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Monday, January 20, 2020

Royals, Alex Gordon “Getting Close” To Deal

For those curious about what else is going on in the baseball world:

The Royals are “getting close” to a one-year agreement with outfielder Alex Gordon, according to Jeffrey Flanagan of The financial details of said agreement are yet unknown. Nothing has been finalized yet, but Flanagan expects that an announcement might come in the next couple of days upon the completion of Gordon’s physical.

It’s long been expected that Gordon and the Royals would work out a deal to keep the 35-year-old in the organization with which he’s spent his entire career; Gordon has made it clear that he would opt for retirement if a return to Kansas City wasn’t possible. However, it looks as if the franchise icon will stick around for at least one more year.

Don’t expect Gordon’s earnings in 2020 to drive the Royals’ payroll through the roof. It’s clear he’s no longer the player he was when he was awarded with a contract that would’ve paid him $23MM this year had the Royals exercised his option. So, speculatively, $5MM or so seems like an agreeable price point for the two sides.



QLE Posted: January 20, 2020 at 12:23 AM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: alex gordon, hot stove, royals

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   1. JJ1986 Posted: January 20, 2020 at 04:02 PM (#5917614)
I was going to say that it's cool that the 26th roster spot will allow teams to carry pinch hitters, but the Royals current LF is a Brett Phillips/Bubba Starling platoon so I guess Gordon is staring.
   2. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 20, 2020 at 04:06 PM (#5917616)
   3. bbmck Posted: January 20, 2020 at 04:30 PM (#5917628)
Brett Gardner vs Alex Gordon cumulative highest WAR seasons with some rounding errors:

7.4 vs 7.3
12.3 vs 13.8
16.6 vs 20.1
20.7 vs 24.4

24.7 vs 27.2
28.6 vs 30
32 vs 32.4
35.2 vs 34.4

38 vs 35.8
40.3 vs 36.7
41.6 vs 37
41.8 vs 37.1

Alex also has a -0.5 WAR season, that's all of Brett's seasons. The Yankees paid $72.1mil and signed Garnder to a 1/12.5 or 2/20 contract. The Royals paid $113.3mil and possibly getting a 1/5 contract.

Brett Gardner 41.6 WAR, 5995 PA, 100 OPS+, 135 Rfield, 65.4 Rbaser/DP
Alex Gordon 36.6 WAR, 7066 PA, 103 OPS+, 116 Rfield, 10.3 Rbaser/DP

Brett Gardner: 58% leadoff, 14% 9th, 13% 2nd, 876 Runs, 524 RBI
Alex Gordon: 22% leadoff, 19% 3rd, 18% 6th, 13% 5th, 852 Runs, 738 RBI

Brett Gardner: 872-627, .582 in regular season games he played in, 34-27, .557 in the playoffs
Alex Gordon: 790-913, .464 in regular season games he played in, 22-9, .710 in the playoffs
   4. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: January 20, 2020 at 04:36 PM (#5917633)
He's not terrible. KC needs more players who are not terrible.
   5. Walt Davis Posted: January 20, 2020 at 06:51 PM (#5917672)
He's not terrible. KC needs more players who are not terrible.

Steamer projects 0.8 WAR in 450 PA which is indeed not terrible and I assume he's not blocking anybody. Of course he's turning 36 so he could be terrible but then you just reduce his PT and announce Alex Gordon Day.
   6. Walt Davis Posted: January 20, 2020 at 07:10 PM (#5917675)
The Gardner-Gordon comp is interesting. I would have guessed Gardner had a good bit more WAR but he has spent less time in CF than I realized. If I'd known that, I'd have guessed Gordon's big years with the bat put him ahead by a bit but apparently he's had more than enough down years to balance those out. The rate stats are really very close. Gordon is about 1.5 seasons ahead on PA which means he has less WAA which, along with the 5 WAR career gap gives Gardner an 8-WAA lead. Gardner easily takes the consistency crown -- as you note/imply, they'd be even closer if we ignore Gordon 2009-10 and 2017 which also works out to be about equal to the PA gap. Gordon added no WAR and lost 3.5 WAA. Still it comes down to Gardner beating the odds and putting up 12 WAR for ages 33-35 compared with Gordon's more standard 4 WAR. Give or take, Gardner was the same player at 35 as he was at 27.

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