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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, January 10, 2012Palladino: Gil Hodges more deserving for Hall than Barry LarkinWe always felt that the fact Hodges looked just like Pruneface from the Dick Tracy Cartoon Show…was enough to keep him out.
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Posted: January 10, 2012 at 01:03 PM | 51 comment(s)
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1. Johnny Slick Posted: January 10, 2012 at 01:21 PM (#4033294)As for "expansion inflated statistics", yeah. What about the "very few black and Latin players inflated statistics" of Hodges' era?
And if he wants Wood to go in he should make like Rich Lederer and write up an objective piece and send it to the nominating committee and the Veteran's Committee. They will be voting on players from Wood's era at the end of the year.
I would not.
119 OPS+ for a 1B vs. 116 for a SS. C'mon, it's not even close.
Hey Norm, if you were a hot dog, would you eat yourself? I would.
But that 116 OPS+ is inflated by expansion. Didn't you read the article?
No, I knew the guy was clueless from the title.
I've said this before here, but the Roger Angell article "The Web of the Game" in which an inner circle great writer watched a 1981 College World Series game that matched then unknown Ron Darling twirling a no-hitter into the 10th for Yale versus Frankie Viola's St. John's club while weaving in and out his on-going conversation about Walter Johnson, Tris Speaker and the 1910s with the ageless Smokey Joe Wood is baseball writing at its finest.
Hodges (128 OPS+) was 2nd among 1B in the 1950's to Big Klu.
Relaxing the requirements to 2000+ PA and 50% time at short, Larkin was 3rd behind Nomar and A-Rod in OPS+. Ahead of Ripken and Jeter. If you want to stay within a decade, you don't get to add Ripken's great years from the 80's or Jeter's from the 2000's. Similarly relaxing the requirements for the 1950's, Hodges is now 3rd after Klu and Moose Skowron.
But why should we limit comparables? This is their place among immortals we're talking about. Among all players with 50% of their games at 1B, and 1500+ games, Hodges ranks 44th in OPS+. Larkin ranks 9th among shortstops.
Gil Hodges is 44th in fWAR among first basemen of all time., Larkin is 12th among short-stops, and ahead of Gil in career fWar 70-50 IIRC.
The interesting thing is that the author has one, and only one, valid point. Gil was probably the 2nd best 1st baseman of his era (treating Banks as a SS), which doesn't say much about his era. It's amazing that in our era a 119 oPS+ first baseman is practically a journeyman. Using wRC+, which is probably a more accurate measure of offensive value that is also park adjusted to a 100 scale, John Kruk, John Olerud, Keith Hernandez, Ryan Klesko, and Carlos Pena have been more valuable hitters than Gil.
Even more interesting is how dominant Stan Musial was over his generation. He is first with more than double the fWAR of 2nd place Hodges. We won't see another 100 fWAR 1b until Pujols in oh, about 18 months. The two most dominant first basemen of the last 70 years played for the same franchise, pretty much proving that Albert Pujols must be getting his steroids direct from Stan Musial's ancient stash.
And the "most ____ _____ of the ___0's" thing is getting old fast, too.
I think going after Tony Perez, a borderline Hall guy that holds the crown of best 1B in baseball from 1970-1979, would create a very slippery slope for a Gil Hodges argument.
I believe that distinction belongs to Pops.
Getting old? It was already the most old trope of the 1990's!
Are you bagging on Mark Grace and his narrowly defined hitting prowess?
He played about 50% of his games in the outfield for the decade so I believe that would make him Stan Musial to Tony Perez's Gil Hodges.
He busted the most slumps in the 90s, and that was before the invention of gift baskets. I think Jeter's slump-busting (which may be the best of the 10's, though it's too early to tell) deserves an asterisk.
Larkin, in the '90's: 5541 PA, 126 OPS+ (which uses poor endpoints - '89-98 gives him 10 years of 5211 PA, 129 OPS+). Jeter's best 10 year run ('98-07): 6972 PA, 126 OPS+. Ripken's best ('82-91): 7052 PA, 127 OPS+.
Ripken in the '90's: 6348 PA, 107 OPS+, 5 innings at SS after '96. EDIT: And, just for fun: Ripken, '90-94: 3329 PA, 115 OPS+.
http://blogs.rep-am.com/off_the_record/2010/01/18/answering-pressing-questions-about-mark-mcgwire/
and then in the article cited here pushes in favor of the HoF for Smokey Joe Wood, who was implicated in a game fixing scheme with Ty Cobb and Tris Speaker. Now that's quite the thoughtful interpretation of the HoF's Character Clause.
Now, "on my deathbed" is how I expected to find out Keith Kessinger existed.
Tony played two of his best seasons of the decade at third, including the best year of his career.
In 1967 he started a game at 2B. He had 8 assists and 2 put outs through 6 innings before a double-switch moved him over to 3B. He would never play there again.
and if drop the criteria to 40% of games at 1B, Perez falls to 5th by WAR
Hodges falls to 2nd, but gets completely pasted by Musial
Funny thing is that the quote above started off so well ...
1990 - Ripken
1991 - Ripken
1992 - Larkin
1993 - Larkin
1994 - Tie
1995 - Larkin
1996 - Larkin
1997 - Larkin
1998 - Larkin
1999 - Tie? Dominant 1/2 season vs. pretty good full season
And really, 1990 shouldn't be included but we've been over this stupidity.
We've got bookends!
Why? The arguments against it and including 2000 instead make no sense.
I agree with this. It's important that your decades run from 'X1 to 'X0 if you're comparing decades going back to the year 1, but that never happens. The separation of years into decades is artificial anyway, so we might as well go by common usage rather than usage based on a mathematical irrelevancy.
Trust me, Gracey didn't have narrowly defined hitting prowess. Go to any 4 am bar in Chicago and look around at the girls. He hit that...and that...and that...and that...and that...
Why? The arguments against it and including 2000 instead make no sense.
I agree with both of these. Yes, a decade should be defined as xx01-xx00, HOWEVER, most of the general populace accept a decade as xx00-xx99, so arguing otherwise is just pissing into the wind.
Exactly. IMHO, the people arguing that decades begin with a 1 rather than a 0 are trying to make themselves sound smart by clinging to an irrelevant mathematical technicality, but they just end up sounding foolish because measurements of time like the "90's" or the "1900's" AREN'T official or technical terms to begin with. They're just nicknames given to groups of years that end in 90 or begin with 19. So it's completely irrelevant whether or not there was a year zero. If you want to say that the 20th century was 1901-2000, or that the 10th decade of the 20th century was 1991-2000, fine. But the 90's were 1990-1999, and the 1900's were 1900-1999. 1990 ends with a 90. 2000 doesn't. Simple as that. Why people like to complicate things is beyond me...
1991-2000 IS a decade, but only in the same sense that 1987-1996 is.
Isn't that what I was saying? It's all stupidity. Who was the best CF from 1983-1992? Who the #### cares? Why the #### does it matter. PEople who vote based on "blah blah decades of the whatever" should be bludgeoned.
This seems like a fairly substantial problem. A first baseman playing in an 8-team league has a career black ink score of 2, both points coming from leading the league in games played.
TFA also implies that Mays and Musial were the only people beating Hodges on the leaderboards. Here is the list of his top-3 finishes in offensive categories:
Home runs - 2nd twice (1951, 54), 3rd twice (1950, 52)
RBI - 2nd once (1954), 3rd once (1950)
Runs - 3rd once (1951)
Total bases - 3rd once (1951)
Walks - 2nd once (1952)
Extra-base hits - 3rd once (1951)
That's about it, unless you want to count strikeouts, sac flies, and sac hits (yes, third in the league one year; no, I don't get it either). So it looks like he was losing to more people than just Mays and Musial a vast majority of the time.
Not that you don't all already know this.
First half of the question:
1950 (3rd in HR, 3rd in RBI): Trails Ralph Kiner by 15 HR, Andy Pafko by 4, tied with Hank Sauer. Trails Del Ennis by 13 in RBI, Kiner by 5.
1951 (2nd in HR, 3rd in runs, TB, XBH): Trails Kiner by 2 in HR, Kiner and Musial by 6 in runs, Musial by 48 and Kiner by 26 in TB, Kiner by 11 and Musial by 6 in XBH. This is a very good year.
1952 (3rd in HR, 2nd in BB): Trails Kiner and Sauer by 5 in HR, Kiner by 3 in walks.
1954 (2nd in HR, 2nd in RBI): Trails Ted Kluszewski by 7 in HR and 11 in RBI.
Second half of the question: I'm not reproducing every leaderboard from the 1950s NL here. Go to baseball reference and look for yourself.
It builds confidence in his argument that Hodges actually averaged 31 HR a season during the 50s.
Decades are generally silly things. In the 50s, I get only 7 players who topped 6000 PA and only 27 over 5000. You got the same thing in the 30s (8/25) and the 20s (6/22). Expansion of teams and games still leads to only 13/33 in the 60s.
Especially if you use counting stats, anytime you run a decade comparison, you're limiting your comparative sample to maybe 15 guys. Look at it by position and you're basically down to 2. If your period as a durable starter happens to overlop with a decade, you're bound to look good.
So to say that Hodges is the "best" 1B of the 50s (questionable anyway), there are only 3 other players with 5000+ PA whose "primary" position was 1B that you are comparing him to: Klu, Whitey Lockman and Mickey Vernon. As it happens, they all have about 1000 fewer PA than Hodges does. "Best" 1B of the 50s is not exactly a competition among the eternals.
Also Lockman totally sucked -- man had an 88 OPS+ in the 50s playing mostly 1B/LF. On the one hand you think "Durocher must have been a genius to win 2 pennants with Lockman getting nearly 1400 PA"; on the other hand you think "Durocher must have been a moron to give Lockman nearly 1400 PA in those two seasons."
At least with Jack Morris we're comparing him to 9 other starters with 2000+ IP in the 80s (or 17 with 1800+).
Please see post number 11. I'm not a big fan of Coke, but a nice tumbler of Jefferson Reserve with a little ice would be a treat.
Didn't we already conclude this is a stupid yardstick? Should we toss George Brett out for being a contemporary with Mike Schmidt?
why would anyone use fWar? The point stands of course, but fWar is one of the weaker stats out there.
But the point is that there is no Year 0 in the A.D. numbering scheme. But as noted, the better point is that arbitrary ten-year periods can start with any any number that suits.
Shouldn't this be in all caps, and end with "MR. PRESIDENT"?
Agreed on that Angell piece on that pitchers duel and Smokey Joe Wood, by the way. Maybe the best baseball-related storytelling I can ever recall...
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