Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Sunday, October 30, 2022
The longest month. This year even longer than usual.
* 30 days hath November, except in the college football thread, where it runs through Championship Week before giving way to the Bowl Spectacular.
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Absolute braindead play by LSU. How do you play your whole life and not know a blocked field goal is live?
There better be a chance they make the playoff. Who else are you going to put in ahead of TCU? Alabama and their zero quality wins? The desiccated corpse of Tennessee? Someone else?
And scores on the zone read a play later.
24-10
When your case for inclusion pushes a win over Austin Peay, you're kind of grasping. Looks like Alabama's half-ass OOC schedule finally came back to bite.
:)
:(
That's right: the Florida Gators are ready to suit up for their playoff berth.
One of the key rationales behind the two high zone is that it become more effective in the red zone as the gap between the safeties and the box shrinks. Using that as your base makes opponent “yards” and moving the ball less valuable, especially in college where kickers are #collegekickers.
A good example of why public football analytics is woefully limited and incomplete on anything other than the most macro level. The inefficiency in football, paradoxically, is to ignore a lot of what S&P+ and FEI are looking at. Michigan has a team of stats folks who work with the coaching staff on that, as do the Ravens (where this defense strategy was first perfected).
Tulane-USC in the Cotton won't be official for two hours, but it's pretty obvious.
Come to think of it, over the last two weeks, I haven't seen a single pundit make the case against UF in the playoffs. We can only speculate about why they got passed over by the committee.
But that is what Michigan has done for the second half of the season. In their last 8 games, they outscored their opponent only 108-87 in the first half and 186-29 in the second.
Michigan was the third best team in both yards per game and yards per play allowed. They're fourth in FEI, and rated highly by other similar systems. Michigan looks great by the advanced stats. The idea that Michigan is doing something that isn't picked up by these stats is absolutely bananas.
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