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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, December 20, 2022Padres To Sign Matt Carpenter
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: December 20, 2022 at 12:53 PM | 13 comment(s)
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1. The Yankee Clapper Posted: December 20, 2022 at 01:22 PM (#6110198)Since he won't have the special "Judge balls", I'm going to guess he'll hit much closer to his 2019-21 numbers than what he did for a bit over a month last year.
judge is our Pure and Untainted HEEEro. he's got the Real True something home runs record unlike Those Others. we IGNORE any kind of not testosterone advantage that he had because only testosterone like chemicals are Bad and any other advantages/cheating are cute/wink/everone else was doing them/it too so it's not REALLY an advantage and besides he's a yankee like babe ruth and therefore his True Successor unlike that other guy who came up in some other organization unlike Da Babe and
um
oh yeah
nevah mind
Note Judge hit 32 of his 62 on the road. ELEVEN of his last 14 HRs came on the road. Just 6 HR at home after July 31. According to statcast, his last 3 HRs at NYS would have been out of 30, 25 and 30 ballparks. Juiced baseballs don't travel 50 feet farther, they travel like 10 feet farther. People talk about this like Judge would have hit 45 HRs with the dead balls. Anyway, until somebody can provide evidence that the Goldilocks balls followed Judge on the road, this "conspiracy" is weak sauce ... and even if MLB did try to tilt it in his favor at NYS, their plot failed.
There is a reason MLB is making threats at people who have collected and examined MLB played balls to see if they're uniform.
Note that there is a chart showing the Yankees in general got one of the two non-dead variants, along with the post-season as a whole being played with it.
"It is unclear how Wills collected the game-used balls to study, but one player says MLB tried to keep them out of her hands. San Francisco Giants outfielder Austin Slater, a union rep, told Insider that MLB discouraged him from sending any baseballs to Wills for testing. Slater says he was told that any MLB employee found to be sending balls to nonaffiliated organizations for testing could be fired."
https://www.insider.com/mlb-used-two-balls-again-this-year-and-evidence-points-to-a-third-2022-12
Very poorly, unfortunately.
Didn't Bonds fail an amphetamines test?
The study was 204 game-used balls collected from 22 parks. It's not remotely a proper study design but I'm happy to ignore that. It is correct that they say the non-commemorative Goldilocks balls came from "Yankees games" not necessarily home games. But then they could also tell us specifically which games they think they came from (how could they prove it?) but they choose not to. Not having any idea if Judge saw any Goldilocks balls, they don't bother doing any work to estimate what effect it might have had.
But it's all moot. What does this have to do with anything we care about? Does it matter to us that Judge only "really" hit 60 HRs last year rather than 64? Sure MLB had incentive because a bunch of jackasses cared about some "real" record ... but that's not us right?
Still, without question, MLB should have PWC or somebody in charge of distributing baseballs. And they should be open about any decisions to change the target specs and should publish testing info on each batch. There is no excuse it should be possible for them to play games with baseballs, especially during the season. Batch to batch variation is unavoidable (although this appears to be a large difference) so be upfront about it and ensure balls are distributed randomly and maybe that all unused baseballs are disposed of at season's end.
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