years, I'd think.
I'll throw out a proposal for a three way trade:
Bro: Harkless, 26
Bos: Vonleh, Ezeli, 22
Por: Bradley, 57
So with the 19th pick, the Atlanta Hawks take T.J. Leaf, Forward from UCLA.
Leaf is a very skilled offensive player, shooting 64% from 2 and 46% from 3s. He's also a very good passer, and can run the floor well for a big man. Defense and strength are a concern, but I think his shooting will keep him in the league for a long time. I would have taken Zach Collins or Jarrett Allen if they were available.
1. Boston (MHS)- Markelle Fultz, PG Washington.
2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) - Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) - Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed)- Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) - Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse) - Jarret Allen, C Texas
15. Chicago via Portland (Dandy) - Jordan Bell, F Oregon
16. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES) - Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
17. Milwaukee (Sosa)- Tyler Lydon, SF Syracuse
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy) - Bam Adebayo, Kentucky
19. Atlanta (Laser Man) - T.J. Leaf, F UCLA
20. Portland (JJ)
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Chicago via Philadelphia (via Toronto) (Dandy)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
Trades:
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
POR: Lopez and Rondo (waived)
CHI: Crabbe, Davis, and #15
SAC: #18 #47 2018 lotto protected that turns into a 2nd if not conveyed.
IND: #10
TOR: gerald henderson, nik stauskas, #36, #50
PHI: demarre carroll, #23
edit: Any trades for Thad Young for Leonard and Anunoby and a small sweetener?
Ditto.
1. Boston (MHS)- Markelle Fultz, PG Washington.
2. LA Lakers (hombRRe) - Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
3. Philadelphia (STIGGLES) - Josh Jackson, F Kansas
4. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic) - Jonathan Isaac, F FSU
5. Sacramento (smileyy) - De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
6. Orlando (Votto) - Jayson Tatum, Duke
7. Minnesota (berg) - Lauri Markkanen, F Arizona
8. New York (NJ/JC) - Frank Ntilikina, PG France
9. Dallas (billyshears) - Malik Monk, G Kentucky
10. Indiana via Sacramento (King Mekong) - Dennis Smith Jr, NC State
11. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw) - Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
12. Detroit (Crosseyed)- Zach Collins, F Gonzaga
13. Denver (PASTE) - Luke Kennard, G Duke
14. Miami (Mellow Mouse) - Jarret Allen, C Texas
15. Chicago via Portland (Dandy) - Jordan Bell, F Oregon
16. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES) - Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
17. Milwaukee (Sosa)- Tyler Lydon, SF Syracuse
18. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy) - Bam Adebayo, Kentucky
19. Atlanta (Laser Man) - T.J. Leaf, F UCLA
20. Portland (JJ) - OG Anunoby, F Indiana
21. OKC (Thok)
22. Brooklyn (jmurph)
23. Chicago via Philadelphia (via Toronto) (Dandy)
24. Utah (Booey)
25. Orlando (Votto)
26. Portland (JJ)
27. Brooklyn (jmurph)
28. LA Lakers (hombRRe)
29. San Antonio (Quaker)
30. Utah (Booey)
Round 2
31. Atlanta (Laser Man)
32. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
33. Orlando (Votto)
34. Sacramento (smileyy)
35. Orlando (Votto)
36. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
37. Boston (MHS)
38. Philadelphia via Chicago (STIGGLES)
39. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
40. New Orleans
41. Charlotte (Ken Griffey's Grotesquely Swollen Jaw)
42. Utah (Booey)
43. Houston (Der-K)
44. New York (NJ/JC)
45. Houston (Der-K)
46. Philadelphia (STIGGLES)
47. Sacramento via Indiana (smileyy)
48. Milwaukee (Sosa)
49. Denver (PASTE)
50. Toronto (via Philadelphia) (TFTIO)
51. Denver (PASTE)
52. Washington (AROM)
53. Boston (MHS)
54. Phoenix (Oriole Tragic)
55. Utah (Booey)
56. Boston (MHS)
57. Brooklyn (jmurph)
58. New York (NJ/JC)
59. San Antonio (Quaker)
60. Atlanta (Laser Man)
Trades:
PHI: #16, #38, ed davis
CHI: #23, richaun holmes
POR: Lopez and Rondo (waived)
CHI: Crabbe, Davis, and #15
SAC: #18 #47 2018 lotto protected that turns into a 2nd if not conveyed.
IND: #10
TOR: gerald henderson, nik stauskas, #36, #50
PHI: demarre carroll, #23
Dandy, as a Bulls fan, I'm interested in your thought process for this deal. I get the Portland swap and the pick.
Oh, how fun.
I'm sharing Pistons misery with you. No one cares about the Pistons, but I feel like sharing so here you go:
Pistons listed on last year's NBA Rank. Their 2016-17 Projected RPM and actual RPM:
188. Ish Smith - Projected: -1.01. Actual: 0.53.
144. Stanley Johnson - Projected: -2.42. Actual: -2.38
141. Marcus Morris - Projected: 1.48. Actual: 0.52.
123. Tobias Harris - Projected: -0.88. Actual: 0.94.
83. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - Projected: 2.50. Actual: -0.60
59. Reggie Jackson - Projected: 2.79. Actual: -3.53 (LOL)
20. Andre Drummond - Projected: 2.12. Actual: -0.25
Combining those seven players:
Projected: 4.58 - Nice young team, not going to win a championship but this is the most fun for Pistons fans in a decade.
Actual: -4.77 Josh Smith was one bad contract. Now you have a full salary cap full of bad contracts.
This was a fun one because man did SVG get all the praise for it, but literally who on earth cares about Tobias Harris? Still probably a good deal, and the contract is fine, but...? Congrats, you have Tobias Harris for a couple more years.
i'm a fan of anunoby, but i picked justin jackson over him because i think jackson's offensive instincts and 3P range are likely to translate, whereas i'm not sure that anunoby has any NBA caliber offensive strengths.
I'm with you on Jackson. Every time I watched him, I couldn't figure out why he was generally not regarded that highly as a prospect. He seems to have moved up some since the early spring, but I like him for the reasons you said. Plus, he's so long.
I believe absolutely nothing of what you say about any Sixer player, past, present, or future.
Of course! A few things:
(1) I like Ed Davis, but I don't like the fit. On a scale from 1 to 100 as a floor spacer, he'd rate as a 1. Davis took a grand total of 1 shot outside 10 feet last year; he took 4 the year before. Part of the rationale behind trading Lopez was opening up the court for Jimmy, and Ed Davis is a step backwards in that regard. He'd still be a very competent backup in case I couldn't flip him for someone I preferred.
(2) I'm very high on Richaun Holmes, who's 23 and under contract for 2 more ridiculously cheap years. Holmes isn't a great outside shooter, but he's good enough to keep the defense honest and burn anyone who ignores him out beyond the arc. Last year he shot 35% from 3 and 45% from 16+ feet on moderate volume. He's also a fairly active and athletic defender, much more so than Portis at least. He's certainly big and athletic enough to finish well around the rim (73% for his career). Holmes's plus/minus stats are also quite favorable. He led the Sixers by that measure as a rookie, and his negative differential last year is deceiving because he seldom played with any of the team's better players. He never shared the court with Embiid, serving as his backup, and he played more with Luwawu-Cabarrot and Stauskas than Covington. In the 500 minutes he played with Covington, the Sixers actually outscored their opponents. I'm excited to see what he can do in a better situation.
(3) After Jordan Bell (and Donovan Mitchell, who I would've taken had he still been available), the next 2 guys on my draft board are expected to go in the 25-35 range. I figured there's an excellent chance at least 1 of them falls to 23. The 38th pick isn't a big deal once you already have 2 rookies on the roster.
i would not touch for him at 10+MM per year.
matt geiger is better than bill wennington.
1. Justin Patton, C, Creighton
2. Ike Anigbogu, C, UCLA
Someone please update accordingly after Thok makes his selection. Thanks!
As an analyst or player? I know Geiger isn't an analyst, but he's probably better than Wennington at it.
EDIT: Wennington shaves his head now, and he definitely would have been a better player had he shaved it back then.
Kerr was joking with Lowe about the 96 Bulls vs 17 Warriors debates and playfully asked who he and Wennington were supposed to guard.
Whammo.
I agree with this. Given the Warriors are capped out anyway and have Bird Rights on Iguodala, I could see him getting more from them on a short term deal, but I don't see him as someone who would/should get a big money offer in free agency from another team. Like maybe $15M per for 2 years or $12M over 3 but I could imagine they'd want to keep their cap/payroll relatively under control for when Klay's deal is up in 2 seasons and they're facing the repeater tax. Or maybe $40M over 3 but structured as $15M/$15M/$10M or something like that. Or even $20M/$15M/$5M.
If I'm some up and coming team like the Bucks or Toronto or something, would I really want to offer more than $40M over 3 years?
Woj says future first, doesn't specify.
I don't know nearly enough about the top prospects to make that judgement.
But why would Philly do this? If Philly now knows that Boston prefers Jackson > Fultz, why would they give up assets rather than just calling Boston's bluff? If Boston drafts Jackson at 1, then Philly is guaranteed either Fultz or Ball, and Boston is basically telling Philly that they want to draft Jackson.
I was always kind of expecting this, since Philly desperately needs a guard and wound up with the #3 pick in a draft with two elite guards. And also since neither Fultz nor Ball projects as a generational, multi-MVP kind of player, which it's pretty clear is what Ainge lusts after. If he can move down to 3, snag an extra lottery ball for next year and still get a prospect not THAT much inferior to Fultz, yeah, I can see him doing that.
Because
(1) They can't know that Boston actually prefers Jackson over Fultz, rather than merely thinks the gap is close enough that they prefer Jackson plus future goodies over Fultz, in which case if Boston remains at #1 they'll take Fultz, and
(2) There's a risk someone else trades up to #1 and takes Fultz.
If this rumor is true I assume the current stage is simply Ainge knows Philly really wants a guard and is seeing if they'll fork over the 2018 Lakers pick to get one.
Maybe Boston favors Fultz but only slightly, so they're comfortable staying at 1 and taking him, but would grab the extra draft pick and go with Jackson if that's available? I don't know, just guessing.
That's not possible in the NBA. With Bird rights, the salary can rise or fall only up to 7.5% per year, based on the first year. So for 3/40, you can't do more than 14.4/13.3/12.3.
If I'm some up and coming team like the Bucks or Toronto or something, would I really want to offer more than $40M over 3 years?
The answer is always Brooklyn. They are coming of disastrous years, don't have their 2018 pick, aren't an attractive team and have some cap space now and in future years. If they can get a member of the Death Lineup to choose Brooklyn over Golden State, that would be a nice PR coup, for which they are probably willing to overpay.
i wouldn't touch this deal, even if ainge wasn't on the other side of it. the gap between 1 and 4 isn't that big this year and fultz isn't a generational player, so this is a no go for me.
I think a lot of teams would offer something like 3/45 for Iguodala.
Or it's possible that he recognizes the need to employ more than just forwards and centers.
if you have the money to pay iguodala 15MM, your team is not good enough for him to make a difference.
even if we strike out on all 10 of them, we have mcconnell and bayless to limp us through one more season, and we can draft frank mason or some other senior PG in the second round to add another body.
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