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Tuesday, June 06, 2023
Off to the best start in team history, a postseason appearance becomes a more and more realistic probability for the Rangers. That vision, however, no longer includes expected ace Jacob deGrom. At least not for this year.
A follow-up MRI Tuesday confirmed the Rangers’ worst fears about deGrom’s troublesome elbow: There is a partial tear of the ulnar collateral ligament. He will require Tommy John surgery and will be out until at least until the middle of 2024.
It will extend deGrom’s long stretch of seasons interrupted by injuries to four. He pitched only 92 innings in 2021 with the Mets due to right forearm tightness and only 64 innings last season due to a stress reaction in his right scapula. He has pitched just 30.1 innings in six starts this season for the Rangers after signing a five-year, $185 million contract in November.
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1. Howie Menckel Posted: June 06, 2023 at 06:00 PM (#6131689)yowza.
this is his first TJS, iirc
@MarinoMLB
The Mets had concerns about both [No. 1 overall amateur draft pick in 2021] Kumar Rocker and Jacob DeGrom’s physicals. The Rangers took a risk aggressively going after both and 2 years later they have both undergone Tommy John, a very tough break for Texas. Wishing a speedy recovery to both.
4:53 PM · Jun 6, 2023
It's even worse news for the teams that are paying the injured pitchers a lot of money.
he said he hoped to be back before the end of 2024 - not an unrealistic goal.
very reasonable question to ask. Is this the sort of thing that would be picked up by medical reports that are reviewed prior to the trade or if he wasnt MRI'd or XRay'd then the other team has no data to go on?
DeGrom was signed as a free agent, and I assume the Rangers had him take a physical where they examined his arm from shoulder to fingernails before handing him a billion dollars. If there was prior damage and they missed it (which is very likely the case) then that’s on them.
He never reached Gooden's cult-hero status, and he didn't bring the charisma and electricity of Pedro... but man, when deGrom was on he was just a remorseless killing machine on that mound.
(are we still allowed to remember wonderful pitchers hitting stories, or was that banned as part of the DH agreement? not sure.)
Ah, the good old days, when pitchers could slash .204/.238/.251 and be remembered fondly.
He'll be considered for sure but he won't get the 75%. The Hall has a love affair with relievers not with starters who aren't durable
deGrom is closer to Lee Smith than Mariano Rivera. So, HOF I guess.
That would add a WAR to his value!
I'm not sure about the math, but it is true that a half competent hitting pitcher could add materially to his value since the replacement hitting pitcher was so terrible.
One of the great things about being so old is that I have many great pitcher hitting memories. I still remember a massive home run I saw J.R. Richard hit in the Astrodome.
As for deGrom, I just hate to see pitchers go down, it really sucks. Is there any position in any other sport that has such a long injury shadow hanging over it as pitcher? Every time a guy gets a twinge or ache my mind goes right to TJ.
German Marquez homered on July 31, 2021, against the Padres' Yu Darvish. Was that the last-ever pitcher-hit home run?
Non-Ohtani and pre-universal DH, the last pitcher home run was by the Giants' Logan Webb on the last day of 2021.
Well, race car driver. Pitchers don't actually die in competition.
The first challenger I thought of was Mike Leake, but his hitting tailed off after leaving Cincinnati. He finished at 2.7/13.6, about 16%.
Among current pitchers Michael Lorenzen had a shot before the universal DH. Through 2021 he was at 1.6/4.8 (25%). He's since tacked on a couple pitcher WAR so is down to 19%.
If you want to lower the IP threshold, Micah Owings (483 IP) outWARed hitting over pitching. 2.5/0.7.
There are probably some pitchers not named Mike/Micah to consider as well.
Earl Wilson was almost exactly the same: 20.4 pitching WAR and 7.6 batting WAR.
BBref has Mike Hampton at 20.7 pitching WAR and 7.5 batting WAR. If that's accurate, then just over 25% of his career value was from batting relative to other pitchers. I'd bet he's the last pitcher with that big a proportion (with some reasonable minimum sample size, and excluding Ohtani and Ankiel.)
Not quite as high from a percentage standpoint as Hampton, but Don Newcombe had 30.1 pitching WAR and 8.6 batting WAR, so batting is 22% of his total.
Other than Damon Rutherford.
1) Wow, 38.3! Didn't realize it was that high (over 1959 innings.) Palmer was 38.6 at 2100 innings. Ryan was 28.9. It's a silly comparison (without measuring Fangraphs WAR or WARP) but it did catch my attention.
2) Here's what's really quirky. Zambrano, over 1959 innings, also pitched to a 4.01 career FIP as well as a 122 ERA+. In the history of the game, only Philadelphia A's starter Eddie Rommel, who pitched from 1920 to 1934, amassed an ERA+ above 120 alongside a 4 FIP, over 1900+ innings.
Great reference to the best baseball novel ever written.
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